Mid-Atlantic Spring-Summer 2015

[angelwing]

Since I can't find this topic, I am posting this here:)

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 90
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
305 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

TORNADO WATCH 90 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

PAC001-009-011-013-017-021-029-041-043-045-055-057-061-067-071-
075-077-087-091-099-101-111-133-210200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0090.150420T1905Z-150421T0200Z/

PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS BEDFORD BERKS
BLAIR BUCKS CAMBRIA
CHESTER CUMBERLAND DAUPHIN
DELAWARE FRANKLIN FULTON
HUNTINGDON JUNIATA LANCASTER
LEBANON LEHIGH MIFFLIN
MONTGOMERY PERRY PHILADELPHIA
SOMERSET YORK
$$

[angelwing]

Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
656 AM EDT WED APR 22 2015

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-
055-060>062-070-071-101>106-221600-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-
SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...
REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...
DENTON...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...JIM THORPE...
STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...
KENNETT SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...
LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
656 AM EDT WED APR 22 2015

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED TODAY, ESPECIALLY IN AND NEAR
ANY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL GENERATE ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS ABOVE THE GROUND AND THE PRESENCE OF DRY AIR BELOW CLOUD
LEVEL WILL CORROBORATE TO PRODUCE GUSTY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND GUSTS COULD REACH 40 TO 50 MPH IN AND NEAR PRECIPITATION AND
THERE MIGHT EVEN BE SOME SMALL HAIL.

EVEN IN LOCATIONS NOT AFFECTED BY PRECIPITATION, WIND GUSTS
SHOULD REACH 35 TO 40 MPH FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.

PLEASE SECURE ANY LOOSE ITEMS BEFORE HEADING TO WORK OR SCHOOL
THIS MORNING. PLEASE BE ON THE ALERT FOR SUDDEN INCREASE IN WIND
SPEEDS IN AND AROUND ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY
WHILE DRIVING ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.

$$

[angelwing]

(This is April right????)


Freeze Watch
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
404 AM EDT THU APR 23 2015

NJZ012-013-015>022-027-PAZ060-101>104-106-232115-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FZ.A.0001.150424T0600Z-150424T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.FZ.A.0002.150425T0600Z-150425T1200Z/
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...TRENTON...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
WHARTON STATE FOREST...READING...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...
WEST CHESTER...KENNETT SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...
NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
404 AM EDT THU APR 23 2015

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING. A FREEZE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND FREEZING.

* IMPACTS...POSSIBLE DAMAGE TO EARLY SEASON PLANTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$


Freeze Watch
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
404 AM EDT THU APR 23 2015

NJZ012-013-015>022-027-PAZ060-101>104-106-232115-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FZ.A.0001.150424T0600Z-150424T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.FZ.A.0002.150425T0600Z-150425T1200Z/
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...TRENTON...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
WHARTON STATE FOREST...READING...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...
WEST CHESTER...KENNETT SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...
NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
404 AM EDT THU APR 23 2015

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING. A FREEZE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND FREEZING.

* IMPACTS...POSSIBLE DAMAGE TO EARLY SEASON PLANTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

[angelwing]

Freeze Watch
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
651 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2015

MDZ008-NJZ012-013-015>022-027-PAZ102-104-106-241900-
/O.CON.KPHI.FZ.A.0002.150425T0600Z-150425T1200Z/
CECIL-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-EASTERN CHESTER-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-
LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELKTON...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...
TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...
MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
WHARTON STATE FOREST...WEST CHESTER...KENNETT SQUARE...
NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
651 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2015

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

* LOW TEMPERATURES...LOW 30S.

* IMPACTS...POSSIBLE DAMAGE TO EARLY SEASON PLANTS THAT ARE
UNPROTECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

[angelwing]

Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
424 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2015

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-
055-060>062-070-071-101>106-241600-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-
SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...
REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...
DENTON...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...JIM THORPE...
STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...
KENNETT SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...
LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
424 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2015

...ENHANCED RISK OF FIRE SPREAD TODAY...

MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE LOW
TO MID 20S BY THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH
WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH ARE ALSO EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY.
FUELS WILL CONTINUE TO DRY THROUGH THE DAY, SO THERE WILL BE AN
ENHANCED RISK FOR FIRE SPREAD TODAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT WILDFIRE DANGER, BURN RESTRICTIONS,
WILDFIRE PREVENTION AND EDUCATION, PLEASE VISIT YOUR STATE
FORESTRY OR ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION WEBSITE.

$$

[angelwing]

(Would sure like to have some of that rain in TX, it's been dry here)


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0803
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1121 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...THE CATSKILLS/LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AREA SSWWD ACROSS
WRN NJ/ERN PA INTO MD/NRN VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 271621Z - 271715Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

SUMMARY...SEVERE RISK TO INCREASE AS STORMS ORGANIZE OVER THE NEXT
1-2 HOURS. WW ISSUANCE MAY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.

DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION FROM
ERN PA SWD INTO NWRN VA ATTM...AHEAD OF ONGOING/WEAK PRECIPITATION
BAND CROSSING THE APPALACHIANS AND INVOF AN ASSOCIATED/NNE-SSW
SURFACE TROUGH. HEATING OF THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER /60S TO LOW 70S
DEWPOINTS/ HAS YIELDED AN AXIS OF 1000 J/KG MIXED-LAYER CAPE AHEAD
OF THE DEVELOPING CONVECTION PER OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS...AND FURTHER
DESTABILIZATION WILL SUPPORT CONTINUED CONVECTIVE INCREASE -- BOTH
IN TERMS OF COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. STRONGER FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN
ACROSS NRN PORTIONS OF THE AREA -- WHERE RISK FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING
WINDS WILL INCREASE IN THE NEAR TERM. HOWEVER...A MORE MOIST
BOUNDARY LAYER -- AND THUS GREATER DESTABILIZATION POTENTIAL --
FARTHER S MAY PARTIALLY OFFSET THE SOMEWHAT WEAKER KINEMATICS TO
SUPPORT SEVERE RISK AS FAR S AS THE DC METRO AREA.

..GOSS/MEAD.. 05/27/2015


ATTN...WFO...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX...

LAT...LON 42247370 41927327 40877402 38857569 38597706 38857833
40387733 41937601 42267523 42247370

[angelwing]

SEL7
0-CWZ000-272300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 227
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1255 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN CONNECTICUT
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
DELAWARE
WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS
EASTERN MARYLAND
NEW JERSEY
EASTERN NEW YORK
EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
NORTHERN VIRGINIA
VERMONT
COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1255 PM
UNTIL 700 PM EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...STORMS EXPANDING IN COVERAGE AT THIS TIME ACROSS THE
NORTHERN APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC REGION SHOULD CONTINUE TO
ORGANIZE/INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. RISK FOR DAMAGING
WINDS AND LOCAL/MARGINAL HAIL WILL ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS AS THEY
SHIFT EASTWARD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES WEST NORTHWEST
OF NEWPORT VERMONT TO 15 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF BALTIMORE
MARYLAND. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...GOSS



Severe Thunderstorm Watch
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 227
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1255 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2015

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 227 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

PAC001-011-017-025-029-037-041-043-045-069-071-075-077-079-089-
091-093-095-097-099-101-103-107-113-115-127-131-133-272300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0227.150527T1655Z-150527T2300Z/

PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS BERKS BUCKS
CARBON CHESTER COLUMBIA
CUMBERLAND DAUPHIN DELAWARE
LACKAWANNA LANCASTER LEBANON
LEHIGH LUZERNE MONROE
MONTGOMERY MONTOUR NORTHAMPTON
NORTHUMBERLAND PERRY PHILADELPHIA
PIKE SCHUYLKILL SULLIVAN
SUSQUEHANNA WAYNE WYOMING
YORK
$$

[angelwing]

Flash Flood Watch
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
929 AM EDT MON JUN 1 2015

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ008>010-012-013-015>019-PAZ070-071-101>106-
012200-
/O.CON.KPHI.FF.A.0002.150601T1600Z-150602T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...MORRISTOWN...
FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...TRENTON...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...
WEST CHESTER...KENNETT SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...
NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...
DOYLESTOWN
929 AM EDT MON JUN 1 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
AREAS...IN NORTHERN DELAWARE...NEW CASTLE. IN NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CECIL. IN NEW JERSEY...CAMDEN...GLOUCESTER...
HUNTERDON...MERCER...MIDDLESEX...MORRIS...NORTHWESTERN
BURLINGTON...SALEM...SOMERSET AND WESTERN MONMOUTH. IN
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...DELAWARE...EASTERN CHESTER...EASTERN
MONTGOMERY...LOWER BUCKS...PHILADELPHIA...UPPER BUCKS...
WESTERN CHESTER AND WESTERN MONTGOMERY.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, SOME PRODUCING EXCESSIVE SHORT
DURATION RAINFALL WHICH CAN BE AS MUCH AS 2 INCHES IN AN HOUR IN
SOME AREAS. IF THESE AMOUNTS OF RAIN MATERIALIZE, DANGEROUS
ROADWAY FLOODING WOULD OCCUR. THIS CAN BE ENHANCED BY ANY
BLOCKED STORM DRAINS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO A RAPID RISE OF WATER TO DANGEROUS LEVELS. FLASH FLOODING IS A
VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

