@NWSMemphis Latest Little Rock Sounding still shows strong inversion. Big question is if upper disturbance breaks cap this PM to support severe storms?
Has there ever been an up/downdgrade outside the scheduled times ?
Re: Severe Weather April 28-29-30
Posted: Sat Apr 29, 2017 7:21 pm
by WeatherGuesser
MO & IL are getting slammed with rain. I hope it rains out before it gets to me. I sure don't need that much.
Re: Severe Weather April 28-29-30
Posted: Sun Apr 30, 2017 5:19 am
by cycloneye
Re: Severe Weather April 28-29-30
Posted: Sun Apr 30, 2017 3:59 pm
by WeatherGuesser
Recap ... Hit or Miss?
Lots of rain and flooding. Quite a few storms with damage and casualties. Was Enhanced the right call both days? Should they have gone Moderate?
Re: Severe Weather April 28-29-30
Posted: Mon May 01, 2017 12:35 am
by 1900hurricane
Using the 00Z SHV sounding as a starting point, I tried my best to re-create the near storm enviornment for the Eustace/Canton cells in SHARPpy using data from the SPC Mesoanalysis and a surface temp/dewpoint I took. Because my surface temp/dewpoint was taken near when the storms initialized, or a good 1-1.5 hours before the tornadoes were in full swing, it might be a little high and therefore inflate the instability a little bit. Regardless, the near-storm environment was crazy impressive, and it actually reminds me of the Pilger (6/16/14) event in some respects. Like that event, multiple significant tornadoes were observed in the same general area (although not nearly as dramatic as the side-by-side wedges from Pilger). Two of the tornadoes carry a preliminary rating of EF-3 with surveys ongoing tomorrow.
