Texas Summer 2017

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Ntxw
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#281 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jun 23, 2017 11:08 pm

Also elsewhere since I'm on a roll. The arctic is having quite a sluggish melt season so far. It's been below normal (still bottom 5 lowest likely at the end but every year is that now) however the weather pattern up there has been good for some ice retention like it was in 2013 and 2014. I wonder if there is a correlation with these summer cool spells and strength of cool/low heights in the summer over the arctic?

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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#282 Postby Ptarmigan » Fri Jun 23, 2017 11:23 pm

Ntxw wrote:Also elsewhere since I'm on a roll. The arctic is having quite a sluggish melt season so far. It's been below normal (still bottom 5 lowest likely at the end but every year is that now) however the weather pattern up there has been good for some ice retention like it was in 2013 and 2014. I wonder if there is a correlation with these summer cool spells and strength of cool/low heights in the summer over the arctic?

Image


Are you wondering if there is a correlation between cool summers and upper level atmospheric pattern?

That is something I would like to look into.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#283 Postby gpsnowman » Fri Jun 23, 2017 11:23 pm

The northeast cluster of storms is starting to side build to near the metro area. Someone could get some rain soon.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#284 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jun 23, 2017 11:29 pm

Ptarmigan wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Also elsewhere since I'm on a roll. The arctic is having quite a sluggish melt season so far. It's been below normal (still bottom 5 lowest likely at the end but every year is that now) however the weather pattern up there has been good for some ice retention like it was in 2013 and 2014. I wonder if there is a correlation with these summer cool spells and strength of cool/low heights in the summer over the arctic?

http://i65.tinypic.com/s4op08.png


Are you wondering if there is a correlation between cool summers and upper level atmospheric pattern?

That is something I would like to look into.


I'm not as sure if there is any correlation to a cool summer overall. Rain tends to skew that more often. But these shorter spells of cool NW flow where we threaten or looking at daily records, if those periods coincide with periods of cooling in the central arctic basin prior and during in the summer time.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#285 Postby Brent » Sat Jun 24, 2017 12:07 am

Thunder and lightning and rain here... a glorious thing after the 100 degree day. :ggreen:

Storms blowing up west across the northern metroplex. This is just the beginning according to the hi res models.

Edit: These storms are noisy after all the heat and humidity lol
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#286 Postby TheProfessor » Sat Jun 24, 2017 12:21 am

lovely lovely rain.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#287 Postby TheProfessor » Sat Jun 24, 2017 2:19 am

radar estimates show about an inch of rain that fell. Looks like the storms in Oklahoma should be heading our way. The HRRR seems to want to blow the storms up as they hit DFW and drop another 1-2 inches of rain.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#288 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Jun 24, 2017 6:14 am

Looks like Yukon Cornelius' pastures got some good summertime moisture! :D

-----

Flood Advisory
Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Norman OK
406 AM CDT SAT JUN 24 2017

TXC077-241200-
/O.NEW.KOUN.FA.Y.0102.170624T0906Z-170624T1200Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Clay TX-
406 AM CDT SAT JUN 24 2017

The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a

* Flood Advisory for...
Clay County in northern Texas...

* Until 700 AM CDT

* At 401 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated numerous showers and
thunderstorms extending from Wichita Falls to Henrietta to
Bluegrove and Bellevue. Very heavy rainfall was associated with
the storms. Up to 2 inches of rain have fallen within the last
hour and another inch of rain is likely. The heaviest rain has
fallen just southwest of Henrietta.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Henrietta, Petrolia, Dean, Bellevue, Jolly, Lake Arrowhead,
Bluegrove, Joy and Vashti.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

A Flood Advisory means river or stream flows are elevated, or ponding
of water in urban or other areas is occurring or is imminent.

&&

LAT...LON 3355 9841 3410 9839 3397 9797 3391 9797
3391 9798 3351 9798

$$

SIX
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#289 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Jun 24, 2017 6:18 am

We missed out late last night as thunderstorms built near Bonham and one went severe. Ditto for the overnight storms in the DFW Metroplex.

Then it looked like the rain and storms out towards WIchita Falls would slide by to our west.

But about an hour ago, storms started popping in southern Oklahoma and sliding into Denison. Heavy rainfall for much of the past hour! I always thank the Lord above for summer rains in North Texas!!!! :D
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#290 Postby Ntxw » Sat Jun 24, 2017 6:45 am

Moderate to heavy rain falling at DFW airport. Pouring out there this morning.

