Texas Summer 2018

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Haris
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#721 Postby Haris » Sun Jul 15, 2018 11:26 pm

weatherdude1108 wrote:It got up to 97 at my house today. They predicted a high of 99.

The Saharan Dust/haze might have been a blessing in disguise, lowering temps a couple degrees.

Or, could be the moderating effect of green vegetation from the multi-inch rain 1 to 2 weeks ago, which will dry up fast in these kinds of temps with no rain. :roll:

Or could be both. Yeah, haven't heard much from the warm-mongerers! :sun:



IMO , correct me if I am wrong experts but haze should not do too much of an impact on temps.

I think the recent rains might be keeping it a tad cooler
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#722 Postby Brent » Sun Jul 15, 2018 11:51 pm

Ntxw wrote:Where are all the warm mongers (minus the heatmiser) posts?! They love to boast how much they enjoy warmth in winter but you don't see them sunbathing in this heat :lol:...

Probably more like leaving to the beaches somewhere else :lol:.

Faux-warm mongers, rather they like pleasant temperatures (when it's cold) rather. :layout:


yeah the lack of posts here in the summer is sure interesting... I mean its hot way more than its cold here... :wink:
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#723 Postby FunNestlé » Mon Jul 16, 2018 12:06 am

Ntxw wrote:Where are all the warm mongers (minus the heatmiser) posts?! They love to boast how much they enjoy warmth in winter but you don't see them sunbathing in this heat :lol:...

Probably more like leaving to the beaches somewhere else :lol:.

Faux-warm mongers, rather they like pleasant temperatures (when it's cold) rather. :layout:


weatherdude1108 wrote:It got up to 97 at my house today. They predicted a high of 99.

The Saharan Dust/haze might have been a blessing in disguise, lowering temps a couple degrees.

Or, could be the moderating effect of green vegetation from the multi-inch rain 1 to 2 weeks ago, which will dry up fast in these kinds of temps with no rain. :roll:

Or could be both. Yeah, haven't heard much from the warm-mongerers! :sun:


And as I've mentioned in previous pages...the geography that allows for the cold winter temps in Texas that you cold lovers oh so desire is also responsible for these periodic dry spells that you all are groaning about. The subtropical high of Mexico ensures that you'll have to sacrifice one desire for another. So if you want reliably cool, wet summers, you'll need the ridge to take a farther north position, to allow easterly flow on the underside like we saw in mid June, and early July...but that would also mean greater dominance of this ridge outside of summer, ending the days of heavy spring rains, and cold, snowy winters.

I personally wouldn't mind that: spring rains come with too much tornado risk, and I absolutely detest freezing cold and snow. But I respect any differences in preferences you all have.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#724 Postby Brent » Mon Jul 16, 2018 12:13 am

FunNestlé wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Where are all the warm mongers (minus the heatmiser) posts?! They love to boast how much they enjoy warmth in winter but you don't see them sunbathing in this heat :lol:...

Probably more like leaving to the beaches somewhere else :lol:.

Faux-warm mongers, rather they like pleasant temperatures (when it's cold) rather. :layout:


weatherdude1108 wrote:It got up to 97 at my house today. They predicted a high of 99.

The Saharan Dust/haze might have been a blessing in disguise, lowering temps a couple degrees.

Or, could be the moderating effect of green vegetation from the multi-inch rain 1 to 2 weeks ago, which will dry up fast in these kinds of temps with no rain. :roll:

Or could be both. Yeah, haven't heard much from the warm-mongerers! :sun:


And as I've mentioned in previous pages...the geography that allows for the cold winter temps in Texas that you cold lovers oh so desire is also responsible for these periodic dry spells that you all are groaning about. The subtropical high of Mexico ensures that you'll have to sacrifice one desire for another. So if you want reliably cool, wet summers, you'll need the ridge to take a farther north position, to allow easterly flow on the underside like we saw in mid June, and early July...but that would also mean greater dominance of this ridge outside of summer, ending the days of heavy spring rains, and cold, snowy winters.

I personally wouldn't mind that: spring rains come with too much tornado risk, and I absolutely detest freezing cold and snow. But I respect any differences in preferences you all have.


I must have missed these in Dallas where we're lucky to get a dusting every year that melts within an hour...
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#725 Postby weatherdude1108 » Mon Jul 16, 2018 6:48 am

Well, I was hoping to reverse the trend. Seems to not be working. Hmmm.

After 105, all feels the same. Electric grid gonna take a hit. But, when this death ridge streak ends and the cooler weather and rains come back, it will be that much better.;)

Image
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#726 Postby FunNestlé » Mon Jul 16, 2018 6:56 am

This dry streak is extending down even through Mexico. Checked the forecasts for Tampico, Veracruz, Villahermosa, Cancun, etc: it's literally nothing but sunshine forecasted. Parts of the Yucatan have a row of 100F temps coming up.

But as before, nothing is set in stone. Perhaps a disturbance of sorts can slip through. Southern/Southeastern Texas doesn't even end up under the heights much. And I've seen areas of the country get forecasted with rain even when smack dab under the strongest heights.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#727 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Mon Jul 16, 2018 8:04 am

4 words can sum up this summer for up here...brown, dead and hot.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#728 Postby FunNestlé » Mon Jul 16, 2018 9:05 am

Brent wrote:I must have missed these in Dallas where we're lucky to get a dusting every year that melts within an hour...

Just be glad that Dallas even has chances for freezing winter temps at its latitude, topless of experiencing snow flurries. But even that would have to be sacrificed in order to allow solid cool wet summers in Dallas.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#729 Postby weatherdude1108 » Mon Jul 16, 2018 11:08 am

FunNestlé wrote:
Brent wrote:I must have missed these in Dallas where we're lucky to get a dusting every year that melts within an hour...

