Texas Spring 2021

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somethingfunny
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#861 Postby somethingfunny » Tue May 25, 2021 2:57 pm

Texas Snowman wrote:Had blinding downpours in Denison overnight. Crazy hard rain. Neighbor had water in his house this morning and said someone (with the city, I think) told him there might have been three inches in a little more than an hour.

They had flooding in Sherman along Highway 75 (always a flood prone area) and had some cars stranded (flooded?) according to the Grayson County Scanner Social media.

Kind of seems like 2015 or 2007 again.


Stay safe up there! I was in Sherman in 2007 and Garland in 2015 and I saw serious flooding in both years. I sadly won't be surprised to see more isolated "rain bombs" lurking around this year.
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#862 Postby rwfromkansas » Tue May 25, 2021 4:28 pm

Up to 3 inches the past couple days. Definitely beat last week.
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#863 Postby Cpv17 » Tue May 25, 2021 4:59 pm

A lot more rain on the way according to the CPC.
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#864 Postby Cpv17 » Tue May 25, 2021 8:06 pm

This is one wet look for Texas:

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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#865 Postby Haris » Tue May 25, 2021 10:36 pm

Got a solid 2.5" over the weekend after everything else last week. May past 6" at my place and nearing 5" at both official AUS reporting sites...

Data suggesting another several inches next week.. Bring it :D
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#866 Postby bubba hotep » Wed May 26, 2021 9:00 am

The wet/cool pattern looks to continue for Texas well into June. It also looks like we could see it expand westward and bring some much needed rain to Eastern NM and far West Texas.
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#867 Postby aggiecutter » Wed May 26, 2021 12:03 pm

4.5" of rain last night in Texarkana.
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#868 Postby vbhoutex » Wed May 26, 2021 12:12 pm

bubba hotep wrote:The wet/cool pattern looks to continue for Texas well into June. It also looks like we could see it expand westward and bring some much needed rain to Eastern NM and far West Texas.

Can we just shift the whole pattern West far enough to take SE and E TX into the ridge area and out of the trough area aka known as fire hose please?
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#869 Postby Cpv17 » Wed May 26, 2021 12:44 pm

vbhoutex wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:The wet/cool pattern looks to continue for Texas well into June. It also looks like we could see it expand westward and bring some much needed rain to Eastern NM and far West Texas.

Can we just shift the whole pattern West far enough to take SE and E TX into the ridge area and out of the trough area aka known as fire hose please?


No thank you!! Lol
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#870 Postby captainbarbossa19 » Wed May 26, 2021 2:36 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
vbhoutex wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:The wet/cool pattern looks to continue for Texas well into June. It also looks like we could see it expand westward and bring some much needed rain to Eastern NM and far West Texas.

Can we just shift the whole pattern West far enough to take SE and E TX into the ridge area and out of the trough area aka known as fire hose please?


No thank you!! Lol


Lately, ridging has caused us a lot of trouble during wetter summers. If June is wet, often July is somewhat drier and the Gulf starts to really heat up due to the ridge. Later when August or September arrives and there is something in the Gulf, it seems that the ridge is at the wrong place at the wrong time. Careful what you wish for when it comes to ridging.
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#871 Postby gpsnowman » Wed May 26, 2021 2:48 pm

Looks like a temp bust on the high side today with an 89 already in DFW. 90 shouldn't be a problem today with bright sunshine. Actually feels pretry nice out. The upper 80's forecasted tomorrow might be in jeopardy as well if clouds do not return.
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#872 Postby Lagreeneyes03 » Wed May 26, 2021 4:58 pm

vbhoutex wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:The wet/cool pattern looks to continue for Texas well into June. It also looks like we could see it expand westward and bring some much needed rain to Eastern NM and far West Texas.

Can we just shift the whole pattern West far enough to take SE and E TX into the ridge area and out of the trough area aka known as fire hose please?


Shift it right on outta here-I'm not liking 70's next week, that's borderline cold. Pools will never warm up at this rate. Hoping we get a quick and fast heat up and it lasts through October.
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#873 Postby DonWrk » Wed May 26, 2021 5:38 pm

Lagreeneyes03 wrote:
vbhoutex wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:The wet/cool pattern looks to continue for Texas well into June. It also looks like we could see it expand westward and bring some much needed rain to Eastern NM and far West Texas.

Can we just shift the whole pattern West far enough to take SE and E TX into the ridge area and out of the trough area aka known as fire hose please?


Shift it right on outta here-I'm not liking 70's next week, that's borderline cold. Pools will never warm up at this rate. Hoping we get a quick and fast heat up and it lasts through October.


:spam:
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#874 Postby bubba hotep » Wed May 26, 2021 6:44 pm

Wouldn't be surprised to see N. Texas get upgraded from the current Marginal Risk and maybe another round of Flash Flood Watches.

Image
Last edited by bubba hotep on Thu May 27, 2021 6:27 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#875 Postby cheezyWXguy » Thu May 27, 2021 8:15 am

DFW now in the slight risk area for the round of storms tonight. Looks like confidence is increasing that the southward moving MCS will hold together well enough to make it to the area. I think the probabilities could be raised a bit more, as mcs’s lately have seemed to hold together more than modeled, and the nam3k shows an environment characterized of about 2500 cape and 200 srh just before the storms roll in.
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#876 Postby WacoWx » Thu May 27, 2021 8:45 am

Good call, Bubba. You nailed it.

I have a tee time at 9a tomorrow morning in Dallas. Any chance this line has moved through and I will not get rained out??
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#877 Postby EnnisTx » Thu May 27, 2021 9:47 am

bubba hotep wrote:Wouldn't be surprised to see N. Texas get upgraded from the current Marginal Risk and maybe another round of Flash Flood Watches.

https://origin.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/exper/eromap/cwamaps/FWD_Day2.png


On top of that, Looks like the Storm Prediction has moved D/FW into the Slight Risk and the Enhanced has moved Southeast as well.
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#878 Postby Ntxw » Thu May 27, 2021 10:28 am

Late May and early June is MCS season for North Texas.

over 6" so far at DFW for the month so adding to that total. -1.9F below normal which will be the 3rd out of the 5 months so far, unheard of since 2010.
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#879 Postby bubba hotep » Thu May 27, 2021 6:29 pm

Our first really big MCS of the season will push through DFW later this evening, maybe we will get a nice shelf cloud!

Image

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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#880 Postby gpsnowman » Fri May 28, 2021 5:29 am

Bust city. Just woke up and from what I can tell not a drop fell here, at least in Irving anyway.
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