Texas Spring 2024

[CaptinCrunch]

Yesterday's storms were very spotty, but the 1 that did get going was intense for sure.

As for southern Tarrant we saw spotty light rain here and there. Don't think much fell over night as well, seeing storms to the SW that may effect DFW area but looks like typical spring thunder showers.

[vbhoutex]

We've had some overnight spits and have storms making noise within 15 miles or so, but no significant rain yet. Some areas of the Houston metro are actually ahead on rainfall and then there is my home in Cypress(NW Harris County) that hasn't seen any significant rain since 2/3. Ground is actually hard to push stakes into. Bring on the rain!! I know! I know! Watch out what you ask for!!
Where we used to live is prone to severe street flooding due to old outdated infrastructure. Where we live now has massive detention basins and is built based on updated requirements so we don't have any worry about flooding unless we have another Harvey hit the area.

[Gotwood]

Received some golf ball sized hail at my house around 2 am lol. I cherished the rain and cooler temps.

[rwfromkansas]

Looks like a decent complex to the west. Hope it comes through DFW and holds together.

[Edwards Limestone]

Latest HRRR develops storms today mostly south and east of the Edwards Plateau.

[Iceresistance]

New Hail record in Pontotoc County, OK set yesterday
 https://x.com/NWSNorman/status/1768687342792130597

[South Texas Storms]

Latest HRRR develops storms today mostly south and east of the Edwards Plateau.

Yeah unfortunately that outflow boundary is gonna shaft areas from SA northward from our first round of storms today. Thankfully we have more good chances arriving this weekend. Hopefully we can cash in some from that.

[Edwards Limestone]

Latest HRRR develops storms today mostly south and east of the Edwards Plateau.

Yeah unfortunately that outflow boundary is gonna shaft areas from SA northward from our first round of storms today. Thankfully we have more good chances arriving this weekend. Hopefully we can cash in some from that.

Weird watch outline imo considering that outflow boundary position...idk. Maybe just being on the safe side.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 54
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
135 PM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
southern and southeastern Texas
Coastal Waters

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 135 PM until
800 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
Widespread large hail likely with isolated very large hail
events to 3 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to expand in coverage across
southern and eventually into southeastern Texas over the next few
hours. Very large hail will be possible with these storms, along
with potential for locally damaging wind gusts and perhaps a
tornado. Storms may linger into the evening, particularly across
western portions of the watch across the Rio Grande Valley vicinity.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles either side of a line from 95 miles west of Hondo TX
to 15 miles northeast of Galveston TX. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 53...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.

...Goss

[txtwister78]

Latest HRRR develops storms today mostly south and east of the Edwards Plateau.

Yeah unfortunately that outflow boundary is gonna shaft areas from SA northward from our first round of storms today. Thankfully we have more good chances arriving this weekend. Hopefully we can cash in some from that.

Weird watch outline imo considering that outflow boundary position...idk. Maybe just being on the safe side.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0054_radar_init_resize.gif

Response to Edwards Limestone: Not necessarily. Storms beginning to develop along the border of Mexico and those appear to be headed toward Eagle Pass as well as another cluster near Camp Wood. I would say the northern area of the watch within the southern HC was probably more of an "err on the safe side" of things to your point but that's not unusual when these are issued IMO. Environment up there was definitely more stable today.

On the positive side of things...HRRR which has been handling today fairly well overall still onboard with some hefty rainfall amounts over the weekend across the San Antonio metro.

[cheezyWXguy]

I’m sure it’ll be gone next run, but yeesh, that negatively tilted bowling ball trough at hour 216 on the 12z gfs would likely set up for a pretty notable severe weather episode for Texas

[cstrunk]

Another good soaker last night IMBY. 1.87" since midnight.

[Texas Snowman]

Interesting…

 https://x.com/nbergwx/status/1768809474024714549

[snownado]

Normally, this type of weather would piss me off.

But the way I see it, let's get it all out of the way before the Solar Eclipse.

[Brent]

There's places in Wisconsin that haven't seen a flake of snow all month wow

Oh and I totally agree on getting the bad weather out of here before the eclipse hopefully

[snownado]

There's places in Wisconsin that haven't seen a flake of snow all month wow

Oh and I totally agree on getting the bad weather out of here before the eclipse hopefully

The bolded is likely to change next week.

There's even snowstorm potential.

[cheezyWXguy]

Interesting…

 https://x.com/nbergwx/status/1768809474024714549

Despite what I posted above about the system I noted probably “being gone next run” the gfs has been somewhat consistent in showing that system in some form around 3/25. I haven’t checked other models yet, but I wonder if that system is responsible for the signal depicted here.

[txtwister78]

Still optimistic that San Antonio metro gets our rain later tonight (despite southern areas getting over an inch thus far). One thing that models have underdone today in our favor down in this area is surface temps. With the sun out this afternoon, temps are already pushing close to 80 and that should help with destabilization to support and maintain thunderstorms that most models develop off to our west/southwest tonight pushing into SA metro around midnight.

[HockeyTx82]

Interesting…

 https://x.com/nbergwx/status/1768809474024714549

Despite what I posted above about the system I noted probably “being gone next run” the gfs has been somewhat consistent in showing that system in some form around 3/25. I haven’t checked other models yet, but I wonder if that system is responsible for the signal depicted here.

You know things are bad when the supercell parameter outlook looks like a giant supercell.

[Edwards Limestone]

Still optimistic that San Antonio metro gets our rain later tonight (despite southern areas getting over an inch thus far). One thing that models have underdone today in our favor down in this area is surface temps. With the sun out this afternoon, temps are already pushing close to 80 and that should help with destabilization to support and maintain thunderstorms that most models develop off to our west/southwest tonight pushing into SA metro around midnight.

I’ll believe it when I see it. It’s been maddening watching everywhere around the southern hill country get rain but here. Hopefully tonight/tomorrow brings some good rainfall.

[Ntxw]

About 3/4th's of an inch today at DFW airport which brings the total over 4.28" or so for March.