STORM2K

Looks like a few hard freezes up this way starting Sunday night. Finally.

the euro and gfs actually agree on a flizzard for DFW next Thursday

Yukon Cornelius wrote:Looks like a few hard freezes up this way starting Sunday night. Finally.

Looks like we could get our chance in DFW as well. Might be a heat island situation where the airport is 33 and everywhere else is 32 or below. Except Addison. Addison is always one of the higher morning temps in winter. Very dense and congested area.

To all my friends in the Arlington and DFW areas. Glad to see yall are OK. Didn't get anything here in Abilene but some winter fun looks possible next week.

I remember reading on here, the "backward S pattern" is a good way for us to have a snowstorm. I noticed the last couple days it was getting close, and then we have it for the 18z! Could happen, just need the ULL to dig out in West Texas

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:I remember reading on here, the "backward S pattern" is a good way for us to have a snowstorm. I noticed the last couple days it was getting close, and then we have it for the 18z! Could happen, just need the ULL to dig out in West Texas

It's basically a further east version. +++PNA with an active subtropical jet thanks to the recent SOI dip. The second storm will have the colder air in place to work with, need to find moisture with that one.

Ntxw wrote:

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:I remember reading on here, the "backward S pattern" is a good way for us to have a snowstorm. I noticed the last couple days it was getting close, and then we have it for the 18z! Could happen, just need the ULL to dig out in West Texas

It's basically a further east version. +++PNA with an active subtropical jet thanks to the recent SOI dip. The second storm will have the colder air in place to work with, need to find moisture with that one.

If you can get enough divergence on the east side of the ULL, should produce enough moisture, i hope!

@NWSFortWorth - Our preliminary storm survey of the S. Arlington tornado that struck Tues evening shortly before 9 PM CST. Rating remains EF-2, w/max estimated winds 115 mph and a path length of 5.04 mi and max width of 150 yds. It was on ground for ~ 7 minutes w/5 injuries. #dfwwx #ctxwx #txwx

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:I remember reading on here, the "backward S pattern" is a good way for us to have a snowstorm. I noticed the last couple days it was getting close, and then we have it for the 18z! Could happen, just need the ULL to dig out in West Texas

isnt that the infamous McFarland signature sort of?

Regardless of what happens next week at least we should have plenty to talk about as we move to the winter thread

Brent wrote:

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:I remember reading on here, the "backward S pattern" is a good way for us to have a snowstorm. I noticed the last couple days it was getting close, and then we have it for the 18z! Could happen, just need the ULL to dig out in West Texas

isnt that the infamous McFarland signature sort of?

Regardless of what happens next week at least we should have plenty to talk about as we move to the winter thread

To be honest im not entirely sure, but i think the McFarland signature is a strong hudson low and a deep trough down the spine of the Rockies.

If energy is hanging back, and the low doesnt cut off, the easter side of the ULL provides enough lift for moisture. Also get colder air at the surface. Went away in the 06z. Im sure this will bounce back and forth over the next few days.

Canadian brings down the freezer.

Thunder in Fall/Winter. Snow in a week?

GFS really hangs that energy back this run, just need to see that dig more and perhaps we could see some wintry mischief.

Happy Thanksgiving everyone!!

Euro trying to tease us again.

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Euro trying to tease us again.

You ain't kidding this would be a heck of a start to the winter thread just saying

Man, the Euro run says it may be worth driving from Louisiana to Oklahoma if a storm like that occurred.

TheProfessor wrote:Man, the Euro run says it may be worth driving from Louisiana to Oklahoma if a storm like that occurred.

lol right

but seriously from looking at the EPS there appears to be some support for a storm with some snow even in DFW the mean around eastern OKC/Tulsa is almost 3 inches

Brent wrote:

TheProfessor wrote:Man, the Euro run says it may be worth driving from Louisiana to Oklahoma if a storm like that occurred.

lol right

but seriously from looking at the EPS there appears to be some support for a storm with some snow even in DFW the mean around eastern OKC/Tulsa is almost 3 inches

It will all depend on how far the incoming PVa digs and if it can tap the gulf. The big trough in the east (storm moving through here this weekend) is only going to give it a couple of paths. Either shred apart and get suppressed (cold and dry) or it really wraps up and becomes a southern plains blizzard. Hopefully the southern part of the trough takes over.

It would be so nice to end the snow drought and get some pages rolling in the winter thread. FYI we will be moving over there on December 1st for meteorological winter but feel free to post about this storm since it will be occurring in December.

I don't know if I buy that run just yet, but some of major players are on the board in the next few days. I'm not sure I can remember a evolution like this?



I mean, come on... How do you resolve this?