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Re: Texas Spring 2018
Posted: Wed May 30, 2018 4:02 pm
by weatherdude1108
Texas Snowman wrote::uarrow: Umm, I don’t think that’s how to do that.
I think dhweather taught us that it goes something like this:
CAT 5 IN THE GULF!!!!!
I know.
I'm just bummed about what happened in Texas with this last tropical system the Gulf showed this far in advance.
Re: Texas Spring 2018
Posted: Wed May 30, 2018 5:19 pm
by Brent
weatherdude1108 wrote:Texas Snowman wrote::uarrow: Umm, I don’t think that’s how to do that.
I think dhweather taught us that it goes something like this:
CAT 5 IN THE GULF!!!!!
I know.
I'm just bummed about what happened in Texas with this last tropical system the Gulf showed this far in advance.
Ikr
This alleged pattern change can't come soon enough
Re: Texas Spring 2018
Posted: Wed May 30, 2018 5:21 pm
by Haris
ICON has a dying cluster of storms make it close to Austin Sunday..
You can often get these during NW flow events.
Keep an eye out . Just sayin'
Re: Texas Spring 2018
Posted: Wed May 30, 2018 7:23 pm
by Ntxw
DFW actually has not hit 100 yet and actual temps (so far) this week have been a few degrees below the warmer guidance and well as some TV forecast. Likely due to vegetation still fairly lush along and east of I-35 corridor.
In other news...this thread will close tomorrow night and we transition to the summer thread
Re: Texas Spring 2018
Posted: Wed May 30, 2018 9:34 pm
by Brent
Ntxw wrote:DFW actually has not hit 100 yet and actual temps (so far) this week have been a few degrees below the warmer guidance and well as some TV forecast. Likely due to vegetation still fairly lush along and east of I-35 corridor.
In other news...this thread will close tomorrow night and we transition to the summer thread
yeah Euro has record highs nearly every day(except Sunday) but so far its been too warm... still too hot but could be worse.
Re: Texas Spring 2018
Posted: Wed May 30, 2018 10:11 pm
by bubba hotep
Re: Texas Spring 2018
Posted: Wed May 30, 2018 10:41 pm
by weatherdude1108
Haris wrote:ICON has a dying cluster of storms make it close to Austin Sunday..
You can often get these during NW flow events.
Keep an eye out . Just sayin'
Those NW flow decaying storms can be our saving grace sometimes. They can set up outflow boundaries for heating to work on, creating new storms the next day if you're in the right spot.
Re: Texas Spring 2018
Posted: Thu May 31, 2018 12:16 am
by Brent
bubba hotep wrote:
Hurricane into Northern Mexico at the same time on the 0z GFS
Re: Texas Spring 2018
Posted: Thu May 31, 2018 2:03 pm
by weatherdude1108
Since we're still in a Spring month for a few hours longer, the local fox weather guy on Fox said that the average HIGH temperature for Austin on May 31st is 90 degrees, average LOW is 70 degrees. He said we'll zoom past the average high at lunch. I'm thinking, "DUHHHH."
I've gotten so used to 90s/100s with little rain, I have forgotten what average May weather is like.
Is the Summer thread on the forum yet?
Re: Texas Spring 2018
Posted: Thu May 31, 2018 3:02 pm
by Brent
weatherdude1108 wrote:Since we're still in a Spring month for a few hours longer, the local fox weather guy on Fox said that the average HIGH temperature for Austin on May 31st is 90 degrees, average LOW is 70 degrees. He said we'll zoom past the average high at lunch. I'm thinking, "DUHHHH."
I've gotten so used to 90s/100s with little rain, I have forgotten what average May weather is like.
Is the Summer thread on the forum yet?
Its down the page locked
Gfs and Euro both have a little rain for Dallas. Hope.
Re: Texas Spring 2018
Posted: Thu May 31, 2018 3:13 pm
by weatherdude1108
Re: Texas Spring 2018
Posted: Thu May 31, 2018 3:35 pm
by weatherdude1108
CPCs Monthly Drought Outlook, issued today. Time to hibernate.
