Texas Summer 2019

[bubba hotep]

[CaptinCrunch]

Considering we have only had 5 100+ days this summer, with 101 being the hottest, I think we are pretty lucky. Currently it's 98 @ DFW but I'm sure it will hit 100 today to make it 4th day in a row, and 5 of the last 6 days.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

Time to go straight to Hell Summer!

20 days until 9/1.

12 days until CFB (Go Gata vs The U)

[Cpv17]

Wowzers

[Brent]

Wowzers

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019081218/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_61.png

Well that was an interesting run

[ThunderSleetDreams]

Wowzers

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019081218/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_61.png

Thank God it’s hour 366. Do not want!

[Texas Snowman]

Wowzers

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019081218/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_61.png

Son or daughter of Harvey.

[cycloneye]

Follow this thread of the Tropical Wave for information on the models and more.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=120411

[Brent]

how surprising, the 0z GFS Is having nothing to do with that

false alarm we now resume our endless heat

[ThunderSleetDreams]

As unlikely as Winter Storms (placement and intensity) are at 240 plus, tropical systems are even more unlikely in the same regard.

[bubba hotep]

While it has been hot this past week across DFW, it has been pretty run of the mill type heat given that climo says this is our hottest part of the summer. It appears that the new GFS has a significant warm bias beyond day 2/3. I wonder if that will carry over into the cold season? It had a nighttime cold bias when it was beta and that resulted in a bunch of phantom snow for N. TX last winter. However, that has been corrected.

[bubba hotep]

Blending the 12z 3k NAM and GFS looks pretty good for DFW. We'll see but the last couple of rain chances have busted on the dry side. It seems like we see this every year from August to September and then we get a bust to the wet side and that is usually a sign that we are transitioning to a more falll like pattern (totally unscientific take).

[Cpv17]

The weather pattern seems to slowly but surely be changing. Seeing some good signs of slightly cooler temps and decent (not great) rain chances over the next couple weeks. And we’ll need to keep our eye on the tropics.

[bubba hotep]

No 100F days for DFW in the 12z Euro or Euro EPS!!

[aggiecutter]

Texarkana reached a high today of 97. 98 is the highest temperature recorded so far this summer. I think there is a very good possibility Texarkana will not reach the 100 degree mark this summer, as it looks like the wet pattern we have been in the past 6 months will return for the final 2 weeks of August.

[bubba hotep]

Texarkana reached a high today of 97. 98 is the highest temperature recorded so far this summer. I think there is a very good possibility Texarkana will not reach the 100 degree mark this summer, as it looks like the wet pattern we have been in the past 6 months will return for the final 2 weeks of August.

https://i.ibb.co/hVGKnJW/rain.png

That seems consistent with the pattern we have been stuck in since 2015. Very dry July and August give way to a wetter than normal pattern. Really hope we buck the trend temp wise and have cooler than normal fall.

[Ntxw]

102F at DFW today. Hopefully this is the apex and yearly high. Climo will help us going forward.

[aggiecutter]

Texarkana reached a high today of 97. 98 is the highest temperature recorded so far this summer. I think there is a very good possibility Texarkana will not reach the 100 degree mark this summer, as it looks like the wet pattern we have been in the past 6 months will return for the final 2 weeks of August.

https://i.ibb.co/hVGKnJW/rain.png

That seems consistent with the pattern we have been stuck in since 2015. Very dry July and August give way to a wetter than normal pattern. Really hope we buck the trend temp wise and have cooler than normal fall.

The extreme eastern part of the state has been very wet the past 6 months. My grass is as green today as it was back in May. The past 2 weeks have been dry, but it looks like that is about to change.

[Cpv17]

Op GFS cane into SELA. Euro and old GFS strong wave into STX in about 9-10 days.

[bubba hotep]

Op GFS cane into SELA. Euro and old GFS strong wave into STX in about 9-10 days.

That 18z GFS solution seems unlikely since there is a strong EPAC system at the same time. While not always, it's typically one or the other and not both.