LUNAR MAXIMUMS AND EARTH'S WEATHER IN ASTROMETEOROLOGY

[Theo]

Lunar Maximums: What are They?
How the Moon and Its cycles affect Earthly Weather

Lunar Maximums are essential to the understanding of Earth's weather. If one can track the Moon's cycles, and keenly observe their local, and regional weather, while recording weather observations, and space weather conditions - then one can forecast short, medium, and long-range weather with practice, and skill. It is not easy, but the rewards for the hard worker are truly great. This is the beginning of seeing the truth of the laws of physics - and, how the Sun, Moon, and planets directly affect and regulate Earth's weather - on a daily basis.

One of the first things a budding astrometeorologist learns, other than reading an astrological calendar, or table of planets (ephemeris), is to observe the weather and the Sun-Earth-Moon relationship. Cultures for thousands of years have tracked the Lunar phases, and planned accordingly for long-range weather events. Some ask that if lunar knowledge is so old, then how can it be considered new again? Because of the decoding work of the structure of stone circles during the last few decades, we can postulate that lunar orbit calculation was well known in very old cultures.

All the ancient stone circles are aligned to the Moon in the same way. The smaller ones are ratio replicas of Stonehenge, indicating the same system was utilised internationally. It seems stone-circle builders were obsessed with lunar declination and nodal crossings - almost certainly for weather, long-range climate and for eclipse prediction. The vast ancient wisdom began to disappear with the destruction by the early Christians of the libraries of Alexandria - in their hopes of destroying paganism of which the Moon had become the paramount symbol.

For instance, in what is now Newark, Ohio, we find an ancient North American culture who built a lunar observatory for this very purpose - tracking the Moon - http://www.copperas.com/octagon/

One of the great things about the origin of astrology/astronomy and religion is the fact that the heavens are both a physical and spiritual fabric that has, and can be studied by mystics and scientists alike - and meteorologists, since the origins of meteorology are firmly rooted in classical astrology.

The Sun-Earth relationship on weather can be monitored at www.SPACEWEATHER.COM - Here, the condition of the Sun, and Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) as well as Earth's climate conditions - all a part of astrometeorological practice, principles, and tradition into the 21st century.

Every square foot of the Earth is pierced by a lines of electromagnetic force, which loops from deep inside the Earth, and far into space, only to return back in a great closed circuit thousands of miles away. If there were no Sun or solar wind, the Earth's magnetic field would extend far beyond the orbit of the Moon and millions of kilometers into interplanetary space, in the same shape as a bar magnet field outlined by iron filings.

In reality, the action of the solar wind changes this picture rather dramatically. The axis of the field is tilted by about 11 degrees to the axis of rotation of the Earth. No one knows why, but these kinds of tilts are found among the magnetic fields of some of the other planets, too.

On the daytime side, the field is pushed in by the solar wind pressure, and on the nighttime side, it is invisibly stretched out like a comet's tail. Scientists call the region near the Earth where its field controls the motions of electrically charged particles the magnetosphere. As the Earth spins, and as the solar wind and coronal mass ejections buffet it from the outside, the magnetosphere trembles and can become stormy. When these rapid, though subtle, changes happen, compass bearings can become unreliable by up to several degrees at the Earth's surface. In space, even more dramatic changes can happen.

When the Solar wind the magnetosphere are taken together as a system, they operate like a set of powerful, but invisible, valves that open and close depending on their polarity. When the solar wind's magnetic field is of the south-type polarity, it meets up with the south-type polarity of the Earth's magnetic field.

On the daytime side of the Earth, these fields reconnect, causing a transfer of particles and magnetic energy into the Earth’s magnetosphere from the solar wind. Severe ‘magnetic storms’ are triggered, and these can be easily seen even at ground level with sensitive magnetic field detectors called magnetometers.

Changes in the solar wind and in the magnetosphere can also cause the magnetotail region to change in complex ways. The magnetotail resembles a comet’s tail and is stretched by the solar wind into a vast cylinder of magnetism nearly one million kilometers long. Magnetic fields in the magnetotail can snap like rubber bands and reconnect themselves, but this time the particles flow down these field lines and plunge deep into the interior of the magnetosphere cavity.

