Texas Spring 2021

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cheezyWXguy
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#261 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Mar 27, 2021 3:17 pm

Lots of agitated looking cumulus around Dallas right now. Still looks like we will miss most of the severe weather to the east today, but it does feel like something is trying to happen
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#262 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Mar 27, 2021 6:57 pm

709
WWUS54 KSHV 272346
SVSSHV

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
646 PM CDT Sat Mar 27 2021


TXC347-401-280015-
/O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-210328T0015Z/
Rusk TX-Nacogdoches TX-
646 PM CDT Sat Mar 27 2021

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN RUSK AND NORTHERN NACOGDOCHES COUNTIES...

At 646 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located near Sacul, or 17 miles east of Rusk, moving northeast at 30
mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Cushing, Mount Enterprise, Glenfawn and Laneville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3180 9487 3191 9495 3204 9476 3191 9465
TIME...MOT...LOC 2346Z 238DEG 28KT 3188 9487

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL...1.25IN

$$


--

NWS Warnings Provided by AllisonHouse.com
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#263 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Mar 27, 2021 7:05 pm

810
WFUS54 KSHV 272354
TORSHV
TXC365-401-419-280045-
/O.NEW.KSHV.TO.W.0010.210327T2354Z-210328T0045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
654 PM CDT Sat Mar 27 2021

The National Weather Service in Shreveport has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Southwestern Panola County in northeastern Texas...
Southeastern Rusk County in northeastern Texas...
Northwestern Shelby County in eastern Texas...

* Until 745 PM CDT.

* At 654 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado
was located 7 miles south of Minden, or 17 miles south of
Henderson, moving northeast at 45 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris
may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile
homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete
destruction is possible.

* Locations impacted include...
Carthage, Pinehill, Minden, Mount Enterprise, Gary City, Dotson,
Lawsonville, Laneville and Fairplay.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3228 9436 3206 9418 3184 9468 3184 9475
3195 9484
TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 235DEG 38KT 3191 9472

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL...1.25IN

$$


--

NWS Warnings Provided by AllisonHouse.com
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#264 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Mar 27, 2021 7:18 pm

According to Texas Storm Chasers, there is damage near Mount Enterprise.

This is going to pass near Carthage if it remains on the ground...
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#265 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Mar 27, 2021 7:19 pm

@TxStormChasers — 717PM: Significant tornado moving toward Lake Murvaul, Gary City, Carthage. Be in a safe place NOW! Live video coverage continues...
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#266 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Mar 27, 2021 7:26 pm

Significant tornado with a debris ball, strong velocities, and serious hook echo, all going to pass near the south side of Carthage...
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#267 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Mar 27, 2021 7:28 pm

Somewhat surprised this isn’t a Tornado Emergency for Carthage...

——-

175
WWUS54 KSHV 280022
SVSSHV

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
722 PM CDT Sat Mar 27 2021


TXC365-401-280045-
/O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-210328T0045Z/
Panola TX-Rusk TX-
722 PM CDT Sat Mar 27 2021

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN PANOLA AND SOUTHEASTERN RUSK COUNTIES...

At 722 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located 7 miles southwest of Carthage, moving northeast at 45 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Carthage, Gary City and Dotson.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3207 9459 3225 9433 3209 9420 3197 9451
TIME...MOT...LOC 0022Z 235DEG 38KT 3208 9443

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL...1.25IN

$$


--

NWS Warnings Provided by AllisonHouse.com
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#268 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Mar 27, 2021 7:33 pm

Oh boy... :(

——-
757
WWUS54 KSHV 280031
SVSSHV

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
731 PM CDT Sat Mar 27 2021


TXC365-280045-
/O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-210328T0045Z/
Panola TX-
731 PM CDT Sat Mar 27 2021

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN PANOLA COUNTY...

At 731 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over Carthage, moving northeast at 45 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Carthage and Gary City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3210 9450 3224 9432 3209 9420 3200 9442
TIME...MOT...LOC 0031Z 235DEG 38KT 3214 9434

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL...1.25IN

$$


--

NWS Warnings Provided by AllisonHouse.com
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#269 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Mar 27, 2021 7:42 pm

296
WFUS54 KSHV 280039
TORSHV
LAC017-031-TXC365-280130-
/O.NEW.KSHV.TO.W.0012.210328T0039Z-210328T0130Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
739 PM CDT Sat Mar 27 2021

The National Weather Service in Shreveport has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
West central De Soto Parish in northwestern Louisiana...
Southwestern Caddo Parish in northwestern Louisiana...
Eastern Panola County in northeastern Texas...

* Until 830 PM CDT.

