Re: Texas Summer 2019
Posted: Tue Aug 13, 2019 7:23 pm
big difference from the past few days...clouds! 
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Texas Summer 2019
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Re: Texas Summer 2019
Posted: Tue Aug 13, 2019 7:27 pm
First day to crack 100 at my house today, and we hit 101. 103 at the big airport, 104 was the record, set back in 1962.
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Posted: Tue Aug 13, 2019 7:37 pm
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:First day to crack 100 at my house today, and we hit 101. 103 at the big airport, 104 was the record, set back in 1962.
Highest we got here in Wharton was 99 back on Sunday.
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Posted: Tue Aug 13, 2019 9:17 pm
Let's bring that complex from Kansas down into North Texas... 
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Posted: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:34 pm
the 0z GFS is again interesting from the Gulf at the end of next week, though its nothing like the run yesterday
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Posted: Wed Aug 14, 2019 12:30 am
Both the GFS and Legacy GFS are hinting at a wave moving into the WGOM, the 12z Euro also had a weak system moving through the same area as well so it's something to definitely keep an eye on. Still 10 days out according the those 3 models, but man it seems like time has been flying by lately lol.
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Posted: Wed Aug 14, 2019 12:53 am
in more current news, radar is blossoming towards the Red River
the heat wave is over!
the heat wave is over!
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Posted: Wed Aug 14, 2019 1:05 am
Brent wrote:in more current news, radar is blossoming towards the Red River
the heat wave is over!
Unfortunately that is not the case. 100s look to return across much of the state this weekend into early next week.
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Posted: Wed Aug 14, 2019 1:54 am
the Euro also looks to be bringing in something tropical for the end of next week
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Posted: Wed Aug 14, 2019 7:50 am
Super nice steady rain this morning...reminds me of fall!!!
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Posted: Wed Aug 14, 2019 7:56 am
woke to light rain at the house, and went through a heavy cloud burst on my way in to work. Hope that cloud makes it over my house as it was dumping buckets across southern Tarrant.
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Posted: Wed Aug 14, 2019 9:04 am
CaptinCrunch wrote:woke to light rain at the house, and went through a heavy cloud burst on my way in to work. Hope that cloud makes it over my house as it was dumping buckets across southern Tarrant.
It was nice to see it this morning and I was lucky enough to have one of those buckets over my house! at least a half an inch or so.
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Posted: Wed Aug 14, 2019 10:29 am
1.17” at the house over night. It helps but with it being so long since any rain, we’re gonna need a lot more.
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Posted: Wed Aug 14, 2019 1:34 pm
Yukon Cornelius wrote:1.17” at the house over night. It helps but with it being so long since any rain, we’re gonna need a lot more.
Hopefully you can spread the wealth down here. Last rain I got was 0.23" on July 23rd. Been in the 100s with zero measurable rain ever since. My backyard earth shows it with cracks developing below the mulch.
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Posted: Wed Aug 14, 2019 2:12 pm
Got over 1" this morning at my house in Hideaway.
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Posted: Wed Aug 14, 2019 2:37 pm
12z Euro is more on board for a TC in the Gulf in about 8-10 days. It has support from the GEFS as well. An EPAC system would definitely be in out best interest(and hopefully one that doesn't put lives at risk.) But I really don't want to see an organized storm in the Gulf with good upper level conditions.
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Posted: Wed Aug 14, 2019 2:39 pm
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
230 PM CDT Wed Aug 14 2019
.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Thursday Night)...
Weak boundary north of the region has had just enough low level
convergence to get showers and thunderstorms going this afternoon
aided by daytime heating. Scattered rain chances this afternoon and
evening are for areas west of I-35 and north of US-90. Rain chances
linger into tomorrow in association with the passage of this
boundary. As a result, temperatures should be a couple degrees below
what they have been earlier in the week for most of the area.
However, eastern areas will still be near heat advisory criteria.
Forecast soundings from Del Rio and Austin tomorrow afternoon show an
inverted V pattern in the lower levels with elevated DCAPE values
near 1500 J/Kg. If a thunderstorm or two were to get going tomorrow,
the biggest threat will be strong winds.
There is model disagreement for tomorrow`s possible activity with
the ECMWF keeping the region mostly dry, GFS and NAM are more robust
with the convection. Latest runs of the NMMB and HRRR also suggest
scattered convective activity Thursday. Not anticipating much in the
way of accumulation, most areas will be lucky if they get a tenth of
an inch, isolated amounts could be higher.
&&
.LONG TERM (Friday through Wednesday)...
By Friday the forecast enters another dry and warming trend as the
subtropical high continues to remain anchored over the state.
Temperatures will climb back to the century mark for most places and
heat advisory criteria will likely be met for our eastern counties
with heat index values forecasted to be 108-110 early next week. Near
the end of the period, a weakness in the ridge develops east of the
Mississippi River Valley and may allow disturbances to ride around
the edge of the high as it is suppressed to the west and bring
chances for rain to South Central TX. Looking beyond the long term
period (famous last words of a meteorologist) long range model
guidance is beginning to suggest a tropical wave amplifying as it
moves out of the western Caribbean and into the southern Gulf of
Mexico. It is far too early to know what will come of this
disturbance.
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
230 PM CDT Wed Aug 14 2019
.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Thursday Night)...
Weak boundary north of the region has had just enough low level
convergence to get showers and thunderstorms going this afternoon
aided by daytime heating. Scattered rain chances this afternoon and
evening are for areas west of I-35 and north of US-90. Rain chances
linger into tomorrow in association with the passage of this
boundary. As a result, temperatures should be a couple degrees below
what they have been earlier in the week for most of the area.
However, eastern areas will still be near heat advisory criteria.
Forecast soundings from Del Rio and Austin tomorrow afternoon show an
inverted V pattern in the lower levels with elevated DCAPE values
near 1500 J/Kg. If a thunderstorm or two were to get going tomorrow,
the biggest threat will be strong winds.
There is model disagreement for tomorrow`s possible activity with
the ECMWF keeping the region mostly dry, GFS and NAM are more robust
with the convection. Latest runs of the NMMB and HRRR also suggest
scattered convective activity Thursday. Not anticipating much in the
way of accumulation, most areas will be lucky if they get a tenth of
an inch, isolated amounts could be higher.
&&
.LONG TERM (Friday through Wednesday)...
By Friday the forecast enters another dry and warming trend as the
subtropical high continues to remain anchored over the state.
Temperatures will climb back to the century mark for most places and
heat advisory criteria will likely be met for our eastern counties
with heat index values forecasted to be 108-110 early next week. Near
the end of the period, a weakness in the ridge develops east of the
Mississippi River Valley and may allow disturbances to ride around
the edge of the high as it is suppressed to the west and bring
chances for rain to South Central TX. Looking beyond the long term
period (famous last words of a meteorologist) long range model
guidance is beginning to suggest a tropical wave amplifying as it
moves out of the western Caribbean and into the southern Gulf of
Mexico. It is far too early to know what will come of this
disturbance.
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Posted: Wed Aug 14, 2019 5:17 pm
Another thunderstorm heading towards me. This will be the 4th one in about 36 hours. It's a lovely sight.
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Posted: Wed Aug 14, 2019 5:38 pm
TheProfessor wrote:Another thunderstorm heading towards me. This will be the 4th one in about 36 hours. It's a lovely sight.
Rain lovers paradise there in LA. The system that could form in the Gulf will probably head your way as well lol
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Posted: Wed Aug 14, 2019 5:54 pm
Slowly moving down south towards the Houston area.... plleeeeeaaasseeeee come drench us. The added moisture can help crack this heat wave some.