Florida Weather

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6019
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#12261 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:57 am

:uarrow: Wow.NDG. That is not good. They could be stuck up there on that downtown bridge for who knows how long. That bridge is just like the Dames Point Bridge in Jacksonville (cable suspended) I can only imagine how bad the icing is up on that bridge.
0 likes   
Monitoring the 2018 Meteorological Summer Season from Northeast Florida

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017

Patrick99
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1399
Joined: Mon May 24, 2004 3:43 pm
Location: Miami, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#12262 Postby Patrick99 » Wed Jan 03, 2018 9:06 am

From the sound of it, glad I drove back from North Carolina several days ago instead of today.

At least for South Florida metro areas, this just looks like a couple nights of chill in the low-mid 40s. A nice little slug of cold, but definitely not a January 2010 or December 2010 type situation for us. Negative NAO is probably the missing ingredient for that.
0 likes   

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6019
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#12263 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Jan 03, 2018 9:08 am

Looking at the Intellicast radar, it looks like the back edge of the precipitation shield to the west has cleared Tallahassee now. The changeover to snow appears to be about on top of Valdosta now. It looks like much of the area away from the immediate coast will be changed over to all snow I think by 10:30. - 11 a.m. across most of inland North and Northeast FL and across Southeast Georgia.
0 likes   
Monitoring the 2018 Meteorological Summer Season from Northeast Florida

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017

LarryWx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2638
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 2:04 pm
Location: GA

Re: Florida Weather

#12264 Postby LarryWx » Wed Jan 03, 2018 9:13 am

Now down to 27.5 here with ZR continuing. Reports of much of the precip changing to sleet and snow not too far away from this area to the NW, W, and SW. I still expect a change here within the next 1-2 hours consistent with what NorthJax said.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 20380
Age: 40
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#12265 Postby gatorcane » Wed Jan 03, 2018 9:24 am

LarryWx what does ZR stand for? Freezing rain?
0 likes   

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6019
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#12266 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Jan 03, 2018 9:37 am

Larry, while I sit here awaiting the changeover. A and Looking at the surfacevsnalysis, I was amazed how far south this storm formed yesterday. It formed just south of the Middle Florida Keys yesterday. The models for days and days kept insisting that our storm would develop near the NW Bahamas. What has happened in my opinion is that the shortwave energy coming through now across North Florida is obviously turning out to be much stronger than what the models initially analyzed it to be. It has caused the base of the larger scaled upper trough axis to deepen very shareply over the Bug Bend region currently. The dev eloping storm system in response is developing right off the immediate Southeast Florida coast. The Low , currently at 1010 mb. It is forecast to intensify rapidly as it moves NNE just off the Florida East Coast this afternoon.

Due to the fact that the storm system developed much farther south than where the models originally had it, we will see a fairly good wrap-around moisture field right along the coast from East Central Florida coast northward up to the Carolinas as the phasing of the polar and southern stream jets continue this afternoon.

C old air will come rushing in being strong north to northwest winds from the Northeast FL area up to the Carolinas. I think we may see surprising snow amounts before precip ends from south to north as the Low Pressure moves out and pulls a bit farther from the immediate coast by tonight.
1 likes   
Monitoring the 2018 Meteorological Summer Season from Northeast Florida

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 20380
Age: 40
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#12267 Postby gatorcane » Wed Jan 03, 2018 9:44 am

Is that the center of the low, spinning off the coast of Miami area?

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12
0 likes   

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6019
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#12268 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Jan 03, 2018 9:45 am

I see that Cecil Commerce, on Jacksonville's western end of Duval County. now is reporting light snow. This is the first snow report I have seen this morning down at Jax.
0 likes   
Monitoring the 2018 Meteorological Summer Season from Northeast Florida

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6019
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#12269 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Jan 03, 2018 9:47 am

gatorcane wrote:Is that the center of the low, spinning off the coast of Miami area?

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12


Yes Gatorcane it is. The storm system developed much farther to the south than where the models kept trying to develop it in the days leading to this event, which I touched on above.

