Texas Fall 2018
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Re: Texas Fall 2018
My uncle and aunt have a ranch outside of the town of Llano as well as a lake house on LBJ. Their lake house property is under water, luckily their house is up on a hill and is okay, however they probably lost their dock. Their main home is at the ranch wich has had more than a foot of rain. Whole sections of their close to 50 acres are under water.
People need to stay away from the river through the Downtown area. There are sections where the water is going out of the banks and covering the trail. Saw a video a few min ago, the Colorado has turned into a raging river through Austin.
People need to stay away from the river through the Downtown area. There are sections where the water is going out of the banks and covering the trail. Saw a video a few min ago, the Colorado has turned into a raging river through Austin.
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I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
- Haris
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Re: Texas Fall 2018
TexasSam wrote:How many flood gates does Lake Travis have?
24... checked on website
But they cant be open all at once or downtown will get obliterated...
very tricky situation with these flood gates
Last edited by Haris on Tue Oct 16, 2018 8:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
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Re: Texas Fall 2018
Haris wrote:[url]https://preview.ibb.co/i78VBL/Screen-Shot-2018-10-16-at-4-59-57-PM.png [/url]
And more now!
I'm sure lady bird lake in Austin downtown is rough LOL
I am headed to Mansfield dam tom.
Only 10min from me
When was the last time the Buchanan Dam floodgates were opened?
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Fall 2018
TexasSam wrote:one of them dammed if you do, or dammed if you don't situations.
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- Haris
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Re: Texas Fall 2018
weatherdude1108 wrote:Haris wrote:[url]https://preview.ibb.co/i78VBL/Screen-Shot-2018-10-16-at-4-59-57-PM.png [/url]
And more now!
I'm sure lady bird lake in Austin downtown is rough LOL
I am headed to Mansfield dam tom.
Only 10min from me
When was the last time the Buchanan Dam floodgates were opened?
June 2nd 2016...
But simultaneously all of them? I am not sure but Jim Spencer said he has never seen it
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
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Re: Texas Fall 2018
Haris wrote:weatherdude1108 wrote:Haris wrote:[url]https://preview.ibb.co/i78VBL/Screen-Shot-2018-10-16-at-4-59-57-PM.png [/url]
And more now!
I'm sure lady bird lake in Austin downtown is rough LOL
I am headed to Mansfield dam tom.
Only 10min from me
When was the last time the Buchanan Dam floodgates were opened?
June 2nd 2016...
But simultaneously all of them? I am not sure but Jim Spencer said he has never seen it
WOW!
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Fall 2018
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Fall 2018
Ntxw wrote:The problems won't end here. In about a week to week and half Hurricane Vicente is going to bring yet another flooding event, IMO. Should rapidly or explosively intensify near the Mexican Riveria in the next couple of days. I have to agree with the CPC charts.
https://images2.imgbox.com/9f/d2/o27Ao1IG_o.gif
From that same GFS run
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Fall 2018
Pretty amazing view from Texas Parks and Wildlife
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- 1900hurricane
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Re: Texas Fall 2018
Lake Travis, the main flood control structure on the Colorado River, is doing exactly as it was designed to do: prevent a large floodwave from moving downstream. Unfortunately, people have built within the lake's floodpool, but stopping these floods is the lake's purpose. The four floodgates open are helping to pass the water along without causing flooding downstream, and I think LCRA has only gone above 4 floodgates open with Mansfield Dam once (in 1957 with six).
As for Lake Buchanan, I don't know if all the floodgates have ever been open, but I do know the lake passed extensive water downstream in both 1938 and 1991 with quite a bit of floodgate operation.
As for Lake Buchanan, I don't know if all the floodgates have ever been open, but I do know the lake passed extensive water downstream in both 1938 and 1991 with quite a bit of floodgate operation.
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Re: Texas Fall 2018
Most recent LCRA update:
It's already over 1018.
