Caribbean - Central America Weather

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Re: Caribbean - C America Weather (Watching Invest 91L)

#16141 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 09, 2014 4:40 am

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
453 AM AST TUE SEP 9 2014

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL LOW/TUTT OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL
RETROGRESS AND APPROACH TO THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. HOWEVER...A SHORT-WAVE MID-LEVEL RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN...KEEPING THE FORECAST AREA IN A RELATIVE STABLE
ENVIRONMENT. A GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY...WITH THE TYPICAL AFTERNOON CONVECTION OVER WEST PR. A WEAK
TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN REGION ON FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SATELITTE AND RADAR OBSERVATIONS SHOWED MINIMAL SHOWER
ACTIVITY ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS AND PR/USVI. ONLY A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS
WERE OBSERVED ACROSS THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN WATERS SINCE
MIDNIGHT. IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A RELATIVE STABLE AIR MASS UPSTREAM
OF THE ISLANDS...SO ISOLATED SHOWERS IF ANY CAN BE EXPECTED THE REST
OF THE MORNING. THEN...SEA BREEZES WILL CONVERGE OVER WESTERN PR ALLOWING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM OVER NW PR THIS AFTERNOON.

OPERATIONAL MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW LITTLE CHANGE IN THE WEATHER
PATTERN ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS THROUGH THURSDAY. A WEAK SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE AREA...
MAINTAINING GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS. IN
GENERAL...THE TRADES WILL REMAIN LIGHT ENOUGH TO ALLOW SEA BREEZES
TO DEVELOP OVER WESTERN PR EACH AFTERNOON...RESULTING IN THE TYPICAL
CONVECTION OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND WEST INTERIOR PR. THE TRADE
WINDS WILL CARRY SOME LIGHT SHOWERS OVER THE WINDWARD SIDE OF THE
ISLANDS FROM TIME TO TIME...MAINLY AT NIGHTS AND EARLY IN THE MORNINGS.

A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED NEAR 47 WEST THIS MORNING IS FORECAST
TO CROSS THE LOCAL AREA ON FRIDAY. THEREFORE...EXPECT A SLIGHTLY
INCREASE IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY BY THAT TIME. HOWEVER...
GFS IS FORECASTING UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS ALOFT THAT COULD LIMIT
THE INTENSITY OF THE CONVECTION.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST OVER ALL TAF SITES
THROUGH 09/16Z. BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS WITH MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER TJMZ AND TJBQ FROM 09/18Z THROUGH
09/22Z. LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL PREVAIL FROM THE EAST SOUTHEAST AT
AROUND 10 TO 15 KTS.

&&

.MARINE...LITTLE OR NO CHANGE IN THE MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS OF 3-5 FT ARE
ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 78 89 78 / 20 20 20 20
STT 89 78 90 79 / 20 20 20 20
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Re: Caribbean - C America Weather (Watching Invest 91L)

#16142 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 09, 2014 3:34 pm

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
257 PM AST TUE SEP 9 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...A CUT OFF LOW TO THE NORTHEAST OF
THE AREA WILL PASS NORTH OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 25 DEGREES NORTH ON
FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN JUST WEST OF THERE DURING THE
WEEKEND AND INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK.

AT MID LEVELS...LOW PRESSURE NORTHEAST OF THE AREA WILL MOVE WEST
PASSING NORTH OF THE AREA ON FRIDAY. BY SATURDAY HIGH PRESSURE
WILL RIDGE OVER THE AREA FROM THE NORTH NORTHEAST.

AT LOW LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE IN THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL
BE PINCHED BY SEVERAL STRONG LOWS AT HIGH LATITUDES FORCING HIGH
PRESSURE TO REFORM AT 30 NORTH ACROSS MOST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN
BY SATURDAY. THE GFS PROJECTS A TROPICAL CYCLONE TO DIG INTO THIS
HIGH MOVING NORTHWEST OUT OF THE WESTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC AND CROSSING
20 NORTH NEAR 42 WEST SATURDAY NIGHT WITH EFFECTS AT ALL LEVELS.
THIS CYCLONE CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST THROUGH MUCH OF THE
FOLLOWING WEEK WITH A SECOND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FOLLOWING
CLOSELY IN THE SAME TRACK ABOUT FOUR AND ONE HALF DAYS LATER.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS DEVELOPED OVER TRUJILLO ALTO AND SAN JUAN
MUNICIPALITIES BETWEEN NOON AND 1 PM AST WITH SOME HEAVY RAIN AND
THUNDER HEARD. LATER SHOWERS AND STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED
FROM AGUADA TO UTUADO AND FROM YAUCO TO VILLALBA. SOME OF THESE
STORMS WERE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING
AND SOME MINOR WIND DAMAGE WAS REPORTED. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED
STORM TOP DIVERGENCE ON SEVERAL OF THESE STORMS BETWEEN 70 TO 80 KNOTS.

SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL NO LONGER SUPPORTED BY HEATING AT THE
SURFACE. INCOMING DRIER AIR WILL ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO A GENERAL
DECREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY OVERNIGHT. ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AROUND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND JUST ONSHORE IN EASTERN PUERTO RICO TONIGHT. LOW LEVEL
CONDITIONS WITH STRONG HEATING AND NEAR TO JUST BELOW NORMAL
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP STRONG AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS
EACH DAY UNTIL FRIDAY OR SATURDAY. CURRENT MODELS SHOW A TROPICAL
CYCLONE PASSING NORTHEAST OF THE LOCAL AREA. IF IT CAN DEVELOP AS
FORECAST IT SHOULD NOT PRODUCE MORE THAN A FEW ADDITIONAL SHOWERS
AND SOME MODERATE SWELL FROM THE NORTHEAST. SAHARAN DUST IS A
FACTOR IN IMPEDING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SYSTEMS BUT TROPICAL
STORM FORMATION POTENTIAL IS CONSIDERED HIGH WITHIN THE NEXT 5
DAYS IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC.

&&

.AVIATION...AFTER TSRA/SHRA WITH IFR/MVFR CONDS DISSIPATE IN
WESTERN INTERIOR AND COASTAL PUERTO RICO ARND 09/22Z ONLY
ISOLATED SHRA ARE EXPECTED TO CONT THROUGH 10/14Z. ONLY ISOLATED
MTN OBSCURATIONS EXPECTED WITH THESE -SHRA. E TO ESE LLVL WIND
FLOW EXPECTED AT 5 TO 15 KT UP TO 18 KFT. TSRA/SHRA WILL REDEVELOP
AFT 10/16Z.

