Caribbean - Central America Weather

[cycloneye]

Good morning everyone
The Saharan dust and the drought continues on St Maarten as it does for much of the Caribbean. I cannot remember seeing it this bad. Everything is dry and brown. We need rain desperately.
On another note, the underwater volcano Kick' em Jenny is acting up. Grenada and neighborhood islands have been placed on orange alert.
http://www.antillean.org/kick-em-jenny-eruption-246/

Incredible the drought in the Caribbean and there is no relief in sight soon.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
408 AM AST SAT JUL 25 2015

.DISCUSSION...DRIER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS REMAIN THE RULE ACROSS
THE REGION THOUGH PATCHES OF SOMEWHAT HIGHER MOISTURE WILL PASS
THROUGH. ONE SUCH PATCH IS EVIDENT EARLY THIS MORNING AND RADAR
INDICATES SCATTERED...BUT BRIEF...SHOWERS OVER USVI. GFS SHOWS THE
MOISTURE EXITING WESTERN PR IN AFTERNOON BUT ENOUGH MIGHT LINGER
TO PRODUCE SHOWERS FOR THE WEST AND MODEL SOUNDINGS CERTAINLY SHOW
ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR SOME THUNDER. THIS MOISTURE IS ON THE
DOWNWIND SIDE OF A TROPICAL WAVE. THE WAVE AXIS WILL PASS PR
DURING AFTERNOON COINCIDENT WITH THE DRIER AIR. BETTER MOISTURE IS
CURRENTLY JUST EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ALONG WITH ANOTHER...
WEAKER...TROPICAL WAVE. THIS WILL MOVE NORTHWEST AND BRUSH
THROUGH THE AREA EARLY SUNDAY...BUT MAINLY IN THE CARIBBEAN. NO
OTHER SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER THE ISLANDS
DURING THIS NEXT WEEK. LIMITING SHOWER ACTIVITY MUCH OF THE TIME
ALSO WILL BE MORE SAHARAN AIR...MOST EVIDENT IN MODEL SOUNDINGS
GENERALLY JUST ABOVE 850 MB AND BY SOMEWHAT STRONGER THAN NORMAL
WINDS NEAR THAT LEVEL.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONT ACRS PR/USVI THRU WEEKEND XCPT OUTSIDE CHC
BRF MVFR AND OBSCD MTNS IN SHRA/TSRA BOTH AFT FOR CENTRAL/WESTERN
PR. WIND BLW FL100 E 12-21 KT BCMG SE AT TIMES TONITE THEN INCR
16-28 KT SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WILL MAINTAIN
NEAR 25N THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE COLUMBIAN
COAST AND A COUPLE OF TROPICAL WAVES PASSING BY WILL SLIGHTLY INCREASE
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA...PARTICULARLY ON
SUNDAY. WINDS AND RESULTANT SEAS WILL INCREASE ACCORDINGLY AND IT
MIGHT REQUIRE A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY BY SUNDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 91 78 91 80 / 30 10 20 10
STT 89 80 89 80 / 30 20 20 10

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
234 PM AST SAT JUL 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE LOCAL WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW/TUTT WILL RELOCATE NORTHWEST
OF PUERTO RICO BY MIDWEEK. MEANWHILE...A TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT ACROSS THE REGION ALLOWING SCATTERED SHOWERS
TO FORM MAINLY OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AND PORTIONS OF USVI/PR
ON SUNDAY MORNING. STABLE CONDITIONS WILL RETURN LATE SUNDAY AND
CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A BAND OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK
TROUGH MOVED ACROSS THE ISLANDS TODAY. AS A RESULT...PASSING SHOWERS
WERE OBSERVED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND WINDWARD AREAS EARLY
THIS MORNING WHILE AFTERNOON CONVECTION HAVE DEVELOPED OVER NORTHWEST
PR. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL SO FAR HAS OCCURRED OVER SAN SEBASTIAN...
ANASCO AND LAS MARIAS. THIS AFTERNOON CONVECTION IS FORECAST TO
DISSIPATE BEFORE SUNSET. THEN...LIMITED SHOWERS ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT.