GORSE

[angelwing]

Tornado Watch
WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 278
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
543 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

NJC019-PAC017-029-091-090200-
/O.EXA.KPHI.TO.A.0278.000000T0000Z-150609T0200Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS EXTENDED TORNADO WATCH 278 TO
INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING AREAS UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING

IN NEW JERSEY THIS WATCH INCLUDES 1 COUNTY

IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY

HUNTERDON

IN PENNSYLVANIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES

IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA

BUCKS CHESTER MONTGOMERY

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...DOYLESTOWN...FLEMINGTON...
NORRISTOWN AND WEST CHESTER.

[angelwing]

WUS81 KPHI 082215
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
615 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

PAZ070-071-101>106-090015-
PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-DELAWARE-EASTERN
MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-WESTERN CHESTER-
615 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT...MONTGOMERY...DELAWARE...
PHILADELPHIA...CHESTER...AND BUCKS COUNTIES THIS EVENING...

AT 608 PM EDT...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS MOVING EAST
SOUTHEAST THROUGH LANCASTER...BERKS...AND LEHIGH COUNTIES AT AROUND
30 MPH. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA BY
645 PM.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND DIME SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS. BRIEF HEAVY RAIN MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED.

SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD INTENSIFY AS THEY MOVE THROUGH, IN
WHICH CASE WARNINGS MAY BE NECESSARY. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR A GOOD PORTION OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA THROUGH 10 PM.

LAT...LON 3987 7599 4011 7594 4025 7569 4045 7553
4042 7549 4061 7520 4057 7518 4058 7512
4054 7507 4042 7506 4040 7497 4033 7494
4016 7472 3996 7513 3990 7513 3980 7541
3984 7562 3972 7577 3972 7613
TIME...MOT...LOC 2208Z 207DEG 49KT 4061 7600 4005 7461

[angelwing]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
804 PM EDT MON JUN 15 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL BUCKS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT

* AT 802 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE
WARNED AREA. TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN IN
PORTIONS OF THE WARNED AREA. AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES IS
POSSIBLE IN SOME LOCATIONS FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AREAS THAT RECEIVE THE HEAVIEST RAIN.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
BYRAM...BEDMINSTER...TINICUM...FERNDALE...FRENCHTOWN...
RIEGELSVILLE...PLEASANT VALLEY...REVERE...ERWINNA...OTTSVILLE...
SPRINGTOWN AND PIPERSVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 4057 7518 4057 7513 4052 7506 4046 7507
4042 7506 4037 7513 4053 7535 4059 7525
4059 7524 4061 7521

[angelwing]

Flood Watch
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
333 PM EDT SAT JUN 20 2015

...REMNANT MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL TO MOVE ACROSS
THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-
055-060>062-070-071-101>106-210930-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.A.0002.150621T0000Z-150622T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-
SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...
REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...
DENTON...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...JIM THORPE...
STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...
KENNETT SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...
LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
333 PM EDT SAT JUN 20 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...NEW JERSEY AND
PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN DELAWARE...
DELAWARE BEACHES...INLAND SUSSEX...KENT AND NEW CASTLE. IN
NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CAROLINE...CECIL...KENT MD...QUEEN ANNES
AND TALBOT. IN NEW JERSEY...ATLANTIC...ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE
MAY...CAMDEN...CAPE MAY...COASTAL ATLANTIC...COASTAL OCEAN...
CUMBERLAND...EASTERN MONMOUTH...GLOUCESTER...HUNTERDON...
MERCER...MIDDLESEX...MORRIS...NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON...
OCEAN...SALEM...SOMERSET...SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON...SUSSEX...
WARREN AND WESTERN MONMOUTH. IN PENNSYLVANIA...BERKS...
CARBON...DELAWARE...EASTERN CHESTER...EASTERN MONTGOMERY...
LEHIGH...LOWER BUCKS...MONROE...NORTHAMPTON...PHILADELPHIA...
UPPER BUCKS...WESTERN CHESTER AND WESTERN MONTGOMERY.

* FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING

* SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING WILL GIVE WAY
TO WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN LATE TONIGHT AS THE REMNANTS OF
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UPWARDS
OF 3 INCHES... MAY CAUSE FLOODING ALONG AREA STREAMS AND CREEKS.
DUE TO THE ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS... OUR MAIN STEM RIVERS SHOULD
REMAIN WITHIN THEIR BANKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

HEAVENER

[angelwing]

000
WWUS61 KPHI 231426
WCNPHI

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 342
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1026 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015

NJC001-005-007-015-019-021-023-025-027-029-035-037-041-PAC011-017-
025-029-045-077-089-091-095-101-232300-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SV.A.0342.150623T1426Z-150623T2300Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
342 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN NEW JERSEY THIS WATCH INCLUDES 13 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY

MERCER MONMOUTH

IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY

HUNTERDON MIDDLESEX MORRIS
SOMERSET SUSSEX WARREN

IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY

ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAMDEN
GLOUCESTER OCEAN

IN PENNSYLVANIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 10 COUNTIES

IN EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA

BERKS LEHIGH NORTHAMPTON

IN NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA

CARBON MONROE

IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA

BUCKS CHESTER DELAWARE
MONTGOMERY PHILADELPHIA

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ALLENTOWN...ATLANTIC CITY...
BETHLEHEM...BLAIRSTOWN...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...DEPTFORD...
DOYLESTOWN...EAST BRUNSWICK...EASTON...EDISON...FLEMINGTON...
FREEHOLD...GLASSBORO...HAMMONTON...JIM THORPE...MEDIA...
MOORESTOWN...MORRISTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...NEW BRUNSWICK...NEWTON...
NORRISTOWN...NORTH BRUNSWICK TOWNSHIP...PERTH AMBOY...
PHILADELPHIA...READING...SAYREVILLE...SOMERSET...STROUDSBURG...
TOMS RIVER...TRENTON AND WEST CHESTER.

[angelwing]

Heat Advisory
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
334 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015


DEZ001-NJZ015-017>019-PAZ070-071-102-104-106-232000-
/O.CON.KPHI.HT.Y.0002.150623T1500Z-150623T2200Z/
NEW CASTLE-MERCER-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-
LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...TRENTON...GLASSBORO...
CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA...WEST CHESTER...KENNETT SQUARE...NORRISTOWN...
LANSDALE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
334 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED...THROUGH THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR AND
SURROUNDING AREAS...INCLUDING THE PHILADELPHIA METROPOLITAN
AREA.

* HEAT INDEX VALUES...IN THE UPPER 90S DUE TO TEMPERATURES IN THE
MID 90S...AND DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S.

* TIMING...HIGHEST HEAT INDEX VALUES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MOVE INTO THE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS...IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES FOR EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY...CALL 9 1 1.

A HEAT ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF EXCESSIVE HEAT IS
EXPECTED. THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY
WILL COMBINE TO CREATE A SITUATION IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE
POSSIBLE. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...STAY IN AN AIR-CONDITIONED
ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE SUN...AND CHECK UP ON RELATIVES AND
NEIGHBORS. IN ADDITION... NEVER LEAVE CHILDREN OR PETS IN PARKED
VEHICLES AS RAPIDLY RISING TEMPERATURES MAY LEAD TO HEAT STROKE
OR DEATH.

&&

$$

[angelwing]

SEL2

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 342
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1015 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NEW JERSEY
PENNSYLVANIA
COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1015 AM UNTIL
700 PM EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO STEADILY INCREASE AND
SPREAD GENERALLY EASTWARD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND POSE MAINLY A
DAMAGING WIND AND SEVERE HAIL THREAT.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF ALTOONA PENNSYLVANIA TO 20 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
LAKEHURST NEW JERSEY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 340...

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28030.


...GUYER

[angelwing]

Flood Watch
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
302 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...AUTUMN-LIKE PATTERN WILL HELP PRODUCE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

DEZ001-MDZ008-PAZ060-061-070-071-101>104-270315-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FA.A.0003.150627T1600Z-150628T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-BERKS-LEHIGH-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...READING...
ALLENTOWN...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...
WEST CHESTER...KENNETT SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...
NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE
302 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND AND PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN
NORTHERN DELAWARE...NEW CASTLE. IN NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CECIL.
IN PENNSYLVANIA...BERKS...DELAWARE...EASTERN CHESTER...EASTERN
MONTGOMERY...LEHIGH...PHILADELPHIA...WESTERN CHESTER AND
WESTERN MONTGOMERY.

* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.

