Florida Weather

[psyclone]

Great to see southeast florida up to the treasure coast cashing a rain ticket (those are even better when it was mostly expected to be a miss). With the incoming front, a couple of days of dangerous fire weather appear likely so at least the fuels in those areas will be less of a hazard. Meanwhile...the cactus are happy around the bay area. The rain over the east coast should really improve the KBDI numbers on tomorrow's update. Fingers crossed for more miracles as several days of dry weather look to follow this front.

[gatorcane]

This is turning out to be a more significant rain event than I (and NWS too I suspect seeing their 8am est update hinted heavier rain may be over) expected for SE Florida. Heavy rains over my locale continue with training in progress and over much of Palm Beach and Broward. Flood advisories are in effect.

[TheStormExpert]

Well managed to pick up 3.87 inches of rain in my rain gauge with yesterday's rain event. Let's just say this was an over performing event that the NWS: Miami was only forecasting about an inch of rain for my city. Picked up more rain than what Hurricane Matthew brought us!

[Patrick99]

This is good. Hopefully in the weeks leading up to the *real* June deluge season, we can pick up enough rain so that we're not having to bank on getting feet of rain in June to get back to normal.

[psyclone]

the deep trough digging across the central US will hopefully bring some rain into the state as we head into May. We'll see. In the interim more dry weather and rapidly rising temps/humidity promise a Summer preview with widespread 90's looking likely by the weekend.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

I went to the beach South Pasadena yesterday and there were some strong wind gusts. St Petersburg & the Clearwater Airports had gusts to 32 mph, but the winds may have been a bit stronger right on the water. Pretty impressive, I took some video:
https://youtu.be/geD0tAuAlmw

This upcoming weekend highs will be in the mid to upper 80s near the coast and up to the mid 90s inland. Small rain chances Saturday, maybe a better chance Monday.

[HURRICANELONNY]

Well for what it's worth the NAO/AO suppose to go neg. beginning of May. Maybe it i'll bring a front close to get a better chance of rain next month.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/p ... x/ao.shtml

[psyclone]

The heavy rains last weekend over south florida paid dividends on the US drought monitor with drought completely removed from the southeast metro areas and even a small island of moderate drought (an improvement from severe) in Lee county where some substantial rain fell...Elsewhere it's status quo with a ribbon of moderate drought now appearing along the FL/GA line. The very dry conditions over central florida will contribute to remarkable heat with all time April highs being whiffed over the interior along with borderline critical fire weather over the next few days.

[Patrick99]

Well for what it's worth the NAO/AO suppose to go neg. beginning of May. Maybe it i'll bring a front close to get a better chance of rain next month.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/p ... x/ao.shtml

Wow, look at those projections go in the tank. If the NAO ever did that in January, maybe we'd get a real (for Florida) cold snap. Maybe with the NAO and AO tanking in May, that front can hang around a bit.

[HURRICANELONNY]

Yup. If the models hold and they do tend to flip-flop alot. It would probably be the most negative of 2017. So maybe will get some decent rain down here next week into May. Can't believe it's already May.

[MetroMike]

The heavy rains last weekend over south florida paid dividends on the US drought monitor with drought completely removed from the southeast metro areas and even a small island of moderate drought (an improvement from severe) in Lee county where some substantial rain fell...Elsewhere it's status quo with a ribbon of moderate drought now appearing along the FL/GA line. The very dry conditions over central florida will contribute to remarkable heat with all time April highs being whiffed over the interior along with borderline critical fire weather over the next few days.

Severe drought category remains in place for most of Central Florida. Also the Keetch-Byram Drought index was increased a notch in W.Central Counties. Never seen it this dry here in my 27 years in Florida.

[NDG]

Well for what it's worth the NAO/AO suppose to go neg. beginning of May. Maybe it i'll bring a front close to get a better chance of rain next month.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/p ... x/ao.shtml

The bad news if that after a frontal passage this time of the year it would bring more dry air for an extended period of time making it hard for our rainy season to start early which we desperately need in central FL.
Grass is a brown as it can be in my area.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

The heat is on. Highs so far today: 92* at St. Pete/Clearwater- smashing the old record of 89*. 97* Tampa Vandenberg, 96* Punta Gorda, 95* Fort Myers Page Field, 94* Brooksville. 88* Tampa International, 84* St. Petersburg Albert Whitted so the gulf keeping coastal areas cooler.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

tampa international airport set a record of 93, Tampa vandenberg hit 100.

[MetroMike]

tampa international airport set a record of 93, Tampa vandenberg hit 100.

93 is a record for hottest day ever of any April.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

tampa international airport set a record of 93, Tampa vandenberg hit 100.

93 is a record for hottest day ever of any April.

This heat is insane for this time of year. That record has been broken again today with a high of 95 so far at Tampa International setting a new all time April record for the second day in a row.

[psyclone]

Soooo.... KTPA breaks the all time April high yesterday (records go back to 1890 IIRC) at 93 then re-breaks it today at 95! That is insane. Perhaps even more crazy is the 94 @ KPIE despite the stout wind off the bay (no seabreeze yet along our coast). This is a perfect example of drought conditions contributing to high temps...the sun's energy is converted to heating since there's not much left to evaporate. it's really remarkable. I'm going to the beach to enjoy..

[psyclone]

FWIW both the 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks depict below normal temps for Florida....so relief is on the way and it looks like the front that will do the trick should come through around next Saturday or so. The deep trough delivering snow to the rockies now could really help us down the road. Hopefully we get some rain before/with the front as the front itself will likely usher in dry air and fire weather concerns could take center stage yet again...especially absent some rain.

[NDG]

FWIW both the 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks depict below normal temps for Florida....so relief is on the way and it looks like the front that will do the trick should come through around next Saturday or so. The deep trough delivering snow to the rockies now could really help us down the road. Hopefully we get some rain before/with the front as the front itself will likely usher in dry air and fire weather concerns could take center stage yet again...especially absent some rain.

I agree, that only means very low humidity & warm daytime highs during the 6-14 day range, not good for wild fire problems we are facing. Doubt frontal rains before then will bring much relief to our drought.
We need our rainy season to start early.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Maybe some hope for drought relief in the short term-20 to 40 percent rain chances this week both early and late week. 500 mb temps of minus 12 Celsius on Thursday night in tandem with an area of thunderstorms moving in ahead of a cold front means some potential for severe storms with large hail and damaging winds provided other ingredients for severe weather are present but again we will see what happens. 30 percent average chances are not great so most areas will stay pretty dry IMO. http://www.weather.gov/tbw