Just be glad that Dallas even has chances for freezing winter temps at its latitude, topless of experiencing snow flurries. But even that would have to be sacrificed in order to allow solid cool wet summers in Dallas.


Where is your location FunNestle? Didn't see on the user profile. Just curious. You may be leaving it out for a reason. I did at first, then people asked me where I was so they could get an idea of the weather where I was.

Some of us are from the central Texas area; some from the north Texas area; some from the east Texas area, etc.

I think I've seen some users on the Texas thread post from Puerto Rico and like, Florida. :lol:

Anyway, you have a lot of interesting, thoughtful posts that started showing up within the last week I noticed. I feel like I am in atmospheric science class again. :D
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#730 Postby JDawg512 » Mon Jul 16, 2018 1:01 pm

weatherdude1108 wrote:
FunNestlé wrote:
Brent wrote:I must have missed these in Dallas where we're lucky to get a dusting every year that melts within an hour...

Just be glad that Dallas even has chances for freezing winter temps at its latitude, topless of experiencing snow flurries. But even that would have to be sacrificed in order to allow solid cool wet summers in Dallas.


Where is your location FunNestle? Didn't see on the user profile. Just curious. You may be leaving it out for a reason. I did at first, then people asked me where I was so they could get an idea of the weather where I was.

Some of us are from the central Texas area; some from the north Texas area; some from the east Texas area, etc.

I think I've seen some users on the Texas thread post from Puerto Rico and like, Florida. :lol:

Anyway, you have a lot of interesting, thoughtful posts that started showing up within the last week I noticed. I feel like I am in atmospheric science class again. :D


FunNestle definitely knows his stuff. A lot of what he talks about I also studied in collage, glad to see new forumers.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#731 Postby CaptinCrunch » Mon Jul 16, 2018 1:24 pm

:sun: 100° Day Summary for Dallas/Fort Worth :sun:

Most in a calendar year: 71 (2011)
Most consecutive: 42 (Jun 23 - Aug 3, 1980)
Most in a month: 31 (Jul 1980)

Top 3 Hottest Summers *(100+)

2011 *(71)
1980 *(69)
1998 *(56)

Top 4 Hottest Temps

113 June 26th, 27th 1980
112 Aug 18th 1909
111 Sept 4th 2000
110 Aug 2nd 2011, July 12th 1998

The hottest temperature ever in Texas was 120 degrees, recorded in Seymour in August 1936 and Monahans in June 1994.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#732 Postby weatherdude1108 » Mon Jul 16, 2018 2:36 pm

DFW and Houston may see something in the next two weeks. Meanwhile, the all-too-familiar force field/donut hole dome death envelopes Central and south Texas, evaporating anything and everything in its field of influence. Shocker.
:roll:

When do the models starting showing signs of hope?

Wait, I know better than to ask that.

Temps do seem a little "cooler" towards the end of the run (90s vs 100s, higher 100s farther north in OK).

My boss said it should start to cool off in the next 4.5 months. :lol:

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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#733 Postby TheAustinMan » Mon Jul 16, 2018 3:13 pm

Not a "cloud" in the sky here in Austin, but with the Saharan dust the sky is looking like a pane of frosted glass this afternoon. Here's a comparison of GOES-16 geocolor satellite imagery from July 1 (on the left) to today (on the right) from the same time, really showing how much of an impact particulates are having on skies across the state. Air quality conditions.

950 kB. Source: RAMMB/CIRA SLIDER.
Image
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#734 Postby weatherdude1108 » Mon Jul 16, 2018 3:53 pm

Better

Image
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#735 Postby FunNestlé » Mon Jul 16, 2018 3:58 pm

weatherdude1108 wrote:DFW and Houston may see something in the next two weeks. Meanwhile, the all-too-familiar force field/donut hole dome death envelopes Central and south Texas, evaporating anything and everything in its field of influence. Shocker.
:roll:


Just what I was about to get into. Check out the runs on the GFS, you literally see the ridge expand itself into Texas around this coming Thurs-Sat to bring the hot temps, all in response to an unusually deep upper trough (the base is nearly at Northern Florida). Then, getting later into the month, and into early August, the subsequent upper troughs fail in diving farther south before the eject northeast, allowing the ridge to finally ride up north, opening the door for Gulf rains in Texas.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#736 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jul 16, 2018 4:24 pm

Indeed the heat here is starting to be noticed in outlets elsewhere. Hazy and desert-like. Forecast looks most impressive heatwave since 2012 in terms of strength and duration.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#737 Postby FunNestlé » Mon Jul 16, 2018 4:48 pm

Just hope that the coming upper trough in the Great Lakes fails in digging far south. That way, when it ejects, it can take this ridge out of Texas.

Otherwise, prepare for the heat. :sun:
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#738 Postby TheProfessor » Mon Jul 16, 2018 5:42 pm

It's going to be petty miserable this week. But maybe something could throw a wrench in the forecasts early next week. Fingers crossed.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#739 Postby Haris » Mon Jul 16, 2018 10:20 pm

i dont like complaining at all and I'm grateful for everything , dont worry LOL , but each day feels like 1 year. WHEN WILL RAIN COME!?!? I want to at least "track" something. Nothing is showing up in the models~ :grr: :grr: :grr: :grr: :grr: :grr:
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#740 Postby Haris » Mon Jul 16, 2018 10:28 pm

Image
Ya know, the EPS weeklie control shows NO RAIN THRU EARLY SEPTEMBER!!!!!!!!


AHHHHH! LOL. K . return to regular programming
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