&&

.MARINE...MARINE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL THROUGH
AT LEAST NEXT WEEKEND...THEN IF TROPICAL STORM FORMATION OCCURS
SEAS MAY REACH 7 TO 8 FEET IN NORTHEAST SWELL EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 79 89 79 89 / 20 20 20 20
STT 78 88 78 89 / 20 20 20 20
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Re: Caribbean - C America Weather (Watching Invest 91L)

#16143 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 10, 2014 5:19 am

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
551 AM AST WED SEP 10 2014

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT AND ASSOCIATED LOW NORTHEAST OF LOCAL AREA WILL
RETROGRESS TO THE NORTH OF PUERTO RICO...REMAINING THE DOMINANT WX
FEATURE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WEAK TROPICAL WAVE...NOW LOCATED
NEAR 52W...WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN ON FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES PREVAILED ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS
OVERNIGHT...WITH ISOLATED TO LOCALLY SCATTERED SHOWERS OBSERVED ACROSS
THE LOCAL WATERS...USVI AND THE EASTERN THIRD OF PUERTO RICO. TEMPS
WERE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S AT LOWER ELEVATIONS...WITH LIGHT
WINDS.

AREAS OF SHOWERS EMBEDDED IN THE TRADES WILL CONTINUE TO BE ENHANCED
BY TUTT LOW NORTHEAST OF LOCAL AREA THROUGH THE DAY. THEREFORE...
ISOLATED TO LOCALLY SCATTERED PASSING SHOWERS ACROSS THE LOCAL
WATERS AS WELL AS WINDWARD AREAS STILL POSSIBLE TODAY...WITH THE
BEST CHANCE IN THE MORNING HOURS.

THE PROXIMITY OF TUTT LOW COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND LIGHT
WINDS WILL RESULT IN GOOD SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE THIS AFTERNOON
AND THEREFORE NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE CORDILLERA AND WESTERN PUERTO RICO. THURSDAY THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK...STRONG HEATING AND NEAR NORMAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE
TO SUPPORT SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT EACH AFTERNOON...
HOWEVER COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE SOMEWHAT DUE TO SUBSTANTIAL
MID-LEVEL DRY AIR. WEAK TROPICAL WAVE...NOW LOCATED NEAR 52W...WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN ON FRIDAY...AT THIS TIME NO MAJOR
IMPACTS EXPECTED. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST A
TROPICAL CYCLONE WELL NORTHEAST OF LOCAL AREA NEXT WORKWEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDS WILL PREVAIL WITH ISOLATED/SCT PASSING SHRA
ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS THRU THE REST OF THE NIGHT INTO THE
MORNING. E TO NE SFC WIND FLOW EXPECTED AT 5 TO 15 KT. TSRA/SHRA
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFT 10/16Z ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN
PR...POSSIBLY AFFECTING TJMZ AND THE VICINITY OF TJBQ AND TJPS.

&&

.MARINE...TRADE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN THROUGH SATURDAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE ESTABLISHES OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC. A WEAK
TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY. SEAS UP TO 5 AND
WINDS 18 KNOTS OR LESS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 79 89 81 / 30 20 20 30
STT 88 78 89 80 / 40 20 20 30
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#16144 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 12, 2014 5:28 am

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
527 AM AST FRI SEP 12 2014

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT LOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN ATLANTIC AND
INTO THE NORTH AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT WX
FEATURE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WEAK TROPICAL WAVE WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN THIS MORNING WITH
SAHARAN DUST TRAILING THIS WAVE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES PREVAILED ACROSS
THE LOCAL ISLANDS OVERNIGHT...WITH ISOLATED TO LOCALLY SCATTERED
SHOWERS OBSERVED ACROSS LOCAL WATERS AND COASTAL AREAS OF EASTERN
PUERTO RICO. TEMPERATURES WERE IN THE LOW 80S AT LOWER ELEVATIONS...
WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.

TUTT LOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN ATLANTIC AND INTO THE NORTH
AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT WX FEATURE DURING THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST
THROUGH SUNDAY WITH ITS BASE REMAINING ACROSS THE NORTHERN CARIBBEAN.
AT MID LEVELS...RIDGE PATTERN WILL BUILD FROM THE NORTHEAST AS REFLECTION
OF AFOREMENTIONED TUTT MIGRATES WEST. DRYING IS EXPECTED TODAY AS
WEAK TROPICAL WAVE MOVES FURTHER WEST AND SAL QUICKLY OVERSPREADS
THE AREA. NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITABLE WATER WILL THEN PREVAIL
THROUGH AT LEAST MID NEXT WEEK UNDER DIMINISHING TRADE WINDS.

ALTHOUGH NEXT 7 DAYS WILL BE DOMINATED BY SIGNIFICANT HEIGHT RISES...
STRENGTHENING OF THE SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AND LIMITED AVAILABLE
MOISTURE STILL EXPECT A FEW LIGHT PASSING SHOWERS ACROSS WINDWARD
AREAS IN THE MORNING WITH SOME AFTERNOON CONVECTION FOCUSED ACROSS
WESTERN PUERTO RICO EACH DAY.

BASED ON NHC GUIDANCE...TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT A SLIGHTLY
SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. THE
FORECAST TRACK KEEPS EDOUARD OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL
ATLANTIC.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH ISOLD PASSING SHRA ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA THRU 12/16Z. MVFR CONDS POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND TJMZ
AND TJBQ FROM 12/17Z-12/21Z WITH AFTERNOON SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPMENT.
SAHARAN DUST IS MOVING IN CAUSING HAZY SKIES...HOWEVER VISIBILITY IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN P6SM. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE EAST AT AROUND 10-15
KTS WITH SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS.