* At 739 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado
was located over Carthage, moving northeast at 30 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris
may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile
homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete
destruction is possible.

* The tornado will be near...
Deberry around 810 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Deadwood, Midyett and Front.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3214 9442 3239 9407 3239 9404 3222 9391
3202 9432
TIME...MOT...LOC 0039Z 234DEG 28KT 3211 9436

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL...1.75IN

$$


--

NWS Warnings Provided by AllisonHouse.com
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#270 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Mar 27, 2021 8:15 pm

888
WWUS54 KSHV 280102
SVSSHV

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
802 PM CDT Sat Mar 27 2021

LAC017-031-TXC365-280130-
/O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-210328T0130Z/
De Soto LA-Caddo LA-Panola TX-
802 PM CDT Sat Mar 27 2021

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT FOR WEST
CENTRAL DE SOTO...SOUTHWESTERN CADDO PARISHES IN NORTHWESTERN
LOUISIANA AND EAST CENTRAL PANOLA COUNTIES...

At 801 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located near Deberry, or 10 miles northeast of Carthage, moving
northeast at 30 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Deadwood, Midyett and Front.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3222 9421 3235 9401 3222 9391 3211 9413
TIME...MOT...LOC 0101Z 234DEG 28KT 3222 9418

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL...1.75IN

$$


--

NWS Warnings Provided by AllisonHouse.com
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#271 Postby Texas Snowman » Sun Mar 28, 2021 9:16 am

Unfortunately, a fatality in Deadwood, Texas after last night’s severe weather in East Texas... :(

The Panola Watchman: “A woman died and at least two other people were injured Saturday night when a tornado hit Panola County, the Panola County Sheriff's Office said.”
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#272 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Sun Mar 28, 2021 11:21 am

That was an impressive supercell.
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#273 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Mar 29, 2021 8:06 am

Video footage of the Carthage, TX Tornado, the tornado was on the south side of Carthage, TX



Link: https://youtu.be/Fmdb5i_M0lI
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Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#274 Postby captainbarbossa19 » Mon Mar 29, 2021 12:56 pm

According to drought.gov, the majority of the state is experiencing precipitation departures 0-75% of normal for the past 60 days. The only areas receiving surplus or normal amounts are the Panhandle and Northeast Texas. I am hoping that things change soon or the subject may quickly switch to talk about extreme drought. Anyone seeing a potential pattern change in the models?
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#275 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Mar 29, 2021 1:40 pm

captainbarbossa19 wrote:According to drought.gov, the majority of the state is experiencing precipitation departures 0-75% of normal for the past 60 days. The only areas receiving surplus or normal amounts are the Panhandle and Northeast Texas. I am hoping that things change soon or the subject may quickly switch to talk about extreme drought. Anyone seeing a potential pattern change in the models?


12z GFS is hinting a potental storm for Southern Texas in Early April (April 7th to April 14th)
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#276 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Mar 29, 2021 7:45 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
captainbarbossa19 wrote:According to drought.gov, the majority of the state is experiencing precipitation departures 0-75% of normal for the past 60 days. The only areas receiving surplus or normal amounts are the Panhandle and Northeast Texas. I am hoping that things change soon or the subject may quickly switch to talk about extreme drought. Anyone seeing a potential pattern change in the models?


12z GFS is hinting a potental storm for Southern Texas in Early April (April 7th to April 14th)


Models are in pretty good agreement on a relatively calm 7-day period for Texas with the next major system out in the 10+ day range. Track is a big question at this point but anything that kicks out this time yr will pose a svr wx threat.
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#277 Postby gpsnowman » Tue Mar 30, 2021 4:39 pm

Maybe some showers overnight, but a nice stretch of weather after today with less humidity. Temps holding in the 60's and 70's for a few days before humidity, warmer temps and storm chances return as we get into April. Might be the last cool shot for a long time.
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#278 Postby aggiecutter » Tue Mar 30, 2021 7:26 pm

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#279 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Mar 30, 2021 7:30 pm

gpsnowman wrote:Maybe some showers overnight, but a nice stretch of weather after today with less humidity. Temps holding in the 60's and 70's for a few days before humidity, warmer temps and storm chances return as we get into April. Might be the last cool shot for a long time.

I remembered that a few years ago, there was a cold front in July that dropped lows to a very crispy 53°F that night, it was AMAZING without the Humidity!
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#280 Postby somethingfunny » Wed Mar 31, 2021 2:40 am

Iceresistance wrote:I remembered that a few years ago, there was a cold front in July that dropped lows to a very crispy 53°F that night, it was AMAZING without the Humidity!


Oklahoma sounds nice :cold:
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