STORM2K

Ok, everyone, June 1st is tomorrow, and with it comes the start of meteorological summer.

So we’ll go ahead and start the Texas summer forum, always the favorite thread of our beloved Wxman57.

Hopefully a cooler and wetter summer than normal. And then a cool and beautiful fall!!!

The worst time for Texas, but it seems like that this summer is going to be closer to Spring.

When May is inactive on Supercells for most of Texas & Oklahoma, something is not right . . .

Iceresistance wrote:The worst time for Texas, but it seems like that this summer is going to be closer to Spring.

When May is inactive on Supercells for most of Texas & Oklahoma, something is not right . . .

I would make the argument that western portions of Texas (primarily west of I-35)have had a decent amount of supercells over the last several weeks.

First day of meteorological summer and I'm out here wearing a light coat... Bruh

Weather Dude wrote:First day of meteorological summer and I'm out here wearing a light coat... Bruh

Welcome to Oklahoma . . .

wxman22 wrote:

Iceresistance wrote:The worst time for Texas, but it seems like that this summer is going to be closer to Spring.

When May is inactive on Supercells for most of Texas & Oklahoma, something is not right . . .

I would make the argument that western portions of Texas (primarily west of I-35)have had a decent amount of supercells over the last several weeks.

I was more focused for Eastern Texas & Most of Oklahoma (The panhandle got a good amount of tornadoes lately).

Lets document lake levels as Summer starts.

North Texas - every single lake is ABOVE the full pool levels

Arlington (TX) 551.24, 550.00, +1.24 6/1/2021 12:00 AM
Benbrook (TX) 705.63, 694.00, +11.63 6/1/2021 7:00 AM
Eagle Mountain (TX) 650.03, 649.00, +1.03 6/1/2021 6:00 AM
Grapevine (TX) 543.97 , 535.00 , +8.97 6/1/2021 7:45 AM
Jim Chapman (TX) 441.06, 440.00, +1.06 5/31/2021 9:47 AM
Joe Pool (TX) 528.27, 522.00, +6.27 6/1/2021 7:00 AM
Lavon (TX) 498.13, 492.00, +6.13 6/1/2021 7:00 AM
Lewisville (TX) 527.00, 522.00, +5.00 6/1/2021 7:15 AM
Mountain Creek (TX) 457.55, 457.00, +0.55 6/1/2021 6:45 AM
Ray Hubbard (TX) 435.86, 435.50, +0.36 6/1/2021 7:00 AM
Ray Roberts (TX) 635.65, 632.50, +3.15 6/1/2021 7:15 AM
Tawakoni (TX) 439.05, 437.50, +1.55 6/1/2021 6:15 AM
Weatherford (TX) 897.11, 896.00, +1.11 6/1/2021 7:45 AM
Worth (TX) 595.78, 594.00, +1.78 6/1/2021 7:00 AM

Central Texas - Still a few lakes below full levels



Belton (TX) 599.38 , 594.00, +5.38 6/1/2021 7:00 AM
Buchanan (TX) 1,014.46 , 1,020.50 , -6.04 5/31/2021 10:05 AM
Canyon (TX) 904.83 , 909.00, -4.17 6/1/2021 7:15 AM
Lyndon B. Johnson (TX) 824.70 , 825.00 , -0.30 5/31/2021 10:05 AM
Somerville (TX) 242.15 , 238.0, +4.15 6/1/2021 7:00 AM
Stillhouse Hollow (TX) 624.11 , 622.00 , +2.11 6/1/2021 7:00 AM
Travis (TX) 662.08 , 681.00 , -18.92 6/1/2021 7:00 AM
Waco (TX) 465.03 , 462.00 , +3.03 6/1/2021 7:15 AM

South Texas - Still need a lot of rain to catch up

Amistad (TX) 1,067.72 , 1,117.00 , -49.28 6/1/2021 5:15 AM
Choke Canyon (TX) 201.76 , 220.50 , -18.74 5/31/2021 7:30 AM
Corpus Christi (TX) 88.46 , 94.00 , -5.54 5/31/2021 10:28 AM
Medina (TX) 1,027.18 , 1,062.00 , -34.82 6/1/2021 7:00 AM

Western North Texas - a few lakes just short of full


Arrowhead (TX) 926.03 , 926.00 , +0.03 6/1/2021 7:00 AM
Bridgeport (TX) 836.17 , 836.00 , +0.17 6/1/2021 7:00 AM
Graham (TX) 1,075.35 , 1,075.00 , +0.35 6/1/2021 7:00 AM
Hubbard Creek (TX) 1,184.69 , 1,183.00 , +1.69 6/1/2021 7:15 AM
Kemp (TX) 1,143.36 , 1,144.00 , -0.64 , 6/1/2021 6:15 AM
Kickapoo (TX) 1,043.11 , 1,045.00, -1.89 6/1/2021 6:00 AM
Millers Creek (TX) 1,335.30 , 1,334.00 , +1.30 6/1/2021 2:00 AM
Phantom Hill (TX) 1,638.68 , 1,635.90 , +2.78 6/1/2021 6:30 AM
Possum Kingdom (TX) 998.96 , 1,000.00 , -1.04 6/1/2021 7:30 AM
Stamford (TX) 1,419.32 , 1,417.00 , +2.32 6/1/2021 7:30 AM

