BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
1100 PM AST THU JUL 31 2014
...TROPICAL STORM BERTHA DEVELOPS EAST OF THE SOUTHERN LESSER
ANTILLES...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND WATCHES ISSUED...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.3N 55.5W
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM ESE OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM ESE OF ST. LUCIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR BARBADOS AND DOMINICA.
THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
ST. LUCIA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...
CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR MARTINIQUE FRIDAY
MORNING.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* ST. LUCIA
* DOMINICA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...
INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.5 WEST. BERTHA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...31 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR BARBADOS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL LESSER ANTILLES FRIDAY
EVENING.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
WARNING AREA BY MIDDAY FRIDAY...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS
DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE WATCH AREA IN PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS ON
SATURDAY.
RAINFALL...BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
Caribbean - Central America Weather
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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cycloneye
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- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
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Re: Caribbean-C America:TS Bertha:Watches & Warnings issued
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cycloneye
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Re: Caribbean-C America:TS Bertha:Watches & Warnings issued
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1146 PM AST THU JUL 31 2014
...TROPICAL STORM BERTHA DEVELOPS EAST OF THE SOUTHERN LESSER
ANTILLES...
.NEW INFORMATION...
SITUATION OVERVIEW AND IMPACTS ADDED.
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY...NORTHEAST...SOUTHEAST...EASTERN
INTERIOR...NORTH CENTRAL...CENTRAL INTERIOR...PONCE AND
VICINITY...NORTHWEST...WESTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY...
SOUTHWEST...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT
ISLANDS AND ST CROIX.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 12.3N...LONGITUDE 55.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 840 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PONCE PR...OR ABOUT 720 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
SAINT CROIX VI. STORM MOTION WAS WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 20 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 45 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST NORTHWESTWARD
AROUND 20 MPH DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS PASSING SOUTH OF PONCE
LATE SATURDAY. RAINS WILL OVERSPREAD THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE FRI
NIGHT AND REACH EASTERN PUERTO RICO AFTER DAYBREAK SATURDAY. RAIN
HEAVY AT TIMES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. 1 TO 3
INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED. HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 5
INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHEAST...EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE CAN ALSO BE
EXPECTED ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS AND RAIN BANDS.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED
THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE
ISSUED.
FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED
THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE
IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.
FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
&&
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 530 AM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-011000-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.A.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
1146 PM AST THU JUL 31 2014
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED OVER SOUTHWEST PUERTO RICO AND ARE CLOSE TO 45 PERCENT.
...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM BERTHA MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE
ARE LIKELY ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS AND IN RAIN BANDS.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST WITH ANY RAIN BANDS.
$$
AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-741-742-745-011000-
/O.EXA.TJSJ.TR.A.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
1146 PM AST THU JUL 31 2014
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED OVER SOUTHWEST PUERTO RICO AND ARE CLOSE TO 45 PERCENT.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM BERTHA MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE
ARE LIKELY ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS AND IN RAIN BANDS. SEAS 9 TO 11
FEET ARE EXPECTED.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST WITH ANY RAIN BANDS.
$$
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1146 PM AST THU JUL 31 2014
...TROPICAL STORM BERTHA DEVELOPS EAST OF THE SOUTHERN LESSER
ANTILLES...
.NEW INFORMATION...
SITUATION OVERVIEW AND IMPACTS ADDED.
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY...NORTHEAST...SOUTHEAST...EASTERN
INTERIOR...NORTH CENTRAL...CENTRAL INTERIOR...PONCE AND
VICINITY...NORTHWEST...WESTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY...
SOUTHWEST...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT
ISLANDS AND ST CROIX.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 12.3N...LONGITUDE 55.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 840 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PONCE PR...OR ABOUT 720 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
SAINT CROIX VI. STORM MOTION WAS WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 20 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 45 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST NORTHWESTWARD
AROUND 20 MPH DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS PASSING SOUTH OF PONCE
LATE SATURDAY. RAINS WILL OVERSPREAD THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE FRI
NIGHT AND REACH EASTERN PUERTO RICO AFTER DAYBREAK SATURDAY. RAIN
HEAVY AT TIMES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. 1 TO 3
INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED. HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 5
INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHEAST...EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE CAN ALSO BE
EXPECTED ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS AND RAIN BANDS.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED
THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE
ISSUED.
FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED
THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE
IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.
FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
&&
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 530 AM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-011000-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.A.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
1146 PM AST THU JUL 31 2014
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED OVER SOUTHWEST PUERTO RICO AND ARE CLOSE TO 45 PERCENT.
...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM BERTHA MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE
ARE LIKELY ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS AND IN RAIN BANDS.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST WITH ANY RAIN BANDS.
$$
AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-741-742-745-011000-
/O.EXA.TJSJ.TR.A.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
1146 PM AST THU JUL 31 2014
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED OVER SOUTHWEST PUERTO RICO AND ARE CLOSE TO 45 PERCENT.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM BERTHA MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE
ARE LIKELY ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS AND IN RAIN BANDS. SEAS 9 TO 11
FEET ARE EXPECTED.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST WITH ANY RAIN BANDS.
$$
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139020
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean-C America:TS Bertha:Watches & Warnings issued
Results for San Juan, Puerto Rico (18.45N, 66W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 17.2N, 66.7W or about 96.0 miles (154.5 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 1 day, 18 hours and 18 minutes from now (Saturday, August 2 at 6:42PM AST).
http://www.stormcarib.com/closest3.htm
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 17.2N, 66.7W or about 96.0 miles (154.5 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 1 day, 18 hours and 18 minutes from now (Saturday, August 2 at 6:42PM AST).
http://www.stormcarib.com/closest3.htm
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
Re: Caribbean-C America:TS Bertha:Watches & Warnings issued
cycloneye wrote:Results for San Juan, Puerto Rico (18.45N, 66W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 17.2N, 66.7W or about 96.0 miles (154.5 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 1 day, 18 hours and 18 minutes from now (Saturday, August 2 at 6:42PM AST).
http://www.stormcarib.com/closest3.htm
Ok, me Saturday 6am. Not much time for preparations if Bertha is coming in our way... but wait and see.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139020
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean-C America:TS Bertha:Watches & Warnings issued
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
500 AM AST FRI AUG 01 2014
...BERTHA CONTINUES TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND ADJACENT
ISLANDS...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 57.0W
ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM E OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 295 MI...470 KM ESE OF MARTINIQUE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO
RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR MARTINIQUE LATER
TODAY.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* ST. LUCIA
* DOMINICA
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND
HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
500 AM AST FRI AUG 01 2014
...BERTHA CONTINUES TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND ADJACENT
ISLANDS...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 57.0W
ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM E OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 295 MI...470 KM ESE OF MARTINIQUE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO
RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR MARTINIQUE LATER
TODAY.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* ST. LUCIA
* DOMINICA
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND
HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139020
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean-C America:TS Bertha:Watches & Warnings issued
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
522 AM AST FRI AUG 1 2014
...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...
.NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED.
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...SAN JUAN AND VICINITY...NORTHEAST...SOUTHEAST...
EASTERN INTERIOR...NORTH CENTRAL...CENTRAL INTERIOR...PONCE AND
VICINITY...NORTHWEST...WESTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY...
SOUTHWEST...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT
ISLANDS AND ST CROIX.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SPECIFIED
AREAS.
ALL PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREAS SHOULD ALREADY HAVE
PREPARATIONS UNDERWAY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 13.0N...LONGITUDE 57.0W. THIS WAS ABOUT 720 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PONCE PR...OR ABOUT 610 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
SAINT CROIX VI. STORM MOTION WAS WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 20 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 45 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST NORTHWESTWARD
AROUND 20 MPH DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS PASSING SOUTH OF PONCE
LATE SATURDAY. RAINS WILL OVERSPREAD THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT AND REACH EASTERN PUERTO RICO AROUND DAYBREAK
SATURDAY. RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE CAYEY AND
LUQUILLO MOUNTAIN RANGES. GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE CAN ALSO
BE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS AND RAIN BANDS. ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHEAST
PUERTO RICO...VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS ONCE
THE WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH OR WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO INITIATE
PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN SPECIFIC TO
YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.
IT IS IMPORTANT TO ACTIVELY LISTEN FOR FORTHCOMING INFORMATION
FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT AGENCY.
