Texas Summer-2015

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
gboudx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4047
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 1:39 pm
Location: Rockwall, Tx but from Harvey, La

Texas Summer-2015

#1 Postby gboudx » Mon Mar 23, 2015 2:46 pm

May it be a cool and wet one. Image
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22482
Age: 66
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: Texas Summer-2015

#2 Postby wxman57 » Mon Mar 23, 2015 3:15 pm

Ah, summer, the best season ever! Lows in the 70s and highs in the 90s with an occasional afternoon thunderstorm. Doesn't get any better than that. My take on what the summer will bring is temps near normal or a little below normal with near-normal precipitation across Texas.
0 likes   

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 21515
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

#3 Postby Ntxw » Mon Mar 23, 2015 3:59 pm

2nd year El Nino summer
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

User avatar
somethingfunny
ChatStaff
ChatStaff
Posts: 3926
Age: 35
Joined: Thu May 31, 2007 10:30 pm
Location: McKinney, Texas

#4 Postby somethingfunny » Mon Mar 23, 2015 4:06 pm

I'm hoping for something like 2004 this year.
0 likes   
I am not a meteorologist, and any posts made by me are not official forecasts or to be interpreted as being intelligent. These posts are just my opinions and are probably silly opinions.

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 21515
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re:

#5 Postby Ntxw » Sat May 23, 2015 11:00 pm

somethingfunny wrote:I'm hoping for something like 2004 this year.


May get it. Heck go for 1905. Wet up and down the plains, going to be a summer to remember (cooler). Relative to average, Texas may be the bullseye for below normal JJA across the states with trof remaining in place.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


User avatar
Ptarmigan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5273
Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2006 9:06 pm

Re: Re:

#6 Postby Ptarmigan » Sun May 24, 2015 11:00 pm

somethingfunny wrote:I'm hoping for something like 2004 this year.


Could see that as 2004 had a developing El Nino.

Ntxw wrote:
May get it. Heck go for 1905. Wet up and down the plains, going to be a summer to remember (cooler). Relative to average, Texas may be the bullseye for below normal JJA across the states with trof remaining in place.


1904 to 1906 was a multi year El Nino.

MEI Prior To 1950 (1871 to 2005)
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/enso/mei.e ... e.ext.html
0 likes   

User avatar
ravyrn
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 992
Age: 41
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2008 5:10 am
Location: Alderbranch, TX

Re: Texas Summer-2015

#7 Postby ravyrn » Tue May 26, 2015 11:25 pm

I would be okay with a repeat of last summer. We never went over 95 degrees and most of our 90s days were right at 90 or 91.
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 37113
Age: 35
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Summer-2015

#8 Postby Brent » Wed May 27, 2015 1:13 am

I wanna fail to reach 100 this summer. I see it is possible during el nino summers. :P
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
ravyrn
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 992
Age: 41
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2008 5:10 am
Location: Alderbranch, TX

Re: Texas Summer-2015

#9 Postby ravyrn » Fri May 29, 2015 2:35 pm

Brent wrote:I wanna fail to reach 100 this summer. I see it is possible during el nino summers. :P


Good luck, Brent! I have a bit more wooded areas around me that helped this past summer w/ moisture to keep the high temps at bay along w/ the prolonged cloud cover! It'd be really neat if Dallas could make it w/o a 100 degree day this summer! I'm only 120 miles ESE of DFW so it has to be possible! All that concrete around DFW won't help though :(
0 likes   

User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 28975
Age: 72
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Spring Branch area, Houston, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Summer-2015

#10 Postby vbhoutex » Sun May 31, 2015 9:46 pm

ravyrn wrote:
Brent wrote:I wanna fail to reach 100 this summer. I see it is possible during el nino summers. :P


Good luck, Brent! I have a bit more wooded areas around me that helped this past summer w/ moisture to keep the high temps at bay along w/ the prolonged cloud cover! It'd be really neat if Dallas could make it w/o a 100 degree day this summer! I'm only 120 miles ESE of DFW so it has to be possible! All that concrete around DFW won't help though :(

If Houston can do it Dallas can do it. We didn't have an official 100 degree temperature last summer even though I had 3 at my house.
0 likes   
Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
Please click below to donate to STORM2K to help with the expenses of keeping the site going:
Image

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 37113
Age: 35
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Summer-2015

#11 Postby Brent » Mon Jun 01, 2015 2:31 am

vbhoutex wrote:
ravyrn wrote:
Brent wrote:I wanna fail to reach 100 this summer. I see it is possible during el nino summers. :P


Good luck, Brent! I have a bit more wooded areas around me that helped this past summer w/ moisture to keep the high temps at bay along w/ the prolonged cloud cover! It'd be really neat if Dallas could make it w/o a 100 degree day this summer! I'm only 120 miles ESE of DFW so it has to be possible! All that concrete around DFW won't help though :(


If Houston can do it Dallas can do it. We didn't have an official 100 degree temperature last summer even though I had 3 at my house.