Latest Monthly Assessment - Widespread heavy rainfall, including the landfall of Subtropical Storm Alberto, brought substantial drought relief to the southeastern quadrant of the CONUS during the past month. As of May 29, no drought was indicated east of the Mississippi River on the U.S. Drought Monitor, except for a small region in western Illinois. Across the Plains and Midwest, hot weather reduced available soil moisture and generated some crop stress, but ample convection kept widespread degradation at bay, and even provided some drought relief to northeastern Colorado, Kansas, and the southern Plains. Drier conditions caused some drought expansion across northeastern Texas, the lower Mississippi Valley, and parts of the northern Plains.
During June, a continuation of enhanced ridging over the central U.S. is anticipated to maintain hot temperatures and subnormal rainfall across much of the central U.S., with the highest probabilities over the central and southern Plains. Given the widespread precipitation deficits already in place at the start of the period, this region is at an enhanced risk for flash drought conditions. Accordingly, this outlook depicts a large area of development over Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and northern Colorado. Expansion of drought conditions is also forecast across the middle Mississippi Valley due to the potential for continued heat and near- to below-normal rainfall, but confidence is reduced due to the potential for widespread mesoscale convective system (MCS) thunderstorm activity downstream of the central U.S. ridge. Short term convective rainfall over the northern Plains may bring some relief to ongoing drought across northern and eastern North Dakota, but above-normal temperatures may reduce the potential for more widespread relief. June is a climatologically dry time of year for much of the West, but slow expansion of drought across Oregon is favored due to increased chances for below-normal precipitation and above-normal temperatures.
No drought is currently indicated or forecast to develop across Hawaii, Alaska, and Puerto Rico.
Forecaster: Adam Allgood
Re: Texas Spring 2018
Posted: Thu May 31, 2018 3:44 pm
by weatherdude1108
Just reading through an old thread from 2010-2011, before I came on board. Wow. So interesting reading through the comments from that infamous year.
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=24&t=95607&hilit=Texas+Summer+2011+Texas&start=520
Re: Texas Spring 2018
Posted: Thu May 31, 2018 5:32 pm
by Haris
Truly hate the weather . I cant stop complaining , im sorry LOL... I need to get my anger out .
Problem is , it is HOT and DRY . Not just one of the two. And we are the only ones!
Atlanta and the E are enjoying rain and 80s... SMH
Re: Texas Spring 2018
Posted: Thu May 31, 2018 6:04 pm
by Brent
Haris wrote:Truly hate the weather . I cant stop complaining , im sorry LOL... I need to get my anger out .
Problem is , it is HOT and DRY . Not just one of the two. And we are the only ones!
Atlanta and the E are enjoying rain and 80s... SMH
still can't believe how this month turned out... never thought hot and dry would be May's big story...
remember when it was cold in mid April?
Re: Texas Spring 2018
Posted: Thu May 31, 2018 7:07 pm
by bubba hotep
18z GFS had the last run of May really go out with a Bang!
Re: Texas Spring 2018
Posted: Thu May 31, 2018 7:26 pm
by Ntxw
Summer thread will open in a few hours and this thread will close.
Also a quick invite, don't forget to post your guess for the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season! You only need to post X/X/X (number of named storms/hurricanes/major hurricanes). You don't even have to know anything about the season to make a blind guess! All for fun and bragging rights if you get it right
Link to the Poll
Storm2k 2018 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll
Re: Texas Spring 2018
Posted: Thu May 31, 2018 7:30 pm
by Brent
bubba hotep wrote:18z GFS had the last run of May really go out with a Bang!
you're telling me, that'd be something
Re: Texas Spring 2018
Posted: Thu May 31, 2018 7:52 pm
by Haris
Brent wrote:bubba hotep wrote:18z GFS had the last run of May really go out with a Bang!
you're telling me, that'd be something
AUSTIN TX HURRICANE! LOCK IT IN!!!!
Re: Texas Spring 2018
Posted: Thu May 31, 2018 10:28 pm
by Brent
well there was only 1 100 degree day in NBC 5's 10 day
there was talk of 10 in a row last week... small victories as we close out the Spring thread!