Florida Weather

[JonathanBelles]

I had pea sized hail this evening around 6:45pm.

[psyclone]

I Didn't see any hail but I did get nearly 2" of rain. we've got another good chance through the weekend before things dry out... this is enough precip to bridge the gap to climo rainy season for me.

[northjaxpro]

The easterly onshore flow here is keeping the rain inland for now over towards the I-75 corridor and points south and west. The weekend looks pretty good with max temps in the low-mid 80s.

[psyclone]

today looks like the last day of convection focusing on the west coast for awhile with inland and east coast locations favored this week.

[gatorcane]

another round of intense convection building along / just inland of the west coast of Florida along the seabreeze line. Looks like a pretty intense cell over downtown Tampa at this hour moving slowly west.

[gatorcane]

The above normal temperatures this spring seems to have really raised the SSTs around the FL peninsula. Latest charts are showing pockets of SSTs in the upper 80s over the Gulf Stream off the east coast of Florida and also a pocket of upper 80s north of Key West over the SE Gulf of Mexico. Also note the widespread areas of mid 80s off the west coast of Florida.

The start of hurricane season is 10 days away and it looks like the SSTs are more than ready. The SW Atlantic and Gulf in general are running above normal as a whole for this time of year.

[asd123]

From fantasy hurricanes to fantasy heat waves, courtesy of GFS. Although I have to give credit to GFS, as any model's guess this far out would be a fantasy.

This image is 2pm temps, maxes might be slightly higher.

Image courtesy of Tropical Tidbits:


At 2pm, this image seems to show Jacksonville in the low 100s (possible high approaching 105)

The image also shows the bulls eye of heat at Tallahassee, with the image showing 108, with highs possibly approaching 110 near or at Tallahassee. Folks, if this comes true, Florida might break their all-time record high of 108.

[gatorcane]

NWS Miami released its annual rainy season outlook discussion. They have designated May 10th as the start date of this year's rainy season for South Florida. Also they are calling the April wet period we saw a "quasi-rainy-season."

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/mfl/news ... ry2015.pdf

[psyclone]

Whopper thunderstorm just dropped our temp 20 degrees. the rainy season (which usually doesn't get underway until about june 10 here) is off to a roaring start.

[TheStormExpert]

Whopper thunderstorm just dropped our temp 20 degrees. the rainy season (which usually doesn't get underway until about june 10 here) is off to a roaring start.

Thank the strong Easterly flow for this. Unlike the past three May's this May has featured mostly inland/west coast of Florida thunderstorm activity with VERY LITTLE east coast thunderstorm action (especially SE Florida).

According to our NWS Office in Miami their Rainy Season Outlook shows a expectancy of below normal precip. and above normal temps. throughout the summer, especially as we head into July.

[psyclone]

Whopper thunderstorm just dropped our temp 20 degrees. the rainy season (which usually doesn't get underway until about june 10 here) is off to a roaring start.

Thank the strong Easterly flow for this. Unlike the past three May's this May has featured mostly inland/west coast of Florida thunderstorm activity with VERY LITTLE east coast thunderstorm action (especially SE Florida).

According to our NWS Office in Miami their Rainy Season Outlook shows a expectancy of below normal precip. and above normal temps. throughout the summer, especially as we head into July.

I hope the easterly flow continues as that gives us a wetter pattern and keeps temps in check..but that puts the east coast in the cooker..usually it shifts back and forth but so far the gulf coast is really doing well.

[gatorcane]

Pretty breezy down here along the SE coast of Florida with East winds off the Atlantic. This month of May has been quite dry with this persistent east wind flow. We usually see an uptick in the rain coverage across South Florida by around now and extending through June as troughs from the north like to sag south and stall just north or over the region bringing in SW flow. It looks like we may see a surge of moisture originating from the Eastern Caribbean by the end-of-the week and into next week but of tropical origins. Still, haven't seen such persistent east wind flow in May down here for many years so we will have to watch and see if we will see such a pattern a few months from now as we move into the peak months of the hurricane season.

[psyclone]

water vapor shows deeper moisture hugging the west coast of florida with much drier air aloft residing over the interior and east coast. we should have numerous showers and storms again along the western side of the peninsula, especially if we can get a seabreeze to develop. Both Saturday and Sunday featured big storms in my neighborhood with strong winds and very heavy rain. It would be no surprise if we get bombed again today.

[psyclone]

Insane lightning show in the bay area this afternoon and evening. still going. it's been booming for 3 hours here and some areas are getting crazy totals. this is my 4th consecutive day of getting bombed good. Go Lightning

[TheStormExpert]

Insane lightning show in the bay area this afternoon and evening. still going. it's been booming for 3 hours here and some areas are getting crazy totals. this is my 4th consecutive day of getting bombed good. Go Lightning

Yeah there is definitely some serious thunderstorm activity occurring in your vicinity, along with widespread and frequent lightning. I also checked RadarScope on my iPhone and it showed that most places in your vicinity are picking up 1.5-2 inches of rain so far. At least you're getting some rain.

While down here in NE Coastal Palm Beach County we just had a quick heavy downpour or two from a shower that moved in off the Atlantic, typical of a strong Easterly flow(East Coast Iso. Shws/West Coast Sct. Stms).

It's been a very dry May where I'm at, one of the driest in years! Plenty of environmental signs of the lack of rain too.

[Hurricaneman]

You peeps on the west side of Florida are sure getting a lot of rain while central and eastern Florida are getting little to nothing with this flow off the Atlantic

[psyclone]

at this point I'd happily share. 6 hours of non stop thunder here..that's not unheard of but fairly unusual. tomorrow should break the streak for us..hopefully you guys over the interior and east coast will get a chance to cash in soon. nature usually eventually evens the score.

[Patrick99]

Pretty breezy down here along the SE coast of Florida with East winds off the Atlantic. This month of May has been quite dry with this persistent east wind flow. We usually see an uptick in the rain coverage across South Florida by around now and extending through June as troughs from the north like to sag south and stall just north or over the region bringing in SW flow. It looks like we may see a surge of moisture originating from the Eastern Caribbean by the end-of-the week and into next week but of tropical origins. Still, haven't seen such persistent east wind flow in May down here for many years so we will have to watch and see if we will see such a pattern a few months from now as we move into the peak months of the hurricane season.

Yeah, we've been in the easterly flow rip-off zone for rain for a while now, at a time when we are usually getting a ton of it. It'll be interesting to see if this kind of pattern is present in August and September, leaving SE Florida open for business for strikes from the east....and if there will be any storms around to take advantage of it.

[TheStormExpert]

Found this interesting model loop of the Record Dry Air (PWAT's) for May that moved into SE Florida (Including Miami). Via, Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue on Twitter.

[psyclone]

Seabreezes are bumping heads just inland from the gulf coast so some big storms may erupt this evening and move toward the gulf.