Some of these particles can take up temporary residence in an equatorial zone called the Ring Current. In this vast, invisible river nearly 40,000 kilometers wide, positively-charged particles flow westwards and negatively-charged particles flow eastwards like two trains on opposite tracks. In fact, the flows are so dilute that they actually occupy the same space. Other particles from the magnetotail ride the field lines deep into the Earth's atmosphere and create beautiful aurora.

The Earth-Moon Relationship
One recent study by the National Weather Service indicates that, in the country as a whole, about 10% more rain and occasions of heaviest rain occur in the days following a New or Full moon--that is, in the days following the greatest tidal variation each lunar month. Another study indicates the greater tendency for tropical storms to attain hurricane status at these same times.

AstroMets have long known that lunar maximum declinations often lead to intense storms - in all seasons. The following events prove lunar activity related to this short list of hurricanes, and newsworthy storms -

Tropical Cyclone Mala strikes Burma
April 29-30, 2006
Moon transiting towards maximum north declination at 23o23'

Tropical Cyclone Monica Hits Northeastern Australia
April 19, 2006
Moon at maximum south declination

Hurricane Andrew
August 24, 1992
Moon at maximum north declination on August 22 1992

Hurricane Katrina strikes U.S. Gulf Coast
August 29, 2005
Moon at maximum north declination on August 28, 2005

Atlantic Blizzard of 1993
March 12-13, 1993
Moon at maximum south declination on March 14, 1993

Hurricane Wilma pounds the Yucatan Peninsula
October 21-23, 2005
Moon at maximum north declination October 22, 2005

Once every 14 days severe weather systems prompt the issuing of severe weather warnings by the National Weather Service always occur. This is due to the Moon's apogee and perigee cycles - orbits of the Moon that take place every 27.3 days.

At only ten earth-circumferences away the Moon is very close, actually it is our closest celestial neighbour, and it has two-and-a-half times the gravitational pull of the Sun. Therefore it exerts an influence on everything movable on our planet, be it solid, liquid or gas. Much of this influence is barely noticeable because there is nothing to compare it too, like the rising of the land towards the transiting Moon, called the Earth Tide, and the receding of it back again within 24 hours.

See - www.iol.ie/~geniet/eng/moonperb.htm

Each Lunar phase has a changing effect on the weather, whether it be droughts, hurricanes, tornadoes or lightning. And as the atmosphere has its daily tide, the air density too is forever changing. If it did not, barometric pressures would always remain constant.

The volume of air changes just as the volume of sea water in a bay during high sea tide, but we can see that. We can't see a high AIR tide because we haven't yet invented an instrument to detect it. Yet by deduction we can conclude that it must occur. To put it another way, it would be very odd if the Moon chose to daily pull upward the sea and land but decided against daily changing the height of the massive ocean of air.

At each New Moon, for two or three days, the Moon shields us from the solar winds - the very powerful electromagnetic energy sent forth into space by pulsating Sun. Ancient cultures knew that at this time of maximum shielding, the New moon was the best time for planting and fishing, and over thousands of years grew the lunar planting and fishing calendar.

Why do you think 13 is considered 'unlucky'? The number 13 has always known as the Moon's number, because 13 features so much in the mathematics of the Moon's orbits - 13 Full and New Moons each year, there are 13 declination cycles, 13 perigee and apogee cycles, and the Moon moves 13-degrees per day through space in its monthly orbit around the Earth.

Lesser known to non-astrometeorologists are the orbit anomalies that occur at roughly 13 weeks and 13 years. Every 13 years the phases recur (just over a week later). Every 26-years the opposite phase and apse occur about the same time. Every 31 years (18+13) the opposite phase of the Moon occurs about two days later. Every 5 years (18-13) the opposite phase occurs (about 3 weeks later) with a single relation to the apse.

The peaks and troughs of these lunar cycles sometimes coincide with Full or New Moon phases, which often result in gales, heavy rains and extra high tides, that can then lead to flooding. Apogee has the Moon at furthest lunar distance from Earth, and Perigee has the Moon orbiting closer to Earth. When it peaks in two positions in this cycle, the Moon has more gravitational pull on the atmosphere, which leads to unsettled conditions.

The Weather is what happens when atmospheric tides are gravitationally pulled around by the Moon. The atmosphere is a mass of gas weighing five million billion tons. Just like the ocean-tide, every day the atmospheric-tide comes "in" and then goes "out". More like higher and lower, with a stretched atmosphere extending higher into the heavens when the air-tide is in, and coming lower towards Earth ground level when the air- tide is out.

