Texas Summer 2018

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FunNestlé
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#741 Postby FunNestlé » Mon Jul 16, 2018 10:35 pm

Haris wrote:
Ya know, the EPS weeklie control shows NO RAIN THRU EARLY SEPTEMBER!!!!!!!!


AHHHHH! LOL. K . return to regular programming


How laughable. I knew models had biases, but that just takes the cake.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#742 Postby weatherdude1108 » Mon Jul 16, 2018 10:56 pm

FunNestlé wrote:
Haris wrote:
Ya know, the EPS weeklie control shows NO RAIN THRU EARLY SEPTEMBER!!!!!!!!


AHHHHH! LOL. K . return to regular programming


How laughable. I knew models had biases, but that just takes the cake.


Makes sense out west for that rainless bubble since that's climo for them, but I have doubts of that verifying in Texas. That said, this pattern is giving me flashbacks/nightmares of 2011. :double: I know not the same, but I had no idea when that pattern would ever end!
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#743 Postby FunNestlé » Mon Jul 16, 2018 11:05 pm

weatherdude1108 wrote:Makes sense out west for that rainless bubble since that's climo for them, but I have doubts of that verifying in Texas. That said, this pattern is giving me flashbacks/nightmares of 2011. :double: I know not the same, but I had no idea when that pattern would ever end!


2011 also featured that same pattern with the unusually deep Eastern US trough forcing a stagnant ridge over Texas. Same thing in 1917, 1928, and pretty much all other drought years.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#744 Postby Brent » Mon Jul 16, 2018 11:37 pm

Haris wrote:Image
Ya know, the EPS weeklie control shows NO RAIN THRU EARLY SEPTEMBER!!!!!!!!


AHHHHH! LOL. K . return to regular programming


well having rain was fun :lol:
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#745 Postby weatherdude1108 » Tue Jul 17, 2018 8:18 am

Saw this sunrise on my way into work this morning. Had to snap a photo of the Sahara-filtered Sun while I had the chance. :)

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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#746 Postby TexasStorm » Tue Jul 17, 2018 8:26 am

Brent wrote:
Haris wrote:Image
Ya know, the EPS weeklie control shows NO RAIN THRU EARLY SEPTEMBER!!!!!!!!


AHHHHH! LOL. K . return to regular programming


well having rain was fun :lol:



I hope this does not verify :(. if it does the drought situation is going to get into the extreme level again for most of the state. I guess our one saving grace would be a tropical system but with all this dust that is far fetched.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#747 Postby lrak » Tue Jul 17, 2018 9:48 am

Will the moisture in the N. central GOM move west or east? Hoping for some chance of heat relief. I'd take the clouds if that's all it has to offer.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#748 Postby FunNestlé » Tue Jul 17, 2018 10:01 am

Let it be known that our true enemy is the westerly jet stream and its associated upper level lows. The ridge actually wants to leave Texas, but it can't do so until the jet stream stops diving so deep. The jet stream needs to either pack it up and stick with Canada...or at least dive over Texas for a change. :wink:

TexasStorm wrote:I hope this does not verify :(. if it does the drought situation is going to get into the extreme level again for most of the state. I guess our one saving grace would be a tropical system but with all this dust that is far fetched.


And as I alluded to earlier, the oddest part is that alot of the time, the actual strong heights aren't even over Texas, but rather a bit more to the west (say, New Mexico). Yet even then, it will be Texas drying out, while areas New Mexico still gets forecasted with rain. So it must not be the ridge drying things out inasmuch as it is the associated downstream subsidence coming from the north. Which makes sense, seeing that eastern sides of highs tend to be more subsident, responsible for making Med climates have dry summers compared to humid subtropical climates.

EIther that, or the models are just biased.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#749 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Jul 17, 2018 12:37 pm

It's hard to get into Texas summer wx lol

However, there are signs that the ridge will breakdown rather quickly and return moisture to parts of Texas in the 7 to 10 day range. I know of at least one poster that has to be intrigued by the SOI.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#750 Postby Haris » Tue Jul 17, 2018 12:59 pm

bubba hotep wrote:It's hard to get into Texas summer wx lol

However, there are signs that the ridge will breakdown rather quickly and return moisture to parts of Texas in the 7 to 10 day range. I know of at least one poster that has to be intrigued by the SOI.


NTXWX:: :wink: :wink:
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#751 Postby Brent » Tue Jul 17, 2018 2:02 pm

The DFW meteograms do look better after early next week... actually below 100. But 110 is definitely possible in areas this weekend.

Record highs 105, 107, 106, 105 Friday-Monday
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#752 Postby weatherdude1108 » Tue Jul 17, 2018 3:16 pm

GFS is starting to show signs of hope starting in about 10 days on this run.

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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#753 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Tue Jul 17, 2018 3:22 pm

Official 3:00 PM temp at Wichita Falls - 106.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#754 Postby gboudx » Tue Jul 17, 2018 4:36 pm

We picked a good week to go to Colorado Springs. Right now it’s mostly cloudy with rain in the area. Temp has cooled to 75 with a nice breeze. More hiking this evening.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#755 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Jul 17, 2018 4:40 pm

104 at DFW but the record looks safe for today.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#756 Postby Brent » Tue Jul 17, 2018 4:45 pm

gboudx wrote:We picked a good week to go to Colorado Springs. Right now it’s mostly cloudy with rain in the area. Temp has cooled to 75 with a nice breeze. More hiking this evening.


:uarrow:

I'm going to San Francisco Friday and it's 63 there right now... :double: I don't even know the last time Dallas was 63... :lol:
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#757 Postby Haris » Tue Jul 17, 2018 6:13 pm

Brent wrote:
gboudx wrote:We picked a good week to go to Colorado Springs. Right now it’s mostly cloudy with rain in the area. Temp has cooled to 75 with a nice breeze. More hiking this evening.


:uarrow:

I'm going to San Francisco Friday and it's 63 there right now... :double: I don't even know the last time Dallas was 63... :lol:


*san francisco city*

travel down 10-15 miles S to san Jose or E to Oakland / Fremont area and it is in the 90s...

Tight marine air gradient
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#758 Postby WeatherP1 » Tue Jul 17, 2018 6:34 pm

105 at Dallas Love Field with 23% humidity. It's hot but I'll take this over mid 90's with 70% humidity. Phoenix AZ is currently 102 with 26% humidity. A dry heat you don't sweat nearly as much walking outside.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#759 Postby Ntxw » Tue Jul 17, 2018 6:48 pm

WeatherP1 wrote:105 at Dallas Love Field with 23% humidity. It's hot but I'll take this over mid 90's with 70% humidity. Phoenix AZ is currently 102 with 26% humidity. A dry heat you don't sweat nearly as much walking outside.


I sweat like crazy walking from the office to the car in this heat
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Re: Texas Summer 2018

#760 Postby weatherdude1108 » Tue Jul 17, 2018 10:20 pm

Ntxw wrote:
WeatherP1 wrote:105 at Dallas Love Field with 23% humidity. It's hot but I'll take this over mid 90's with 70% humidity. Phoenix AZ is currently 102 with 26% humidity. A dry heat you don't sweat nearly as much walking outside.


I sweat like crazy walking from the office to the car in this heat


Lows in the 80s for you all. Could be worse, lows in the 90s like Phoenix. :cheesy: :sun: :grr:
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