A RELATIVELY DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE
LOCAL REGION UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID LEVEL RIDGE. THE
AFOREMENTIONED TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST TO MOVE JUST SOUTH OF THE
ISLANDS ON SUNDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...EXPECT A FEW ROUNDS OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AND MONA PASSAGE AS
WELL AS PORTIONS OF USVI AND EASTERN PR. NO SIGNIFICANT SHOWERS
OR RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THIS WAVE AS THE
BEST MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN
OVER THE WATERS SOUTH OF PR/USVI. MOISTURE WILL DROP BELOW NORMAL
LATE SUNDAY...LIMITING THE SHOWER ACTIVITY ONCE AGAIN. LOCAL
EFFECTS WILL GENERATE A FEW SHOWERS EACH AFTERNOON OVER WESTERN
PR. SAHARAN DUST CONCETRATIONS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH
MONDAY...INCREASING AGAIN ON TUESDAY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER MOST TERMINALS
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE ONLY EXCEPTION BEING TJBQ AND TJMZ WHERE
ISOLD SHWRS/TSTMS MAY HAVE AN IMPACT ON OPERATIONS THRU 21Z. LOW
LVL WINDS SHOULD REMAIN MAINLY EASTERLY AT 15-20 KTS...EXCEPT FOR
THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZES AFFECTING BOTH TJMZ AND TJBQ.

&&

.MARINE...TRANQUIL MARINE CONDS EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.
MARINERS CAN EXPECTED SEAS OF 2-4 FEET AND WINDS AROUND 15 KT
THE REST OF TODAY. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT ON
SUNDAY AS A TROPICAL WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE NOT EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 78 91 80 91 / 20 20 10 20
STT 80 89 80 90 / 20 20 10 20

&&

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
341 AM AST SUN JUL 26 2015

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS/SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE PASSING IN
CARIBBEAN WATERS...SOON TO REACH MONA PASSAGE. SATELLITE IMAGES
SHOW SHOWERS...THOUGH MAYBE NOT THUNDER ATTM...EXTENDING INTO THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN. MOST OF THIS MOISTURE AND THE WAVE ITSELF WILL
HAVE MINIMAL EFFECT ON PR/USVI THOUGH THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD NOT BE
TAKEN LIGHTLY ON OPEN WATER.

MODELS SHOW SAHARAN AIR ONCE AGAIN APPROACHING AND WILL BE WITH
US MUCH OF THIS WEEK...ESPECIALLY ON TUE/WED. EXPECT IT TO REDUCE
THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS EVEN LESS THAN WHAT WE MIGHT EXPECT WITH
BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITABLE WATER...WHICH IT WILL BE EVERYDAY EXCEPT
POSSIBLY THU INTO EARLY FRI.

&&

.AVIATION...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE TAF SITE
DURING THE FCST PERIOD. HOWEVER...SHRA ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK
TROPICAL WAVE THAT IS EXITING THE AREA...COULD BRING PERIODS OF
SHRA/-TSRA MAINLY OVER THE OFFSHORE CARIBBEAN WATERS/MONA PASSAGE
THIS MORNING...THEN BETWEEN 26/17-22Z SHRA/TSRA ARE STILL POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE NW SECTIONS OF PR. BRIEF MVFR CONDS AND MTN TOP OBSCD ARE
POSSIBLE AT TJMZ/TJBQ. SFC WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE E-SE AT 10
TO 20 KT...WITH SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS AFTER 26/13Z.

&&

.MARINE...TROPICAL WAVE WILL PASS SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO RICO MAINLY
THIS MORNING. EXPECT IT TO KICK UP THE WIND A LITTLE...INCLUDING
NEAR THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST CORNERS OF THE ISLAND AND
EXTENDING INTO THE CARIBBEAN AND MONA PASSAGE. SEAS SHOULD NOT
INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY AS THE WINDS WILL BE RATHER SHORT LIVED.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WAS ISSUED ONLY FOR TODAY. OTHERWISE
MODERATE TRADES WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY PART OF THIS WEEK.
WINDS AND SEAS MAY BE BRIEFLY HIGHER NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 90 79 90 79 / 20 10 20 10
STT 89 80 89 80 / 20 10 20 20

[Gustywind]