The Moon has about one sixth - 1/6 - of the Earth’s gravitational force. From only a couple of hundred thousand miles away, changes in the Moon's orbital patterns have major effects on Earth. Between a third and a quarter the size of Earth, the Moon orbits in a strange 8 pattern - reaching maximum declinations to the north and south every two weeks.

Simply stated, changes in the Moon’s movement can trigger changes in our weather. How it works is rather logical, but conventional scientists seem to have a vested interest in not stating it, nor teaching it in meterological schools.

Meteorologists utilise sea level or sea surface temperature analysis as tools in forecasting. Astrometeorologists know that sea tides/levels/temps are affected by many lunar factors, including synodic cycle, apsidal cycle(perigee/apogee), apsidal angle, declination angle, declination hemisphere, inclination, nodal or nutation cycle, apsidal cycle, anaomalistic cycle, tide cycle, variable diurnalism, moon’s angular momentum crossing ecliptic and equator, tide times and other cycles within cycles - it is very difficult to see just how conventional meteorologists can rule out the Moon as an empirical variable?

And, this is not even mentioning secondary factors such as wind speed and force, high and low pressure zones, cycles of currents, land movement etc. By virtue of tides and gravitational pull the Moon has its stamp on anything to do with the oceans.

It is a known fact that there are at least four separate but sometimes interfacing tides caused by lunar gravitation. The best known is the sea-tide, the exact times of which repeat every so many weeks, months and years. There is also the inner-core tide affecting the molten core of the Earth (Core Tide) which plays a major role in the cycles of earthquakes and eruptions, the land-tide (called Earth-tide, where the ground rises towards the Moon about 8 inches per day as the Moon goes overhead and then recedes again when the Moon goes below the horizon) and the air-tide affecting the height of the atmosphere.

If the Moon has an effect on the sea then it must control the tides by distribution of the water. So is it silly to state that if it has an effect on the atmosphere then it must control the weather by distribution of the clouds?

Why should clouds, air, land and inner mantle not be tidal? They too, are masses of flexible matter. As masses they are subject to the pull of a large gravitational body such as a close Moon. The movable fluids on Earth would like to fly off into space toward the Moon, but are more strongly held to Earth by the Earth’s gravity and so remain on the Earth’s surface. But the inconstant transits of the Moon causes these fluids to be in flux.

One can liken the atmosphere to a fat rubberband; the top of which can stretch toward the Moon as the Moon goes overhead and then unstretch again when the Moon goes below the horizon. Because the weight of a rubberband remains constant either stretched or at rest, the Barometer, which only measures the weight of the atmosphere, cannot detect when the atmosphere changes height. This is why a barometer will seem to stay the same, even though the weather might change.

Atmospheric tides were researched in 1807 and rediscovered by British scientists Appleton and Weekes in 1939, who were investigating the strange phenomenon that shortwave radio signals reached around the world more clearly at New and Full Moon phases. They concluded if the atmosphere (or ‘stratosphere’) made radiowaves change clarity because of the phase of the Moon, then there must be a tidal effect in the air. There are scientific measurements of the atmospheric tide attributable to the Moon.

Whenever the Moon is above the horizon it has two bulges beneath it. These are pulled by gravitational attraction. One is made of water and the other is a bulge of air. The everchanging replacement of the water bulge results in the sea tide and the replacement of air within the air bulge results in the weather.

When the Moon is above the horizon, it is stretching the air and attracting, by gravitational pull, more atmosphere to higher levels in the sky - creating a larger volumed gaseous environment. The atmosphere is now a fraction higher and the amount can be up to 25% between phases.

The highest it gets is on a Full Moon night. If the useful atmosphere is 5 miles thick, then this stretch could be 1.25 miles, or for an accepted total depth of atmosphere of 60 miles, the atmospheric-tidal difference between high and low could be up to 15 miles.

The result of a higher atmosphere is to keep the cold of space further away from Earth. When the air height is lower because the Moon has set below the horizon and takes the air bulge with it, the cold of space creeps closer to the Earth, and the subsequent drop in temperature can cause clouds to condense at this time. That will happen during the day of a Full moon, and this is why it often clouds up on that day around noon-time.

