Texas Summer 2021
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
- bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5527
- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Summer 2021
Still a couple more rounds of hi-res model runs to go but this next batch of storms might have WPC upgrading some areas from Slight to Mod for Excessive Rainfall.
Then it looks like we might actually dry out for a few days into next weekend and then all eyes turn towards the Gulf as we watch for something to form in the WCAB or BOC.
Then it looks like we might actually dry out for a few days into next weekend and then all eyes turn towards the Gulf as we watch for something to form in the WCAB or BOC.
1 likes
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
-
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 185
- Joined: Sun Jan 10, 2010 5:36 pm
- Location: Richardson, Texas
Re: Texas Summer 2021
somethingfunny wrote:This is a rain bomb over the northern metro, just sitting and POURING rain and back building over the same areas for hours... I'm glad I'm home now. Stay safe out there!
Insane. My house received 4.85 inches of rain between 10 pm and 1 am.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro
2 likes
Re: Texas Summer 2021
That rain up in there in NTX wasn’t even in the forecast. Wtf lol crazy unpredictable weather.
This is kinda out there but last night’s steering pattern from the Euro looked kinda scary for Texas.
This is kinda out there but last night’s steering pattern from the Euro looked kinda scary for Texas.
2 likes
- bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5527
- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Summer 2021
That is a large area of 1'+ rain on the 12z 3k NAM and it shifted it west some from 06z. I'm not sure what that much rain would do if that gets moved west a bit more, given all the rain we have had recently.
1 likes
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Re: Texas Summer 2021
DonWrk wrote:Looks like the faucet could shut off after the Monday system
It was going to happen but what an incredible stretch of rain and below normal temps lasting well into June. 90's here we come. Boo hiss.
2 likes
- bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5527
- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Summer 2021
More Flash Flood Watches than Tornado Watches so far this year?
0 likes
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 37124
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
Re: Texas Summer 2021
gpsnowman wrote:DonWrk wrote:Looks like the faucet could shut off after the Monday system
It was going to happen but what an incredible stretch of rain and below normal temps lasting well into June. 90's here we come. Boo hiss.
Yeah it's been a fun ride but we knew it was coming eventually. Ugh the humidity is gonna suck though lol
1 likes
#neversummer
- Haris
- Category 5
- Posts: 1808
- Joined: Mon Nov 27, 2017 8:19 pm
- Location: ( Bee Cave) West Austin, Texas
Re: Texas Summer 2021
Brent wrote:gpsnowman wrote:DonWrk wrote:Looks like the faucet could shut off after the Monday system
It was going to happen but what an incredible stretch of rain and below normal temps lasting well into June. 90's here we come. Boo hiss.
Yeah it's been a fun ride but we knew it was coming eventually. Ugh the humidity is gonna suck though lol
And mosquitoes
1 likes
Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
- Texas Snowman
- Storm2k Moderator
- Posts: 6041
- Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
- Location: Denison, Texas
Re: Texas Summer 2021
While I don’t want a really hot, dry run of 2011 like weather, I’ve got to admit that even I’m ready for a little summertime.
For two or three weeks, that is!
For two or three weeks, that is!
1 likes
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- cheezyWXguy
- Category 5
- Posts: 5556
- Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
- Location: Dallas, TX
Re: Texas Summer 2021
Judging by the short term afd from fwd, it is conceivable that we could get one more round tonight before the faucet shuts off for a week or so. They seem to think it could hold together better than the models currently depict. Wouldn’t be the first time lately
0 likes
- starsfan65
- Category 2
- Posts: 675
- Age: 46
- Joined: Thu Dec 17, 2015 1:18 pm
- Location: Garland,Tx
Re: Texas Summer 2021
It will Weaken.cheezyWXguy wrote:Judging by the short term afd from fwd, it is conceivable that we could get one more round tonight before the faucet shuts off for a week or so. They seem to think it could hold together better than the models currently depict. Wouldn’t be the first time lately
0 likes
- cheezyWXguy
- Category 5
- Posts: 5556
- Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
- Location: Dallas, TX
Re: Texas Summer 2021
starsfan65 wrote:It will Weaken.cheezyWXguy wrote:Judging by the short term afd from fwd, it is conceivable that we could get one more round tonight before the faucet shuts off for a week or so. They seem to think it could hold together better than the models currently depict. Wouldn’t be the first time lately
Probably, but maybe not. 30-50% chances don’t offer high confidence, but it’s still something.
“ If it can organize, then there does appear to be a favorable setup for the complex to once again make a run at North Texas, given a developing modest low level jet and the aforementioned instability axis and weak ascent. We've raised PoPs to 40-50% for the overnight hours, but these may need to be nudged upward later this evening. Given the uncertainty in the forecast and areal coverage of thunderstorms, we'll hold off on any additional Flash Flood Watches for tonight, but locally heavy rainfall would be the main threat.”
0 likes
Re: Texas Summer 2021
Wow the 06z GFS has it all for Texas come mid month. A rain bomb right over the metro then a tropical system moving through the heart of the state lol. We will see.
1 likes
Re: Texas Summer 2021
Weak tornado recorded on video just west of Tyler, TX a little while ago. About the same time there was a small thunderstorm just NE of my office building in Longview (I'm on the 4th floor) and we had a great view of a rotating wall cloud that I took a video of. Never saw any touchdowns and then it moved too far away. Never warned. These little storms are very tropical in nature.
Still a tornado warning for Rusk County.
Still a tornado warning for Rusk County.
1 likes
- TeamPlayersBlue
- Category 5
- Posts: 3310
- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 1:44 am
- Location: Denver/Applewood, CO
Re: Texas Summer 2021
I wanted to let you guys know that I have moved to Denver Colorado! Actually more in Lakewood but whatever. I will still be active in this board and interested in Texas weather so I'm not leaving entirely, just wanted to let you guys know!
5 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5527
- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Summer 2021
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:I wanted to let you guys know that I have moved to Denver Colorado! Actually more in Lakewood but whatever. I will still be active in this board and interested in Texas weather so I'm not leaving entirely, just wanted to let you guys know!
Good luck to you up there! That is a great area for weather, most people think cold and snow, but the Spring and Summer months have plenty of storm chasing chances.
2 likes
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5527
- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Summer 2021
That's a legit storm headed towards Texas on the 12z Euro.
4 likes
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5527
- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Summer 2021
bubba hotep wrote:That's a legit storm headed towards Texas on the 12z Euro.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2021060812/ecmwf_mslpaNorm_watl_11.png
Also, very strong EPS support for something in the Western Gulf.
1 likes
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Re: Texas Summer 2021
bubba hotep wrote:That's a legit storm headed towards Texas on the 12z Euro.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2021060812/ecmwf_mslpaNorm_watl_11.png
Unless it starts to hook left a bit, that would be more of a problem for Louisiana than Texas.
0 likes
Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 59 guests