Texas Summer 2018

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dhweather
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#1501 Postby dhweather » Fri Aug 31, 2018 11:59 am

Ntxw wrote:Today is the last day to post in this thread. I will open the Fall thread at midnight marking the end of 2018 meteorological Summer and begin meteorological Fall.


Well then, before you do that.......we do not have a CAT 5 IN THE GULF !!! :lol:
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#1502 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 31, 2018 12:30 pm

Portastorm wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Today is the last day to post in this thread. I will open the Fall thread at midnight marking the end of 2018 meteorological Summer and begin meteorological Fall.


Aww shucks ... I sure am going to miss talking about what a wonderful summer we had this year. :roll:


hopefully fall will feel like fall... :roll:
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#1503 Postby gboudx » Fri Aug 31, 2018 12:48 pm

Brent wrote:
Portastorm wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Today is the last day to post in this thread. I will open the Fall thread at midnight marking the end of 2018 meteorological Summer and begin meteorological Fall.


Aww shucks ... I sure am going to miss talking about what a wonderful summer we had this year. :roll:


hopefully fall will feel like fall... :roll:


I'm sure it will. Of course the "feel like fall" here ranges from hot/warm to cool'ish with lots of ragweed pollen thrown in. Can't wait! If you meant "cool" when you typed "fall", then you'll have to move further north. :)
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#1504 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:09 pm

gboudx wrote:
Brent wrote:
Portastorm wrote:
Aww shucks ... I sure am going to miss talking about what a wonderful summer we had this year. :roll:


hopefully fall will feel like fall... :roll:


I'm sure it will. Of course the "feel like fall" here ranges from hot/warm to cool'ish with lots of ragweed pollen thrown in. Can't wait! If you meant "cool" when you typed "fall", then you'll have to move further north. :)


just no endless stretches of 95+ please :lol:
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#1505 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:23 pm

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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#1506 Postby rwfromkansas » Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:39 pm

Does anybody know if there has been research on whether the winter in the southern hemisphere correlates to the future northern hemisphere winter with any predictability? Not sure if it would due to ocean environments being different.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#1507 Postby weatherdude1108 » Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:57 pm

Brent wrote:
gboudx wrote:
Brent wrote:
hopefully fall will feel like fall... :roll:


I'm sure it will. Of course the "feel like fall" here ranges from hot/warm to cool'ish with lots of ragweed pollen thrown in. Can't wait! If you meant "cool" when you typed "fall", then you'll have to move further north. :)


just no endless stretches of 95+ please :lol:


No, it'll cool down to 85-90+ :lol:
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#1508 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:57 pm

Euro brings that Gulf wave directly into Central Texas, lots of :rain:
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#1509 Postby Cpv17 » Fri Aug 31, 2018 2:04 pm

Brent wrote:Euro brings that Gulf wave directly into Central Texas, lots of :rain:


It all depends on how fast this system is moving and how fast the ridge builds in and shunts it directly west. I personally don’t see this wave going over any land till it gets to Texas after Florida. I don’t see the 12z Euro panning out where it goes into NO and then goes directly west into Texas. I don’t think it’ll make it that far north. I see this wave developing into a mid grade to strong tropical storm making landfall somewhere between Baffin Bay and Matagorda Bay and moving towards San Antonio after that. That’s my call and the way I see things as of right now.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#1510 Postby Ntxw » Fri Aug 31, 2018 2:16 pm

The Euro solution can happen. Especially since the 500mb high pressure dome is centered over the eastern seaboard and southeast. The moisture plume just rounds about the dome to the west and northwest.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#1511 Postby Cpv17 » Fri Aug 31, 2018 2:26 pm

Ntxw wrote:The Euro solution can happen. Especially since the 500mb high pressure dome is centered over the eastern seaboard and southeast. The moisture plume just rounds about the dome to the west and northwest.


Sure it could happen, but other models and even a lot of the eps members are further south into the mid TX coast.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#1512 Postby Haris » Fri Aug 31, 2018 5:15 pm

wow the eps are amazing . gfs sucks however along with its ensembles
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#1513 Postby Cpv17 » Fri Aug 31, 2018 5:35 pm

Haris wrote:wow the eps are amazing . gfs sucks however along with its ensembles


Pic? The 18z GFS is blah so far.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#1514 Postby starsfan65 » Fri Aug 31, 2018 5:40 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Haris wrote:wow the eps are amazing . gfs sucks however along with its ensembles


Pic? The 18z GFS is blah so far.
What does it look like?
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#1515 Postby Haris » Fri Aug 31, 2018 5:41 pm

i would share but i dont think i am allowed to upload a model from a paid site on here . that is what i have been told at least
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#1516 Postby Cpv17 » Fri Aug 31, 2018 5:51 pm

Haris wrote:i would share but i dont think i am allowed to upload a model from a paid site on here . that is what i have been told at least


How do you get a membership and how much does it cost?
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#1517 Postby Cpv17 » Fri Aug 31, 2018 6:09 pm

starsfan65 wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:
Haris wrote:wow the eps are amazing . gfs sucks however along with its ensembles


Pic? The 18z GFS is blah so far.
What does it look like?


Much of central Texas misses out.

Image
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#1518 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 31, 2018 6:22 pm

amazing to see the differences in the models

the EPS says summer is over, the GFS says its not ending anytime soon :lol:

weathermodels.com is $10 a month or $99 a year btw
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#1519 Postby starsfan65 » Fri Aug 31, 2018 6:34 pm

Brent wrote:amazing to see the differences in the models

the EPS says summer is over, the GFS says its not ending anytime soon :lol:

weathermodels.com is $10 a month or $99 a year btw

go Euro!!
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#1520 Postby Haris » Fri Aug 31, 2018 6:43 pm

Euro has 4-6" bulls eye over Austin i can tell you that lol
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