A warm up starts this weekend, but warmer temperatures only means normal temperatures for this time of the year. Another cold round for Thanksgiving but not like this one.
As Ntxw said, we won't see the type of warmups that we have seen the past several years since Super El Nino, these warm periods will be more consistent to our normal temperatures this winter. Precipitation chances for the next 30 days remains normal for NTX and slightly above normal across central and south TX.
Being out of town the first week of November I didn't have time to do my Halloween Analogy for this coming Winter, but it would suggest if I had done one that Winter 19/20 would be colder than normal, with above average # of freezes and average precipitation.
Unlike last year when the tell tell signs pointed to decent chance of winter weather for NTX that never happened, this winter will be different, and yes I do believe NTX will end its 4yr snow drought, and we could be in for a makeup year for winter wx advisories. Early freeze on Halloween has only happened 3 times now, and we haven't seen temperatures this cold this early in November since 1911.
My thoughts going forward are very positive for this winter, I'm stocked up on firewood even though I was second guessing my decision on a full cord (September). Now thinking about it, this cord may not make it to the end of February (leap year)