Texas Summer 2017

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gpsnowman
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#1281 Postby gpsnowman » Fri Aug 18, 2017 4:25 pm

Really hope you folks down south of DFW get some rain soon. Didn't see any rain in Irving this afternoon but some areas got wet. A bit of good news is the averages started dropping today. Instead of a 97 degree average high it has dropped to 96. All downhill from here until January!!!! :cold: :cold:
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#1282 Postby Ntxw » Fri Aug 18, 2017 4:26 pm

83F right now at DFW airport after a high today of 93F which is another day below normal.

KAUS hit 100 yet again.

Reminder that we will soon move to the Fall thread for discussion come September 1st which is a little less than 2 weeks away.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#1283 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 18, 2017 4:38 pm

The averages are dropping! We made it guys! :roflmao:
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#1284 Postby Portastorm » Fri Aug 18, 2017 5:26 pm

You North Texas folks are a hoot ... talking about "fall" and average temperatures dropping and all that. :lol:

Down here in South Central Texas it's the Endless Summer! Today was the 38th day this year of 100 degrees or higher.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#1285 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 18, 2017 5:50 pm

GFS actually has Harvey this run and while it goes inland near where Franklin did it has a lot of rain in Texas from a stalled front at the same time
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#1286 Postby Ntxw » Fri Aug 18, 2017 5:51 pm

Brent wrote:GFS actually has Harvey this run and while it goes inland near where Franklin did it has a lot of rain in Texas from a stalled front at the same time


Where, or when rather, have we seen that before :lol:
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#1287 Postby Cpv17 » Fri Aug 18, 2017 5:57 pm

Wow, the first decent run of the GFS for my area in a while. Has us getting 2 to 3 inches. I'll gladly take it. Also slows down Harvey quite a bit in the BOC. GFS trending farther north once again with it.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#1288 Postby Ntxw » Fri Aug 18, 2017 6:05 pm

Cpv17 wrote:Wow, the first decent run of the GFS for my area in a while. Has us getting 2 to 3 inches. I'll gladly take it. Also slows down Harvey quite a bit in the BOC. GFS trending farther north once again with it.


Yeah regardless of what Harvey does, if at all, pretty good idea that a cooler air mass could impact us promoting rains with fronts and boundaries.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#1289 Postby Cpv17 » Fri Aug 18, 2017 8:45 pm

I believe Hurricane Alex of 2010 may be a good analog for Harvey as of now.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#1290 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 18, 2017 9:35 pm

Ntxw wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:Wow, the first decent run of the GFS for my area in a while. Has us getting 2 to 3 inches. I'll gladly take it. Also slows down Harvey quite a bit in the BOC. GFS trending farther north once again with it.


Yeah regardless of what Harvey does, if at all, pretty good idea that a cooler air mass could impact us promoting rains with fronts and boundaries.


If Harvey is strong enough I wonder if it could change the pattern and get rid of summer entirely? lol

Sure seems like at the least there's gonna be a front coming down whether Harvey plays a role in anything or not
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#1291 Postby bubba hotep » Fri Aug 18, 2017 10:08 pm

Spring thread was 70+ pages, Summer is closing in!
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#1292 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 18, 2017 10:41 pm

bubba hotep wrote:Spring thread was 70+ pages, Summer is closing in!


might top it if Harvey becomes a real threat :lol: 1405 posts is the number to beat

116 posts/12 days=that's only 10 posts a day, piece of cake lol
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#1293 Postby Cpv17 » Fri Aug 18, 2017 11:18 pm

GFS has continued its trend north with Harvey. Inching closer to south TX now.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#1294 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 18, 2017 11:19 pm

Trying to get to the border at 168 hours

Just south of Brownsville at 174 hours 1001 mb

Pretty weak and sheared but its moisture lol
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#1295 Postby Cpv17 » Fri Aug 18, 2017 11:27 pm

Brent wrote:Trying to get to the border at 168 hours

Just south of Brownsville at 174 hours 1001 mb

Pretty weak and sheared but its moisture lol

Yep, moisture that we'll gladly take. Looks like even south central TX may get some rains.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#1296 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 18, 2017 11:29 pm

CMC is a hurricane into Brownsville

UKMET also shifted north
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#1297 Postby Cpv17 » Fri Aug 18, 2017 11:32 pm

Brent wrote:CMC is a hurricane into Brownsville

I wonder what the UKMET has? I have no clue how to get information on that model, but from what I've heard it's a decent model for the tropics.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#1298 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 18, 2017 11:32 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Brent wrote:CMC is a hurricane into Brownsville

I wonder what the UKMET has? I have no clue how to get information on that model, but from what I've heard it's a decent model for the tropics.


It's still in the Gulf at the end of the run but its definitely on the northerly route and probably close to a cane
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#1299 Postby Cpv17 » Fri Aug 18, 2017 11:34 pm

Brent wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:
Brent wrote:CMC is a hurricane into Brownsville

I wonder what the UKMET has? I have no clue how to get information on that model, but from what I've heard it's a decent model for the tropics.


It's still in the Gulf at the end of the run but its definitely on the northerly route and probably close to a cane

What did it show in its last run?
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#1300 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 18, 2017 11:35 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Brent wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:I wonder what the UKMET has? I have no clue how to get information on that model, but from what I've heard it's a decent model for the tropics.


It's still in the Gulf at the end of the run but its definitely on the northerly route and probably close to a cane

What did it show in its last run?


far weaker and much further south
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