&&

.MARINE...TRADES WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH SATURDAY UP TO 20 KT THEN
WEAKEN THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK. EAST SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TS
EDOUARD ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE TUE AND WILL RAISE SEAS TO 5-6 FT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 88 80 88 80 / 0 20 20 30
STT 89 79 89 79 / 10 20 20 30
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#16145 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 12, 2014 2:24 pm

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
237 PM AST FRI SEP 12 2014

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT LOW ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC JUST NORTH OF REGION
WILL CONTINUE CLOSE TO THE REGION FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WEAK
TROPICAL WAVE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD AND AWAY FROM THE
REGION TONIGHT. SAHARAN AIR LAYER WILL ENCOMPASS THE REGION TONIGHT
AND SATURDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH LIMITED SHOWER
ACTIVITY WAS DETECTED OVER THE FORECAST AREA SO FAR THIS AFTERNOON.
DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR DETECTED ONLY FEW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
AND NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. HOWEVER...UNDER AN EAST
SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW SOME SHOWERS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ACROSS NORTHWEST PUERTO RICO DURING THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW JUST NORTH NORTHEAST OF PUERTO RICO WILL REMAINS
AS THE MAIN WEATHER FEATURE ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. HOWEVER THE LIMITED MOISTURE CONTENT OF THE
ATMOSPHERE IN COMBINATION WITH THE SAHARAN DUST IS EXPECTED TO
INHIBIT THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
REGION FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS AND ISOLATED SHRA WITH BRIEF
PERIODS MVFR POSSIBLE ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. SHRA/TSRA LIKELY FOR
TJBQ AND TJMZ UNTIL 12/22Z AS DEVELOPMENT OCCURS OVER WESTERN PR.
LATEST TJSJ SOUNDING INDICATED AN EAST SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW UP TO
20 KNOTS ALL THE WAY FROM THE SURFACE TO 20K FEET...BECOMING FROM
THE NORTHWEST AND STRONGER ABOVE 30K FEET.

&&

.MARINE...TRADES WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH SATURDAY UP TO 20 KT THEN
WEAKEN THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK. EAST SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TS
EDOUARD ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE TUE AND WILL RAISE SEAS TO 5-6 FT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 79 89 79 90 / 20 20 30 30
STT 79 89 80 90 / 20 20 30 30
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#16146 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 13, 2014 5:19 am

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
551 AM AST SAT SEP 13 2014

.SYNOPSIS...SAHARAN DUST WILL EXIT THE REGION TODAY AND MOISTURE
WILL INCREASE. TUTT TO THE NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA WILL SLOWLY
MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SFC HIGH PRESSURE
ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL BRING WINDS FROM THE ENE TODAY. MID
LEVEL RIDGE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC. TS EDOUARD
WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC BUT WILL BRING A SWELL TO THE
LOCAL AREA LATE MONDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...WEATHER REMAINED FAIRLY DRY OVERNIGHT BUT
TEMPERATURES REMAINED RATHER WARM WITH THE SAN JUAN AIRPORT
STAYING AT 82 DEGREES MOST OF THE NIGHT AND DIPPING DOWN ONLY TO
81 AS OF THIS WRITING. THE SAHARAN DUST IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
EXITING THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WHILE AN
AREA OF HIGHER MOISTURE MOVES IN. SFC AND MID LEVEL HIGH PRESSURES
ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL KEEP AN ENE WIND FLOW ACROSS THE
LOCAL AREA TODAY. THIS GENERAL FLOW WILL COMBINE WITH THE INCREASE
IN MOISTURE AND LOCAL EFFECTS TO CAUSE THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SEVERAL SECTORS IN PUERTO RICO THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN SECTIONS OF PR
HAVING THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HAVING
SAID THAT...PASSING SHOWERS WITH THE INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE. A SIMILAR SETUP IS
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.

AVAILABLE MOISTURE WILL THEN DECREASE AGAIN STARTING EARLY MONDAY.
RELATIVELY DRY AIR IS EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEK...WITH THE GFS
MODEL INDICATING P-WAT VALUES AS LOW AS 1.22 INCHES ON WEDNESDAY.
LONG RANGE MODELS INDICATE AN AREA OF HIGHER MOISTURE APPROACHING
THE LOCAL AREA ON FRIDAY. THIS AREA HAS BEEN DECLARED BY THE NHC
AS INVEST 93L. INVEST 93L CURRENTLY HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF
DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 5 DAYS...HOWEVER
THE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY HOSTILE
AS IT APPROACHES THE LOCAL AREA. AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS LIKE IT
WILL APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA AS A TROPICAL WAVE ON FRIDAY...WITH
LINGERING MOISTURE THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDS EXPECTED FOR ALL TAF SITES. VCSH/VCTS POSSIBLE FOR
TJMZ AFTER 13/18Z AND MNT OBSCURATIONS ACROSS CENTRAL PR. ENE
WINDS WILL PREVAIL AT ABOUT 10-15 KTS WITH SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS.


&&

.MARINE...WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN SOMEWHAT TODAY THEN WEAKEN
THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK. ENE SWELL 5-6 FT ASSOCIATED WITH TS
EDOUARD WILL START REACHING THE LOCAL ATLC WATERS MON NIGHT.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 79 90 79 / 20 30 30 30
STT 89 79 89 79 / 20 30 30 30
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#16147 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 13, 2014 2:38 pm

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
309 PM AST SAT SEP 13 2014

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT TO THE NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA WILL SLOWLY
MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL BRING WINDS FROM THE ENE TODAY. MID
LEVEL RIDGE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED THIS
AFTERNOON OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO. MOST OF THESE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVED OVER THE MONA PASSAGE. RAINFALL
ACCUMULATION WERE NEAR ONE INCH IN SOME AREAS. PASSING SHOWERS
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST SECTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO TONIGHT...UNDER AN EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND FLOW.

TUTT TO THE NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA WILL SLOWLY MOVE TO THE
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS FEATURE COMBINED WITH
DAYTIME HEATING AND LOCAL EFFECT WILL AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR SECTION OF
PUERTO RICO TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

IN THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. A TROPICAL
WAVE LOCATED OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
WEST AND WILL APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA FRIDAY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR ALL TAF SITES. VCSH
WILL CONTINUE FOR TJMZ UNTIL 13/21Z WITH MOUNTAINS OBSCURATIONS
ACROSS CENTRAL PR. TJSJ 12Z SOUNDING INDICATED AN EAST WIND FLOW UP
TO 25 KNOTS ALL THE WAY FROM THE SURFACE TO 15K FEET...BECOMING FROM
THE NORTHWEST ABOVE 30K FEET.