When the Moon is below the horizon it is more likely to rain. If no rain happens, temperatures will most likely drop. Very often rain will also fall an hour or so on either side of the Moon setting. At New Moon, when the Moon is overhead during the day, rain is less likely - but rain is more likely at night at this phase. In contrast, at Full Moon, the nights will nearly always be clear. Old mariners used to have nautical saying: "the Full Moon eats clouds."

Astrometeorology
Weather prediction by astrometeorology is a highly-refined area of sidereal science which has claimed an amazing 90%-plus record of accuracy for both short- and long-term forecasts of weather patterns. This system is an accumulation of tried, and true observational data going back several millennia.

The subject was widely popularized by Joseph Goodavage in his book, Our Threatened Planet (Simon & Schuster, 1978), in which he represented the work of pioneers such as Dr Irving Krick, Dr Andrew Douglass, George McCormack and others. According to Goodavage, the Sun has entered a period of prolonged and violent instability with which we must cope. Modern astronomy has confirmed Goodavage’s prediction.

Classical horoscopic weather prediction is based on forecasts of the influences of the planets in solstice or equinox horoscopes. Each zodiacal sign colors the characteristics of the planets occupying that region. For instance, a "wet" planet such as Luna indicates extra-wet weather when it is located in a water sign; much drier conditions are indicated when Luna is in a fire sign. Half of the total influence of a weather horoscope should be judged from the 4th house cusp and planets therein, and their aspects. The 4th house governs the locale. One quarter of the total influence of ingress weather charts should be judged from the first house, from its occupying planets and their aspects, from the sign on its cusp, and from the planet ruling the cusp sign, the sign it is in, and its aspects.

One-eighth of the influence of a weather chart is judged from the planet for which the chart is erected. Sol = temperature, Luna = moisture, Mercury = air. For example, if Sol is in Aries, then Mars, the ruling planet of Aries, and its aspects also must be considered. One-eighth of the influence on weather is to be judged by the planets in angular houses, their aspects, and the signs they occupy. The temperature chart gives an average indication of the weather, but indications of storms should be compared with both air and moisture charts for that time.

The primary mutual aspects are the conjunction, opposition, square and trine, but even the minor aspects are effective. Trines and sextiles are not necessarily beneficial, but they tend to exert a more gentle influence than the inharmonious aspects (square and opposition). Interpretation by the astrometeorologist, or astrologer depends on the planetary positions in the signs and houses, and the aspects and parallels of declination to other planets, and the ascendant of the chart and the aspects to it by transiting planets.

Table 1 lists indicators of weather attributes of the planets and signs.

Table 2 is Dr. Adam Clark's System forecasting the weather using lunations. It foretells the weather that is most likely to occur during each phase of the moon.

For example, the nearer to midnight that the Moon changes its phase in the Full and Last Quarter, the better the weather will be for the seven days following. The time span for this calculation of from 10 pm to 2 am.

The nearer to noon (from 10 am to 2 pm) that the Moon changes phase, the more wet weather may be expected for the next week.

These observations are for the summer season, though they also are adaptable to spring and fall observations.

Changing phases of the Moon occurring from 4 pm to 10 pm may be followed by fair weather, depending on the wind, as indicated in Table 2.

Table 1
Planet ~ Temperature ~ Wind ~ Moisture

Sun ~ warm ~ still ~ dry
Moon ~ cool ~ breeze ~ wettest
Mercury ~ cold ~ windy ~ dry
Venus ~ pleasant ~ light ~ rain
Mars ~ hot/cold ~ still/storm ~ wet/drought
Jupiter ~ warm ~ calm, light ~ dry
Saturn ~ cold ~ still/storm ~ wet/drought
Uranus ~ cold snaps ~ gusty ~ dry, lightning
Neptune ~ cool ~ still/storm ~ mist, fog
Pluto ~ cool ~ windy, extremes ~ moist, sleet

Sign ~ Temperature ~ Wind ~ Moisture

Aries ~ hot ~ windy ~ dry (1st or 4th moon: violent)
Taurus ~ moderate ~ calm ~ wet
Gemini ~ cold ~ fickle windy ~ dry
Cancer ~ cold ~ calm, zephyr ~ steady rain
Leo ~ hot ~ still ~ dry
Virgo ~ cold ~ cutting wind ~ dry
Libra ~ cool, windy ~ dry
Scorpio ~ cold/hot ~ violent ~ drier/wetter
Sagittarius ~ warm ~ moderate ~ dry
Capricorn ~ extremes ~ increasing wind ~ wet
Aquarius ~ cold ~ moderate ~ dry, lightning
Pisces ~ cool ~ calm ~ rain