Flood operations at Buchanan Dam will start tonight or early tomorrow. Take action to protect people and property. Flood operations will start after the peak of the Llano River flood begins to pass Wirtz Dam. This is anticipated to occur overnight on Oct. 16-17. However, the start of gate operations will be determined based on actual conditions downstream on lakes LBJ and Marble Falls. Lake Buchanan is forecast to rise to 1,018 to 1,020 feet msl and then be gradually drawn by flood releases to 1,018 feet msl over the following day or two.
It's already over 1018.
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- Haris
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Re: Texas Fall 2018
Lake Travis now 691.
Officially in the top 10 highest water level on record.
Officially in the top 10 highest water level on record.
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
Re: Texas Fall 2018
Haris wrote:Lake Travis now 691.
Officially in the top 10 highest water level on record.
I am not sure that's correct. Source?
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- Haris
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Re: Texas Fall 2018
utpmg wrote:Haris wrote:Lake Travis now 691.
Officially in the top 10 highest water level on record.
I am not sure that's correct. Source?
Sorry... 692 but we all know it'll get there in 1 hour or so LOL...
From CBS Austin Met
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
Re: Texas Fall 2018
Haris wrote:utpmg wrote:Haris wrote:Lake Travis now 691.
Officially in the top 10 highest water level on record.
I am not sure that's correct. Source?
[url]https://preview.ibb.co/bQAu6L/Screen-Shot-2018-10-16-at-10-28-03-PM.png [/url]
Sorry... 692 but we all know it'll get there in 1 hour or so LOL...
From CBS Austin Met
Ah...that makes more sense.
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Re: Texas Fall 2018
Summary Last Update: Oct 16 2018 10:23PM
Flood operations at Buchanan Dam began at 10 p.m. on Thursday, Oct. 16. LCRA plans to open one floodgate an hour for four hours, for a total of four floodgates. Take action to protect people and property.
The gates will be opened in this order:
10 p.m.: One gate from the 14-gate section.
11 p.m.: One gate from the 16-gate section.
Midnight: One gate from the 14-gate section.
1 a.m.: One gate from the 16-gate section.
Lake Buchanan is forecast to rise to 1,018 to 1,020 feet msl and then be gradually drawn by flood releases to 1,018 feet msl over the following day or two.
With floodgates open at Lake Buchanan, there will be flood operations underway at each of the dams along the Highland Lakes - Buchanan, Inks, Wirtz, Starcke, Travis, and Tom Miller. Dangerous fast-moving water is flowing through the entire chain of Highland Lakes, and water levels on lakes LBJ, Marble Falls and the upper end of Lake Travis are very high as this dangerous flood is being passed through the lakes. The Llano River destroyed the FM 2900 bridge at Kingsland - where the Llano River enters Lake LBJ - the morning of Oct. 16.
Because of the dangerous conditions on the lakes, LCRA has closed lakes Buchanan, Inks, LBJ, Marble Falls and Travis until further notice.
https://floodstatus.lcra.org/#llevels
Flood operations at Buchanan Dam began at 10 p.m. on Thursday, Oct. 16. LCRA plans to open one floodgate an hour for four hours, for a total of four floodgates. Take action to protect people and property.
The gates will be opened in this order:
10 p.m.: One gate from the 14-gate section.
11 p.m.: One gate from the 16-gate section.
Midnight: One gate from the 14-gate section.
1 a.m.: One gate from the 16-gate section.
Lake Buchanan is forecast to rise to 1,018 to 1,020 feet msl and then be gradually drawn by flood releases to 1,018 feet msl over the following day or two.
With floodgates open at Lake Buchanan, there will be flood operations underway at each of the dams along the Highland Lakes - Buchanan, Inks, Wirtz, Starcke, Travis, and Tom Miller. Dangerous fast-moving water is flowing through the entire chain of Highland Lakes, and water levels on lakes LBJ, Marble Falls and the upper end of Lake Travis are very high as this dangerous flood is being passed through the lakes. The Llano River destroyed the FM 2900 bridge at Kingsland - where the Llano River enters Lake LBJ - the morning of Oct. 16.
Because of the dangerous conditions on the lakes, LCRA has closed lakes Buchanan, Inks, LBJ, Marble Falls and Travis until further notice.
https://floodstatus.lcra.org/#llevels
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- Haris
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Re: Texas Fall 2018
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!