&&

.MARINE...SEAS UP TO 5 FEET AND WINDS UP 19 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD CONTINUE
EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS MOST COASTAL WATERS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 79 89 79 89 / 30 30 30 30
STT 79 90 79 88 / 30 30 30 30
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#16148 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 14, 2014 5:31 am

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
600 AM AST SUN SEP 14 2014

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT TO THE NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA WILL SLOWLY
MOVE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SFC HIGH
PRESSURE AND TS EDOUARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE
TO BRING WINDS FROM THE ENE TODAY. TS EDOUARD WILL ALSO BRING A SWELL
TO THE LOCAL AREA MONDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...TRADE WIND SHOWERS HAVE AFFECTED EASTERN AND
NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OVERNIGHT. SOME OF THE SHOWERS WERE MODERATE
TO LOCALLY HEAVY BUT THEY WERE MOVING QUICKLY UNDER A E-NE WIND
FLOW. THIS E-NE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...CAUSING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE INTERIOR
SECTIONS AND SW-PR ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON WHEN IT COMBINES
WITH THE AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND THE LOCAL EFFECTS. HAVING SAID
THAT...PASSING SHOWERS WITH THE INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE.

SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR WILL START TO FILTER IN LATE TODAY AND MONDAY
WITH WINDS BECOMING A BIT MORE EASTERLY. THIS WILL MAKE THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND
WESTERN PR ON MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE REST OF THE WEEK LOOKS
RELATIVELY DRIER THAN THE PAST FEW DAYS AS AVAILABLE MOISTURE
DECREASES...TUESDAY BEING THE DRIEST DAY WITH P-WAT VALUES UNDER
1.3 INCHES...THE REST OF THE DAYS THIS WEEK GENERALLY AROUND 1.6
TO 1.7 INCHES...ENOUGH FOR SOME SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOONS.

LONG RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE AN AREA OF HIGHER
MOISTURE APPROACHING THE LOCAL AREA ON FRIDAY...DECLARED BY THE NHC
AS INVEST 93L. INVEST 93L CURRENTLY HAS NEAR ZERO PERCENT CHANCE OF
DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 5 DAYS AS THE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY HOSTILE. AT
THIS TIME IT LOOKS LIKE IT WILL APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA AS A
TROPICAL WAVE ON FRIDAY.



&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDS FOR ALL TAF SITES. QUICK PASSING SHRA
MOVING SOUTHWEST IN THE PREVAILING NE L/LVL WND FLOW IN THE
MORNING. EXPECT ISOLD-SCT -SHRA/SHRA TO AFFECT NORTH AND EAST
COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE PR AND THE USVI CAUSING BRIEF MVFR AND
MTN OBSCURATIONS. SCT- BKN CLD LYR MAINLY BTW FL020-FL100...WITH
FEW TCU EN ROUTE BTW LOCAL ISLANDS. SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPING ACROSS SW-
PR AFTER 14/16Z WILL LIKELY CAUSE AT LEAST VCTS AT TJMZ AND TJPS
AS WELL AS MTN OBSCURATIONS ACROSS THAT AREA.


&&

.MARINE...MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS AND SEAS OF 3-5 FEET EXPECTED
TODAY. EAST TO NORTHEAST SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH T.S. EDOUARD WILL
REACH THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN REGION ON MONDAY. EAST TO NORTHEAST
SWELLS OF 4-6 FEET AT 12-14 SECONDS ARE FORECAST FROM MONDAY TO
WEDNESDAY.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 79 89 78 / 40 30 30 20
STT 89 78 89 78 / 40 30 30 20
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#16149 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 14, 2014 3:07 pm

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
240 PM AST SUN SEP 14 2014

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT TO THE NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA WILL SLOWLY
MOVE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO
DOMINATES THE LOCAL REGION THROUGH MID WEEK. TROPICAL WAVE
EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AN EAST NORTHEAST WIND FLOW PREVAILED THIS MORNING
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA...WHICH BROUGHT PASSING SHOWERS ALONG THE
NORTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
LATER...WINDS SHIFTED MORE EASTERLY. SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS BEGAN TO DEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTHWEST SECTION OF
PUERTO RICO. ANOTHER LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...EXTENDING
FROM JUANA DIAZ WEST THROUGH YAUCO DEVELOPED LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON. MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL DISSIPATED NEAR SUNSET.
THIS ACTIVITY WAS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF DAYTIME
HEATING...LOCAL EFFECT AND AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THIS TROUGH WILL
MOVE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST THOUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

IN THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATES THE LOCAL REGION. A
TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY LOCATED FEW HUNDRED MILES WEST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST AND WILL APPROACH THE
LOCAL AREA BY FRIDAY...INCREASING THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS ACROSS
THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR ALL TAF SITES. VCSH
WILL CONTINUE FOR TJMZ UNTIL 14/21Z WITH MOUNTAINS OBSCURATIONS
ACROSS CENTRAL PR. TJSJ 12Z SOUNDING INDICATED AN EAST NORTHEAST
WIND FLOW UP TO 20 KNOTS ALL THE WAY FROM THE SURFACE TO 20K FEET...
BECOMING FROM THE SOUTHWEST ABOVE 25K FEET.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS WILL INCREASE MONDAY IN EAST NORTHEAST SWELLS DUE
TO HURRICANE EDOUARD PASSING WELL NORTHEAST OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS.
SEAS UP TO 5 FEET AND WINDS UP TO 18 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 79 89 78 89 / 30 30 20 20
STT 78 89 78 88 / 30 30 20 20
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#16150 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 15, 2014 5:09 am

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
353 AM AST MON SEP 15 2014

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT LOW NORTH OF THE AREA WILL GRADUALLY FILL AND
MERGE WITH A DEEPENING TROF OVR ERN NOAM. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
BUILD THU THRU FRI. ANOTHER TUTT WILL ESTABLISH OVR THE AREA NEXT
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED THU
NIGHT-EARLY FRI.