Table 2
Dr. Adam Clark’s System of AstroMeteorology

Time of Change
Between ~ In Summer ~ In Winter

12 midnight-2 am ~ fair ~ frost unless wind S or W
2-4 am ~ cold, showers ~ cold, storm
4-6 am ~ rain ~ rain
6-8 am ~ wind, rain ~ stormy
8-10 am ~ change by 6 pm ~ cold if wind W, snow if E
10-12 noon ~ showers ~ cold wind
Noon-2 pm ~ rain ~ rain, snow
2-4 pm ~ changing ~ fair
4-6 pm ~ fair ~ fair
6-8 pm ~ fair if wind SW ~ frosty if wind N or NE
8-10 pm ~ rain if wind SW ~ rain, snow if wind S or SW
10-12 midnight ~ rain if wind SW ~ fair, frosty

American astrometeorologist George J. McCormack - also known as "GeeJay" whose devotion to perfecting the techniques for long-range weather forecasting is well-known, continued astrometeorology into the 20th century. McCormack's career spans many years and the best recollection of some of his work can be found in Our Threatened Planet by Joseph F. Goodavage. Following are excerpts on a test between McCormack, and the U.S. Weather Bureau. Goodavage's book highlights McCormack's career in Astrometeorology ~

Weather forecasts "based on George J. McCormack updated synopsis, The Theory and Practice of Astronomic Weather Forecasting were tested beside the U.S. Weather Bureau's "Long-Range Weather Outlook" - along with a purely random or chance series of forecasts derived by spinning a pointer in the "wheel-of-fortune" method.

Interestingly, the system by which planetary forces were considered was consistently rated 94 percent accurate. The random spinner forecast achieved 17 percent higher accuracy than the Weather Bureau's Long-Range Weather Outlook.

"The Weather Bureau, incidentally, has at its disposal highly sophisticated telemetary systems, large computer installations, meteorological balloons, aircraft, rockets, weather-eye satellites, thousands of ground observers and in excess of $250 million a year especially earmarked for finding a reliable system of long-range weather prediction.

After nearly 50 years of such lavish subsidies, scientists are still no closer to such a system. It should be noted, however, that the method of the US Weather Bureau is to observe what the weather is doing in one area of the globe, then try to guess what direction and development it will take next.

At the beginning of World War I, McCormack meticulously duplicated, tested and proved Pearce's methods. By 1925 he had developed a new astronomical factor - the key - for timing atmospheric changes in eastward transit from any point of terrestrial origin to any other point of longitude. After experimenting with the key for 23 years and obtaining increasingly accurate forecasts, he used this key element with fantastic success for the late, unseasonably cold and snowy spring of 1947 in the Midwest.

Then, eight months before the Big Snow of December 26, 1947, which immobilized metropolitan New York, the now encouraged McCormack used his system again. With even more dazzling accuracy, he predicted the exact date and extent of the storm and sent out 400 mimeographed copies of his prediction to every newspaper and radio station whose address he could locate.

On December 27, his local reputation became national and he was inundated with requests for more and more long-range forecasts during the next decade than any one man could possibly provide. As president and general factotum of the New Jersey Astrologian Society, McCormack began publishing his Astrotech Weather Guide and trying to teach his methods to others.

Unfortunately, few students had McCormack's dedication, persistence, scientific objectivity and intelligence. Every so often he'd find raw talent and do his best to inspire someone new to carry on, but he died with his dream of scientific acceptance only half realized.

"Gee-Jay" tried to teach his students (and the steady stream of newsmen and other curiosity-seekers who beat a path to his door) that the astrometeorological laws that govern weather are not at all limited to sunspot activity. Also that the direction and speed of jet streams or the idea that the Sun alone controls the atmosphere. Based on the experimental research of his predecessors and fully supported by half a century of his own work, here's the theory McCormack developed and presented to a special seminar of the U.S. Weather Bureau in New York in 1963. He also presented to the 44th annual meeting of the American Meteorological Society in 1964 ~

The Sun controls the constitution of the atmosphere.

