Severe weather Apr 5th

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 112167
Age: 61
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Severe weather Apr 5th - HIGH RISK for parts of Georgia/South Carolina

#61 Postby cycloneye » Wed Apr 05, 2017 5:38 pm

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

EF-5bigj
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 836
Joined: Tue Feb 07, 2012 10:36 pm
Location: Meridian,Mississippi

Re: Severe weather Apr 5th - HIGH RISK for parts of Georgia/South Carolina

#62 Postby EF-5bigj » Wed Apr 05, 2017 5:46 pm

Well that was a bust...but the next one might not be...
0 likes   

psyclone
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2668
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:04 pm
Location: palm harbor fl

Re: Severe weather Apr 5th - HIGH RISK for parts of Georgia/South Carolina

#63 Postby psyclone » Wed Apr 05, 2017 7:19 pm

Not only have we had 3 YTD high risks that were big underperformers but we've had a number of PDS TOR watches that were dogs as well. While that's better than the alternative for people in harm's way...the SPC needs to play their cards more carefully going forward. We've seen too much of this lately and you'd think with marginal/slight/enhanced/moderate/high you'd pull the trigger less frequently on the max scale as compared to the old slight/moderate/high.
0 likes   

EF-5bigj
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 836
Joined: Tue Feb 07, 2012 10:36 pm
Location: Meridian,Mississippi

Re: Severe weather Apr 5th - HIGH RISK for parts of Georgia/South Carolina

#64 Postby EF-5bigj » Wed Apr 05, 2017 7:42 pm

Atmosphere got rained out in the Carolinas upper state.
0 likes   

User avatar
Hurricaneman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5645
Age: 38
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: central florida

Re: Severe weather Apr 5th - HIGH RISK for parts of Georgia/South Carolina

#65 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Apr 05, 2017 7:46 pm

The problem is if you cry wolf too many times, the wolf gets you because nobody believes you, it probably would have made more sense to go with moderate risk
0 likes   

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 15983
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

Re: Severe weather Apr 5th - HIGH RISK for parts of Georgia/South Carolina

#66 Postby RL3AO » Wed Apr 05, 2017 7:51 pm

Yeah. Tough forecast. Throw in a little more low level shear and helicity and it could have been a bigger day.
0 likes   

EF-5bigj
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 836
Joined: Tue Feb 07, 2012 10:36 pm
Location: Meridian,Mississippi

Re: Severe weather Apr 5th - HIGH RISK for parts of Georgia/South Carolina

#67 Postby EF-5bigj » Wed Apr 05, 2017 7:52 pm

Not that there weren't significant tornadoes but it wasn't a mass outbreak of tornadoes.
0 likes   

Alyono
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 6731
Joined: Fri Apr 26, 2013 3:52 pm
Location: Texas Coast

Re: Severe weather Apr 5th

#68 Postby Alyono » Wed Apr 05, 2017 8:40 pm

was clear this morning this was not going to be an outbreak.

The high should have been a moderate and the moderate an enhanced. A downgrade not an upgrade was in order

Far too much modelology was used today. The models were off due to the awful initialization of the morning round. If the models have nothing when there is a large area of showers and storms, the atmosphere is going to be totally different than what the models are showing
0 likes   


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: TexasBreeze and 10 guests