&&

.DISCUSSION...WEAKENING TUTT WILL LEAD TO HEIGHT RISES AND
STRENGTHENING OF THE SUBSIDENCE INVERSION WITH MOISTURE ERODING
FAIRLY QUICKLY TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HOWEVER...WEAKENING TRADE
WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD SEA-BREEZE CONVERGENCE OVR THE SW SLOPES
OF PR. STEERING WINDS SHIFT MORE THE ESE TUE FOCUSING ANY SHOWERS
OVR NW PR. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE IS EXPECTED BEGINNING WED
WITH THE BEST MOISTURE IN THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS EXPECTED THU
NIGHT/EARLY FRI WITH THE PASSAGE OF A TROPICAL WAVE.
HOWEVER...THIS WAVE IS EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER VERY HOSTILE
CONDITIONS UNDER STRONG UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENCE BETWEEN
RETROGRESSING CNTRL ATLC TUTT AND CNTRL CARIBBEAN UPPER RIDGE. AS
HEIGHTS AND TEMPS ALOFT RISE OVER THE NEXT SVRL DAYS EXPECT THE
RISK OF HAIL TO BE NIL. WHILE BOTH MOISTURE AND SYNOPTIC LIFT WILL
NOT FAVOR ANY WIDESPREAD PRECIP...THE STEERING WINDS WILL BE
RELATIVELY WEAK (UNDER 10 KTS) THROUGH THU AND COULD SUPPORT
LOCALIZED AREAS OF HEAVY RAINS.

&&

.AVIATION...SCT/NMRS SHRA EARLY THIS MRNG MAINLY OFFSHORE. VFR ALL
TAF SITES XCPT CHC VRY BRF MVFR AT TJSJ/TJBQ/TIST/TISX IN SHRA. NRMS
SHRA/TSRA MON AFT INTERIOR/WEST PR INCL TJMZ WI OBSCD MTNS...PROB
INCL TEMPO 18Z-21Z PD AT TJMZ IN NXT TAF. WIND BLO FL150 ENE 10-18
KT BCMG E 6-12 KT TDY...ESE-SE 5-10 KT TONITE/TUE.

&&

.MARINE...FORERUNNERS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE EDOUARD WILL START
REACHING THE ATLC COASTAL WATERS THIS MORNING WITH ENE SWELLS
BUILDING UP TO 6 FT BY LATE TUE. SWELLS BECOME MORE FROM THE
NORTHEAST WED-WED NIGHT BEFORE SUBSIDING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 78 88 78 / 20 20 20 20
STT 81 80 81 79 / 30 20 20 20
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#16151 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 16, 2014 5:31 am

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
433 AM AST TUE SEP 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT LOW NNW OF THE AREA WILL GRADUALLY MERGE WITH A
DEEPENING TROF OVR ERN NOAM. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD ON FRI.
ANOTHER TUTT WILL ESTABLISH OVR THE AREA NEXT WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT
WEEK. A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED THU NIGHT-EARLY FRI.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SUBSIDENCE INVERSION WILL STRENGTHEN TODAY WITH
MOISTURE ERODING QUICKLY. BOTH ARW AND NMM VERSIONS OF THE HI-RES
WRF MODEL SHOW SIGNIFICANTLY LESS AREAL COVERAGE OF SHOWERS TODAY
THAN YDAY. ALSO...STEERING WINDS WILL SHIFT MORE THE ESE FOCUSING
ANY SHOWERS FROM UTUADO WEST TO AGUADA. MOISTURE GRADUALLY
INCREASES TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. TROPICAL WAVE CROSSING 50W THIS
MORNING WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA THU NIGHT AND EARLY FRI. WHILE
WAVE IS GENERATING QUITE A BIT OF CONVECTION RIGHT NOW AND MAY
HAVE A WEAK LOW PRES AREA ACCOMPANYING IT...THE WAVE IS EXPECTED
TO ENCOUNTER MORE HOSTILE CONDITIONS OVR THE NE CARIBBEAN THU AND
FRI AS IT BECOMES UNDER CONVERGENT UPPER FLOW BETWEEN
RETROGRESSING CNTRL ATLC TUTT AND UPPER RIDGE OVR THE CNTRL
CARIBBEAN. DRYING IS EXPECTED OVR THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR XPCTD THRU WED MRNG XCP LOW CHC MVFR IN SHRA/TSRA AT
TJMZ/TJBQ THIS AFT AND ELSEWHERE PSBL VRY BRF MVFR CIG IN ISOLD
SHRA. AREAS OBSCD MTNS WEST PR IN AFT. WIND BLO FL150 E 5-12 KT BCMG
SE THIS AFT BCMG E LATE WED AFT.

&&

.MARINE...ENE SWELLS PERHAPS UP TO 5 FT WILL BECOME MORE NERLY ON
WED WHILE SLOWLY SUBSIDING. WAVE MODELS OVERESTIMATING SWELL
HEIGHTS AT BUOYS 41043...41044 AND 41049 BY SVRL FEET. 5 FT SWELLS
MAY ONLY BE CONFINED TO AMZ710.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 79 88 81 / 10 0 10 10
STT 81 80 82 81 / 10 10 10 10
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#16152 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 16, 2014 4:40 pm

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
252 PM AST TUE SEP 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE MEANDERING NORTH OF THE
AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. AT LOW LEVEL...TROPICAL WAVE WILL APPROACH
THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN BY THURSDAY NIGHT AND WILL AFFECT THE
REGION FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ALTHOUGH A SIGNIFICANT DRYING HAS OCCURRED
TODAY...WITH LATEST TASK 16/12Z SOUNDING SHOWING PRECIPITABLE
WATER OF ONLY 1.33 INCHES...LIMITED MOISTURE...COMBINED WITH
DAYTIME HEATING AND LOCAL EFFECT TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR AND WESTERN
INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON. THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING SLOWLY...AS STORM MOTION IS AROUND
7 KITS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DISSIPATED NEAR SUNSET.

UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE MEANDERING NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH
THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY. FOR
FRIDAY A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED THIS AFTERNOON NEAR 52 WEST...WILL
APPROACH THE LOCAL REGION...ENHANCING THE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA.

