Texas Fall 2018

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
rwfromkansas
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 459
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Fall 2018

#2181 Postby rwfromkansas » Fri Nov 30, 2018 6:26 pm

Surprisingly far west with the tornado watch.
1 likes   

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2623
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Fall 2018

#2182 Postby bubba hotep » Fri Nov 30, 2018 6:26 pm

Brent wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:
Captmorg70 wrote:
22z has them too. How strong could these storms be if they form?


If they fire and have time to mature, then all modes of svr wx would be possible.


ironic after the SPC moved the slight and enhanced to the east too

Hard forecast


SPC has done two special releases today with 18z showing a huge cap in place. 21z still had a cap but showed a lot erosion from 18z and the 21z sounding at DFW matched up closely to the model projected sounding from the 21z HRRR. If a cell or two can fire and become surface based, like the HRRR is showing, then it could be go time.
1 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 17251
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Fall 2018

#2183 Postby Ntxw » Fri Nov 30, 2018 6:26 pm

No need outlooks or models, storms firing out west

Image

What was that folklore saying? After hearing thunder in winter snow a week later??
4 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2623
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Fall 2018

#2184 Postby bubba hotep » Fri Nov 30, 2018 6:27 pm

Image
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2623
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Fall 2018

#2185 Postby bubba hotep » Fri Nov 30, 2018 6:30 pm

Ntxw wrote:No need outlooks or models, storms firing out west

https://images2.imgbox.com/cb/24/el22rua1_o.gif

What was that folklore saying? After hearing thunder in winter snow a week later??


Explosive spring like development with cells going from nothing to svr warned in no time.
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 34086
Age: 31
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: DFW
Contact:

Re: Texas Fall 2018

#2186 Postby Brent » Fri Nov 30, 2018 6:37 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:Surprisingly far west with the tornado watch.


yeah wasn't expecting that here
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
Haris
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1096
Joined: Mon Nov 27, 2017 8:19 pm
Location: ( Bee Cave) West Austin, Texas

Re: Texas Fall 2018

#2187 Postby Haris » Fri Nov 30, 2018 6:42 pm

Stay safe :wink:
2 likes   
Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!

Yukon Cornelius
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1230
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Dec 20, 2012 9:23 pm
Location: Petrolia, TX

Re: Texas Fall 2018

#2188 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Fri Nov 30, 2018 6:56 pm

Nice heavy rain with marble size hail for about 30 min before moving out.
3 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2623
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Fall 2018

#2189 Postby bubba hotep » Fri Nov 30, 2018 8:36 pm

Image

Image
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2623
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Fall 2018

#2190 Postby bubba hotep » Fri Nov 30, 2018 8:43 pm

Pretty interesting 00z out of FWD, it also shows some backing of the surface winds.

Image
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
EnnisTx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 340
Age: 49
Joined: Sat Dec 26, 2015 4:06 pm
Location: Arlington, Tx
Contact:

Re: Texas Fall 2018

#2191 Postby EnnisTx » Fri Nov 30, 2018 9:15 pm

Not to impressed with the storms at this point. Probably blow up once they get East of Dallas.
1 likes   

rwfromkansas
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 459
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Fall 2018

#2192 Postby rwfromkansas » Fri Nov 30, 2018 9:28 pm

I am getting screwed by the storm splitting. :(
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 34086
Age: 31
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: DFW
Contact:

Re: Texas Fall 2018

#2193 Postby Brent » Fri Nov 30, 2018 9:30 pm

the winter storm next weekend better be more interesting than this :roflmao:
2 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
EnnisTx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 340
Age: 49
Joined: Sat Dec 26, 2015 4:06 pm
Location: Arlington, Tx
Contact:

Re: Texas Fall 2018

#2194 Postby EnnisTx » Fri Nov 30, 2018 9:44 pm

Brent wrote:the winter storm next weekend better be more interesting than this :roflmao:


Hopefully that laugh will change to :double: next weekend!
1 likes   

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2623
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Fall 2018

#2195 Postby bubba hotep » Fri Nov 30, 2018 9:45 pm

The 3 smaller cells moving into DFW from the SW need to be watched. The environment out in front looks pretty favorable for continued development.
1 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
EnnisTx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 340
Age: 49
Joined: Sat Dec 26, 2015 4:06 pm
Location: Arlington, Tx
Contact:

Re: Texas Fall 2018

#2196 Postby EnnisTx » Fri Nov 30, 2018 9:53 pm

bubba hotep wrote:The 3 smaller cells moving into DFW from the SW need to be watched. The environment out in front looks pretty favorable for continued development.

Yep. Watching the one on the Westside of Fort Worth that's heading my way in Arlington.
0 likes   

User avatar
EnnisTx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 340
Age: 49
Joined: Sat Dec 26, 2015 4:06 pm
Location: Arlington, Tx
Contact:

Re: Texas Fall 2018

#2197 Postby EnnisTx » Fri Nov 30, 2018 10:25 pm

Downpour here in Arlington!
3 likes   

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 17251
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Fall 2018

#2198 Postby Ntxw » Fri Nov 30, 2018 10:41 pm

Got a couple of downpours that came up from the mid cities (Arlington, Grand Prairie) that's amounted to about a third of an inch. Not a ton, but heavy while brief.
3 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2623
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Fall 2018

#2199 Postby bubba hotep » Fri Nov 30, 2018 10:55 pm

Image
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 34086
Age: 31
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: DFW
Contact:

Re: Texas Fall 2018

#2200 Postby Brent » Fri Nov 30, 2018 11:12 pm

Nice downpour here :ggreen:
2 likes   
#neversummer


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 16 guests