Planets regulate organic changes in weather ~

(a) By changing impressions when they are at certain point in their eccentric orbits, or by varying declinations north or south of the earth's equator, thereby affecting both electrical and chemical changes in the Earth's atmosphere;

(b - When in major stations, that is, either on the celestial equator, in maximum declination, in perigee (closest to Earth), in perihelion (closest to the Sun), or when apparently stationary in geocentric longitude;

(c - By angular relationship with the Sun or between each other in longitude, and

(d - By radical occupancy or eastward transit over any given terrestrial meridian or in angular relation to that meridian. These factors may be interpreted from key charts calculated for the exact times the sun crosses the equinoctial or solstice points; secondary charts prepared for the times of the New and Full Moons provide a more exact timing reference.

The Moon is the functional element; it reflects Barometric and Atmospheric tidal changes that have already been indicated by solar and/or planetary phenomena.

Seasonal anomalies of weather are determined as much by celestial bodies in declination (north or south of the celestial equator) as by longitude. In 1962, when 80 percent of the celestial bodies were in southern declinations during winter months, McCormack accurately predicted a returning cycle of migratory severely cold winters in the northen hemisphere. At the same time, large segments of the southern hemisphere were hit by scorching heat and drought.

It took the combined efforts of Senators Jacob Javits, Kenneth Keating, and then Sen. Robert F. Kennedy to twist enough arms and bring enough political pressure to bear on the chief of the U.S. Weather Bureau to set up a special seminar in their New York offices.

McCormack presented the results of his life's work to the government. It is an understatement to say that these weather bureaucrats were cold and unfriendly. McCormack drew a detailed picture of the relationship between Saturn and influenza epidemics for the reluctant meteorologists, several of whom exchanged snickers when he told them of the connection between weather and health ~

"Saturn in Aquarius is the key to the next outbreak of influenza," he told them. " On February 19, 1964, the Sun transits 15 degrees and 43 minutes Aquarius on the exact degree of the total solar eclipse of February 4, 1962, which fell on the 6th house over the USA. The deduction should be fairly obvious."

A deadly flu epidemic struck early in 1964. In June, The New York Times published a graph indicating the numbers of hospitalized flu victims over the previous 15-month period. The highest peak of the graph was February 19 - the date forecasted by McCormack.In New York City alone, 250 people died of the disease.

There was no comment from the U.S. Weather Bureau.

[Aslkahuna]

Just as an aside, the more acceptable plural for maximum is maxima like datum/data, minmum/minima, forum/fora. etc.

Steve

[kenl01]

Interesting ideas. But I'm not so sure how strong these correlations between the moon and the earth's weather really are. I used to correspond with an almanac forecaster for many years in the 1980's who was excellent with planetary alignments and the effects on earth's weather and he used to be very accurate for many years. He was really involved in cycles. But after many successful years, this correlation was no longer reliable. So I guess this concept may be questionable.

[Theo]

Interesting ideas. But I'm not so sure how strong these correlations between the moon and the earth's weather really are. I used to correspond with an almanac forecaster for many years in the 1980's who was excellent with planetary alignments and the effects on earth's weather and he used to be very accurate for many years. He was really involved in cycles. But after many successful years, this correlation was no longer reliable. So I guess this concept may be questionable.

Well, I am of the view that celestial transits are the chief reason for Earth's weather, and correlates exactly to them. I don't know about your almanac forecaster, but the Moon has been known for centuries by astrometeorologists to correlate with some of the biggest storms in history, as well as with daily weather on Earth, along with the planets, and of course, the Sun's activity.

[gigabite]

Actually, the correlation coefficient between hurricanes and the position of New Moon for any month where the New Moon has been near the same location is quite high. as is the negative phase of the A.O. there is also a relationship between la Nina and the upper limit of the New Moon's Latitude at aphelion.

Nice work Theo, I have some links for you, but they are on my other computer.

[Theo]

Actually, the correlation coefficient between hurricanes and the position of New Moon for any month where the New Moon has been near the same location is quite high. as is the negative phase of the A.O. there is also a relationship between la Nina and the upper limit of the New Moon's Latitude at aphelion.

Nice work Theo, I have some links for you, but they are on my other computer.

Thanks Gigabite. I've been really following the transits these days - especially after the horrors of last year's hurricane season, and the extreme world weather conditions we've been seeing in recent years. I expect more of the same - especially more rains, and floods in the years ahead due to the long-range transits I've been calculating.

