Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

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Iceresistance
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1401 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Jul 01, 2021 5:48 pm

Flash Flood Warnings all in the OKC metro right now . . .
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1402 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Jul 09, 2021 8:51 am

Broad Sight risk in place for most of Oklahoma Tomorrow
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1403 Postby ElectricStorm » Fri Jul 09, 2021 11:21 am

HRRR for tomorrow is giving me some 7/11/20 vibes, though I don't think this event will be as intense as that one. If this gets upgraded to enhanced it's likely going to be a pretty big deal because enhanced risks in July here are about as rare as moderate/high risks during peak season.

Like most summer MCS events this should mainly be a wind threat.
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1404 Postby ElectricStorm » Fri Jul 09, 2021 8:39 pm

Still at slight risk here for now for tomorrow. Hopefully we get a solid line out of this.

On a side note, I just found out that the back road from my town to Tulsa washed out into a creek last week during the heavy rains. That road is actually pretty heavily used, and I've used it several times even though it's on the opposite side of town as me so hopefully they get that fixed pretty quickly...
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1405 Postby ElectricStorm » Sat Jul 10, 2021 10:13 am

Yikes. Second enhanced risk in July here since 2013. The other one was last year...
Image
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1406 Postby cstrunk » Sat Jul 10, 2021 4:33 pm

A rare July slight risk for me in Longview, TX for Sunday.
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1407 Postby Brent » Sat Jul 10, 2021 7:24 pm

Was in downtown doordashing and just got home ahead of the storms :spam: :double:
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1408 Postby ElectricStorm » Sat Jul 10, 2021 7:42 pm

Line just moved through here and it looks like we're just about done. This was a solid event for July. Insane rainfall and several severe gusts. Looks like the line is weakening a bit now that it's south of me. Overall a solid event.

EDIT: Apparently SPC thinks there may be another round coming through later tonight, although it should mainly be in MO.
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1409 Postby Brent » Sun Jul 11, 2021 2:48 pm

73 degrees at the airport at 2pm in July! :double:
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1410 Postby ElectricStorm » Sun Jul 11, 2021 2:53 pm

Brent wrote:73 degrees at the airport at 2pm in July! :double:

I'm enjoying every minute of it 8-)
As long as these below average temps don't stick around into winter lol
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1411 Postby Brent » Sun Jul 11, 2021 8:03 pm

Weather Dude wrote:
Brent wrote:73 degrees at the airport at 2pm in July! :double:

I'm enjoying every minute of it 8-)
As long as these below average temps don't stick around into winter lol


Lol see now that's where we differ :spam:
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1412 Postby ElectricStorm » Sun Jul 11, 2021 8:29 pm

Brent wrote:
Weather Dude wrote:
Brent wrote:73 degrees at the airport at 2pm in July! :double:

I'm enjoying every minute of it 8-)
As long as these below average temps don't stick around into winter lol


Lol see now that's where we differ :spam:

I'm assuming you mean the winter part? Yeah once it gets below 50 it's no bueno :spam:
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1413 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Jul 12, 2021 11:25 am

Weather Dude wrote:
Brent wrote:73 degrees at the airport at 2pm in July! :double:

I'm enjoying every minute of it 8-)
As long as these below average temps don't stick around into winter lol

Well, this is when the bad news comes in

Many Climate models are predicting yet again another nasty winter combined with a return of the La Niña.

On the flip side, it only got up to 84°F Yesterday at my house, with a Low of 63°F this morning, NW Oklahoma managed to get as low as 56°F!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

Brent
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1414 Postby Brent » Tue Jul 13, 2021 1:18 am

Weather Dude wrote:
Brent wrote:
Weather Dude wrote:I'm enjoying every minute of it 8-)
As long as these below average temps don't stick around into winter lol


Lol see now that's where we differ :spam:

I'm assuming you mean the winter part? Yeah once it gets below 50 it's no bueno :spam:


Okay I'll give you most of the winter if we just have a couple snowstorms in between :spam:

Yeah those below zero temps in February now that was a tad much lol
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1415 Postby ElectricStorm » Tue Jul 13, 2021 5:26 am

Brent wrote:
Weather Dude wrote:
Brent wrote:
Lol see now that's where we differ :spam:

I'm assuming you mean the winter part? Yeah once it gets below 50 it's no bueno :spam:


Okay I'll give you most of the winter if we just have a couple snowstorms in between :spam:

Yeah those below zero temps in February now that was a tad much lol

I don't mind a snowstorm or two as long as it only lasts a couple days. But I'm not a cold weather guy lol
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1416 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Jul 13, 2021 10:56 am

Brent wrote:
Weather Dude wrote:
Brent wrote:
Lol see now that's where we differ :spam:

I'm assuming you mean the winter part? Yeah once it gets below 50 it's no bueno :spam:


Okay I'll give you most of the winter if we just have a couple snowstorms in between :spam:

Yeah those below zero temps in February now that was a tad much lol


I made a reanalysis on the Coldest morning in February . . .

Orginally down to -12°F, but a further analysis showed it froze & bottomed out, but my neighbor to the south managed to record -22°F, this is now the coldest Temperature ever recorded at my house since my observations began in 2017 . . .
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

Brent
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1417 Postby Brent » Tue Jul 13, 2021 11:59 am

Weather Dude wrote:
Brent wrote:
Weather Dude wrote:I'm assuming you mean the winter part? Yeah once it gets below 50 it's no bueno :spam:


Okay I'll give you most of the winter if we just have a couple snowstorms in between :spam:

Yeah those below zero temps in February now that was a tad much lol

I don't mind a snowstorm or two as long as it only lasts a couple days. But I'm not a cold weather guy lol


Yeah I was still in Dallas then. It wasn't really that fun by the end lol

And we kept power mostly lol
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1418 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Tue Jul 13, 2021 3:15 pm

As a new Denver/Lakewood resident. I'll start adding some CO weather in this thread as well. Been having consistent afternoon thunderstorms in the mountains. They are still dry, but the rain is helping.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1419 Postby ElectricStorm » Tue Jul 13, 2021 8:23 pm

Day 3 marginal risk here 8-)
You love to see it
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1420 Postby Brent » Tue Jul 13, 2021 8:46 pm

Weather Dude wrote:Day 3 marginal risk here 8-)
You love to see it


Looks like it might be another active stretch. Pretty unusual summer continues
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