Texas Fall 2017

[bubba hotep]

And the 12z GFS goes full retard with single digits for the northern burbs and keeps DFW below freezing for nearly 3 days. Oh yeah, snow!

[Portastorm]

I just saw that GFS run and came over here thinking the thread would have been blown up by now by you Metroplexers!

[TexasBreeze]

Shades of Leon Lett weekend from that model...

[Brent]

I just pulled up the DFW Meteogram and checked 3 times to make sure I didn't click on some far away northern city...

[Portastorm]

But here is why it won't verify ... it shows snow for Austin. So you KNOW it won't verify.

[Theepicman116]

So you’re telling me there’s a chance for snow after thanksgiving in the dfw area?

[Ntxw]

So you’re telling me there’s a chance for snow after thanksgiving in the dfw area?

Its fantasy world technically. But its the first "modeled" arctic blast of the season. We are all skeptical due to model inconsistencies and warmth winning out. See it then believe it mode.

[WacoWx]

Just the fact that a model is showing something positive regarding winter in the long range has peaked my interest.

I'm not sure I can take another warm winter, but I will if I have to .

[Ntxw]

Just the fact that a model is showing something positive regarding winter in the long range has peaked my interest.

I'm not sure I can take another warm winter, but I will if I have to .

2013 got rolling near the same period. Fingers crossed the warm waters in the GOA we've built the past month or two works. Even half of the model run would be success.

[CaptinCrunch]

But here is why it won't verify ... it shows snow for Austin. So you KNOW it won't verify.

To the pit of misery for you Sir.... DILLY DILLY............

[CaptinCrunch]

@Ntxw.........Don't make me send you with Porta......

[Brent]

In other news the 12z Euro has an even bigger rain event before Thanksgiving now

[starsfan65]

In other news the 12z Euro has an even bigger rain event before Thanksgiving now

What they got for high temps?

[starsfan65]

So you’re telling me there’s a chance for snow after thanksgiving in the dfw area?

Its fantasy world technically. But its the first "modeled" arctic blast of the season. We are all skeptical due to model inconsistencies and warmth winning out. See it then believe it mode.

Warmth will not win out!!

[Cpv17]

Huge differences between the Euro and GFS in regards to temperatures. Anyone care to explain why?

[Brent]

In other news the 12z Euro has an even bigger rain event before Thanksgiving now

What they got for high temps?

50s Wednesday and Thanksgiving near 60 Friday

No cold at the end of the Euro

GFS mid 70s Wednesday low 60s Thanksgiving low 50s Friday

[Ntxw]

Huge differences between the Euro and GFS in regards to temperatures. Anyone care to explain why?

Because the Euro has been forecasting heat 7-10 days out consistently since update .

Serious note, the Pacific pattern differs between the two.

[Portastorm]

Huge differences between the Euro and GFS in regards to temperatures. Anyone care to explain why?

Because the Euro has been forecasting heat 7-10 days out consistently since update .

Serious note, the Pacific pattern differs between the two.

To Ntxw's points ... you guys know I generally bow in the direction of King Euro but even I have to admit that it's not what it used to be. Not saying that 12z GFS run will verify but I just don't think we're in an environment these days where we can "bank" on the Euro.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Its a weird run too. I remember an ULL dropping into mexico like that super nino year but it looks funky. Lets see if the GFS sticks with it.

Its also air from near Siberia, i dont hate it!

[weatherdude1108]

Austin's freezing drizzle being advertised, although it is in model fantasy land this run.