Image
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#291 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Jun 24, 2017 7:25 am

2.07 inches of rain at North Texas Regional Airport, which is located just a few miles west of my house in Denison.

We picked up at least that much at my house, if not more, in less than a couple of hours.

My backyard and patio are flooded. Don't see that very often in late June!
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#292 Postby Ntxw » Sat Jun 24, 2017 7:28 am

DFW airport is running 30 minutes late on the last observation. Usually when this is the case some very heavy rainfall likely happened. Radar estimates 2-3" may have fallen close or nearby the past hour. The band has basically been stationary in the middle of the metroplex
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#293 Postby srainhoutx » Sat Jun 24, 2017 7:32 am

Active several days ahead. Unusually high 2-3.3 PW's are in place over our Region suggesting very high rainfall rates are very possible wherever these extremely slow moving thunderstorms development. An outflow boundary to or N with a sea/bay breeze boundary advancing inland is setting the stage for a potential heavy rainfall event. Convective temperatures are rather low with the rich/deep tropical airmass over head and across the Gulf.

I see 93E along the Pacific Coast of. Mexico has continued to organize and could become Tropical Storm Dora over the next 24 to 48 hours. Our old friend that pesky Monsoonal Trough continues to be very active as seen via MIMIC Imagery. Mid/upper level moisture is spreading into the Bay of Campeche and a moisture surge associated with Bret remnants/tropical wave axis and a stalling frontal boundary somewhere along and possibly along the I-10 Corridor to HWY 105 could focus heavy and possibly training thunderstorm activity. We may see a brief break mid day into the early afternoon before additional showers and thunderstorms redevelop.

The chance for daily showers and thunderstorm activity could continue throughout the 7 day period after inspecting the morning 7 Day Quantitative Precipitation Forecast.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#294 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Jun 24, 2017 7:44 am

Ntxw wrote:DFW airport is running 30 minutes late on the last observation. Usually when this is the case some very heavy rainfall likely happened. Radar estimates 2-3" may have fallen close or nearby the past hour. The band has basically been stationary in the middle of the metroplex


The Austin College Weather Station in central Grayson County has measured 1.63 inches so far today.

That brings them up to 4.85 inches for June 2017 (a big storm last week dumped 2.45 inches along with the big rain today).
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#295 Postby Ntxw » Sat Jun 24, 2017 7:48 am

Texas Snowman wrote:
Ntxw wrote:DFW airport is running 30 minutes late on the last observation. Usually when this is the case some very heavy rainfall likely happened. Radar estimates 2-3" may have fallen close or nearby the past hour. The band has basically been stationary in the middle of the metroplex


The Austin College Weather Station in central Grayson County has measured 1.63 inches so far today.

That brings them up to 4.85 inches for June 2017 (a big storm last week dumped 2.45 inches along with the big rain today).


That is quite impressive! It has been a great June rain wise so far, basically what May typically is. DFW was at 4.49" for the month this morning before the heavier band moved in. Still no observation from the airport the past hour with heavy rain still going. Love Field in Dallas and Fort Worth have both reported but they aren't in that band.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#296 Postby Ntxw » Sat Jun 24, 2017 7:52 am

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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#297 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Jun 24, 2017 7:54 am

:uarrow: Yup, I agree, impressive June rainfall totals in a number of places this month. Even some big storms in portions of West Texas yesterday.

Here in Denison this morning, out of the 2.07 inches of rainfall received so far at NTRA, it looks like 1.81 inches fell in a single hour.

Wow.

And now moderate rain appears to be building back into the northern portion of Grayson County again.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#298 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Jun 24, 2017 7:57 am

:uarrow:

@NWSFortWorth - 7:40 AM: New daily rainfall record today in DFW. So far: 2.64", breaks the record for the day of 1.76" on 1917 (100 years ago!). #dfwwx
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#299 Postby Ntxw » Sat Jun 24, 2017 7:58 am

Not to forget our friends to the south. Houston area is getting some pretty heavy rains too in some places. Line is pushing through Austin from the NE. Activity through the day should increase for y'all once the NTX stuff moves southward.

Image

Image
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#300 Postby Ntxw » Sat Jun 24, 2017 8:04 am

Texas Snowman wrote::uarrow:

@NWSFortWorth - 7:40 AM: New daily rainfall record today in DFW. So far: 2.64", breaks the record for the day of 1.76" on 1917 (100 years ago!). #dfwwx


Still a long way to go with back edge still in Oklahoma. Another record likely will fall today if not already is June's daily max rainfall record at DFW. 3.31" on June 15th 1935.
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