Texas Summer 2017
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Re: Texas Summer 2017
One thing that I'm glad of is we keep seeing weaknesses in the ridge on and off throughout this summer. At least there's a little light stratoform rain falling and the sun is hidden behind clouds.
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I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017
GFS looks unsettled and below normal temps for most of the first week of august
Not many more weeks left before the averages start dropping
Not many more weeks left before the averages start dropping
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Summer 2017
DFW's high so far today has been 92 and though dew points are high, sitting in the shade with a slight breeze actually felt OK, for peak summer. A little rain goes a long way...heat advisories have returned for the next few days but hopefully not long lasting.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Summer 2017
Euro Weeklies are below/above all the way into September, it's like the pattern flips this weekend and summer never recovers
There are persistently lower heights along the Eastern US through most of the period with the mean ridge to our west. That keeps Texas in a favorable flow pattern resulting in numerous rain chances and lower temps.
There are persistently lower heights along the Eastern US through most of the period with the mean ridge to our west. That keeps Texas in a favorable flow pattern resulting in numerous rain chances and lower temps.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017
bubba hotep wrote:Euro Weeklies are below/above all the way into September, it's like the pattern flips this weekend and summer never recovers
There are persistently lower heights along the Eastern US through most of the period with the mean ridge to our west. That keeps Texas in a favorable flow pattern resulting in numerous rain chances and lower temps.
Wouldn't it be something if like dallas is done with the 100s after this week? It seems crazy but most of this summer has been crazy
I just hope this is a sign of things to come later in the fall and the winter active and below normal temps
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Summer 2017
Brent wrote:bubba hotep wrote:Euro Weeklies are below/above all the way into September, it's like the pattern flips this weekend and summer never recovers
There are persistently lower heights along the Eastern US through most of the period with the mean ridge to our west. That keeps Texas in a favorable flow pattern resulting in numerous rain chances and lower temps.
Wouldn't it be something if like dallas is done with the 100s after this week? It seems crazy but most of this summer has been crazy
I just hope this is a sign of things to come later in the fall and the winter active and below normal temps
Now that you said that, we'll get 100 in Sept. I've learned the hard way
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Re: Texas Summer 2017
Ntxw wrote:Brent wrote:bubba hotep wrote:Euro Weeklies are below/above all the way into September, it's like the pattern flips this weekend and summer never recovers
There are persistently lower heights along the Eastern US through most of the period with the mean ridge to our west. That keeps Texas in a favorable flow pattern resulting in numerous rain chances and lower temps.
Wouldn't it be something if like dallas is done with the 100s after this week? It seems crazy but most of this summer has been crazy
I just hope this is a sign of things to come later in the fall and the winter active and below normal temps
Now that you said that, we'll get 100 in Sept. I've learned the hard way
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Summer 2017
Both Euro and GFS runs have cooler than normal anomalies to start August.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017
Both the 00z Euro & EPS keep DFW below 100 for the remainder of the werk.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- vbhoutex
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Re: Texas Summer 2017
Flirting with upper 90s/low 100s here in Houston later this week, but I'm not betting on the 100s with the boundary we have hanging around between us and you guys in DFW. HUMIDITY on the other hand has us close to our feels like alert levels(108f) almost every day. I could handle some fall like temps and rain, not major storms, on a more regular basis. I know, I know, watch out what you ask for!!
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- South Texas Storms
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Re: Texas Summer 2017
12z models continue to look wet across much of Texas next week. Euro and Canadian are wettest, showing some pretty widespread totals of 2-4 inches.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017
The 12z Euro might be the single greatest run ever for the beginning of August. Basically the whole state is soaked lol
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Re: Texas Summer 2017
Its interesting the upper trough on the Euro along with potential Jova cruising the western MX coast. Furthest east cane in that basin so far if true. There will be a strong CCKW crossing in from the EPAC with lots of rising motion
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Summer 2017
Our usual mid-to-late summer highs just can't seem to latch on this summer. It's too much to ask for a rainy August, but hoping the up and down pattern sticks around at least!
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- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Summer 2017
bubba hotep wrote:The 12z Euro might be the single greatest run ever for the beginning of August. Basically the whole state is soaked lol
Shows 4 1/2 inches of rain for Austin within the next 10 days, along with highs in the 80s by Aug. 5-6. I won't say that I hope it is on to something as I think the Euro is ON SOMETHING right now. LOL.
You're drunk Euro ... go home!
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I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
Re: Texas Summer 2017
Portastorm wrote:bubba hotep wrote:The 12z Euro might be the single greatest run ever for the beginning of August. Basically the whole state is soaked lol
Shows 4 1/2 inches of rain for Austin within the next 10 days, along with highs in the 80s by Aug. 5-6. I won't say that I hope it is on to something as I think the Euro is ON SOMETHING right now. LOL.
You're drunk Euro ... go home!
I'm not ready to jump on the bandwagon yet. I'd be more confident if my rain machine was in working condition. I haven't been able to get it running lately. Gotta order some parts...
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Resident Rain Miser
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
Re: Texas Summer 2017
High of *only* 96F today. Heat cranks up tomorrow for the weekend. Saturday into Sunday should be interesting. Dew points will drop into the low 60s and 50s with a northeast wind. So while mid to upper 90s it will feel quite comfortable through early next week.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Summer 2017
Yep, the rain this summer has been awesome to say the least. But I wouldn't mind a few days with heat and lower humidity. Just to balance things out. Picky picky, I know.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017
Brent wrote:bubba hotep wrote:Euro Weeklies are below/above all the way into September,
pattern resulting in numerous rain chances and lower temps.
I just hope this is a sign of things to come later in the fall and the winter active and below normal temps
Temps below, precip above is fine for warmer months, not for NDJF and sometimes M.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017
bubba hotep wrote:The 12z Euro might be the single greatest run ever for the beginning of August. Basically the whole state is soaked lol
I don't think I ever expected the Euro of all models to show highs in the mid 70s in Dallas in early August
I mean... mid 70s for a LOW is pretty unusual even!
Going to Seattle next Thursday and at this rate it might be warmer there..
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