Good morning everyone
The Saharan dust and the drought continues on St Maarten as it does for much of the Caribbean. I cannot remember seeing it this bad. Everything is dry and brown. We need rain desperately.
On another note, the underwater volcano Kick' em Jenny is acting up. Grenada and neighborhood islands have been placed on orange alert.
http://www.antillean.org/kick-em-jenny-eruption-246/

Hi Barbara glad to see you back Agree with you, pretty worrying situation in most of the EC! Let's keep our fingers crossed and hope for the best even if things are difficult.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
455 AM AST MON JUL 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE LOCAL WEATHER
CONDITIONS THROUGH TUESDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW/TUTT WILL
RELOCATE NEAR PUERTO RICO FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. A SAHARAN
AIR LAYER WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION AT LEAST UNTIL THURSDAY. A
TROPICAL WAVE WITH AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE ARE EXPECTED BY
THURSDAY AND INTO FRIDAY. ONCE AGAIN...ANOTHER SAHARAN AIR LAYER
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION....MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH HAZE AND PASSING CLOUDS
PREVAILED OVERNIGHT. SOME SHOWERS MOVED ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS
BUT NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS WERE DETECTED OVER LAND.

STABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED UNTIL THURSDAY DUE TO THE PRESENCE
OF A MID LEVEL RIDGE THAT WILL SET UP OVER THE REGION AT LEAST
UNTIL TUESDAY. ALSO...A SAHARAN AIR LAYER WILL PERSIST AT LEAST
UNTIL THURSDAY...TO RESULT IN DRY AND STABLE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THRU MOST OF THE WORK WEEK. THEREFORE...DRY AIR AND TRADE WIND CAP
WILL LIMIT SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...MOSTLY
CONFINED EACH AFTERNOON OVER SECTIONS OF WESTERN PR AND A FEW
SPRINKLES OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND SECTIONS OF EASTERN PR
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE CWA BY THURSDAY. MODEL
GUIDANCE HAVE THE BULK OF TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER THE CARIBBEAN
WATERS. A TUTT LOW IS FORECAST TO BUILD OVER THE REGION TUESDAY
INTO THURSDAY. THE INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED TO THE TUTT LOW AND THE
TROPICAL MOISTURE OF THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL BE ENOUGH TO ENHANCE
THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT BY THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY. THE AMOUNT OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL
DEPEND ON THE POSITION OF THE TUTT LOW WHICH COULD FAVOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF AN INDUCE SURFACE TROUGH. DRIER CONDITIONS RETURN
QUICKLY LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS SAL MOVES OVER THE REGION AND
HOLDS THRU THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE LOCAL
FLYING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...VCSH/VCTS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS TJMZ AND TJBQ AFTER 27/17Z. LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL
CONTINUE MAINLY EAST AT 10 TO 15 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

&&

.MARINE...MARINERS CAN EXPECT SEAS BETWEEN 2 AND 5 FEET WITH
OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 6 FEET AND WINDS BELOW 18 KNOTS. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE UP TO 20 KNOTS LATE IN THE MORNING HOURS AND
INTO THE AFTERNOON. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS THE
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...THE CARIBBEAN OFFSHORE AND COASTAL
WATERS AND THE MONA PASSAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 91 79 90 80 / 20 10 20 10
STT 90 80 90 78 / 20 20 20 20

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
324 PM AST MON JUL 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUED IN PLACE ACROSS THE
ATLANTIC AND WILL DOMINATE THE LOCAL WEATHER PATTERN AT LEAST THROUGH
TUESDAY. STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS
THE SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC. THIS WILL HELP TO MAINTAIN MODERATE
EASTERLY TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE WEEK. A TROPICAL
WAVE IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN BY MID WEEK...THEN MOVE
ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS ON THURSDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HOT AND HAZY CONDITIONS PREVAILED ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY WITH LIMITED SHOWERS ACTIVITY...AS A STRONG CAP INVERSION
AND AND THE PRESENCE OF SAHARAN DUST LIMITED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND HAZY CONDITIONS DURING OVERNIGHT HOURS
AND ON TUESDAY. SOME LIGHT PASSING SHOWERS MAY MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL
WATERS BUT NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED OVER LAND.

