Texas Summer-2015
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- wxman57
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Re: Texas Summer-2015
Ah, summer, the best season ever! Lows in the 70s and highs in the 90s with an occasional afternoon thunderstorm. Doesn't get any better than that. My take on what the summer will bring is temps near normal or a little below normal with near-normal precipitation across Texas.
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2nd year El Nino summer
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- somethingfunny
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Re:
somethingfunny wrote:I'm hoping for something like 2004 this year.
May get it. Heck go for 1905. Wet up and down the plains, going to be a summer to remember (cooler). Relative to average, Texas may be the bullseye for below normal JJA across the states with trof remaining in place.
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Re: Re:
somethingfunny wrote:I'm hoping for something like 2004 this year.
Could see that as 2004 had a developing El Nino.
Ntxw wrote:
May get it. Heck go for 1905. Wet up and down the plains, going to be a summer to remember (cooler). Relative to average, Texas may be the bullseye for below normal JJA across the states with trof remaining in place.
1904 to 1906 was a multi year El Nino.
MEI Prior To 1950 (1871 to 2005)
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/enso/mei.e ... e.ext.html
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Re: Texas Summer-2015
I would be okay with a repeat of last summer. We never went over 95 degrees and most of our 90s days were right at 90 or 91.
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Re: Texas Summer-2015
I wanna fail to reach 100 this summer. I see it is possible during el nino summers.
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Summer-2015
Brent wrote:I wanna fail to reach 100 this summer. I see it is possible during el nino summers.
Good luck, Brent! I have a bit more wooded areas around me that helped this past summer w/ moisture to keep the high temps at bay along w/ the prolonged cloud cover! It'd be really neat if Dallas could make it w/o a 100 degree day this summer! I'm only 120 miles ESE of DFW so it has to be possible! All that concrete around DFW won't help though
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- vbhoutex
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Re: Texas Summer-2015
ravyrn wrote:Brent wrote:I wanna fail to reach 100 this summer. I see it is possible during el nino summers.
Good luck, Brent! I have a bit more wooded areas around me that helped this past summer w/ moisture to keep the high temps at bay along w/ the prolonged cloud cover! It'd be really neat if Dallas could make it w/o a 100 degree day this summer! I'm only 120 miles ESE of DFW so it has to be possible! All that concrete around DFW won't help though
If Houston can do it Dallas can do it. We didn't have an official 100 degree temperature last summer even though I had 3 at my house.
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Re: Texas Summer-2015
vbhoutex wrote:ravyrn wrote:Brent wrote:I wanna fail to reach 100 this summer. I see it is possible during el nino summers.
Good luck, Brent! I have a bit more wooded areas around me that helped this past summer w/ moisture to keep the high temps at bay along w/ the prolonged cloud cover! It'd be really neat if Dallas could make it w/o a 100 degree day this summer! I'm only 120 miles ESE of DFW so it has to be possible! All that concrete around DFW won't help though
If Houston can do it Dallas can do it. We didn't have an official 100 degree temperature last summer even though I had 3 at my house.
I did some research on it last week... at least at DFW, these are just recent years that I checked:
1991 and 1992 had none
2002 and 2004 had only 1
1983 2
One common theme in years with a few more seemed to be all they came in a streak or very short period of time(mostly August)
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#neversummer
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Re: Texas Summer-2015
Well its been months since my last post but I'm still here. What a crazy and wet May! I'm glad we are having a dry start to June as it is desperately needed for much of the state.
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Resident Rain Miser
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
DFW has only failed to hit 100 twice going back to 1900, 1906 and 1973. Both on the heels of powerful El Nino's. There are several occurances of 1 also most likely to occur during El Nino.
Statistically speaking DFW is more likely to see a below 0 reading than no 100s in a given year.
Statistically speaking DFW is more likely to see a below 0 reading than no 100s in a given year.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Summer-2015
vbhoutex wrote:ravyrn wrote:Brent wrote:I wanna fail to reach 100 this summer. I see it is possible during el nino summers.
Good luck, Brent! I have a bit more wooded areas around me that helped this past summer w/ moisture to keep the high temps at bay along w/ the prolonged cloud cover! It'd be really neat if Dallas could make it w/o a 100 degree day this summer! I'm only 120 miles ESE of DFW so it has to be possible! All that concrete around DFW won't help though
If Houston can do it Dallas can do it. We didn't have an official 100 degree temperature last summer even though I had 3 at my house.
Dallas goes over a 100 a lot more than Houston, unless we're talking heat index.......I lived in southeast texas growing up. The weather between the two is quite different, rarely seabreeze showers here in the summer, but much less humidity. I'll take Dallas heat any day over over Houston's 90's except this year. This is the most humid year I've experienced since I moved here 14 years ago, for obvious reasons.
Same goes for East Texas, those trees do a lot of good for tempering the heat and raising humidity just not quite as bad as Houston. The heat island effect is definitely pretty strong especially between George Bush Turnpike and downtown, I haven't paid attention, but I imagine the same heat island effect takes places inside 610 in Houston.
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Disclaimer: This is not an official weather forecast. I am only an amateur weather enthusiast therefore any weather forecasts or opinions should be taken with a grain of salt. Hook em Horns!
Happy summer solstice! Tis the summer of the big El Nino, DFW is going June without hitting 100.
Per latest ECMWF, weak 'front' next week
Per latest ECMWF, weak 'front' next week
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Tireman4
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Re: Texas Summer-2015
wxman57 wrote:Ah, summer, the best season ever! Lows in the 70s and highs in the 90s with an occasional afternoon thunderstorm. Doesn't get any better than that. My take on what the summer will bring is temps near normal or a little below normal with near-normal precipitation across Texas.
You got the first part right (so far...LOL) . Good job sir. The second part umm...no...although Summer has just begun...
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