MARINERS ARE URGED TO MAKE ALL NECESSARY PREPARATIONS TO RETURN
TO PORT...SEEK SAFE HARBOR...AND SECURE THEIR CRAFT. NOW IS THE
TIME TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN
FOR TROPICAL SYSTEMS. MONITOR WEATHER BROADCASTS FOR CHANGES TO
THE LATEST FORECAST AND LISTEN FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL
OFFICIALS.
&&
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AROUND 930 AM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-011330-
/O.UPG.TJSJ.TR.A.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.TJSJ.TR.W.1003.140801T0922Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
522 AM AST FRI AUG 1 2014
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
OVER SOUTH CENTRAL PUERTO RICO IN THE VICINITY OF PONCE AND ARE
NEAR 50 PERCENT.
$$
AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-741-742-745-011330-
/O.UPG.TJSJ.TR.A.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.TJSJ.TR.W.1003.140801T0922Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
522 AM AST FRI AUG 1 2014
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
OVER THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS AND ARE BETWEEN 50 TO 55
PERCENT.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM BERTHA MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE
ARE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS AND IN RAIN BANDS. SEAS 9 TO
11 FEET ARE EXPECTED.
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
522 AM AST FRI AUG 1 2014
...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...
.NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED.
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...SAN JUAN AND VICINITY...NORTHEAST...SOUTHEAST...
EASTERN INTERIOR...NORTH CENTRAL...CENTRAL INTERIOR...PONCE AND
VICINITY...NORTHWEST...WESTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY...
SOUTHWEST...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT
ISLANDS AND ST CROIX.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SPECIFIED
AREAS.
ALL PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREAS SHOULD ALREADY HAVE
PREPARATIONS UNDERWAY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 13.0N...LONGITUDE 57.0W. THIS WAS ABOUT 720 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PONCE PR...OR ABOUT 610 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
SAINT CROIX VI. STORM MOTION WAS WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 20 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 45 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST NORTHWESTWARD
AROUND 20 MPH DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS PASSING SOUTH OF PONCE
LATE SATURDAY. RAINS WILL OVERSPREAD THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT AND REACH EASTERN PUERTO RICO AROUND DAYBREAK
SATURDAY. RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE CAYEY AND
LUQUILLO MOUNTAIN RANGES. GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE CAN ALSO
BE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS AND RAIN BANDS. ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHEAST
PUERTO RICO...VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS ONCE
THE WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH OR WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO INITIATE
PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN SPECIFIC TO
YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.
IT IS IMPORTANT TO ACTIVELY LISTEN FOR FORTHCOMING INFORMATION
FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT AGENCY.
MARINERS ARE URGED TO MAKE ALL NECESSARY PREPARATIONS TO RETURN
TO PORT...SEEK SAFE HARBOR...AND SECURE THEIR CRAFT. NOW IS THE
TIME TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN
FOR TROPICAL SYSTEMS. MONITOR WEATHER BROADCASTS FOR CHANGES TO
THE LATEST FORECAST AND LISTEN FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL
OFFICIALS.
&&
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AROUND 930 AM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-011330-
/O.UPG.TJSJ.TR.A.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.TJSJ.TR.W.1003.140801T0922Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
522 AM AST FRI AUG 1 2014
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
OVER SOUTH CENTRAL PUERTO RICO IN THE VICINITY OF PONCE AND ARE
NEAR 50 PERCENT.
$$
AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-741-742-745-011330-
/O.UPG.TJSJ.TR.A.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.TJSJ.TR.W.1003.140801T0922Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
522 AM AST FRI AUG 1 2014
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
OVER THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS AND ARE BETWEEN 50 TO 55
PERCENT.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM BERTHA MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE
ARE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS AND IN RAIN BANDS. SEAS 9 TO
11 FEET ARE EXPECTED.
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and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139020
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean-C America:TS Bertha:Watches & Warnings issued
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
503 AM AST FRI AUG 1 2014
.SYNOPSIS...TUTT LOW NORTH OF THE AREA WILL RETROGRESS TOWARD THE
BAHAMAS TONIGHT. TS BERTHA EXPECTED TO PASS SOUTH OF PONCE SAT
AFTERNOON BRINGING BENEFICIAL RAINS TO MOST OF THE REGION.
