STORM2K

Patrick99 wrote:Hard to believe that on July 6th, we are actually watching Hurricane Beryl.

Obviously, calling for a Florida landfall in July would be absurd, but it seems reasonable to me to think that we might get some enhanced rain chances a week or so down the road from this system, whatever form it may be in by then?

GFS ensembles like some type of wave or system near the Bahamas around a week from now

Looks like sinking air on the back side of Hurricane Chris off the Mid-Atlantic coast will keep our area hot and dry the next few days. We need some drying out after so much rain in June here.

Overall, do you all feel like the Florida wet seasons as of recent have been quite different than those that occured, say, a decade ago?

Thread hasn’t been active in a while so figured I would bump it. Wow is July over yet? The typical unbearably hot, dry, with any storms developing well inland. Ready for a pattern change.

both june and the first half of july have been convectively skimpy over the bay area...which has yielded more sun and warmer temps. Our sea temps are back up to 90 again...just incredible warmth and near the top of the scale. generally when water temps exceed 88 we"re fair game for a heavy rain event which brings things back into a more normal range of about 84-88. we did manage to get perfect rain cooled air for the fireworks on the 4th in my area. the best weather in years..but overall the rainy season has been subpar thus far.

The mid-latitudes have way too much influence over US weather at latitudes so far south.

We haven’t had too much rain at all in the last fews weeks.Besides the rains from Alberto it’s been pretty dry here other than a sprinkle here and there.I’m hoping we don’t go back into a drought situation again.

looks like a wetter pattern is coming up at least for north florida. an onshore wind can deliver the goods when the coastal waters are this warm. in florida we toggle between hot and wet in the summer. the longer it's hot the wetter it eventually gets as nature rebalances the scale. I've been enjoying the beach time.

It is turning into a desert in South Florida again particularly close to the coast. Hazy dusty skies on top of this.

South Florida doesn't tend to benefit as well from these deep trough patterns as northerly areas of the state. Not as screwed over as Texas, though.

Southern sections of Cape Coral and my area of Lehigh have not received the amount of rain other areas have. Where I live in Lehigh, feels like we have a dome over us to keep storms away. We have received rain just not the daily deluge I have been used to in the past

Incredible high dewpoints in the 80s this morning in around the big bend, Nature coast & interior north central FL with Cross City reporting a whopping dewpoint of 84 deg F!!!!!!
Current heat index because of such high dewpoint, 111F!

METAR for: KCTY (Cross City Arpt, FL, US)
Text: KCTY 221455Z AUTO 26008KT 7SM SCT018 BKN026 OVC070 31/29 A2987 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE AND E T03100288
Temperature: 31.0°C ( 88°F)
Dewpoint: 28.8°C ( 84°F) [RH = 88%]
Pressure (altimeter): 29.87 inches Hg (1011.6 mb)
Winds: from the W (260 degrees) at 9 MPH (8 knots; 4.1 m/s)
Visibility: 7 sm ( 11 km)
Ceiling: 2600 feet AGL
Clouds: scattered clouds at 1800 feet AGL, broken clouds at 2600 feet AGL, overcast cloud deck at 7000 feet AGL
QC Flag: automated observation with no human augmentation

Apalachicola is not much better, 90 deg F with a dewpoint of 81 F, making the heat index be 109 F!!!

Just drove through a wicked severe thunderstorm. in northwest Jax nust past 2 p.m. with marble-sized and nickel -sized hail mixed in with the blinding rain.

I am safely home now, but folks, that downburst I just experienced was every bit of winds up to near 60-70 mph. It was certainly the worst storm cell I have experienced in quite some time.

This was a round of severe thunderstorms that can typically develop at any time during this time of the year.

I will check the car for dents that for sure once the rain tapers off in a while.
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Wet pattern expected here for the next four days with likely thunderstorm chances in the forecast. I saw all that rain develop over north Florida yesterday and saw it slowly drift south. I assume that pattern will be focused more on the central and southern peninsula today.

Looks like we are going to be back to light easterly flow after a period of afternoon storms more focused on the SE metro area. It had been a while since I'd seen lightning and heavy rain day after day like that.....fun to witness from a dry shelter. Those days are terrible for delays at MIA/FLL/PBI, though, since every single bolt of lightning with a certain radius kicks off a new 15 minute delay where you can't board or deplane.....those delays start to balloon and ping-pong through the system real quick.

It'll be interesting to see if a SE flow regime persists into the upcoming tough part of hurricane season, since that often seems to determine whether storms get close to us or not.

I have been receiving good rains the last week and a half. So glad. Lehigh Acres needled it

Is a shame what is happening in the beaches of SW Florida, from Sarasota down to Naples. How in the world they have not figured out a way to have a system in place to have all that water from Lake Okeechobee go down the Everglades instead of going out straight to sea carrying its nasty algae & other chemicals with it. Lots of business loss in this part of the state because of how nasty & smelly the water is and all the fish kill.
Then we are in drought they put up all the water restrictions in the world to residents.

It is horrifying here and many are getting sick from the toxic fumes. The marine death toll is overwhelming. Sending it into the Everglades would be even more devastating. I don’t know what the answer is. Humans have jacked the environment up so bad that I am not sure there is a resolution. God forbid we think of the environment over ourselves.

I've been monitoring it, and the latest forecast shows it drifting north and affecting the Pinellas beaches

On another note, I'm working on relocating back to my hometown of Tampa, so I may be in this thread a lot more in the future.

It is so dry along the SE Florida coast. I miss the days of tropical waves and a sw flow which brings afternoon wide spread thunderstorms. We really haven’t had any organized system since Alberto back in May. I’m hoping for a pattern change soon and the tropics are dead sal squashed it.