Texas Fall 2017

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Ralph's Weather
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Re: Texas Fall 2017

#1081 Postby Ralph's Weather » Tue Nov 28, 2017 2:17 pm

Brent wrote:cold is well and good but we need rain

I hope for both, though the rain will likely be in short supply with the cold eastern Pacific we have. Some SW troughing should help get us some moisture though.
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Re: Texas Fall 2017

#1082 Postby weatherdude1108 » Tue Nov 28, 2017 3:50 pm

Looks like snow in the area on Pearl Harbor Day, well the Edwards plateau area and points south/east of the Big Bend in Mexico. Can't wait! :P

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Re: Texas Fall 2017

#1083 Postby weatherdude1108 » Tue Nov 28, 2017 4:00 pm

More optimistic QPF chances with north Texas, with one to two inch possibilities over the next two weeks. One inch or less probabilities in central parts of the state. Houston metro area gets about an inch. All subject to change in the next run.

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Re: Texas Fall 2017

#1084 Postby aggiecutter » Tue Nov 28, 2017 6:44 pm

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Re: Texas Fall 2017

#1085 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Wed Nov 29, 2017 8:25 am

Good morning. I'll just leave this right here.
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Re: Texas Fall 2017

#1086 Postby aggiecutter » Wed Nov 29, 2017 9:41 am

:uarrow: Most of the mid-range models are showing a big arctic outbreak for the early to mid December range.
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Re: Texas Fall 2017

#1087 Postby Portastorm » Wed Nov 29, 2017 9:49 am

:uarrow:

I hate to poo-poo on the parade but I have noticed a trend of the models showing a large trough over the eastern CONUS and a cutoff low, only to then blend the two into one large trough over the east and no cutoff low. I see what y'all are showing there but ... well ... I'm skeptical right now that it will verify. And it really sucks because we are getting desperate for rain.
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Re: Texas Fall 2017

#1088 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Wed Nov 29, 2017 9:52 am

Portastorm wrote::uarrow:

I hate to poo-poo on the parade but I have noticed a trend of the models showing a large trough over the eastern CONUS and a cutoff low, only to then blend the two into one large trough over the east and no cutoff low. I see what y'all are showing there but ... well ... I'm skeptical right now that it will verify. And it really sucks because we are getting desperate for rain.


Correct, typically when they say "Polar Vortex," it doesnt mean crazy cold for us, it's more east based. I'm more excited of the the blocking signal that keeps popping up. Cold air is coming down for sure.

We may get a one off event or two with big rain, but you know that during la nina we cant expect much rain. Water restrictions will be coming in the spring im sure.
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Re: Texas Fall 2017

#1089 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Wed Nov 29, 2017 1:56 pm

:eek:

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Re: Texas Fall 2017

#1090 Postby weatherdude1108 » Wed Nov 29, 2017 2:13 pm

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:lol:
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Re: Texas Fall 2017

#1091 Postby aggiecutter » Wed Nov 29, 2017 3:34 pm

:uarrow:
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Re: Texas Fall 2017

#1092 Postby Ntxw » Wed Nov 29, 2017 9:00 pm

Tomorrow is the last day to post in this thread and then will be closed for open discussion. Much talk is already in the winter thread as December looks to be interesting ahead!
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Re: Texas Fall 2017

#1093 Postby ngturner1 » Wed Nov 29, 2017 9:08 pm

Quick Link to "Texas Winter 2017-2018":
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=22&t=118636
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Re: Texas Fall 2017

#1094 Postby JDawg512 » Wed Nov 29, 2017 9:59 pm

Well this will be my last post in this thread. I'm one angry rain miser right now. Not a drop of rain to finish out November... Grrr. :grrr:
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Re: Texas Fall 2017

#1095 Postby gpsnowman » Thu Nov 30, 2017 7:38 am

Adios Texas Fall. You were too warm and dry. Now on to a cold and wet winter!!!!
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Re: Texas Fall 2017

#1096 Postby Portastorm » Thu Nov 30, 2017 10:16 am

The good thing I can say about Fall 2017 is that the leaves in my part of the world changed color earlier this autumn than last one. So that is a good thing. And I had a nice cold morning on Thanksgiving when I got up at 4 am and started smoking the traditional brisket and turkey for patrons of the Portastorm Weather Center. So there's that. LOL. Otherwise, yeah, no rain ... adios autumn. Bring on the cold and wet!
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Re: Texas Fall 2017

#1097 Postby Ntxw » Thu Nov 30, 2017 9:55 pm

I'm going to make the call a little early time wise but most discussion is already over in the winter thread anyway..so with that

This thread is now Closed for discussion as we have transitioned to the Winter thread for December-January-February. All general discussion posts will be moved. Thank you all as we close out meteorological Fall :D

If you need to find the thread ngturner1 has the hotlink above
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