&&
.DISCUSSION...TUTT WILL MAINTAIN UNSTABLE CONDITIONS TODAY BUT
SUBSIDENCE AND DRYING AHEAD OF TS BERTHA WILL LIMIT SHOWER CVRG
THIS AFTERNOON. FAIR WEATHER EXPECTED THIS EVENING AHEAD OF
BERTHA. SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE USVI AFTER
06Z SAT REACHING ERN PR AROUND DAYBREAK SAT. RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES
EXPECTED SATURDAY AS BERTHA TRACKS WNW SOUTH OF PONCE AROUND 20
MPH. HEAVIEST RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 6 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER FAVORED TOPOGRAPHIC REGIONS OF EL YUNQUE AND CAYEY
MOUNTAIN RANGES. REST OF PR AND USVI WILL LIKELY SEE AMOUNTS IN THE
1 TO 3 INCH RANGE WITH SOUTHWEST PR LIKELY TO SEE THE LEAST AMOUNT
OF RAIN. STILL CLOUDY AND SHOWERY SAT NIGHT BUT AREAL COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY OF SHOWERS WILL DECREASE AS MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION MOVES
PAST PR. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS AND
EMBEDDED IN RAIN BANDS ONCE SFC WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST SAT
AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED
SATURDAY ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND IN SQUALLS AND RAIN BANDS.
THINGS DRY OUT QUICKLY SUNDAY WITH A VERY NICE DAY ON TAP. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE STRENGTHENS THROUGH ALL OF NEXT WEEK WITH OVERALL VERY
DRY CONDITIONS.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE FCST
PERIOD WITH VCSH AT TJSJ/TIST/TISX AND TNCM IN THE MORNING HOURS.
BETWEEN 01/17-01/21Z BRIEF MVFR CIGS PSBL DUE ISOLD-SCT SHRA/TSRA
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN SECTION OF PR AND AFFECTING TJBQ
AND TJMZ. E-SE WINDS 10 TO 20 KTS BELOW FL100. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS EXPECTED SATURDAY.
&&
.MARINE...SUSTAINED WINDS 25-30KT WITH GUSTS 35-40 KT. SEAS 7 TO 9
FT SATURDAY. WINDS AND SEAS BEGIN TO IMPROVE RAPIDLY SAT NIGHT.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...BEFORE THE RAINS ARRIVE LATE TONIGHT VERY DRY AIR
WILL MOVE IN OVER ST. CROIX LATER TODAY WITH RED FLAG CONDITIONS
EXPECTED. VIEQUES HAD SOME DECENT RAINS YESTERDAY WITH UP TO 0.62
INCHES SO WILL NOT ISSUE AN RFW FOR THEM. THE VERY DRY AIR WILL
NOT MAKE IT ON TIME TO MAINLAND PR SO NO RED FLAG CONDITIONS
EXPECTED THERE.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH UP TO
SIX INCHES POSSIBLE IN FAVORED TOPOGRAPHICAL REGIONS OF THE CAYEY
AND LUQUILLO MOUNTAIN RANGES ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY WITH THE
PASSAGE OF BERTHA. VERY LOW STREAM FLOWS AND DROUGHT CONDITIONS
WILL PRECLUDE THE ISSUANCE OF A FLASH FLOOD WATCH BUT HEAVY RAINS
CAN HAVE QUICK IMPACTS ON RIVERS IN NORTHEAST PR DUE TO THEIR
SHORT LENGTH AND STEEP SLOPES.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 91 81 82 78 / 20 100 100 90
STT 89 79 81 80 / 10 100 100 90
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
503 AM AST FRI AUG 1 2014
.SYNOPSIS...TUTT LOW NORTH OF THE AREA WILL RETROGRESS TOWARD THE
BAHAMAS TONIGHT. TS BERTHA EXPECTED TO PASS SOUTH OF PONCE SAT
AFTERNOON BRINGING BENEFICIAL RAINS TO MOST OF THE REGION.