Right now, Mars, and Saturn are transiting near the geodetic position of the Tropic of Cancer - meaning more trouble from that region. In conjunction with the Moon's northern maximum declinations - tropical action is sure, but I've been seeing a path towards the U.S. South, and East Coast this year. This means that the gulf stream will shift west - towards the U.S. coast - and with the Moon's declinations in these particular positions - tropical action could be seen as early as May.

[gigabite]

Yea, I see what you mean. I usually don’t look out as far as Saturn, but I have a postulate that goes: A small percentage of an astronomic number is at least, big.

I follow lunar gravity mostly. I agree about the likely hood of increasing rainfall numbers. I haven’t quite got the big picture. I’ve been looking at the lasco images during alignments like the Saturn Mars Mercury thing you mentioned above. What I would like to do is to compute the correlation coefficient of non-earth alignments to the second, but it is getting close to hurricane season and I haven’t finished cranking out relationships between the 2006 positions of the New Moon and pervious years with the New Moon in the same position.

The October 2005 correlation coefficient of position over position for October 2005 Moon Position and storms was 89 percent of the October 1998. That was a strong relationship. In August 2005 I did a similar comparison with only a 32 percent relationship. This year I intend to run the comparison for the entire season. Pack that in with the other things I have to do and I will be a busy camper.

How closely can you compute alignments?

[Theo]

Yea, I see what you mean. I usually don’t look out as far as Saturn, but I have a postulate that goes: A small percentage of an astronomic number is at least, big.

I follow lunar gravity mostly. I agree about the likely hood of increasing rainfall numbers. I haven’t quite got the big picture. I’ve been looking at the lasco images during alignments like the Saturn Mars Mercury thing you mentioned above. What I would like to do is to compute the correlation coefficient of non-earth alignments to the second, but it is getting close to hurricane season and I haven’t finished cranking out relationships between the 2006 positions of the New Moon and pervious years with the New Moon in the same position.

The October 2005 correlation coefficient of position over position for October 2005 Moon Position and storms was 89 percent of the October 1998. That was a strong relationship. In August 2005 I did a similar comparison with only a 32 percent relationship. This year I intend to run the comparison for the entire season. Pack that in with the other things I have to do and I will be a busy camper.

How closely can you compute alignments?

I hear you Gigabite. Check the lunar maximum declinations north and south with as many unstable weather events as you can find - and especially large storms over say the last 50 years. Include solar maxima/minama cycles along with it. Planetary alignments say of Mars, Jupiter & Saturn can be added as well to these events to see the overall picture. The Sun is only a part of the large picture.

[Dustin]

Hey theo, great to have you here. Anyway, ah could I have some more links about this subject so I can learn more!

[Theo]

Hey theo, great to have you here. Anyway, ah could I have some more links about this subject so I can learn more!

I posted some links in my post that should lead to many more links on the subject.

[gigabite]

1. The Moon isn’t trapped in the sun gravitational field. It is ruled by it. For instance the New Moon is always in the same hemisphere as the Sun.

2. http://home.att.net/~gigabite/force-dynes.gif

Celestial Navigation Data for 2006 Jun 25 at 16:07:00 UT
For Assumed Position: Latitude N 40 00.0 Longitude W 180 00.0
Almanac Data | Altitude Corrections
Object GHA ****Dec**** Hc Zn | Refr SD PA Sum o ' o ' o ' o | ' ' ' '
SUN 61 05.3 N23 22.9 - 4 52.1 53.7 | --- --- --- ---


MOON 60 54.1 *****N28 22.0**** - 1 17.0 50.3 | --- --- --- ---


VENUS 95 12.0 N18 57.7 +15 56.0 78.4

[Theo]

1. The Moon isn’t trapped in the sun gravitational field. It is ruled by it. For instance the New Moon is always in the same hemisphere as the Sun.

2. http://home.att.net/~gigabite/force-dynes.gif

Celestial Navigation Data for 2006 Jun 25 at 16:07:00 UT
For Assumed Position: Latitude N 40 00.0 Longitude W 180 00.0
Almanac Data | Altitude Corrections
Object GHA ****Dec**** Hc Zn | Refr SD PA Sum o ' o ' o ' o | ' ' ' '
SUN 61 05.3 N23 22.9 - 4 52.1 53.7 | --- --- --- ---


MOON 60 54.1 *****N28 22.0**** - 1 17.0 50.3 | --- --- --- ---


VENUS 95 12.0 N18 57.7 +15 56.0 78.4

And, at New Moon, the Moon blocks much of the solar winds from the Sun to the Earth for about two days at that cycle. Always a good time to catch fish, as the ancients knew. By the way, right now Venus is about to turn north in declination, note the cooler temperatures in regions of the country as it leaves tropical Pisces, and enters tropical Aries this week.

