Texas Spring 2024

[bubba hotep]

Two potentially problematic cells out west of DFW. Depends on how far NE they can get before hooking back SE.

[snownado]

Two potentially problematic cells out west of DFW. Depends on how far NE they can get before hooking back SE.

At least for the northern part of DFW (proper), I'm definitely seeing on the radar how it may be spared now (and what the HRRR has been depicting).

Still a bit too soon to say for certain though.

[HockeyTx82]

Two potentially problematic cells out west of DFW. Depends on how far NE they can get before hooking back SE.

At least for the northern part of DFW (proper), I'm definitely seeing on the radar how it may be spared now (and what the HRRR has been depicting).

Still a bit too soon to say for certain though.

It's Svr Warned now and moving east. Yes, I think the HRRR might hold up.

Stay safe everyone!

[Fifty Rock]

That storm just came through here with ping pong size hail. It's rotating as well, would not be surprised to see it drop a tornado before long.

[cheezyWXguy]

Think the western storm will miss dfw to south, but that eastern one palo pinto could be problematic

[snownado]

Think the western storm will miss dfw to south, but that eastern one palo pinto could be problematic

Assuming it maintains intensity (it's weakened a bit for now)...

[rwfromkansas]

Palo Pinto storm is turning east more. If it maintains this position, it may hit me. But, it may turn slightly SE like the other one and miss me to the south. If it gets huge hail, I hope it does.

[cheezyWXguy]

I may be following the wrong green squiggly line (ie boundary) on radar, but it looks to me like all these extra storms in the north are causing the stationary front to move south (I guess then it’s not stationary anymore). North of the front storms have been moving more ene while storms south seem to be more likely to dive ese. If this is the case, the metro probably has a greater chance of seeing storms in general in form of elevated hailers while the tornado threat shifts south out of the area. Any thoughts on this?

[rwfromkansas]

I may be following the wrong green squiggly line (ie boundary) on radar, but it looks to me like all these extra storms in the north are causing the stationary front to move south (I guess then it’s not stationary anymore). North of the front storms have been moving more ene while storms south seem to be more likely to dive ese. If this is the case, the metro probably has a greater chance of seeing storms in general in form of elevated hailers while the tornado threat shifts south out of the area. Any thoughts on this?

I think the front was slightly further south, but I see that green line you mention. I am north of it now, and my dewpoint has dropped significantly. On RS it looked like it shot out from a storm to the north to me, but hard to tell...

[snownado]

I may be following the wrong green squiggly line (ie boundary) on radar, but it looks to me like all these extra storms in the north are causing the stationary front to move south (I guess then it’s not stationary anymore). North of the front storms have been moving more ene while storms south seem to be more likely to dive ese. If this is the case, the metro probably has a greater chance of seeing storms in general in form of elevated hailers while the tornado threat shifts south out of the area. Any thoughts on this?

So in essence, it's an outflow boundary (which may end becoming an effective "cold" front).

If anything, as radar tends are hinting at, this would help DFW avoid much of the severe activity

[rwfromkansas]

Palo Pinto storm is turning further SE as well. So, good news for at least central/northern Tarrant County. Southern Tarrant and Dallas could still get some impacts. And this assumes no further development. That could change things.

[HockeyTx82]

Did that one storm eat the other storm northwest of Granbury?

[HockeyTx82]

I may be following the wrong green squiggly line (ie boundary) on radar, but it looks to me like all these extra storms in the north are causing the stationary front to move south (I guess then it’s not stationary anymore). North of the front storms have been moving more ene while storms south seem to be more likely to dive ese. If this is the case, the metro probably has a greater chance of seeing storms in general in form of elevated hailers while the tornado threat shifts south out of the area. Any thoughts on this?

So in essence, it's an outflow boundary (which may end becoming an effective "cold" front).

If anything, as radar tends are hinting at, this would help DFW avoid much of the severe activity

It looks like it's killing the storms moving east, for now at least.

[txtwister78]

Palo Pinto storm is turning further SE as well. So, good news for at least central/northern Tarrant County. Southern Tarrant and Dallas could still get some impacts. And this assumes no further development. That could change things.

Yup. With the boundary clearly moving through DFW, that should be all she wrote in terms of any significant severe weather there (should stabilize things somewhat). Watching Central Texas now and to see how far SE storms can get once they develop (in particular those trying to go up just east of San Angelo).

Elevated stuff along the river still has some pockets of hail up to quarters.

[snownado]

The DFW cap of steel remains undefeated this season...

[cstrunk]

Did that one storm eat the other storm northwest of Granbury?

The forward flank of the SW cell interfered with the other storm causing it to weaken significantly.

*Edit - Also the southward moving outflow boundary from the northern storms as others just pointed out.

[Anti-freeze]

The Red River always seems to get more and worst storms in May than DFW, and Granbury is a tornado magnet, so seems about right today.

[cstrunk]

The Red River always seems to get more and worst storms in May than DFW, and Granbury is a tornado magnet, so seems about right today.

That seems to hold true for NE TX as well. The US 82 corridor sees a ton of supercells, it seems.

[Quixotic]

Outflow boundary for the win.

[rwfromkansas]

The supercell is tracking pretty much where the HRRR had it a couple times today. Fascinating how things can change. I didn't want monster hail, but I will still take any rain before summer.