&&
.DISCUSSION...TUTT WILL MAINTAIN UNSTABLE CONDITIONS TODAY BUT
SUBSIDENCE AND DRYING AHEAD OF TS BERTHA WILL LIMIT SHOWER CVRG
THIS AFTERNOON. FAIR WEATHER EXPECTED THIS EVENING AHEAD OF
BERTHA. SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE USVI AFTER
06Z SAT REACHING ERN PR AROUND DAYBREAK SAT. RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES
EXPECTED SATURDAY AS BERTHA TRACKS WNW SOUTH OF PONCE AROUND 20
MPH. HEAVIEST RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 6 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER FAVORED TOPOGRAPHIC REGIONS OF EL YUNQUE AND CAYEY
MOUNTAIN RANGES. REST OF PR AND USVI WILL LIKELY SEE AMOUNTS IN THE
1 TO 3 INCH RANGE WITH SOUTHWEST PR LIKELY TO SEE THE LEAST AMOUNT
OF RAIN. STILL CLOUDY AND SHOWERY SAT NIGHT BUT AREAL COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY OF SHOWERS WILL DECREASE AS MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION MOVES
PAST PR. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS AND
EMBEDDED IN RAIN BANDS ONCE SFC WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST SAT
AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED
SATURDAY ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND IN SQUALLS AND RAIN BANDS.
THINGS DRY OUT QUICKLY SUNDAY WITH A VERY NICE DAY ON TAP. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE STRENGTHENS THROUGH ALL OF NEXT WEEK WITH OVERALL VERY
DRY CONDITIONS.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE FCST
PERIOD WITH VCSH AT TJSJ/TIST/TISX AND TNCM IN THE MORNING HOURS.
BETWEEN 01/17-01/21Z BRIEF MVFR CIGS PSBL DUE ISOLD-SCT SHRA/TSRA
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN SECTION OF PR AND AFFECTING TJBQ
AND TJMZ. E-SE WINDS 10 TO 20 KTS BELOW FL100. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS EXPECTED SATURDAY.
&&
.MARINE...SUSTAINED WINDS 25-30KT WITH GUSTS 35-40 KT. SEAS 7 TO 9
FT SATURDAY. WINDS AND SEAS BEGIN TO IMPROVE RAPIDLY SAT NIGHT.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...BEFORE THE RAINS ARRIVE LATE TONIGHT VERY DRY AIR
WILL MOVE IN OVER ST. CROIX LATER TODAY WITH RED FLAG CONDITIONS
EXPECTED. VIEQUES HAD SOME DECENT RAINS YESTERDAY WITH UP TO 0.62
INCHES SO WILL NOT ISSUE AN RFW FOR THEM. THE VERY DRY AIR WILL
NOT MAKE IT ON TIME TO MAINLAND PR SO NO RED FLAG CONDITIONS
EXPECTED THERE.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH UP TO
SIX INCHES POSSIBLE IN FAVORED TOPOGRAPHICAL REGIONS OF THE CAYEY
AND LUQUILLO MOUNTAIN RANGES ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY WITH THE
PASSAGE OF BERTHA. VERY LOW STREAM FLOWS AND DROUGHT CONDITIONS
WILL PRECLUDE THE ISSUANCE OF A FLASH FLOOD WATCH BUT HEAVY RAINS
CAN HAVE QUICK IMPACTS ON RIVERS IN NORTHEAST PR DUE TO THEIR
SHORT LENGTH AND STEEP SLOPES.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 91 81 82 78 / 20 100 100 90
STT 89 79 81 80 / 10 100 100 90
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-
tropicwatch
- Category 5
- Posts: 3205
- Age: 60
- Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
- Location: Panama City Florida
- Contact:
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139020
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean-C America:TS Bertha:Watches & Warnings issued
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 57.9W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM ENE OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM ESE OF MARTINIQUE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 57.9W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM ENE OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM ESE OF MARTINIQUE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
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and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI AUG 01 2014
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA IS CENTERED NEAR 13.6N 57.9W AT 01/1200
UTC OR ABOUT 96 NM ENE OF BARBADOS AND ABOUT 191 NM ESE OF
MARTINIQUE MOVING WNW AT 17 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 50 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NE SEMICIRCLE.
SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCPAT3/WTNT33 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT3/WTNT23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI AUG 01 2014
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA IS CENTERED NEAR 13.6N 57.9W AT 01/1200
UTC OR ABOUT 96 NM ENE OF BARBADOS AND ABOUT 191 NM ESE OF
MARTINIQUE MOVING WNW AT 17 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 50 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NE SEMICIRCLE.
SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCPAT3/WTNT33 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT3/WTNT23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.
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TS Bertha Local Observations,webcams in Islands, post here
Please use this thread for local observations, any local important notices, pictures, webcams in the area, etc.from the effects of Tropical Storm Bertha. Know we are thinking about you all there. Stay safe and hopefully she will bring just some much needed rain for you all. Look forward to your updates.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139020
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: TS Bertha Local Observations,webcams in Islands, post here
Here are a ton of webcams from the Eastern Caribbean islands including PR. Some work but others not but in general most work. Go to first post of the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread
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Reposted from the discussion thread-
caribepr wrote:This should probably go somewhere else, if so, mea culpa, but just in from our ferry folks
REPITO INFORMACION VIAJES ULTIMA EMBARCACION DE FAJARDO A CULEBRA 2:30 PM ULTIMA EMBARCACION CULEBRA A FAJARDO 5:00PM.
REPEAT INFORMATION TRAVEL LAST BOAT FROM FAJARDO TO CULEBRA 2:30 PM LAST BOAT CULEBRA TO FAJARDO 5:00 PM.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139020
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean-C America:TS Bertha:Watches & Warnings issued
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
1100 AM AST FRI AUG 01 2014
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS BERTHA SLIGHTLY STRONGER BUT
DISORGANIZED...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.0N 58.9W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM ESE OF MARTINIQUE
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM NE OF BARBADOS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO
ISLA SAONA.
THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF BARBADOS HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
WARNINGS AND WATCHES FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT...AND THE
GRENADINES.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. LUCIA
* DOMINICA
* MARTINIQUE
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO
ISLA SAONA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND
HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.9 WEST. BERTHA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF BARBADOS
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL LESSER
ANTILLES TONIGHT...AND APPROACH THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
ON SATURDAY.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...
85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT
FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
WARNING AREA THIS AFTERNOON...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN PUERTO RICO
AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON SATURDAY.
RAINFALL...BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...AS WELL AS THE U. S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
TOTALS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PUERTO RICO...WITH THE
HEAVIEST TOTALS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
1100 AM AST FRI AUG 01 2014
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS BERTHA SLIGHTLY STRONGER BUT
DISORGANIZED...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.0N 58.9W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM ESE OF MARTINIQUE
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM NE OF BARBADOS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO
ISLA SAONA.
THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF BARBADOS HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
WARNINGS AND WATCHES FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT...AND THE
GRENADINES.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. LUCIA
* DOMINICA
* MARTINIQUE
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO
ISLA SAONA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND
HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.9 WEST. BERTHA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF BARBADOS
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL LESSER
ANTILLES TONIGHT...AND APPROACH THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
ON SATURDAY.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...
85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT
FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
WARNING AREA THIS AFTERNOON...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN PUERTO RICO
AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON SATURDAY.
RAINFALL...BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...AS WELL AS THE U. S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
TOTALS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PUERTO RICO...WITH THE
HEAVIEST TOTALS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139020
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean-C America:TS Bertha:Watches & Warnings issued
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1210 PM AST FRI AUG 1 2014
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS BERTHA SLIGHTLY STRONGER BUT
DISORGANIZED...
.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED POSITION OF THE STORM.
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
ALL OF PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA...AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.0N...LONGITUDE 58.9W. THIS WAS ABOUT 580 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PONCE PR...OR ABOUT 470 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
SAINT CROIX VI. STORM MOTION WAS WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 21 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 50 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST NORTHWESTWARD
AROUND 20 MPH DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS PASSING SOUTH OF PONCE
LATE SATURDAY. RAINS WILL OVERSPREAD THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT AND REACH EASTERN PUERTO RICO AROUND DAYBREAK
SATURDAY. RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING. 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES ACROSS
PORTIONS AT THE U. S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
PUERTO RICO...WITH THE HEAVIEST TOTALS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION
OF THE ISLAND. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHEAST PUERTO RICO...VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS ONCE THE WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.
FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.
REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.
FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
&&
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 330 PM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-012015-
/O.COR.TJSJ.TR.W.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
1210 PM AST FRI AUG 1 2014
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...THE
CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 50
PERCENT. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS
EARLY AS SATURDAY MORNING.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING. 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES ACROSS
PORTIONS AT THE U. S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
PUERTO RICO...WITH THE HEAVIEST TOTALS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION
OF THE ISLAND.
