Texas Summer 2018
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
It's not a flood but certainly a nice break in the weather
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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weatherdude1108
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
Gusty winds and spinups possible later.
...Central TX...
A weak upper low is tracking westward into the middle TX Gulf Coast
region. Strong heating is occurring to the west of the low over
central TX. A few strong storms are likely to develop in this
region, with gusty/damaging winds or brief spinups possible.
...Central TX...
A weak upper low is tracking westward into the middle TX Gulf Coast
region. Strong heating is occurring to the west of the low over
central TX. A few strong storms are likely to develop in this
region, with gusty/damaging winds or brief spinups possible.
1 likes
The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
Welp, holiday flood day for Houston. Everyone be safe, good luck with everything today. 3" an hour rate rates parked over the city.
4 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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weatherdude1108
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
Absolutely POURING here with lots of wind and lightning/loud thunder. 1.5 inches and counting.
We have our own fireworks display right now!
We have our own fireworks display right now!
Last edited by weatherdude1108 on Wed Jul 04, 2018 3:32 pm, edited 2 times in total.
2 likes
The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Summer 2018
Noticeable temp difference today, it is not so hot. Humid with some thickening clouds though, wonder if we might squeeze out a shower.
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Haris
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
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BrokenGlass
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- Location: Richardson, Texas
Re: Texas Summer 2018
gpsnowman wrote:Noticeable temp difference today, it is not so hot. Humid with some thickening clouds though, wonder if we might squeeze out a shower.
Yep. It’s really quite perfect here in NoDal. 93 degrees...poolside.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
2 likes
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weatherdude1108
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Haris
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
Recap in SW austin:
Rained for 2 hours , a little more than that. TORRENTIAL TROPICAL dowpours! 1.9" today ! 73F! Forecast , verified
Rained for 2 hours , a little more than that. TORRENTIAL TROPICAL dowpours! 1.9" today ! 73F! Forecast , verified
3 likes
Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
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weatherdude1108
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
Two tropical downpours here. 2.5 inches. 
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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South Texas Storms
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- Location: Houston, TX
Re: Texas Summer 2018
What an awesome 4th of July we had today! 4 inches at my house in Houston, and 1 inch at my parent's house in SA! I'm very thankful
And it looks like we have another 5 days or so of more good rain chances!
And it looks like we have another 5 days or so of more good rain chances!
1 likes
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weatherdude1108
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
410 AM CDT Thu Jul 5 2018
.SHORT TERM (Today through Friday)...
Good rain chances continue today and will hopefully fill in the gaps
of the areas that missed out on the heavy downpours of July 4th. The
compact low pressure system remains well defined in the H7-H5 levels
and holds a core of 2.4 plus inch pwat values that will keep
categorical PoPs over our Rio Grande bordering counties for today.
Spotty rainfall amounts could exceed 2 inches here, but very dry
soils and vegetation will welcome the water for the most part.
East of Highway 83, PoPs taper off to low end likely category, and
some further lowering over Central TX later today. The reasoning is
that a general convective boost is being forecast by most hi-res
model members to develop just before daybreak over the Coastal Bend
and northward to Hill Country areas near and NW of the San Antonio.
This area should shift west by midday with a lower coverage event is
expected to flare up over the Coastal Prairies later in the day in
response to daytime heating. Spotty amounts, mostly 1/4 to 1/2 inch,
should be expected east of Highway 83 with an isolated area or two
seeing over an inch. Rain chances should taper off in the evening,
but another Nrn Gulf disturbance in the easterlies begins drawing
deeper moisture into the Coastal Prairies from East TX after midnight
to boost pre-dawn rain chances.
While the best pooling of moisture allows for best rain chances late
tonight into Friday over the Coastal Prairies, additional moisture
contributions are brought into the region from the NE where a Polar
trough moving through the Great Lakes region carves out a broad and
unstable cold frontal zone in the Tennessee River Valley where
ridging aloft was stronger in previous days. This westward nudge of
the upper high results in a NE flow aloft over East TX and much of
the unstable air bring brought SW into Central TX by late Friday and
the convectively influenced frontal zone shifting SW into the Ark-la-
tx by late Friday night. Daytime heating should generate isolated to
scattered convection Friday with Central Texas convection initially
being more diurnally driven prior to the arrival of a deeper pool of
moisture increasing northerly flow aloft Saturday.
&&
.LONG TERM (Friday Night through Wednesday)...
The flow becoming increasingly northerly aloft and the pooling of
moisture over the Ark-la-tx Friday night results in rain chances
trending upward over the weekend. Scattered showers may become less
diurnal Saturday night with weak impulses evolving out of convective
clusters making the focusing mechanisms for rain difficult to
pinpoint times and locations well in advance. Rather this pattern
should give a few days of what is commonly referred to as garden
variety showers and thunderstorms, more typical of southern states
east of the Mississippi in the summer. Temperatures will continue to
be moderated with clouds and rain holding highs down and late
afternoon/nighttime outflows allowing for more normal minimum
temperatures as well.