AT LEAST UNTIL WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...EXPECT FAIRLY DRY AND STABLE
CONDITIONS DUE TO THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING... LIMITED MOISTURE
ADVECTION...AND THE PRESENCE OF SAHARAN DUST PARTICULATES.
AFTERNOON CONVECTION IF ANY WILL BE FOCUSED MAINLY OVER SECTIONS
OF WESTERN PUERTO RICO. LESSER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS EXPECTED OVER
THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON TUESDAY.

BY WEDNESDAY...RIDGE ALOFT IS TO GRADUALLY ERODE AS AN UPPER LEVEL
LOW/TUTT WILL RELOCATE WESTWARD ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND NAAPS AEROSOL PRODUCT CONTINUED
TO SUGGEST THE SAHARAN AIR LAYER WAS NOW SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION...
WITH THE HIGHEST CONCENTRATION OF SUSPENDED SAHARAN DUST TO AFFECT
THE REGION TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH BY MID
WEEK.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN LATE
WEDNESDAY...THEN MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY. THIS ALONG WITH
THE REPOSITIONING OF THE TUTT LOW ALOFT WILL HELP CREATE UPPER LEVEL
INSTABILITY...AND THEREFORE INCREASE THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE WORK WEEK. MODELS
HOWEVER STILL SUGGEST...DRIER CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY RETURN BY
THE WEEKEND AS THE SAHARAN AIR LAYER WILL AGAIN MOVE OVER THE
REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOCAL TERMINALS. SHRA
EXPECTED IN AND AROUND TJMZ THROUGH 27/21Z. ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
BRIEF SHRA ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA OVERNIGHT...THEREFORE BRIEF VCSH IS
POSSIBLE ACROSS TIST/TISX AS WELL AS TJSJ. SUSPENDED SAHARAN DUST
PRESENT OVER THE AREA BUT VISIBILITY EXPECTED TO REMAIN P6SM.
EASTERLY WINDS WITH SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS AT AROUND 15-20 KTS AND
GUSTY THROUGH REST OF THE DAY...GRADUALLY DIMINISHING TO AROUND
5-10 KTS AFTER 28/00Z INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS INCREASING
AGAIN TO AROUND 15 KNOTS AFTER 28/13Z.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS UP TO 20 KNOTS AND LOCAL SEAS UP TO 6 FEET. SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS MOST OF THE LOCAL WATERS OVERNIGHT
THROUGHTUESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 78 89 79 89 / 10 20 20 20
STT 80 90 79 89 / 20 20 20 20

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
305 PM AST TUE JUL 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TUTT LOW NOW CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARDS WILL CONTINUE TO RETROGRESS
OVER THE REGION DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MID LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
WILL HOWEVER LINGER JUST NORTH OF THE REGION AT LEAST UNTIL WEDNESDAY...WHEN
IT IS THEN FORECAST TO ERODE. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC. THIS WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE
TO STRONG EASTERLY TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK. A TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
BY WEDNESDAY. IT IS TO THEN MOVE ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS ON THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY...WHILE TRANSPORTING A SURGE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE. THIS
EXPECTED OVERALL PATTERN WILL INCREASE THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORM ACROSS THE ISLANDS AND LOCAL WATERS... WITH POTENTIAL
FOR PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AT TIMES IN ISOLATED AREAS.

&&
.DISCUSSION...MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO HELP
LIMIT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...EXCEPT FOR
PARTS OF WEST PR WHERE LOCAL FORCING AND DIURNAL EFFECTS MAY LEAD
TO SOME SHOWER DEVELOPMENT ACROSS PARTS OF THE INTERIOR SECTIONS
OF PUERTO RICO LATE IN THE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. THE PREVAILING
LOW LEVEL EASTERLIES WILL HOWEVER CONTINUE TO SPREAD THE SAHARAN AIR
LAYER ACROSS THE REGION AND THEREFORE BRING HOT AND OVERAL DRY AND
HAZY CONDITIONS DUE TO THE SUSPENDED DUST PATRTCULATES. THIS WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPRESS SIGNIFICANT SHOWER DEVELOPMENT AT LEAST
UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY.