...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM BERTHA APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SATURDAY MORNING OVER THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA...AND EARLY AFTERNOON OVER
PUERTO RICO. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH
RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST WITH ANY RAIN BANDS.
$$
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1210 PM AST FRI AUG 1 2014
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS BERTHA SLIGHTLY STRONGER BUT
DISORGANIZED...
.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED POSITION OF THE STORM.
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
ALL OF PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA...AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.0N...LONGITUDE 58.9W. THIS WAS ABOUT 580 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PONCE PR...OR ABOUT 470 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
SAINT CROIX VI. STORM MOTION WAS WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 21 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 50 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST NORTHWESTWARD
AROUND 20 MPH DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS PASSING SOUTH OF PONCE
LATE SATURDAY. RAINS WILL OVERSPREAD THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT AND REACH EASTERN PUERTO RICO AROUND DAYBREAK
SATURDAY. RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING. 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES ACROSS
PORTIONS AT THE U. S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
PUERTO RICO...WITH THE HEAVIEST TOTALS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION
OF THE ISLAND. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHEAST PUERTO RICO...VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS ONCE THE WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.
FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.
REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.
FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
&&
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 330 PM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-012015-
/O.COR.TJSJ.TR.W.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
1210 PM AST FRI AUG 1 2014
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...THE
CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 50
PERCENT. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS
EARLY AS SATURDAY MORNING.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING. 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES ACROSS
PORTIONS AT THE U. S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
PUERTO RICO...WITH THE HEAVIEST TOTALS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION
OF THE ISLAND.
...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM BERTHA APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SATURDAY MORNING OVER THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA...AND EARLY AFTERNOON OVER
PUERTO RICO. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH
RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST WITH ANY RAIN BANDS.
$$
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139020
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean-C America:TS Bertha:Watches & Warnings issued
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
200 PM AST FRI AUG 01 2014
...CENTER OF BERTHA APPROACHING MARTINIQUE...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.5N 60.3W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM E OF MARTINIQUE
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM NNW OF BARBADOS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR ST. LUCIA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* MARTINIQUE
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO TO
ISLA SAONA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND
HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
200 PM AST FRI AUG 01 2014
...CENTER OF BERTHA APPROACHING MARTINIQUE...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.5N 60.3W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM E OF MARTINIQUE
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM NNW OF BARBADOS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR ST. LUCIA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* MARTINIQUE
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO TO
ISLA SAONA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND
HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139020
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean-C America:TS Bertha:Watches & Warnings issued
Making landfall in Martinique. Saved loop.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139020
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean-C America:TS Bertha:Watches & Warnings issued
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
500 PM AST FRI AUG 01 2014
...CENTER OF BERTHA PASSING NEAR THE NORTHERN END OF MARTINIQUE...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.9N 61.2W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM NW OF FORT DE FRANCE MARTINIQUE
ABOUT 405 MI...650 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...
LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS
WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* MARTINIQUE
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO TO
ISLA SAONA
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS
* THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND
HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
500 PM AST FRI AUG 01 2014
...CENTER OF BERTHA PASSING NEAR THE NORTHERN END OF MARTINIQUE...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.9N 61.2W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM NW OF FORT DE FRANCE MARTINIQUE
ABOUT 405 MI...650 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...
LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS
WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* MARTINIQUE
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO TO
ISLA SAONA
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS
* THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND
HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139020
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
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Re: Caribbean-C America:TS Bertha:Watches & Warnings issued
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
800 PM AST FRI AUG 01 2014
...BERTHA MOVING INTO THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR PUERTO RICO ON SATURDAY...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 61.9W
ABOUT 40 MI...70 KM WSW OF DOMINICA
ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* MARTINIQUE
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO TO
ISLA SAONA
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS
* THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND
HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...
INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.9 WEST. BERTHA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERTHA WILL CONTINUE MOVING
ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TONIGHT...PASS NEAR PUERTO
RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON SATURDAY...MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE
EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SATURDAY NIGHT...AND APPROACH THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. BERTHA REMAINS IN AN ENVIRONMENT THAT IS NOT FAVORABLE FOR
STRENGTHENING...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A WEATHER STATION ON DOMINICA
RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 43 MPH...69 KM/H. GUADELOUPE
RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 37 MPH...59 KM/H.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IN THE WARNING AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON GUADELOUPE DURING THE NEXT
FEW HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN PUERTO RICO
AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON SATURDAY. WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM
FORCE COULD OCCUR IN SQUALLS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.
RAINFALL...BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS...AS WELL AS THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PUERTO RICO...WITH THE HEAVIEST TOTALS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
800 PM AST FRI AUG 01 2014
...BERTHA MOVING INTO THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR PUERTO RICO ON SATURDAY...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 61.9W
ABOUT 40 MI...70 KM WSW OF DOMINICA
ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* MARTINIQUE
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO TO
ISLA SAONA
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS
* THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND
HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...
INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.9 WEST. BERTHA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERTHA WILL CONTINUE MOVING
ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TONIGHT...PASS NEAR PUERTO
RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON SATURDAY...MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE
EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SATURDAY NIGHT...AND APPROACH THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. BERTHA REMAINS IN AN ENVIRONMENT THAT IS NOT FAVORABLE FOR
STRENGTHENING...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A WEATHER STATION ON DOMINICA
RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 43 MPH...69 KM/H. GUADELOUPE
RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 37 MPH...59 KM/H.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IN THE WARNING AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON GUADELOUPE DURING THE NEXT
FEW HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN PUERTO RICO
AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON SATURDAY. WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM
FORCE COULD OCCUR IN SQUALLS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.
RAINFALL...BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS...AS WELL AS THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PUERTO RICO...WITH THE HEAVIEST TOTALS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
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-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139020
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean-C America:TS Bertha:Watches & Warnings issued
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
1100 PM AST FRI AUG 01 2014
...DISORGANIZED BERTHA MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE
NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.7N 63.0W
ABOUT 180 MI...295 KM SE OF ST. CROIX
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR DOMINICA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MARTINIQUE
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO TO
ISLA SAONA
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS
* THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36
HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND
HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...
INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.0 WEST. BERTHA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY SATURDAY NIGHT...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF BERTHA WILL CONTINUE MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA OVERNIGHT...PASS NEAR PUERTO RICO ON SATURDAY...MOVE
NEAR OR OVER THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATE SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT...AND APPROACH THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. BERTHA REMAINS IN AN ENVIRONMENT THAT IS NOT FAVORABLE
FOR STRENGTHENING...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
THROUGH SUNDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185
KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. GUADELOUPE
RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 37 MPH...59 KM/H.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER DOMINICA
AND GUADELOUPE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED IN PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON SATURDAY. WIND
GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE COULD OCCUR IN SQUALLS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BY LATE
SATURDAY...AND IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS BY EARLY SUNDAY.
RAINFALL...BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS...AS WELL AS THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 8
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PUERTO RICO...WITH THE HEAVIEST TOTALS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
1100 PM AST FRI AUG 01 2014
...DISORGANIZED BERTHA MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE
NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.7N 63.0W
ABOUT 180 MI...295 KM SE OF ST. CROIX
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR DOMINICA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MARTINIQUE
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO TO
ISLA SAONA
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS
* THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36
HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND
HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...
INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.0 WEST. BERTHA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY SATURDAY NIGHT...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF BERTHA WILL CONTINUE MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA OVERNIGHT...PASS NEAR PUERTO RICO ON SATURDAY...MOVE
NEAR OR OVER THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATE SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT...AND APPROACH THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. BERTHA REMAINS IN AN ENVIRONMENT THAT IS NOT FAVORABLE
FOR STRENGTHENING...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
THROUGH SUNDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185
KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. GUADELOUPE
RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 37 MPH...59 KM/H.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER DOMINICA
AND GUADELOUPE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED IN PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON SATURDAY. WIND
GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE COULD OCCUR IN SQUALLS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BY LATE
SATURDAY...AND IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS BY EARLY SUNDAY.
RAINFALL...BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS...AS WELL AS THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 8
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PUERTO RICO...WITH THE HEAVIEST TOTALS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
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