The ridge axis over the Central/Nrn Plains expands east into the
Midwest again by Monday and cuts off the moisture sources from the
north. However, the stronger subsidence remaining well to the north
continues to allow for an unstable easterly flow along the northern
Gulf through Tuesday. Finally late Tuesday, the deterministic medium
range models fell into better agreement on the upper ridge working
south to cut off the easterly flow along the Gulf Coast and leading
to a more stable pattern over TX Tuesday night and beyond.
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
410 AM CDT Thu Jul 5 2018
.SHORT TERM (Today through Friday)...
Good rain chances continue today and will hopefully fill in the gaps
of the areas that missed out on the heavy downpours of July 4th. The
compact low pressure system remains well defined in the H7-H5 levels
and holds a core of 2.4 plus inch pwat values that will keep
categorical PoPs over our Rio Grande bordering counties for today.
Spotty rainfall amounts could exceed 2 inches here, but very dry
soils and vegetation will welcome the water for the most part.
East of Highway 83, PoPs taper off to low end likely category, and
some further lowering over Central TX later today. The reasoning is
that a general convective boost is being forecast by most hi-res
model members to develop just before daybreak over the Coastal Bend
and northward to Hill Country areas near and NW of the San Antonio.
This area should shift west by midday with a lower coverage event is
expected to flare up over the Coastal Prairies later in the day in
response to daytime heating. Spotty amounts, mostly 1/4 to 1/2 inch,
should be expected east of Highway 83 with an isolated area or two
seeing over an inch. Rain chances should taper off in the evening,
but another Nrn Gulf disturbance in the easterlies begins drawing
deeper moisture into the Coastal Prairies from East TX after midnight
to boost pre-dawn rain chances.
While the best pooling of moisture allows for best rain chances late
tonight into Friday over the Coastal Prairies, additional moisture
contributions are brought into the region from the NE where a Polar
trough moving through the Great Lakes region carves out a broad and
unstable cold frontal zone in the Tennessee River Valley where
ridging aloft was stronger in previous days. This westward nudge of
the upper high results in a NE flow aloft over East TX and much of
the unstable air bring brought SW into Central TX by late Friday and
the convectively influenced frontal zone shifting SW into the Ark-la-
tx by late Friday night. Daytime heating should generate isolated to
scattered convection Friday with Central Texas convection initially
being more diurnally driven prior to the arrival of a deeper pool of
moisture increasing northerly flow aloft Saturday.
&&
.LONG TERM (Friday Night through Wednesday)...
The flow becoming increasingly northerly aloft and the pooling of
moisture over the Ark-la-tx Friday night results in rain chances
trending upward over the weekend. Scattered showers may become less
diurnal Saturday night with weak impulses evolving out of convective
clusters making the focusing mechanisms for rain difficult to
pinpoint times and locations well in advance. Rather this pattern
should give a few days of what is commonly referred to as garden
variety showers and thunderstorms, more typical of southern states
east of the Mississippi in the summer. Temperatures will continue to
be moderated with clouds and rain holding highs down and late
afternoon/nighttime outflows allowing for more normal minimum
temperatures as well.
The ridge axis over the Central/Nrn Plains expands east into the
Midwest again by Monday and cuts off the moisture sources from the
north. However, the stronger subsidence remaining well to the north
continues to allow for an unstable easterly flow along the northern
Gulf through Tuesday. Finally late Tuesday, the deterministic medium
range models fell into better agreement on the upper ridge working
south to cut off the easterly flow along the Gulf Coast and leading
to a more stable pattern over TX Tuesday night and beyond.
1 likes
The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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vbhoutex
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Welp, holiday flood day for Houston. Everyone be safe, good luck with everything today. 3" an hour rate rates parked over the city.
Different day today!! I had 4.15" at my house. Official gauges closest to me registered from 4.9"-6.28"
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Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
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Haris
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- Location: ( Bee Cave) West Austin, Texas
Re: Texas Summer 2018
why is no one is dallas mentioning the dallas flood on the euro? lol
1 likes
Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
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bubba hotep
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- Posts: 5491
- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Summer 2018
Haris wrote:why is no one is dallas mentioning the dallas flood on the euro? lol
10"+ rain bomb right over DFW!! Let's go!
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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starsfan65
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- Location: Garland,Tx
Re: Texas Summer 2018
bubba hotep wrote:Haris wrote:why is no one is dallas mentioning the dallas flood on the euro? lol
10"+ rain bomb right over DFW!! Let's go!
When is this?
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Brent
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
starsfan65 wrote:bubba hotep wrote:Haris wrote:why is no one is dallas mentioning the dallas flood on the euro? lol
10"+ rain bomb right over DFW!! Let's go!
When is this?
Lol i haven't even looked
Looks to be a week out like most of our events that never verify
0 likes
#neversummer
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starsfan65
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
We need the rain badly.Brent wrote:starsfan65 wrote:bubba hotep wrote:
10"+ rain bomb right over DFW!! Let's go!
When is this?
Lol i haven't even looked
Looks to be a week out like most of our events that never verify
0 likes
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Brent
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
starsfan65 wrote:We need the rain badly.Brent wrote:starsfan65 wrote:When is this?
Lol i haven't even looked
Looks to be a week out like most of our events that never verify
I hope we get something in the next week or thats just sad the euro has a chance everyday
0 likes
#neversummer
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