EDIT: Moody Air Force Base, just outside of Valdosata, GA, now reporting light snow this hour.

The changeover is steadily progressing eastward.
0 likes   
Monitoring the 2018 Meteorological Summer Season from Northeast Florida

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017

LarryWx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2638
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 2:04 pm
Location: GA

Re: Florida Weather

#12270 Postby LarryWx » Wed Jan 03, 2018 9:57 am

gatorcane wrote:LarryWx what does ZR stand for? Freezing rain?


Yes. The ZR continues (been doing that for over 3.5 hours) although a tiny bit of sleet has started to mix in. Hopefully the predominant ZR will end soon because the ice has built up to 1/8" on surfaces. When it gets to near 1/4" is when power outages typically start to increase.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6019
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#12271 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Jan 03, 2018 9:59 am

Also, I have seen videos from people on Facebook showing accumulating snow in Alma, GA.
0 likes   
Monitoring the 2018 Meteorological Summer Season from Northeast Florida

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017

User avatar
JaxGator
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 668
Joined: Sun Jun 12, 2016 3:33 pm
Location: Jacksonville Florida

Re: Florida Weather

#12272 Postby JaxGator » Wed Jan 03, 2018 10:18 am

Well my relatives in Lake City are enjoying the snow as it falls there now. Though there's been bridge closures reported there too due to ice before the changeover. It's a cold rain here at my locale, though flurries are possible later on today. Fingers crossed.
0 likes   
The posts or stuff said are NOT an official forecast. Please look to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.

Floyd-1999, Frances-2004, Jeanne-2004, Fay-2008, Beryl-2012, Debby-2012, Colin-2016, Hermine-2016 , Julia-2016, Matthew-2016, Irma-2017.


Go Gators! Go Jags!

LarryWx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2638
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 2:04 pm
Location: GA

Re: Florida Weather

#12273 Postby LarryWx » Wed Jan 03, 2018 10:26 am

I'm starting to get concerned about power outages. The predominant ZR has picked up in intensity to moderate and is really starting to add up. Based on my measurements, we're already approaching 1/4" of ice buildup on flat surfaces. Interestingly, I warmed all of the way to 31.5 temporarily in the heavier ZR!
Last edited by LarryWx on Wed Jan 03, 2018 10:37 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9235
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#12274 Postby NDG » Wed Jan 03, 2018 10:35 am

Freezing rain and sleet continues.

Image
Image
0 likes   

User avatar
StormingB81
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5573
Age: 36
Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2009 1:45 am
Location: Rockledge, Florida

Re: Florida Weather

#12275 Postby StormingB81 » Wed Jan 03, 2018 11:04 am

While I am not getting and winter weather in Rockledge I should have brought the stuff in from the patio. Winds easily gusting over 40 and everything on my patio is flying all over the yard. Good thing I have a fence lol
0 likes   

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9235
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#12276 Postby NDG » Wed Jan 03, 2018 11:05 am

Light snow flurries now falling.
0 likes   

LarryWx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2638
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 2:04 pm
Location: GA

Re: Florida Weather

#12277 Postby LarryWx » Wed Jan 03, 2018 11:17 am

Just in time to avoid lots of outages, the ZR just switched to mainly sleet and it is of a pretty good intensity. The sleet switched to snow recently in the western part of the county and downtown per NDG downtown. Back down to 29.7 here.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
StormingB81
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5573
Age: 36
Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2009 1:45 am
Location: Rockledge, Florida

Re: Florida Weather

#12278 Postby StormingB81 » Wed Jan 03, 2018 11:38 am

Wind gusts have been between 45-50 here...just wow
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 20380
Age: 40
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#12279 Postby gatorcane » Wed Jan 03, 2018 11:50 am

Wind chill of 28F in Orlando as of 10:53AM EST with those winds :eek:
0 likes   

LarryWx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2638
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 2:04 pm
Location: GA

Re: Florida Weather

#12280 Postby LarryWx » Wed Jan 03, 2018 12:00 pm

Snow now mixing in some with the sleet. The sleet has been pretty impressive. Down to 28.8.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests