Texas Spring 2017

[bubba hotep]

I don't know about snow, but perhaps a good system to round out the month?

http://i67.tinypic.com/296nfoi.png

I'm calling it now, that is a sign of things to come, April will be temp / precip avg... Below/Above!

[bubba hotep]

Well nothing came of that...

Not sure we'll see much happen in Austin just going by conditions outside. Maybe someone will get lucky but it looks like the atmosphere is fairly stable over the city.

Hope everyone has a good day.

I'm still holding out hope for some decent rain here in N. Texas. The NAMs and the now the 18z GFS have really cut back on totals this weekend across DFW. I'm not holding out much hope at this point.

[Ntxw]

Well nothing came of that...

Not sure we'll see much happen in Austin just going by conditions outside. Maybe someone will get lucky but it looks like the atmosphere is fairly stable over the city.

Hope everyone has a good day.

I'm still holding out hope for some decent rain here in N. Texas. The NAMs and the now the 18z GFS have really cut back on totals this weekend across DFW. I'm not holding out much hope at this point.

They have cut back, partially due to a gulf low developing so away from the coast gets less. Without mid to upper flow from Pacific, rains tends to under-perform inland.

[Ntxw]

I don't know about snow, but perhaps a good system to round out the month?

March gonna be colder than February at this rate... 34 at DFW at the end of the run. Maybe it won't be hot when my parents visit at the end of the month.

February was so warm, even a very warm March is seems cooler . +7.1F at DFW right now, but will be cut back some this week. Still well above normal overall for the month.

[bubba hotep]

Some impressive totals starting to pile up down there near I45

[ludosc]

Some impressive totals starting to pile up down there near I45

gf is a paramedic down there and is working tonight. She said it's been pouring non-stop for awhile now and they've run several accidents on 45.

[srainhoutx]

The combination of a Coastal trough, a couple of embedded disturbances in the mid levels around 16K FT tracking ENE in a noisy sub tropical jet and a backdoor frontal boundary all combine to make for a wet Saturday into early Sunday with the possibility of a couple of stronger storms mainly along and S of HWY 105 toward the Coast and offshore waters. The Weather Prediction Center has outlined a Marginal Risk of Excessive Rainfall for today through tomorrow morning mainly along and S of I-10 from Matagorda Bay toward Metro Houston and Beaumont.

[JDawg512]

Got my rain machine working overnight to make way for a beautiful Saturday here in the capital city. Getting some decent amounts too without it being excessive.

[weatherdude1108]

Been a constant light to occasionally moderate rain all day. Gotten an inch as of 10:30pm. Perfect for the compost and mulch! High of 68 at house.

[Ntxw]

Blizzard watches from NYC to Boston. Suspect Philadelphia might get there too..DC should get some good snows too. Heck of a storm up that way.

Gorgeous calm weather here through midweek then some light chances for showers kicks in. Nothing major on the horizon through the end of next week for Texas. Good time to do yardwork and feed the lawn. Lots of trees are beginning to leaf with the bright green.

With that 2016-2017 should go down as warmest, earliest last freeze, and fewest freezes winter given none is forecasted for DFW. Also in terms of precip January had a very wet start to the year. The past 30-40 days have backed off a bit at the airport. Feb was near to slightly below normal rainfall and March so far is a little under 1" below normal through the first 10 days.

[Portastorm]

Well that was a nice, little, over-achieving system ... local NWS folks that we'd see about a half inch of rain this weekend and we ended up closer to an inch. The PWC recorded 0.89" over the weekend. Not bad, not bad at all.

Keep that Rain Machine working, JDawg!

[bubba hotep]

Things look pretty lame for the next week or so. The models do seem to agree on a significant system in the longer range but we know how that has been working out lol

[Ntxw]

This storm in the northeast is going to be something to watch. Big thunderstorms pulled in from the Atlantic into the cold sector, PHI to Boston is going to get blasted. NYC will be in the thick of it, kind of reminds me of the heavy convective thundersnow in Connecticut Feb 2013 with 4-5" per hour. When all said and done only March 1888 might still be ontop for them in terms of March snowstorms. Freezing down to Northern Peninsular Florida.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Made it to 49. I mowed the dormant coastal field today, late morning when it was 41 and actually had to wear a A coat and gloves. Cooler weather definitely makes outside work enjoyable.

[bubba hotep]

Not too much but maybe 0.25-0.30" for some areas east of I35 tonight?

[Brent]

I wasn't aware it was supposed to rain tonight...

and I'm going to NYC in June but man what I'd give to be up there for this blizzard. I know it wouldn't be good for all the touristy stuff ... but I do want to experience a storm like that once.

[bubba hotep]

I wasn't aware it was supposed to rain tonight...

and I'm going to NYC in June but man what I'd give to be up there for this blizzard. I know it wouldn't be good for all the touristy stuff ... but I do want to experience a storm like that once.

I've been in CO for big snow storms and on the EC for big Nor'easters. I'm pretty sure nothing compares to a big Nor'easter.

[Brent]

I wasn't aware it was supposed to rain tonight...

and I'm going to NYC in June but man what I'd give to be up there for this blizzard. I know it wouldn't be good for all the touristy stuff ... but I do want to experience a storm like that once.

I've been in CO for big snow storms and on the EC for big Nor'easters. I'm pretty sure nothing compares to a big Nor'easter.

I was 4 years old and barely remember the Blizzard of 1993 in Alabama... that's the only thing on the same level I've experienced... I'll be 30 next year...

[gpsnowman]

I was around for the New England blizzard of 78 when I was around 4 years old. Only things I remember are snow drifts against my house and my mom worried about my dad stranded at an airport. Either New York or Boston. Lived in Nashua New Hampshire at the time. I was too young to remember much else, but have heard stories about that one.

[Brent]

and the 0z Euro has NYC going to rain for a time with the heaviest amounts inland...

Apparently the UKMET and GFS ensembles also went west

Wouldn't surprise me actually... NYC is much more suspectible to mixing due to the water.

in Texas weather... it looks like enjoy the cold now because the GFS is pretty much a nonstop torch starting this weekend through 384 hours. Not a single frame was below normal. Near 90 degrees at 240 hours.