STORM2K

Highest rainfall totals are more north now to just north of Corpus Christi to just south of Matagorda.

They keep switching this rainfall map.. here in Victoria it has sprinkled maybe once... I don’t know who to believe we’ll see if it verifies

Already a brief light shower here

First, of hopefully, many rounds of showers and storms this week moving in to DFW.

They vanished rather quickly

Yep, all we got was a brief shower and a brief but very large rainbow.

Watching the relative humidity between 700-400mb chart. Moisture in this layer really helps those storms kick off.

I don't think I've ever seen the models so inconsistent with a rain event lol

Euro back to a half inch towards an inch in DFW mostly on Wednesday

GFS has barely any rain til Thursday Night then a quick half inch before the heat returns

The news I watched had under a half inch for most of the metro

Brent wrote:I don't think I've ever seen the models so inconsistent with a rain event lol

Euro back to a half inch towards an inch in DFW mostly on Wednesday

The news I watched had under a half inch for most of the metro

Yall are on the EXTREME edge and the high pressure is nudging in. Central S and E TX rain maker

Haris wrote:

Brent wrote:I don't think I've ever seen the models so inconsistent with a rain event lol

Euro back to a half inch towards an inch in DFW mostly on Wednesday

The news I watched had under a half inch for most of the metro

Yall are on the EXTREME edge and the high pressure is nudging in. Central S and E TX rain maker

sharp gradient around Austin on the Euro

Brent wrote:

Haris wrote:

Brent wrote:I don't think I've ever seen the models so inconsistent with a rain event lol

Euro back to a half inch towards an inch in DFW mostly on Wednesday

The news I watched had under a half inch for most of the metro

Yall are on the EXTREME edge and the high pressure is nudging in. Central S and E TX rain maker

sharp gradient around Austin on the Euro

i dont like that. one more trend and im out too. SMH

Wow, I would need a map of the counties in Texas to confirm, but I’m really close to the yellow on that map. Lots of rain headed my way, no doubt. Most here since Harvey with ease. We had 25” during Harvey over about 3 days.

Slowly but surely, all of the rain chances for this week, up this way, are diminishing into nothing.

Todays forecast busted here in Austin . err. not a good feeling for the week ahead. ridge tooo strong

Model trends were pretty meh for DFW today.

We did get two waves of downpours here in the city today, both hitting the Rain Cave. I was Downtown during the first round and we had the second around 35 to 40 min ago. Both were brief but it's better than nothing.

JDawg512 wrote:We did get two waves of downpours here in the city today, both hitting the Rain Cave. I was Downtown during the first round and we had the second around 35 to 40 min ago. Both were brief but it's better than nothing.

It looks like there will be a sharp gradient in rainfall amounts across south central TX. Austin and SA will likely both be near the cutoff, but hopefully much of us can get some beneficial heavy rainfall over the next few days.

Go west low!

bubba hotep wrote:Model trends were pretty meh for DFW today.

What do you mean "meh?"

starsfan65 wrote:

bubba hotep wrote:Model trends were pretty meh for DFW today.

What do you mean "meh?"

Not much rain this week it seems

Travis Herzog ABC 13

See Full post in link below:
https://www.facebook.com/ABC13TravisHerzog/

8AM TUESDAY UPDATE:

As of this writing, Houston is threading the needle between an intense training band of storms aimed at Beaumont and a nearly stationary area of tropical rains between Victoria and Corpus Christi.

I've got my eyes on an arc of rain out in the Gulf that could develop into the next training band of thunderstorms. This one would be aimed more toward the I-45 corridor, so we'll be monitoring it carefully for you.

Yesterday Beaumont to Port Arthur picked up 5-8" of rain. They don't need anymore. Some spots between Victoria and Corpus Christ have picked up 6" in less than 6 hours. We don't want any of that, and here's why. My buddy Jeff Lindner tells me our bayous and creeks can handle 4-8" in a 6 hour window before they fill up.

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect until 7PM today, but it may be extended thru tomorrow. If we can make it to Thursday afternoon with no major issues, we can breathe a collective sigh of relief.