Texas Summer 2017

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Brent
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#841 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 27, 2017 12:19 am

BrokenGlassRepublicn wrote:Okay, I just had dinner at Pappasito's in Richardson, and every tree in the parking lot was FULL of grackles. That just doesn't seem normal for late July. Is it?


also was reported on the news tonight ragweed is starting a month ahead of schedule...

things that make you go hmmm

Good grief the 0z Euro is even more ridiculous than last night... 4 1/2 inches of rain next Wed/Thu for DFW

The GFS is bone dry during the same timeframe
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#842 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Jul 27, 2017 8:06 am

Brent wrote:
BrokenGlassRepublicn wrote:Okay, I just had dinner at Pappasito's in Richardson, and every tree in the parking lot was FULL of grackles. That just doesn't seem normal for late July. Is it?


also was reported on the news tonight ragweed is starting a month ahead of schedule...

things that make you go hmmm

Good grief the 0z Euro is even more ridiculous than last night... 4 1/2 inches of rain next Wed/Thu for DFW

The GFS is bone dry during the same timeframe


The Euro seems to be favoring an axis of heavier rain from the Panhandle down towards Houston. A bit of a bummer for the southern folks after it was showing the axis more laid across S. Texas in earlier runs.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#843 Postby gboudx » Thu Jul 27, 2017 10:41 am

Brent wrote:
BrokenGlassRepublicn wrote:Okay, I just had dinner at Pappasito's in Richardson, and every tree in the parking lot was FULL of grackles. That just doesn't seem normal for late July. Is it?


also was reported on the news tonight ragweed is starting a month ahead of schedule...

things that make you go hmmm



Interesting. I've been doing the immunotherapy allergy shots for over a year. My allergen numbers have come way down, with some allergens completely gone. Looking forward to see how I respond to ragweed since it was one of my worst. I no longer take any allergy medicine.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#844 Postby Portastorm » Thu Jul 27, 2017 10:47 am

Yep ... no "summer cancel" here. Just growing drought conditions, unfortunately.

Image
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#845 Postby Tejas89 » Thu Jul 27, 2017 11:37 am

FWD now calling for a low of 75 monday night, the first of August. Stepping down? :D

About where our normal lows should be, but will feel refreshing anyway lol.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#846 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jul 27, 2017 12:32 pm

Tejas89 wrote:FWD now calling for a low of 75 monday night, the first of August. Stepping down? :D

About where our normal lows should be, but will feel refreshing anyway lol.


More importantly with dewpoints in the 50s and 40s it will smell of fall sort of. And not the 75 but feels like 90
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#847 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 27, 2017 12:58 pm

:uarrow:

Finally some dry air maybe? The humidity has been stifling all summer due to the rain

GFS has come around to some rain late next week when the Euro has been hyping it up... nothing extreme but temps well below normal like the Euro.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#848 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Jul 27, 2017 1:14 pm

I wonder if the high clouds streaming in from the east will be enough to keep DFW below 100 today?
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#849 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jul 27, 2017 1:24 pm

bubba hotep wrote:I wonder if the high clouds streaming in from the east will be enough to keep DFW below 100 today?


Dews are still above 70 which may keep us at or below 100. Usually you want to see it drop to mid and lower 60s to get actual temps above 100.

Tomorrow may be viable to get really hot before front passage and storms kick in. There was a day last year that shot up to 107+ before storms cooled it off with front.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#850 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Jul 27, 2017 2:26 pm

lol... I see that the run-to-run qpf flipping and flopping carried over to the updated version of the Euro.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#851 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 27, 2017 2:28 pm

bubba hotep wrote:lol... I see that the run-to-run qpf flipping and flopping carried over to the updated version of the Euro.


lol from over 4.50" of rain to 0.20" in back to back runs... :lol:

The GFS/Euro are much closer aligned now though

I'm a bit lol at WFAA trying to melt crayons on the roof on facebook live... this isn't even really a heat wave...
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#852 Postby BrokenGlassRepublicn » Thu Jul 27, 2017 2:34 pm

Ntxw wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:I wonder if the high clouds streaming in from the east will be enough to keep DFW below 100 today?


Dews are still above 70 which may keep us at or below 100. Usually you want to see it drop to mid and lower 60s to get actual temps above 100.

Tomorrow may be viable to get really hot before front passage and storms kick in. There was a day last year that shot up to 107+ before storms cooled it off with front.

Also happened on June 23 of this year. Not quite as hot, though.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#853 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 27, 2017 4:47 pm

99 at DFW, wonder if they made it to 100?

Big fire burning in Grand Prairie too(tires at an auction or something?), smoke seen all over Dallas
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#854 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Jul 27, 2017 5:20 pm

DFW and HOU both reached 99 today with peak Heat Index values above 105F. Brutal.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#855 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Jul 27, 2017 5:22 pm

Brent wrote:99 at DFW, wonder if they made it to 100?

Big fire burning in Grand Prairie too(tires at an auction or something?), smoke seen all over Dallas


The initial report has it at 99 but I've seen them come back and bump the temp before:

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
424 PM CDT THU JUL 27 2017


...................................

...THE DALLAS FORT WORTH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JULY 27 2017...
VALID AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1898 TO 2017


WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY
MAXIMUM 99 259 PM 106 1944 97 2 96
MINIMUM 80 535 AM 68 1994 76 4 79
1933
AVERAGE 90

PRECIPITATION (IN)
TODAY 0.00 2.95 1962 0.05 -0.05 0.00
MONTH TO DATE 4.12 1.94 2.18 3.89
SINCE JUN 1 12.56 5.73 6.83 7.49
SINCE JAN 1 24.42 21.98 2.44 24.25

..................................................................
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#856 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Jul 27, 2017 5:23 pm

Remember last week when the models were showing 105+ for DFW today and tomorrow?
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#857 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Jul 27, 2017 5:58 pm

Latest models continue to show a wet pattern developing across much of Texas next week and possibly continuing through the first half of August.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#858 Postby Cpv17 » Thu Jul 27, 2017 6:04 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:Latest models continue to show a wet pattern developing across much of Texas next week and possibly continuing through the first half of August.


Yep, the 18z GFS run is quite wet!
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#859 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jul 27, 2017 7:21 pm

DFW just missed 100 today, official high is 99.
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Re: Texas Summer 2017

#860 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 27, 2017 7:30 pm

bubba hotep wrote:Remember last week when the models were showing 105+ for DFW today and tomorrow?


Heck I remember a couple times it approached 2011 levels this upcoming few days... close to 110 and barely below 85 at night. :lol:

Tomorrow looks to be the last shot at 100 for at least the forecasting range... GFS is much closer to 90 than 100 for most of the entire run...
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