BY WEDNESDAY...THE TUTT LOW IS FORECAST TO RELOCATE OVERHEAD
WHILE MID LEVEL RIDGE ERODES. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR MORE MOISTURE
ADVECTION AND POOLING ACROSS THE REGION AS THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE
AND ASSOCIATED TROPICAL MOISTURE CROSSES THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
RECENT MODEL GUIDANCE...ALL SUGGEST INCREASING MOISTURE WITH BETTER
POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ISLANDS AND
SURROUNDING WATERS AS THESE TWO FEATURES INTERACT. BY THE WEEKEND
HOWEVER...LESSER ACTIVITY AND DECREASING MOISTURE TRANSPORT IS
EXPECTED...AS TUTT SHIFTS FARTHER WEST AND WEAKENS...AND THE
SURFACE HIGH REESTABLISHES ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
VCSH/VCTS POSSIBLE ACROSS TJMZ AFTER 28/17Z. SAHARAN DUST PRESENT
CAUSING HAZE BUT VISIBILITY EXPECTED TO REMAIN P6SM. WINDS FROM THE
EAST WITH SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS AT 15-20 KNOTS AND GUSTY FOR THE
REST OF TODAY...DIMINISHING AFTER 29/00Z TO 5-10 KTS...INCREASING
ONCE AGAIN TO AROUND 15 KTS AFTER 29/13Z.

&&

.MARINE...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION AS SEAS
WILL BE UP TO 6 FEET AND WINDS UP TO 20 KNOTS. PLEASE REFER TO THE
LATEST COASTAL WATERS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WFO SAN JUAN PR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 79 91 79 91 / 20 20 10 30
STT 79 90 79 90 / 20 30 30 30

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
532 AM AST WED JUL 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN BY TODAY. IT IS TO THEN MOVE ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS
ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WHILE TRANSPORTING A SURGE OF TROPICAL
MOISTURE. TUTT LOW WILL CONTINUE TO RETROGRESS OVER THE REGION
NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SOME VERY LIGHT SHOWERS WERE NOTED OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS. IN GENERAL...DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS PREVAILED ACROSS THE
LOCAL REGION OVERNIGHT. FOR TODAY...DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE TO
DOMINATES THE REGION WITH ONLY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MAINLY OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR
AND WEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO.

LATEST WATER VAPOR SATELITE IMAGES SHOWS WELL DEFINED TUTT LOW
NORTH OF THE AREA. THIS FEATURE WILL CONTINUE TO RETROGRESS
ACROSS THE REGION NEXT FEW DAYS. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO BE IN A
FAVORABLE AREA FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FRIDAY. IN
ADDITION...A TROPICAL WAVE WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE
EAST. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE MAINLY FRIDAY...WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ACROSS THE REGION EXPECTED TO REACH
AROUND 2.10 INCHES BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. FOR THE WEEKEND...ANOTHER
AREA OF DRY AIR WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. BY MONDAY...ANOTHER
TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO PASS ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOCAL FLYING AREA
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. VCSH/VCTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS TJMZ
AND TJBQ AFTER 29/17Z. SUSPENDED SAHARAN DUST WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE REGION...BUT VISIBILITY EXPECTED TO REMAIN P6SM. EAST WINDS WILL
PREVAIL AROUND 15 KTS FM SFC TO FL100.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS UP TO 5 FEET AND WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. 5 FEET
MAINLY ACROSS THE OFFSHORE CARIBBEAN WATERS...ELSEWHERE 4 FEET
OR LESS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED
TODAY...MAINLY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO
RICO. REFER TO THE FIRE DANGER STATEMENT FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS
ABOUT THE CURRENT CONDITIONS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 91 78 89 78 / 20 10 30 20
STT 90 79 89 79 / 20 30 30 30

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED JUL 29 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave accompanied by a broad low pressure system continues
to produce shower and thunderstorm activity a couple of hundred
miles south-southeast of the Cape Verde Islands. Environmental
conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for slow
development of this disturbance through the weekend while it moves
westward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
250 PM AST WED JUL 29 2015

