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Re: Texas Fall 2017

Posted: Mon Nov 20, 2017 9:00 am
by weatherdude1108
gpsnowman wrote:Boring pattern as far as the eye can see. 60's and 70's with no rain for a while. Yeah!! :roll:


La Nina? :roll:

Re: Texas Fall 2017

Posted: Mon Nov 20, 2017 1:01 pm
by Brent
weatherdude1108 wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:Boring pattern as far as the eye can see. 60's and 70's with no rain for a while. Yeah!! :roll:


La Nina? :roll:


lol if it wasn't for Harvey would there have been any real weather this year? :lol:

and Harvey was just some sprinkles and clouds in DFW

At least the summer was wet.

Re: Texas Fall 2017

Posted: Mon Nov 20, 2017 1:17 pm
by starsfan65
Brent wrote:
weatherdude1108 wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:Boring pattern as far as the eye can see. 60's and 70's with no rain for a while. Yeah!! :roll:


La Nina? :roll:


lol if it wasn't for Harvey would there have been any real weather this year? :lol:

and Harvey was just some sprinkles and clouds in

At least the summer was wet.
I hate warm weather!!

Re: Texas Fall 2017

Posted: Mon Nov 20, 2017 2:50 pm
by bubba hotep
That's probably it for this thread. Euro has given up on the big western trough in the longer range in favor of the zonal pattern that has been ruling our weather. That probably also does in the 1st week of December. Maybe something will change by mid December? Lol

Re: Texas Fall 2017

Posted: Mon Nov 20, 2017 3:15 pm
by starsfan65
bubba hotep wrote:That's probably it for this thread. Euro has given up on the big western trough in the longer range in favor of the zonal pattern that has been ruling our weather. That probably also does in the 1st week of December. Maybe something will change by mid December? Lol
No cold weather for a while?

Re: Texas Fall 2017

Posted: Mon Nov 20, 2017 4:08 pm
by CaptinCrunch
The next 2 weeks looks absolutely boring, no rain, no real cold fronts, just average and above temps. :grr: :cry:

Hopefully by the 2nd and 3rd week of December things will look better.

The latest weekly SST
departures are:

Niño 4.... -0.4ºC
Niño 3.4.... -1.1ºC
Niño 3.... -1.1ºC
Niño 1+2.... -1.0ºC

Re: Texas Fall 2017

Posted: Mon Nov 20, 2017 4:19 pm
by Brent
Models are warmer after thanksgiving anyway the cold air went poof like always

Probably it til the winter thread i agree. Lets just hope we have a winter :roll:

Re: Texas Fall 2017

Posted: Mon Nov 20, 2017 4:27 pm
by weatherdude1108
Image

Re: Texas Fall 2017

Posted: Mon Nov 20, 2017 4:42 pm
by BrokenGlassRepublicn
Brent wrote:Models are warmer after thanksgiving anyway the cold air went poof like always

Probably it til the winter thread i agree. Lets just hope we have a winter :roll:

Have we ever had a winter cancel proclamation before we even get to the winter thread?

Re: Texas Fall 2017

Posted: Mon Nov 20, 2017 4:52 pm
by Texas Snowman
You mean like those people who were talking about a "cancel the tropical season" proclamation in the tropical forums?

Before Harvey, Irma, and Maria of course? :wink:

Re: Texas Fall 2017

Posted: Mon Nov 20, 2017 5:05 pm
by Brent
Texas Snowman wrote:You mean like those people who were talking about a "cancel the tropical season" proclamation in the tropical forums?

Before Harvey, Irma, and Maria of course? :wink:


Heck a lot of us here didnt believe Harvey would happen lmao

Re: Texas Fall 2017

Posted: Mon Nov 20, 2017 5:16 pm
by gpsnowman
Might be one of those Ninas where we get a couple deep arctic dumps with some precip in an otherwise warm winter. And who knows when or if that will happen. 2010 similarities? If we can get anything close to Super Bowl week I will call this winter a win. The standards have been lowered unfortunately.

Re: Texas Fall 2017

Posted: Mon Nov 20, 2017 5:17 pm
by Yukon Cornelius
BrokenGlassRepublicn wrote:
Brent wrote:Models are warmer after thanksgiving anyway the cold air went poof like always

Probably it til the winter thread i agree. Lets just hope we have a winter :roll:

Have we ever had a winter cancel proclamation before we even get to the winter thread?

I think there's a few every year.

Re: Texas Fall 2017

Posted: Mon Nov 20, 2017 6:39 pm
by starsfan65
Brent wrote:Models are warmer after thanksgiving anyway the cold air went poof like always

Probably it til the winter thread i agree. Lets just hope we have a winter :roll:
I want cold weather!!

Re: Texas Fall 2017

Posted: Mon Nov 20, 2017 7:44 pm
by Brent
gpsnowman wrote:Might be one of those Ninas where we get a couple deep arctic dumps with some precip in an otherwise warm winter. And who knows when or if that will happen. 2010 similarities? If we can get anything close to Super Bowl week I will call this winter a win. The standards have been lowered unfortunately.


2010-2011 is probably the one I'm hoping for now it was warm to start to(mid 80s right before Christmas) and then had the super bowl week and by mid February winter was over

The other analogs were basically wall to wall warmth and no snow

Re: Texas Fall 2017

Posted: Tue Nov 21, 2017 3:52 am
by JDawg512
Brent wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:Might be one of those Ninas where we get a couple deep arctic dumps with some precip in an otherwise warm winter. And who knows when or if that will happen. 2010 similarities? If we can get anything close to Super Bowl week I will call this winter a win. The standards have been lowered unfortunately.


2010-2011 is probably the one I'm hoping for now it was warm to start to(mid 80s right before Christmas) and then had the super bowl week and by mid February winter was over

The other analogs were basically wall to wall warmth and no snow



I'm not hoping for anything like 2011. The nastiest fires we have ever seen. It's already a given that we are in for a dry winter at this point.

Re: Texas Fall 2017

Posted: Tue Nov 21, 2017 9:13 am
by orangeblood
Some extremely cold air building in Northern Canada end of week 2 on Euro Ensembles...hopefully, EPO and PNA align to deliver the goods

Re: Texas Fall 2017

Posted: Tue Nov 21, 2017 11:11 am
by weatherdude1108
orangeblood wrote:Some extremely cold air building in Northern Canada end of week 2 on Euro Ensembles...hopefully, EPO and PNA align to deliver the goods


Probably more like below, given our luck.
Image

Re: Texas Fall 2017

Posted: Tue Nov 21, 2017 11:26 am
by Tejas89
November is running about ~5.5F above normal. Looking at the extended, it's safe to say we'll log yet another well-above-average month.

Having a cooler-than-average DJF (or any one of those months) would definitely buck a stubborn trend.

Re: Texas Fall 2017

Posted: Tue Nov 21, 2017 12:17 pm
by weatherdude1108
Our local news person had a little blog on the weather. Basically drought sneaking up on us.

http://kxan.com/blog/2017/11/21/drought ... oss-texas/