Texas Spring 2020

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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#921 Postby bubba hotep » Sun May 24, 2020 8:38 pm

00z FWD sounding is ugly. Big cap and basically no CAPE lol

I remember when there was an 80% chance of svr storms tonight :roll:
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#922 Postby JDawg512 » Sun May 24, 2020 8:44 pm

Had 3 rounds of hail here at the Rain Cave. The first round was the one that dropped the most though. Here's a picture that I took.

Image

Been getting a lot of heavy rain and its still coming down with lots of lightning.
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#923 Postby South Texas Storms » Sun May 24, 2020 8:57 pm

Wow, what a night. The core of the rotation went over my parent's house in SA about an hour ago. I was quite concerned. Thankfully they just reported some wind gusts up to 50-60 mph and now some beneficial rainfall!

We'll likely have another MCS move through tomorrow night. I love it!
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#924 Postby starsfan65 » Sun May 24, 2020 9:21 pm

bubba hotep wrote:00z FWD sounding is ugly. Big cap and basically no CAPE lol

I remember when there was an 80% chance of svr storms tonight :roll:

No rain tonight?
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#925 Postby Brent » Sun May 24, 2020 10:09 pm

bubba hotep wrote:00z FWD sounding is ugly. Big cap and basically no CAPE lol

I remember when there was an 80% chance of svr storms tonight :roll:


it seems like the rain is getting less impressive when it gets closer... tomorrow was 80-90% now its 40%

if you look at the hi-res models it basically goes around DFW :lol: although NBC 5's futurecast thing has a line for lunchtime tomorrow(we'll see about that lol)

kind of sounds like winter :spam:

how on earth is there a cap in this setup?
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#926 Postby Haris » Mon May 25, 2020 12:35 am

Image

MCV has developed just SW of Austin. Helping push more bands of heavy rain into the metro. Feels like a mini tropical storm tonight.
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#927 Postby weatherdude1108 » Mon May 25, 2020 8:21 am

Got two inches of rain overnight. Mostly moderate and heavy. No hail. Beneficial!
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#928 Postby weatherdude1108 » Mon May 25, 2020 8:24 am

South Texas Storms wrote:Wow, what a night. The core of the rotation went over my parent's house in SA about an hour ago. I was quite concerned. Thankfully they just reported some wind gusts up to 50-60 mph and now some beneficial rainfall!

We'll likely have another MCS move through tomorrow night. I love it!


My parents and brother took shelter In library closet! Thankfully just gusty winds and heavy rain they said. Nice rain!
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#929 Postby Brent » Mon May 25, 2020 12:18 pm

Finally some good widespread rain at least for a few hours
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#930 Postby bubba hotep » Mon May 25, 2020 12:44 pm

DFW approaching 1.25" for the day and has collected over 6" in the last 10 days. By this afternoon, DFW should be approaching 10" above normal for the year.
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#931 Postby rwfromkansas » Mon May 25, 2020 3:28 pm

Up to about 2 inches in the past few days IMBY. Nothing to sneeze at.
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#932 Postby Haris » Mon May 25, 2020 4:42 pm

Models taking away the 2nd mcs tonight for austin.

I mean if this long awaited pattern change only brought us 1 night of rain, it is a pretty big underachiever. Hopefully models are wrong abt tonight though.

There has been a pretty major bias from models this spring to stall systems. This one is looking much more progressive now than before. As did the last one
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#933 Postby Cpv17 » Mon May 25, 2020 5:16 pm

Haris wrote:Models taking away the 2nd mcs tonight for austin.

I mean if this long awaited pattern change only brought us 1 night of rain, it is a pretty big underachiever. Hopefully models are wrong abt tonight though.

There has been a pretty major bias from models this spring to stall systems. This one is looking much more progressive now than before. As did the last one


Yeah I learned from the last one not to get my hopes up. Thankful for the one inch we’ve received so far.
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#934 Postby bubba hotep » Mon May 25, 2020 9:10 pm

Euro Weeklies keep the party going into July for most of the State. Also, BoC has a really wet look with a pretty impressive CAG. Might need to watch the Gulf for some early season action.

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#935 Postby South Texas Storms » Mon May 25, 2020 9:49 pm

:uarrow: I love the looks of that! Keep this wet pattern going all summer and I'll be very happy!

Another complex of storms is about to move through SA! This one looks much weaker than last night though.
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#936 Postby Haris » Tue May 26, 2020 12:23 am

.07" is all that fell tonight :cry: Very frustrating. Positive side is the excellent light show. So far, 2.2" in total from this event (all came yesterday)
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#937 Postby bubba hotep » Tue May 26, 2020 9:09 am

Tomorrow has a bit higher ceiling than what is indicated by the "Slight"

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#938 Postby Haris » Tue May 26, 2020 11:14 am

Haris wrote:.07" is all that fell tonight :cry: Very frustrating. Positive side is the excellent light show. So far, 2.2" in total from this event (all came yesterday)


Surprise storm complex moved through around 830 this morning from the hill country into western portions of the city before fizzling. Got penny size hail and .84" of rain! 5" an hour rain rate!
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#939 Postby Haris » Tue May 26, 2020 8:34 pm

Image
Image

Tomorrow could be a big svr wx day for the middle area of the state. Surprised about the lack of chatter
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#940 Postby bubba hotep » Tue May 26, 2020 8:47 pm

bubba hotep wrote:Tomorrow has a bit higher ceiling than what is indicated by the "Slight"

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/state/images/TX_swody2.png


As expected, SPC upgraded. Wouldn't be surprised to see a MOD for tomorrow.
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