IN THE LONG TERM...ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE...LOCATED LATE THIS AFTERNOON
NEAR 31 WEST PER LATEST TROPICAL DISCUSSION FROM THE NWS PREDICTION
CENTER...IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE LOCAL REGION MONDAY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDS WILL CONTINUE WITH A CHANCE OF BRIEF MVFR IN
SHRA/TSRA AT TJBQ THIS AFT WITH AREAS OF OBSCD MTNS WEST PR IN AFT
TIL 16/22Z. FAIR WX OVERNIGHT AND WED MORNING. WIND BLO FL140 FROM
SE 5-10 KTS THEN BCMG E ON WED NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...LATEST BUOY OBSERVATIONS INDICATED SEAS UP TO 5 FEET
PREVAILS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. SEAS COULD INCREASE TO 6 FEET
ACROSS THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS TONIGHT. WINDS WILL CONTINUE
MAINLY EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 KTS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 79 88 81 90 / 0 10 10 20
STT 80 82 81 83 / 10 10 10 30
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#16153 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 17, 2014 5:24 am

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
420 AM AST WED SEP 17 2014

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT LOW NNW OF THE AREA WILL GRADUALLY FILL AND MERGE
WITH A DEEPENING TROF OVR ERN NOAM BY FRI. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
BUILD ON FRI. ANOTHER TUTT WILL ESTABLISH OVR THE AREA DURING THE WEEKEND
AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED THU NIGHT-EARLY
FRI WITH ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...CONSIDERABLE MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL ADVECT
OVR THE AREA TODAY ON A 50-KT WRLY JET STREAK AROUND THE BASE OF
TUTT LOW TO THE NORTH WHICH WOULD TEND TO LIMIT DAYTIME HEATING
AND CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. IN FACT...GFS DEVELOPS NO PRECIP AT
ALL TODAY AND SHOWS VERY LITTLE MOISTURE BETWEEN 850-500 MB TODAY
WHICH IS CONFIRMED BY 06Z CIRA LAYERED PRECIPITABLE WATER PRODUCT.

MOISTURE BEGINS TO INCREASE ON THURS AFTERNOON WITH APPROACH OF
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 57W. MOST ACTIVE WX WILL BE THURSDAY NIGHT OVR
ERN PR...USVI...COASTAL WATERS AND FRI OVR MAINLAND PR. WHILE
MOISTURE LOOKS PRETTY DECENT...MODELS STILL SHOW HOSTILE UPPER
LEVEL CONDITIONS. DRYING IS EXPECTED FRI NIGHT AND SAT AS WAVE
MOVES INTO THE DOM REP. ANOTHER WAVE CURRENTLY ANALIZED ALONG 37W WILL
APPROACH THE AREA LATE SUN/EARLY MON WITH RISK OF SHOWERS
INCREASING AGAIN.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR XPTD XCP MVFR IN SCT SHRA/TSRA AND OBSCD MTNS NW PR
THIS AFT. ISOLD SHRA ELSEWHERE TDY-THU MRNG BUT SHUD REMAIN VFR.
WIND BLO FL150 SE 6-14 KT BCMG E TONITE-THU.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS MAINLY 2-4 FT. NE SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE
TODAY. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN WINDS EXPECTED SAT. OTHERWISE...WINDS
GENERALLY BELOW 12 KT MOST OF THE 5-DAY PERIOD.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 80 89 80 / 10 10 20 40
STT 82 81 82 82 / 10 10 30 40
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#16154 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 17, 2014 3:50 pm

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
315 PM AST WED SEP 17 2014

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC INTO THE GREATER
ANTILLES WILL WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS A DEEPER TROUGH
AMPLIFIES OVER THE EASTERN COAST OF USA. TROFINESS ALOFT WILL
RETURN ONCE AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK AS ANOTHER TUTT DEVELOPS ACROSS
THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. NEXT TROPICAL
WAVE PASSAGE EXPECTED LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...TUTT LOW NORTHWEST OF THE AREA WILL WEAKEN AS DEEP
POLAR TROUGH ESTABLISHES ACROSS THE EASTERN USA. MEANWHILE AT MID
LEVELS...WEAKENING OF MID LEVEL RIDGE PATTERN CONTINUES TONIGHT
AND TOMORROW. MID LEVEL RIDGE PATTERN IS SUSTAINING A WEAK CAP
ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. THE AFOREMENTIONED CAP AND LIMITED LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA ARE HELPING TO SUPPRESS SIGNIFICANT
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH...AFTERNOON
CONVECTION CANT BE RULED OUT LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVE...NOW LOCATED
NEAR 59W...WILL REACH THE LOCAL ISLANDS AS SOON AS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST MOST ACTIVE WX
THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING OVER EASTERN PUERTO RICO
AND USVI SPREADING ACROSS WESTERN PUERTO RICO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
A DRIER AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN FROM THE EAST FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY AS THE WAVE MOVES FURTHER WEST INTO THE MONA PASSAGE
AND DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. ANOTHER WAVE CURRENTLY LOCALIZED NEAR 39W
WILL APPROACH THE AREA LATE SUNDAY/EARLY MON WITH RISK OF SHOWERS
INCREASING AGAIN.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDS EXPECTED FOR ALL TAF SITES EXCEPT FOR POSSIBLE
BRIEF SHRA THAT COULD AFFECT TJMZ BY MID-AFTERNOON. ISOLD VCSH
POSSIBLE FOR LOCAL ISLANDS THRU THE NIGHT. WIND BLO FL070 E 6-14 KTS
BECOMING SE ABV FL080 AT 5-10 KTS.


&&

.MARINE...SEAS MAINLY 2-5 FT. NE SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE
TONIGHT. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN WINDS EXPECTED SAT. OTHERWISE...
WINDS GENERALLY BELOW 17 KT MOST OF THE 5-DAY PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 80 89 80 88 / 20 20 60 60
STT 78 89 78 89 / 20 30 60 60
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#16155 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 18, 2014 5:21 am

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
425 AM AST THU SEP 18 2014

.SYNOPSIS...WEAK TUTT PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH MID
NEXT WEEK. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH
ANOTHER ONE EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.DISCUSSION...INTERACTION OF TUTT WITH APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVE
IS RESULTING IN VERY DEEP CONVECTION WITH NMRS OVERSHOOTING TOPS OVER
THE ANEGADA PASSAGE THIS MORNING. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
THROUGH THE DAY WITH ACTIVE WX ON TAP NEXT 36 HRS. STEERING FLOW
WILL BE WEAK 8-10 KT SUPPORTING SLOW CELL MOVEMENT WHICH MAY
RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND SOME FLOODING.