I did some research on it last week... at least at DFW, these are just recent years that I checked:

1991 and 1992 had none

2002 and 2004 had only 1

1983 2

One common theme in years with a few more seemed to be all they came in a streak or very short period of time(mostly August)
0 likes   
#neversummer

Ralph's Weather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2968
Age: 36
Joined: Fri Dec 13, 2013 11:55 am
Location: Lindale, TX

#12 Postby Ralph's Weather » Mon Jun 01, 2015 6:30 am

56 degrees on June 1st.
0 likes   
Follow on Facebook at Ralph's Weather.

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 37113
Age: 35
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Summer-2015

#13 Postby Brent » Tue Jun 02, 2015 1:46 am

I'll take it

and countdown to fall in the process :P

Image

Image
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
gboudx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4047
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 1:39 pm
Location: Rockwall, Tx but from Harvey, La

#14 Postby gboudx » Tue Jun 02, 2015 10:25 am

Below normal at 95-96 with 70% humidity will make DFW feel like we live on the Gulf Coast. :)
0 likes   

User avatar
JDawg512
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1032
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Aug 26, 2013 8:56 pm
Location: Austin
Contact:

Re: Texas Summer-2015

#15 Postby JDawg512 » Fri Jun 05, 2015 5:21 pm

Well its been months since my last post but I'm still here. What a crazy and wet May! I'm glad we are having a dry start to June as it is desperately needed for much of the state.
0 likes   
Resident Rain Miser

I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 21515
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

#16 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jun 11, 2015 9:43 am

DFW has only failed to hit 100 twice going back to 1900, 1906 and 1973. Both on the heels of powerful El Nino's. There are several occurances of 1 also most likely to occur during El Nino.

Statistically speaking DFW is more likely to see a below 0 reading than no 100s in a given year.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


DFW Stormwatcher
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 232
Age: 53
Joined: Sun Dec 27, 2009 10:35 pm
Location: Keller, Tx

Re: Texas Summer-2015

#17 Postby DFW Stormwatcher » Wed Jun 17, 2015 8:39 am

vbhoutex wrote:
ravyrn wrote:
Brent wrote:I wanna fail to reach 100 this summer. I see it is possible during el nino summers. :P


Good luck, Brent! I have a bit more wooded areas around me that helped this past summer w/ moisture to keep the high temps at bay along w/ the prolonged cloud cover! It'd be really neat if Dallas could make it w/o a 100 degree day this summer! I'm only 120 miles ESE of DFW so it has to be possible! All that concrete around DFW won't help though :(

If Houston can do it Dallas can do it. We didn't have an official 100 degree temperature last summer even though I had 3 at my house.



Dallas goes over a 100 a lot more than Houston, unless we're talking heat index.......I lived in southeast texas growing up. The weather between the two is quite different, rarely seabreeze showers here in the summer, but much less humidity. I'll take Dallas heat any day over over Houston's 90's except this year. This is the most humid year I've experienced since I moved here 14 years ago, for obvious reasons.

Same goes for East Texas, those trees do a lot of good for tempering the heat and raising humidity just not quite as bad as Houston. The heat island effect is definitely pretty strong especially between George Bush Turnpike and downtown, I haven't paid attention, but I imagine the same heat island effect takes places inside 610 in Houston.
0 likes   
Disclaimer: This is not an official weather forecast. I am only an amateur weather enthusiast therefore any weather forecasts or opinions should be taken with a grain of salt. Hook em Horns!

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 21515
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

#18 Postby Ntxw » Sun Jun 21, 2015 8:50 am

Happy summer solstice! Tis the summer of the big El Nino, DFW is going June without hitting 100.


Per latest ECMWF, weak 'front' next week
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


User avatar
Tireman4
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5674
Age: 58
Joined: Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:08 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

Re: Texas Summer-2015

#19 Postby Tireman4 » Sun Jun 21, 2015 10:11 am

wxman57 wrote:Ah, summer, the best season ever! Lows in the 70s and highs in the 90s with an occasional afternoon thunderstorm. Doesn't get any better than that. My take on what the summer will bring is temps near normal or a little below normal with near-normal precipitation across Texas.


You got the first part right (so far...LOL) . Good job sir. The second part umm...no...although Summer has just begun...
0 likes   

User avatar
gboudx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4047
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 1:39 pm
Location: Rockwall, Tx but from Harvey, La

#20 Postby gboudx » Sun Jun 21, 2015 10:33 am

My part of Rockwell county got almost 4" of rain so far today.
0 likes   


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: ElectricStorm, Ntxw, Stratton23, txtwister78 and 77 guests