Possible SE Severe Wx Event 3/9/2019

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Ritzcraker
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Possible SE Severe Wx Event 3/9/2019

#1 Postby Ritzcraker » Tue Mar 05, 2019 12:06 pm

The signal is strong on this one :eek:

Image

Day 5, a surface cold front is progged to sweep across the central
and southern Plains and into Missouri/Arkansas through the day, and
then quickly eastward across the Mississippi River into the Ohio and
Tennessee Valleys overnight. While the strongest large-scale ascent
is progged at this time to sweep across the Ozarks vicinity during
the day, as the trough takes on a negative tilt, substantial
questions remain as to the degree of moistening/destabilization that
will be able to occur this far north. Greater severe risk may
therefore remain farther south, from east Texas/Louisiana across the
Lower Mississippi Valley region, and possibly into the central Gulf
Coast states late.

Aside from questions regarding instability, this appears likely to
be a strongly dynamic system with strong flow/shear covering a broad
area. As such, damaging winds, and potential for tornadoes, is
evident at this time. At this time, a large 15% probability area
will be issued centered on a north-south zone from Missouri to the
Lower Mississippi Valley, with additional areal, and risk-level,
refinements to be made in subsequent outlooks.

..Goss.. 03/05/2019

 https://twitter.com/MPalmerTWC/status/1102390954709925889


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This post is NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

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Bunkertor
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Re: Possible SE Severe Wx Event 3/9/2019

#2 Postby Bunkertor » Sat Mar 09, 2019 12:47 pm

One 80/20 watch out
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