LEADING EDGE OF DRY STABLE AIR IS ALONG 58W AS SEEN ON GOES-
SOUNDER DATA AND WILL ENTER THE AREA FRI EVENING. IMPROVING WX
CONDITIONS EXPECTED SAT WITH A REALLY NICE DAY ON TAP FOR SUNDAY.
MODELS SEEM TO HAVE SLOW DOWN ARRIVAL OF NEXT WAVE NOT EXPECTED
NOW UNTIL MON NIGHT. EXPECT CHANCES OF RAIN TO INCREASE MONDAY AND
LINGER THROUGH WED AS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WILL BE VERY SLOW TO
EXIT THE AREA. MUCH DRYER AIR EXPECTED FOR THE END OF NEXT WORK
WEEK AS NORTHEASTERLIES ESTABLISH OVR THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...SCT SHRA/ISOLD TSRA THIS MRNG BCMG NRMS SHRA/TSRA
INTERIOR AND W PR IN AFT WI OBSC MTNS. SHRA/TSRA WL INCR NR
TNCM/TKPK MID-DAY DECR BY EVE. VFR AT TAF SITES XCP MVFR/PSBL
IFR DURING SHRA/TSRA. NMRS SHRA/TSRA EAST PR/USVI TONITE.
WIND E 8-15 KT BCMG ESE BY AFT AND ESE 10-20 KT ON FRI.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS INCREASE DURING THE WEEKEND TO AROUND 15 KT.
OTHERWISE...WINDS GENERALLY 10-KT OR LESS. SEAS 2-4 FT XCPT HIGHER
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 90 79 88 80 / 20 60 60 10
STT 82 82 82 82 / 30 60 60 10
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#16156 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 18, 2014 2:44 pm

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
216 PM AST THU SEP 18 2014

.SYNOPSIS...LEADING EDGE OF TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS TONIGHT. TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TOMORROW AND WILL EXIT THE REGION FRIDAY
NIGHT. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXIT THE EASTERN U.S. AND WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC DURING THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER
TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ISOLATED SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED THIS
AFTERNOON OVER COAMO AND VILLALBA. REST OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS WERE UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY TO SUNNY SKIES.
LEADING EDGE OF TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS TONIGHT. THEREFORE...AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED FROM EAST TO WEST. BETTER CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS TONIGHT WILL BE OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
EASTERN PUERTO RICO. FOR TOMORROW...THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. THE COMBINATION OF THE TROPICAL
WAVE...WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND LOCAL EFFECTS PROMISE TO BRING A
GOOD DEAL OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE
REGION...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE 2.0 INCHES MOST OF THE DAY
TOMORROW...WITH MOISTURE LINGERING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE QUICKLY...AS A DRIER AIR MASS MOVES
ACROSS THE REGION BEHIND THE WAVE. SUNDAY LOOKS THE DRIEST
DAY...WITH ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE REGION BY
MONDAY AND TUESDAY NEXT WEEK. AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS NORTH
OF THE AREA DURING THE WEEKEND...PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
TIGHTEN...WHICH WILL ALLOW TO AN INCREASE IN WINDS ACROSS THE
AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH VCSH/VCTS FOR
ALMOST ALL TAF SITES THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS TROPICAL WAVE
APPROACHES FROM THE EAST. AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES...MVFR CONDS ARE
POSSIBLE FOR ISLANDS TAF SITES...TJSJ AND TJPS. WIND BLO FL150
FROM E TO SE 6-14 KTS BECOMING NW ABV FL300 AT GREATER THAN 25
KTS.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS UP TO 4 FEET AND WINDS UP TO 16 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 78 88 79 88 / 60 60 10 20
STT 78 89 80 90 / 60 60 10 20
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#16157 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 19, 2014 5:26 am

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...DELAYED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
555 AM AST FRI SEP 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A TROPICAL WAVE CROSSING THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS
NOW ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.VIRGIN ISLANDS WILL CONTINUE WESTWARDS
AROUND 15 MPH. IN THE UPPER LEVELS AN ELONGATED TUTT LOW JUST NORTH
OF PUERTO RICO EXTENDS SOUTHWARDS ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN.
THIS IS ALLOWING FOR GOOD VENTILATION AND DIVERGENCE ALOFT. ABUNDANT
AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE ACCOMPANYING THIS WAVE IS BEING ENHANCED BY THE
UPPER LOW AND PRODUCING MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ACROSS THE
NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN...THE SURROUNDING COASTAL WATERS AS WELL AS
PARTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE JUST NORTH OF THE AREA AND THE TROPICAL
WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION WILL HELP TO MAINTAIN FAIRLY LOOSE PRESSURE
GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY
TRADE WINDS TODAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF TROPICAL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IS ACCOMPANYING THE WAVE...WITH THE LATEST SATELLITE
DERIVED PRECIPITABLE WATER PRODUCT SUGGESTING A TONGUE OF HIGH PWAT
VALUES NEAR 2.5 INCHES NOW CROSSING THE REGION. THE PROXIMITY OF THE
UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGH ALONG WITH LOCAL AND DIURNAL EFFECTS...
WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND
POSSIBLE INTO EARLY SATURDAY. AS A RESULT EXPECTED ACTIVE AND VERY
UNSTABLE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE WITH PERIODS OF LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL... AND HIGH POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND GUSTY
WINDS ACROSS PARTS OF THE ISLANDS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. BY
LATE SATURDAY AND THROUGH MOST OF SUNDAY...EXPECT AN IMPROVEMENT
IN THE WEATHER CONDITIONS AS DRIER AIR MASS IS FORECAST TO QUICKLY
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION.

HOWEVER...BASED ON THE LATEST GFS MODEL GUIDANCE...ANOTHER TROPICAL
WAVE AND ASSOCIATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NOW NEAR 46 WEST WILL CONTINUE
WESTWARD...AND APPROACH THE LESSER ANTILLES LATE SATURDAY. IT IS TO
THEN FORECAST TO ENTER AND MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN LATE SUNDAY
OR MONDAY AND BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF GOOD TROPICAL MOISTURE TO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE LOCAL
FLYING AREA TODAY AS A TROPICAL WAVE MOVES OVER THE REGION. SHRA/ISOLD
TSRA ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE WILL MOVE IN AND AROUND TJSJ AND TIST
AND TISX THIS MORNING. NEW SHWR/TSRA ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AFT
OVER WESTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. THEREFORE...MVFR/IFR CONDS AND
MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS CAN BE EXPECTED IN SHRA/TSRA IN MOST OF PR TERMINALS.
E TO SE WINDS OF 10-15 KT WILL PREVAIL BELOW FL150...WITH HIGHER GUSTS
AROUND 30 KT NEAR TSRA.

