Texas Summer 2018

[gpsnowman]

Back from vacation where I did not see a temp above 80 for two weeks. And 50's for lows!!! That heat slapped me sideways upon exiting the plane this afternoon. And I see 110's are possible for this weekend. Plain awful. Summer can't end soon enough. It rained on all but two days during my trip, all falling in the evening, dropping temps considerably. Oh well it was fun while it lasted. This heat sucks.

[weatherdude1108]

On Thursday, the NWS office at Austin/San Antonio issued its first ever Excessive Heat Warning. That warning is currently in place for the hours 2-8 p.m. through Sunday (will likely be added for Monday too). That makes NWS El Paso as the only Texas-based NWSFO which hasn't issued a heat advisory or warning. Interesting.

Meanwhile, I know we're stoopid hot here in the Austin area but you good folks in North Texas have it even worse. Try to keep cool this weekend!

I have a feeling that wxman57 is making us pay dearly for the snow last winter.

I already commented, but wanted to verify, are you sure about the first ever Excessive Heat Warning issued?

Only reason I ask is because San Antonio got to 111 degrees on September 5, 2000. It was also the day I proposed to my wife on the River Walk. I thought I was going to pass out.lol

Did they not have Excessive Heat warnings back then? I honestly don't remember(?).

[Portastorm]

Yeah weatherdude, I’m sure. Aaron Treadway from EWX reported it. And I do think it’s a relatively new product.

[Brent]

been an amazing evening to walk in San Francisco... started as just a nice breeze and the closer I got to the water the cooler it got.... it was downright chilly on the somewhat fog-shrouded Golden Gate bridge earlier

[Ntxw]

The forecast for DFW has become bleak. What was some relief may not make it and localized feedback from drought may persist the heat. Forecast now, though not as high as 105-110, for later in the week is still near 100.

Euro shows deep trough for summer late in run, to be seen if real.

[aggiecutter]

Both the GFS and EURO show a trough over the southern plains by months end. One more week of heat and it will be over.

[bubba hotep]

Today looks like it could be the hottest day of the year at DFW. As much as it sucks, big heat in late July & early August is just climo and heatwaves like this one occur every few years here in N. Texas. Climo is working against us right now but in about 3 weeks avgs start the down turn and then Fall will be in sight!

[Haris]

Both the GFS and EURO show a trough over the southern plains by months end. One more week of heat and it will be over.

Possibly but 240 hour model outputs never verify most of the time. But I hope so. In this pattern though , it is best to go with hot and dry and be persistent rather than forecasting rain. It is the BEST way to go once your locked in this pattern for a while! Example of how the chance of rain Tuesday has disappeared

[gpsnowman]

101 on my phone at 12:40 this afternoon. My goodness, that is not right.

[TheProfessor]

The good news for me is that I will be heading back to Ohio 21 days from now, but I'd like a break from this heat before then.

[FunNestlé]

Possibly but 240 hour model outputs never verify most of the time. But I hope so. In this pattern though , it is best to go with hot and dry and be persistent rather than forecasting rain. It is the BEST way to go once your locked in this pattern for a while! Example of how the chance of rain Tuesday has disappeared

The patterns aren't "locked in," but only seem that way based on net result. In reality, they are simply side effects of each other. The fluidity of weather patterns across the US and the world is a key feature to make note of.

[Ntxw]

There are some clouds out there that have prevented the temps from running away today compared to previous days. Unforeseen? Still hot but maybe won't hit 110?

[TheProfessor]

There are some clouds out there that have prevented the temps from running away today compared to previous days. Unforeseen? Still hot but maybe won't hit 110.

https://images2.imgbox.com/d9/45/2LkATEB7_o.gif

It was talked about within the office on Monday, however at the time it was fairly uncertain and some of the guidance was way over doing to cloud coverage lol.

[bubba hotep]

Pretty good D10 agreement on the 12z runs





Now let's see if we can roll this forward and get it inside D7

[bubba hotep]

DFW is warming at about the same rate as yesterday, 106 at last report.

[weatherdude1108]

There are some clouds out there that have prevented the temps from running away today compared to previous days. Unforeseen? Still hot but maybe won't hit 110.

https://images2.imgbox.com/d9/45/2LkATEB7_o.gif

It was talked about within the office on Monday, however at the time it was fairly uncertain and some of the guidance was way over doing to cloud coverage lol.

I'm ONLY 100 at my house at 3:30pm, with a chance of rain in 12 to 24 hours.

[Ralph's Weather]

Possibly but 240 hour model outputs never verify most of the time. But I hope so. In this pattern though , it is best to go with hot and dry and be persistent rather than forecasting rain. It is the BEST way to go once your locked in this pattern for a while! Example of how the chance of rain Tuesday has disappeared

The patterns aren't "locked in," but only seem that way based on net result. In reality, they are simply side effects of each other. The fluidity of weather patterns across the US and the world is a key feature to make note of.

Agreed, the current heat is not the result of a death ridge. The pattern is not stuck and troughs are coming down into the southern US. We are currently between the ridge and trough. Models indicate that by the end of the month we will see our own trough.

[weatherdude1108]

Possibly but 240 hour model outputs never verify most of the time. But I hope so. In this pattern though , it is best to go with hot and dry and be persistent rather than forecasting rain. It is the BEST way to go once your locked in this pattern for a while! Example of how the chance of rain Tuesday has disappeared

The patterns aren't "locked in," but only seem that way based on net result. In reality, they are simply side effects of each other. The fluidity of weather patterns across the US and the world is a key feature to make note of.

Agreed, the current heat is not the result of a death ridge. The pattern is not stuck and troughs are coming down into the southern US. We are currently between the ridge and trough. Models indicate that by the end of the month we will see our own trough.

I noticed it looked more rainy down here at the end of the run on the GFS.

[Ntxw]

108F so far per NWS at DFW

[Ntxw]

 https://twitter.com/NWSFortWorth/status/1020779708949192704