TUTT LOW NOW CENTERED OVERHEAD WILL CONTINUE TO RETROGRESS DURING
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. A TROPICAL WAVE WITH AXIS JUST EAST OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES...WILL ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN OVERNIGHT.
THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS ON
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WHILE TRANSPORTING A SURGE OF TROPICAL
MOISTURE WHICH WILL INTERACT WITH THE TUTT LOW ALREADY IN PLACE
ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.DISCUSSION... FEW SHOWERS WERE NOTED FORMING OVER PORTIONS OF
THE WEST INTERIOR AND THE COASTAL WATERS BETWEEN EASTERN PUERTO
RICO AND THE NORTHERN VIRGIN ISLANDS. OVERALL...DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS
PREVAILED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION AS THE SAHARAN AIR LAYER SMOTHERED
THE REGION AND CONTINUED TO LIMIT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. STILL EXPECT
A FEW MORE SHOWERS MAY FORM DURING THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...BUT
ACTIVITY WILL BE OF SHORT DURATION AND LIMITED ONLY TO PORTIONS OF
THE INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. A GRADUAL CLEARING IS EXPECTED
OVER LAND DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

LATEST WATER VAPOR AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES SHOWED WELL
DEFINED TUTT LOW ACROSS THE REGION. THIS FEATURE WILL CONTINUE
WESTWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. MODEL GUIDANCE
CONTINUED TO PLACE THE UPPER LOW IN A FAVORABLE AREA FOR UPPER
LEVEL INSTABILITY LATE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS ALONG WITH
THE SURGE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE BEING TRANSPORTED BY THE TROPICAL
WAVE...WILL ALLOW FOR BETTER CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WITH ENHANCED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ISLANDS AND COASTAL WATERS.
LATEST LAYERED PRECIPITABLE WATER PRODUCTS CONTINUED TO SUGGEST
PWAT VALUES REACHING 2.00 INCHES OF SO BY FRIDAY ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA. BY SATURDAY...RAPID DRYING IS EXPECTED AS TUTT LOW
WEAKENS ALOFT AND SHIFTS FARTHER WEST...AND ANOTHER AREA OF DRY
SAHARAN AIR WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. BY MONDAY...ANOTHER
TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL IS SO FAR EXPECTED.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. VCSH
POSSIBLE FOR TIST/TISX AND TJSJ EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON WITH VCTS
POSSIBLE AT TJMZ AFTER 29/17Z. EASTERLY WINDS AROUND 15 KTS WITH SEA
BREEZE VARIATIONS...DIMINISHING TO 5-10 KNOTS AFTER 30/00Z. VCSH
POSSIBLE ACROSS TNCM/TKPK...TIST/TISX AS WELL AS TJSJ AFTER 30/06Z.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS UP TO 5 FEET AND WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS...THEN OCCASIONALLY UP TO 6 FEET MAINLY OFFSHORE BY LATE THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY WITH INCREASING TRADE WINDS UP TO 20 KNOTS...AS A TROPICAL
WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS. PLEASE REFER
TO THE LATEST COASTAL WATERS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE WFO SAN JUAN PR FOR UPDATES AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 79 90 78 87 / 10 30 20 40
STT 78 89 78 87 / 30 30 30 30

[cycloneye]

A tropical wave accompanied by a broad area of low pressure
continues to produce showers and thunderstorms a couple of hundred
miles south of the Cape Verde Islands. Some slow development of
this system is possible while it moves westward near 15 mph during
the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
528 AM AST THU JUL 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL WAVE AND ACCOMPANYING SURGE OF MOISTURE WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS TODAY AND FRIDAY. UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO THE REGION NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WERE NOTED OVERNIGHT
AND EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS. BEST
ACTIVITY WAS WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS. THIS INCREASE
IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH THE LEADING
EDGE OF A TROPICAL WAVE.
THIS TROPICAL WAVE AND ACCOMPANYING SURGE OF MOISTURE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS TODAY AND FRIDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL
INTERACT WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WHICH WILL INCREASE THE CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA....MAINLY ON FRIDAY...WHEN LAYERED PRECIPITABLE WATER
PRODUCTS CONTINUED TO SUGGEST PWAT VALUES REACHING 2.00 INCHES OR
SO BY FRIDAY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. A DRY AIR MASS WILL THEN
MOVE IN LATE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN FAIR WEATHER
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. FOR MONDAY...ANOTHER INCREASE IN
MOISTURE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS THEN EXPECTED AS ANOTHER
TROPICAL WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS. HOWEVER VCSH EXPECTED ACROSS TNCM/TKPK AND ACROSS TIST/
TISX THIS MORNING. ISOLD TSRA ARE POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND TJMZ AFTER
17Z. LOW LVL EASTERLY WINDS AROUND 15-20 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL TODAY.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS UP TO 5 FEET AND WINDS UP TO 20 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS THE OFFSHORE CARIBBEAN
WATERS AND LOCAL PASSAGES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 79 90 79 / 20 20 40 40
STT 90 79 87 79 / 30 30 30 30