&&

.MARINE...OVERALL MARINE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE MAINLY 5 FEET
OR LESS WITH WINDS GENERALLY BELOW 18 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
HOWEVER A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WILL BRING
PERIODS OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM WITH AREAS OF LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST COASTAL WATERS FORECAST AND
MARINE WEATHER STATEMENTS ISSUED BY WFO SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 88 78 88 79 / 70 10 20 20
STT 88 79 89 80 / 70 10 20 20
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abajan
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#16158 Postby abajan » Fri Sep 19, 2014 7:42 am

It's overcast, dark and raining cats and dogs in Barbados. Started around 6 AM and has been falling heavily for the majority of the time with occasional thunder. No signs of abatement. There's been some flooding and a couple schools have cancelled classes for the day.

Will keep you posted.
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#16159 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 19, 2014 2:03 pm

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
242 PM AST FRI SEP 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MEANDER OVER THE NORTHEAST
CARIBBEAN DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AS TROPICAL WAVE ACROSS THE
MONA PASSAGE MOVES FURTHER WEST...WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
TO IMPROVE ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE
PASSAGE IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AS TROPICAL WAVE ACROSS THE MONA PASSAGE CONTINUES
TO MOVE FURTHER WEST....WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE
ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH...POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY IN THE
EVENING WILL PERSIST MAINLY OVER THE CORDILLERA AND W PR.

MEANDERING TUTT LOW ACROSS THE AREA...WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE TRADE
WIND SHOWERS ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WITH SOME OF THEM REACHING
USVI AND E PR LATE THIS EVENING AND SATURDAY MORNING. SATURDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY...A MORE TYPICAL WEATHER PATTERN
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS WITH A FEW PASSING SHOWERS
ACROSS USVI AND E PR IN THE MORNING FOLLOWED BY AFTERNOON CONVECTION
ACROSS THE CORDILLERA AND WEST PUERTO RICO IN THE AFTERNOON. SOME
OF THESE AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME STRONG AS
TUTT AXIS MOVES WEST OF PR.

ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE AND ASSOCIATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR 48
WEST WILL CONTINUE WESTWARD...AND APPROACH THE LESSER ANTILLES
SUNDAY. IT IS TO THEN FORECAST TO ENTER AND MOVE ACROSS THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN LATE SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY...INCREASING ONCE
AGAIN THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.AVIATION...SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER CENTRAL
AND WESTERN PR UNTIL AROUND 19/23Z...WITH MVFR/IFR CONDS AND
MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION. VCSH/VCTS POSSIBLE FOR ISLAND AND TJSJ TAF
SITES THROUGH THE NIGHT. WINDS E TO SE OF 10-15 KT WILL PREVAIL
BELOW FL150...WITH HIGHER GUSTS AROUND 30 KT NEAR TSRA.


&&

.MARINE...MARINE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE MAINLY 5 FEET OR LESS WITH
WINDS GENERALLY UP TO 17 KNOTS TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM THAT
DEVELOPS ACROSS THE WATERS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 78 88 79 88 / 40 40 30 30
STT 78 89 78 89 / 50 50 40 40
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#16160 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 20, 2014 5:14 am

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
510 AM AST SAT SEP 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE WEST CENTRAL ATLANTIC...AND A
TROPICAL WAVE WITH ASSOCIATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE JUST EAST OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES...WILL HELP TO MAINTAIN MODERATE TRADE WINDS
ACROSS THE REGION. TUTT LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGH WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN WILL SLOWLY RETROGRESSING WEST
OF THE ISLANDS LATER TODAY. WEAK EASTERLY LOW TO MID LEVEL TROUGH
INDUCED BY THE TUTT...WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY BRINGING
PERIODS OF LOW TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE WITH ACCOMPANYING SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AND LOCAL
ISLANDS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
TUTT LOW ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN ...WILL CONTINUE TO
ENHANCE TRADE WIND SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION WITH SOME OF THEM
REACHING PARTS OF THE NORTH AND EAST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. SHOWERS ACTIVITY
WILL THEN DIMINISH BY LATE MORNING LEAVING MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES. DURING THE REST OF THE DAY...LOCAL AND DIURNAL
EFFECTS WILL LEAD TO SOME AFTERNOON CONVECTION MAINLY ACROSS PARTS
OF THE CENTRAL INTERIOR AND WEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. SOME OF
THE AFTERNOON SHOWERS MAY BE FURTHER ENHANCED DUE TO THE PROXIMITY
OF THE TUTT AND MAY PRODUCE ONE OR TWO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AND
PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. SO FAR THE TUTT IS STILL FORECAST
TO SLOWLY RETROGRESS WEST OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
TO DAY WITH WEAK AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE FORECAST TO BUILD ALOFT BY
SUNDAY.

THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED TROPICAL WAVE AND ASSOCIATED AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE WESTWARD AND ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
LATE SUNDAY BASED ON THE LATEST GFS MODEL GUIDANCE. THEREAFTER IT
IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
INCREASING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS
THE ISLANDS AND COASTAL WATERS.

&&

.AVIATION...PASSING SHRA ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS
MORNING 20/16Z...POSSIBLY AFFECTING TJSJ...TIST...TISX...TNCM...AND
TKPK BRIEFLY WITH VCSH LIKELY FOR THOSE TERMINALS. AFTER
20/16Z...SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPMENT ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN PR WILL
CAUSE MTN OBSCURATIONS AND AFFECT TJMZ AND TJBQ. EASTERLY SFC WINDS
WILL PREVAIL THIS MORNING AT ABOUT 5-10 KTS INCREASING SLIGHTLY
AFTER 20/12Z WITH SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS.


&&

.MARINE...LOCAL SEAS CONTINUED AT 4 FEET OR LESS WITH PREVAILING
EASTERLY TRADE WINDS OF 17 KNOTS OR LESS. EXPECT THESE CONDITIONS
TO PERSIST TROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEKEND. PLEASE REFER TO THE
LATEST COASTAL WATERS FORECAST ISSUED BY WFO SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
FOR THE LATEST AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 79 89 79 / 30 30 30 20
STT 87 78 89 80 / 40 40 40 50
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