Panhandle / Far West - all need much more rain

Alan Henry (TX) 2,222.00 2,224.00 -2.00 6/1/2021 6:30 AM
Colorado City (TX) 2,053.08 2,070.20 -17.12 5/31/2021 9:35 AM
JB Thomas (TX) 2,223.73 2,258.00 -34.27 6/1/2021 7:45 AM
Meredith (TX) 2,885.61 2,941.00 -55.39 6/1/2021 7:30 AM
Natural Dam Salt (TX) 2,447.29 2,457.00 -9.71 6/1/2021 12:00 AM
O. C. Fisher (TX) 1,865.10 1,908.00 -42.90 6/1/2021 5:00 AM
Red Bluff (TX) 2,814.27 2,827.13 -12.86 6/1/2021 6:15 AM
Twin Buttes (TX) 1,927.74 1,940.00 -12.26 6/1/2021 12:00 AM

dhweather wrote:Lets document lake levels as Summer starts.

North Texas - every single lake is ABOVE the full pool levels

Arlington (TX) 551.24, 550.00, +1.24 6/1/2021 12:00 AM
Benbrook (TX) 705.63, 694.00, +11.63 6/1/2021 7:00 AM
Eagle Mountain (TX) 650.03, 649.00, +1.03 6/1/2021 6:00 AM
Grapevine (TX) 543.97 , 535.00 , +8.97 6/1/2021 7:45 AM
Jim Chapman (TX) 441.06, 440.00, +1.06 5/31/2021 9:47 AM
Joe Pool (TX) 528.27, 522.00, +6.27 6/1/2021 7:00 AM
Lavon (TX) 498.13, 492.00, +6.13 6/1/2021 7:00 AM
Lewisville (TX) 527.00, 522.00, +5.00 6/1/2021 7:15 AM
Mountain Creek (TX) 457.55, 457.00, +0.55 6/1/2021 6:45 AM
Ray Hubbard (TX) 435.86, 435.50, +0.36 6/1/2021 7:00 AM
Ray Roberts (TX) 635.65, 632.50, +3.15 6/1/2021 7:15 AM
Tawakoni (TX) 439.05, 437.50, +1.55 6/1/2021 6:15 AM
Weatherford (TX) 897.11, 896.00, +1.11 6/1/2021 7:45 AM
Worth (TX) 595.78, 594.00, +1.78 6/1/2021 7:00 AM

Lake Texoma is 3.52-feet above normal at 620.52-feet on 6/1/2021.

Since June 1st is also the start of hurricane season, let’s do a forecast for the Texas Gulf Coast.

My prediction:

2 tropical storms
1 hurricane
1 major hurricane

Well, here we are in meteorological summer. Sure is looking wet for the next 10 days or so. We will see how long this pattern persists, but it appears likely that summer will at least feature average precipitation and temperatures. I will not be surprised to see above average precipitation either. However, even wetter summers can still feature dry spells in between rainy periods.

Texas Snowman wrote:Since June 1st is also the start of hurricane season, let’s do a forecast for the Texas Gulf Coast.

My prediction:

2 tropical storms
1 hurricane
1 major hurricane

Also up to 5 Tropical Disturbances . . .

Happy Fall Y'all........

Weather Dude wrote:First day of meteorological summer and I'm out here wearing a light coat... Bruh

Seriously what is happening lol

This has got to be close to record lows for June

Texas Snowman wrote:Since June 1st is also the start of hurricane season, let’s do a forecast for the Texas Gulf Coast.

My prediction:

2 tropical storms
1 hurricane
1 major hurricane

No help from the EPAC due to cooler temps (active EPAC typically suppresses Western Gulf activity) but the current pattern holds though the summer leaving a weakness over the Central and Western Gulf. Overall, it will be hard for stronger systems to get very far west into the Gulf.

1 Tropical Storm - Central Texas Coast
1 Hurricane - Landfall east of Houston

Overall, another active Gulf season but mostly into the Central Gulf Coast.

75 at noon on June 2. Amazing. Only downside is it’s not hot enough for neighborhood pool.

rwfromkansas wrote:75 at noon on June 2. Amazing. Only downside is it’s not hot enough for neighborhood pool.

Do not worry. The heat always finds a way in Texas.