[Gustywind]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 300515
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU JUL 30 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave accompanied by a broad area of low pressure is
located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of the Cape Verde
Islands. Although this system is currently producing a large area
of showers and thunderstorms, further development, if any, will be
slow to occur while it moves westward near 15 mph during the next
several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent


$$
Forecaster Avila

[cycloneye]

A tropical wave accompanied by a low pressure system is located a
few hundred miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. This
disturbance continues to produce a large area of showers and
thunderstorms, and some slow development is possible into early
next week while the system moves westward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
302 PM AST THU JUL 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL WAVE AXIS IS NOW WEST OF PUERTO RICO WITH
TRAILING MOISTURE EXPECTED TO START MOVING IN LATER TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. TUTT WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE TO THE WEST
NORTHWEST...SLIGHTLY INCREASING INSTABILITY OVER THE LOCAL AREA
TONIGHT AND ON FRIDAY. STARTING ON SATURDAY...ANOTHER ROUND OF DRY
AIR AND SAHARAN DUST WILL MOVE INTO THE LOCAL AREA...THEN A
TROPICAL WAVE MOVES IN ON MONDAY.


&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED ACROSS
THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF PUERTO RICO IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
THE REST OF THE AREA REMAINED MOSTLY DRY WITH ONLY A FEW LIGHT AND
BRIEF SHOWERS THAT PRODUCED TRACE AMOUNTS OF RAIN. ISOLATED
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT ACROSS THE WATERS...USVI...AND
EASTERN PR...BECOMING SCATTERED LATE TONIGHT INTO VERY EARLY
FRIDAY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE WATERS.

LATEST GUIDANCE AND OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT MOISTURE WILL
INCREASE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...WHICH WHEN COMBINED WITH THE TUTT
AND THE INCREASED STABILITY...COULD HELP DEVELOP SOME SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA ON FRIDAY.

THIS INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS DRY AIR AND
SAHARAN DUST WILL QUICKLY MOVE IN ON SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THE
NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE ON MONDAY AS ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE
MOVES IN...AND AT THAT TIME THERE IS ALSO A BROAD LOW ALOFT.
THERE WILL BE SOME INSTABILITY ON MONDAY SO SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED. MUCH DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE IN ONCE AGAIN ON TUESDAY WITH ONLY PATCHES OF MOISTURE
MOVING IN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.


&&

.AVIATION...SCT SHRA/ISOLD TSRA WILL REMAIN PSBL OVR W PR AND IN
AND AROUND TJMZ/TJBQ AND INTERIOR PR UNTIL 30/22Z. AS RESULT
BRIEF MTN TOP OBSCR WITH CONVECTIVE DVLPMNT. LOW LVL EASTERLY
WINDS AROUND 15-20 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL. SFC WND MAINLY FM E-NE AT
10 TO 15 KNOTS...OCNL HIGHER GUSTS UP TO 25 KTS PSBL TIL 30/23Z.NO
OTHER CHG TO PREV DISCUSSION. WINDS WILL DECREASE AFTER 31/00Z TO
ABOUT 05-10KT WITH SCT SHRA MOVING IN LATE TONIGHT.


&&

.MARINE...SEAS WILL BE UP TO 5 FEET AND WINDS UP TO 20 KNOTS
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS ARE URGED TO EXERCISE
CAUTION.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 79 90 79 91 / 20 40 40 20
STT 79 87 79 89 / 30 30 30 20

[cycloneye]

A tropical wave accompanied by an area of low pressure is
located a few hundred miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands.
This disturbance continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms, and some slow development of the system is possible
into early next week while it moves westward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
522 AM AST FRI JUL 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A SURGE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY. A DRY AIR MASS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATER
TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. NEXT TROPICAL WAVE WILL AFFECT THE REGION
MONDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR IMAGES WERE SHOWING AN INCREASE IN
SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. THIS ACTIVITY IS IN
RESPONSE TO A SURGE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION.
PASSING SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON...AND WILL BECOME MORE FREQUENT THIS AFTERNOON...AS
MOISTURE COMBINE WITH STRONG DAYTIME HEATING AND LOCAL EFFECTS.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON OVER
THE CENTRAL INTERIOR AND WEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO.