* TWO TO TWO AND A QUARTER INCHES OF RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED. LIGHT
RAIN CAN BE ANTICIPATED SATURDAY MORNING. THE INTENSITY WILL
INCREASE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND PERSIST INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

* SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS ARE MOST VULNERABLE DURING THIS EVENT
AS IS POOR DRAINAGE AND URBAN AREAS. MAINSTEM RIVERS SUCH AS
THE SCHUYLKILL AND DELAWARE ARE NOT EXPECTED TO FLOOD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

KRUZDLO

[angelwing]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1240
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1131 AM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF ERN PA...WRN NJ...SERN NY...MD...NRN
DE...NRN VA...AND WASHINGTON DC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 301631Z - 301900Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...TSTMS WILL INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND POSE AN INCREASING RISK FOR DMGG WIND GUSTS AND
POSSIBLY A COUPLE OF TORNADOES. WW ISSUANCE WILL BE POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AREAS OF INSOLATION
FROM THE NRN VA PIEDMONT TO S-CNTRL PA AMIDST A BROAD...MERIDIONALLY
ORIENTED WARM/MOIST CONVEYOR ON THE PERIPHERY OF AN ERN-CONUS
TROUGH. STEEPENING LAPSE RATES IN THOSE AREAS HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO AN
UPTICK IN CONVECTION ACROSS PARTS OF S-CNTRL/SERN PA PER RECENT 7-KM
CAPPI RADAR DATA. AS LOW-LEVEL STRATUS CONTINUES TO ERODE ACROSS
PARTS OF E-CNTRL/NERN PA AND POINTS FARTHER N/E...THE ENTIRE AREA
WILL BE SUBJECTED TO CONTINUED DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION AMIDST RICH
PBL MOISTURE CHARACTERIZED BY DEWPOINTS FROM THE MIDDLE 60S TO THE
LOWER 70S. THIS WILL FOSTER A CONTINUED INCREASE IN THE
COVERAGE/INTENSITY OF CONVECTION INTO THE AFTERNOON IN THE
LOW-MLCINH ENVIRONMENT... ESPECIALLY AS A LOW-AMPLITUDE MID-LEVEL
PERTURBATION ACROSS PA GRAZES THE AREA.

THE PRESENCE OF 30-40 KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR WILL SUPPORT SOME
POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED/SUSTAINED CONVECTION AND POSSIBLE
SUPERCELLS...WITH ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED DMGG WIND GUSTS AND
PERHAPS MARGINALLY SVR HAIL. WHERE SFC WINDS REMAIN BACKED --
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE VERTICAL MIXING IS MORE SUPPRESSED --
LOW-LEVEL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SOME RISK FOR A
COUPLE OF TORNADOES. THIS WOULD PARTICULARLY BE THE CASE IN ERN PA
AND VICINITY WHERE INTERPOLATION BETWEEN REGIONAL VWPS IMPLY THE
STRONGEST FLOW WITH THE LLJ. THE MODEST NATURE OF MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND UNCERTAINTY IN ANTECEDENT CLOUD/BUOYANCY EVOLUTION YIELD
SOME LIMITATIONS TO EXACT CONVECTIVE INTENSITY CONFIDENCE...THOUGH
THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WW ISSUANCE.

..COHEN/HART.. 06/30/2015


ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX...

LAT...LON 39647785 41167731 41667687 42007625 42057503 41367424
39987489 39007609 38737739 39647785

[angelwing]

Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 8:00PM. Thunderstorms are possible with heavy rains and gusty winds.

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Philadelphia and surrounding counties.

This watch means that conditions are favorable for thunderstorms containing 1 inch or larger hail and/or wind gusts of at least 58 mph (50 knots). Persons in the watch area should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes.

[angelwing]

Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
400 AM EDT WED JUL 8 2015

DEZ001>003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ013-015>023-027-PAZ060-070-071-
101>104-106-090800-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
400 AM EDT WED JUL 8 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE
BRIEF POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING RAINFALL IMPACTING TRAVEL.

ADDITIONALLY THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT A COUPLE OF STORMS OVER
THIS AREA MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO
THURSDAY NIGH THAT MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY HEAVY RAINFALL.
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF ROADWAYS AND AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE IS
POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

[angelwing]

Three days of potential thunderstorms later this week could pose flooding concerns for the region, the National Weather Service says.

The National Weather Service has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook, saying thunderstorms Wednesday, Thursday and into Friday could come with heavy rainfall in the Philadelphia region.

“Localized flooding of roadways and areas of poor drainage is possible,” according to the National Weather Service.

The Hazardous Weather Outlook has been issued for Eastern Pennsylvania and Central New Jersey. Counties include: Bucks, Chester, Montgomery, Carbon, Monroe, Berks, Lehigh and Northampton.

According to the long-term forecast, the stormy weather should clear in time for the weekend.

Here is the forecast for the next few days.

Wednesday: Slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 9am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. West wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Wednesday night: Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Thursday: Chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 3pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. Calm wind becoming northwest 5 to 8 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Thursday night: chance of showers and thunderstorms before 3am, then a slight chance of showers. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 84.