STORM2K

Water temp at Clearwater Beach in the Tampa area on the Gulf side is 53F. That is about as cold as you will see it...should drop more as this prolonged arctic blast lingers....wonder if it drops into the 40s?!?

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=cwbf1

Even Lake Worth in SE Florida on the Atlantic side is reporting 67.5F which is way below normal for the area.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=lkwf1

This cold weather should be gone by Monday

Bite your touge. I love it. Every summer the sauna is turned higher. Time for a change

It is time for a change...back to normal. This weather is bad for business, tourists, wildlife and natives. water temps are in the stun to kill zone. Fortunately we are on the verge of a rebound back to or a shade above normal and this warmup looks built to last. Even the folks up north are destined to get a break from the relentless arctic cold as temps bounce back to near normal...which will feel like heatwave to them.

As always all those freeze warnings & freeze watches for S FL were a bit of exaggeration, but I see the NWS offices doing it to be safe and for farmers to prepare just in case.

Yeah, it doesn't appear that we scraped the 40 degree line this morning. I read the NWS Miami discussion, and they said that winds didn't decouple around the coastal areas, so I'm guessing that is to blame. I didn't see the thermometer get below 45 this morning. Tough to get into the 30s in the Miami metro area unless that happens.

Dropped down to 41F-42F in East Boca Raton this morning.

It bottomed out 26.4 degrees at the NorthJaxPro weather station earlier today, the coldest reading I have measured so far this season
Expecting mid 20s again tomorrow morning.

Also 3 consecutive mornings of freezing temps here at my locale this week.

Yup the coolest is over. I must admit with all the teleconnections not really favoring this cold spell. It still was a good change. No sweat but now I got a cold. What's up with the models showing a robust low entering the Gulf. Euro has it crossing S.Fl. while GFS has it going south of Cuba.

HURRICANELONNY wrote:Yup the coolest is over. I must admit with all the teleconnections not really favoring this cold spell. It still was a good change. No sweat but now I got a cold. What's up with the models showing a robust low entering the Gulf. Euro has it crossing S.Fl. while GFS has it going south of Cuba.

Teleconnections did favor this cold spell, +PNA & -AO
It would had been even colder had the NAO been negative, central FL would had been in the deep freeze like in Dec '10 as well as parts of S FL.

Well, for the fifth consecutive morning, I am experiencing freezing temperatures. Currently 32 degrees, with widespread frost here this morning.The actual morning low bottomed out at 28.4 degrees. A few clouds are beginning to move in and that caused the temp to rise a couple of degrees the past hour.

Yes, what an impressive cold spell we have had this past week across the region. We finally saw the max temperature yesterday finally reached at least 50 degrees. reaching 52 degrees yesterday afternoon. That was the first time since New Year's Eve when temperatures were that warm for max temps here in Northeast Florida.

Well, we can finally see the light at the end of the tunnel now as this arctic cold spell is coming to an end for now. The Arctic High over the Ohio River Valley early this morning will move southeast today. to off the Mid Atlantic coast by later tonight. This will finally get the region back into a moderating northeast onshore wind flow and begin the warm-up. We should be back to near 70 degrees by Tuesday here in Jax, and upper 70s to near 80 degrees the rest of the peninsula by the end of this week as southerly flow will.kick in earnest. It truly will feel rather nice to have a thaw from Old Man Winter this upcoming week. There is a weak GOM Low Pressure area forecast to develop and affect the peninsula with some rain late Monday night and continuing into the latter part of the week.

Enjoy the thaw though. It looks like the pattern with the strong +PNA and -AO looks to continue. There are indications that more arctic dumps from Siberia and Northwest Canada will drop south into the Central and Eastern CONUS beginning January 15 and possibly continuing for the rest of the month and into early February.

Well, let us all hope that our unbelievable luck with the NAO staying positive to help spare the peninsula from getting the very harshest of the cold will continue. We would have likely had a historic major cold outbreak imo realized this past week down across the peninsula had the NAO been negative to go along with the strong +PNA, -AO teleconnection in progress. It has been truly amazing that the Florida peninsula continues this streak during winter of not having a major tanking of the NAO since the 2009-2010 season.

Considering that North Carolina was in the single digits F this morning with even some spots below zero F and teens over most of South Carolina we dodged the core of the Arctic air that is affecting the eastern US this weekend, thanks to the +NAO.

Yeah we did dodge the harshest of the cold yet again NDG. How lucky we continue to be with the positive NAO in which I mentioned in my above post.

However, this was still a very impressive prolonged cold spell for North and Central Florida for this past week!!

Thank goodness it's finally warming up. We're on the verge of lows that will exceed recent highs. Even better...there is no substantial cold in sight. That sun feels wonderful today.

The GFS 18z at hour 228 is impressive with the 540 line down to the lake O

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 0&ypos=553

Yes, that is the next potential surge of arctic air coming down the pike in which I mentioned in my earlier post above. We will have to monitor that as we get closer to this event next week.

psyclone wrote:Thank goodness it's finally warming up. We're on the verge of lows that will exceed recent highs. Even better...there is no substantial cold in sight. That sun feels wonderful today.

The GFS is insisting for another possibly prolonged period of below to well below normal temps Jan 13 - Jan 19

A reminder folks, GFS was pretty much on the money for the most part about the cold outbreak that we just went through this past week. So, I definitely would pay close attention as to what the GFS is potentially showing in the upcoming 240 hour period.

gatorcane wrote:

psyclone wrote:Thank goodness it's finally warming up. We're on the verge of lows that will exceed recent highs. Even better...there is no substantial cold in sight. That sun feels wonderful today.

The GFS is insisting for another possibly prolonged period of below to well below normal temps Jan 13 - Jan 19

There's probably something there but I'm not expecting anything remotely as prolonged or intense as what was just experienced. Things upstream look to moderate so there's less ammo in the cannon. certainly something to keep an eye on. I prefer the CPC updates over individual model runs...they smooth things out and tend to be very accurate.

In the meantime, down here in South Florida, modification of the air mass seems to be 100% complete. We didn't dip that far below 70 degrees this morning, with a brisk easterly breeze.