FOR TONIGHT...A VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL ENCOMPASS THE
REGION...LIMITING SIGNIFICANTLY THE SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE
AREA. THIS AREA OF DRY AIR WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THE WHOLE
WEEKEND. IS NOT UNTIL MONDAY FORECAST MODELS INDICATED ANOTHER
TROPICAL WAVE WILL APPROACH THE LOCAL REGION. THEREFORE...AN
INCREASE IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVITY IS THEN EXPECTED.

&&

.AVIATION...SHRA AND TSRA HAVE INCREASE ACROSS THE FLYING AREA.
AS A RESULT...BRIEF MVFR CIGS IN PASSING SHRA POSSIBLE THRU THIS
AFTERNOON. TSRA WILL FORM OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND INTERIOR PR
BETWEEN 17-22Z...WITH POSSIBLY MVFR/IFR CONDS AT TJMZ AND TJBQ. EAST
WINDS AT 15-20 KT WILL PREVAIL THRU THE FORECAST PERIOD. STABLE
CONDS WILL RETURN TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS UP TO 6 FEET AND WINDS UP TO 20 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION
ACROSS MOST COASTAL WATERS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 78 90 79 / 40 40 20 20
STT 89 79 89 78 / 30 30 20 20

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A weak and elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred
miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands continues to produce
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
have become less favorable, and development of this system, if any,
should be slow to occur while it moves westward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

Forecaster Berg

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
518 AM AST SAT AUG 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE WILL CROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS ON MONDAY. DRY
AND STABLE AIR RETURNS ON TUESDAY. WET TRADES WILL BRING SCATTERED
SHOWERS FROM MIDWEEK THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED ACROSS
THE REGION SINCE MIDNIGHT. CONCENTRATIONS OF SAHARAN DUST HAVE
INCREASED ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN REGION RESULTING IN HAZY
SKIES AND SOMEWHAT REDUCED VISIBILITIES ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE
USVI. THIS DRY AND DUSTY AIR MASS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEKEND.

SATELLITE IMAGERY AND PRECIPITABLE WATER ANALYSIS INDICATED EARLY
THIS MORNING A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 55 WEST. THIS WAVE IS MOVING
RELATIVELY FAST ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC AND ITS EXPECTED TO
MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS ON MONDAY MORNING. CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE IS LIMITED AT THIS TIME...MAINLY DUE TO
INTRUSION OF SAHARAN AIR IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT. SOME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO AFFECT PR/USVI ON MONDAY...HOWEVER
THE FAST MOVEMENT OF THIS WAVE...AROUND 20 KT...WILL LIMIT THE
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS. DRY AND DUSTY AIR MASS IS EXPECTED IN THE
WAKE OF THE WAVE. THE DRY AND STABLE AIR WILL SPREAD OVER USVI/PR
LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...LIMITING ONCE AGAIN THE SHOWER ACTIVITY.
TRADE WINDS WILL BRING PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE
LOCAL REGION FROM MIDWEEK TO THE END OF NEXT WEEK. SO...ADDITIONAL
CLOUDS AND SHOWERS WILL ADVECT OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS THE SECOND
PART OF NEXT WEEK. BUT OVERALL NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
ARE FORECAST THROUGH OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDS AT ALL TAF SITES WITH EASTERLY WINDS AROUND 15
KTS AND HIGHER GUSTS UP TO 20-25 KT.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS OF 10-20 KT AND SEAS OF 4-6 FEET ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
MOST OF THE LOCAL WATERS. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS THE COASTAL WATERS
OF WESTERN PR WHERE SEAS OF 2-4 FEET CAN BE ANTICIPATED. THEREFORE...
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION DUE TO SEAS UP TO 6 FEET AND
WINDS UP TO 20 KT. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE NOT EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 90 79 89 80 / 10 20 20 40
STT 90 78 89 81 / 10 20 20 50