[Theo]

Yea, I see what you mean. I usually don’t look out as far as Saturn, but I have a postulate that goes: A small percentage of an astronomic number is at least, big.

I follow lunar gravity mostly. I agree about the likely hood of increasing rainfall numbers. I haven’t quite got the big picture. I’ve been looking at the lasco images during alignments like the Saturn Mars Mercury thing you mentioned above. What I would like to do is to compute the correlation coefficient of non-earth alignments to the second, but it is getting close to hurricane season and I haven’t finished cranking out relationships between the 2006 positions of the New Moon and pervious years with the New Moon in the same position.

The October 2005 correlation coefficient of position over position for October 2005 Moon Position and storms was 89 percent of the October 1998. That was a strong relationship. In August 2005 I did a similar comparison with only a 32 percent relationship. This year I intend to run the comparison for the entire season. Pack that in with the other things I have to do and I will be a busy camper.

How closely can you compute alignments?

Pretty close Gigabite. It takes a lot of time, which is why I start about a year in advance since I forecast long-range weather. The coefficient of position over position for lunar transits should be done for large storms with lunar north/south max declinations. Look closely if the Moon is at apogee or perigee, and the cycles (new, first quarter, full, last quarter) then, the sign, and of course, any major aspects to planetary positions.

The Super Moon, in full moon cycle, of September 2006 is interesting, and quite strong. This is a good one to check out.

As for past data for historic storms, look at lunar maximums. The strongest ones are perigee, when the moon is closer to the Earth, of course.

[gigabite]

I got the New Moon and the Full Moon down pat and any alignment at opposition or conjunction the alignments at quadrature and at the lunar node are interesting, but building a sinusoidal function to deliver a “heads up” to its approach is a wheel I would rather surf up than build.

Hurricane Andrew
Hurricane ANDREW 16-28 AUG

About that time an alignment occurred with the moon at opposition to Jupiter and Venus which would have kicked up local gravity by 2 percent under the right conditions that could have pulled enough water vapor into the stratosphere to initiate a tropical storm.

1992-08-15 18:30:00 utc
Object Right Ascension Declination (AU)
Venus 10h 50m 1s +8° 58.2' 1.620
Moon 23h 10m 27s +0° 6.9' 63.2 ER -
Jupiter 11h 17m 51s +5° 41.5' 6.334

Celestial Navigation Data for
1992 Aug 15 at 18:30:00 UT
Object GHA Dec
MOON 254 17.1 N 0 07.2
VENUS 79 24.2 N 8 58.
JUPITER 72 27.0 N 5 41.5

[Theo]

I got the New Moon and the Full Moon down pat and any alignment at opposition or conjunction the alignments at quadrature and at the lunar node are interesting, but building a sinusoidal function to deliver a “heads up” to its approach is a wheel I would rather surf up than build.

Hurricane Andrew
Hurricane ANDREW 16-28 AUG

About that time an alignment occurred with the moon at opposition to Jupiter and Venus which would have kicked up local gravity by 2 percent under the right conditions that could have pulled enough water vapor into the stratosphere to initiate a tropical storm.

1992-08-15 18:30:00 utc
Object Right Ascension Declination (AU)
Venus 10h 50m 1s +8° 58.2' 1.620
Moon 23h 10m 27s +0° 6.9' 63.2 ER -
Jupiter 11h 17m 51s +5° 41.5' 6.334

Celestial Navigation Data for
1992 Aug 15 at 18:30:00 UT
Object GHA Dec
MOON 254 17.1 N 0 07.2
VENUS 79 24.2 N 8 58.
JUPITER 72 27.0 N 5 41.5

Thanks for the data... brings back memories. Surfing it up is better than building. There's a lot of it, and reading an ephemeris takes most of my time. You do have your own ephemeris, right? Lunar transits and conjunctions to the nodes are one of my specialities. The coming nodal transit in Virgo/Pisces starting late June through to Dec. 2007 is interesting. In the meantime, take a look at September 2006. There are some rather strong lunar transits, and a close perigee cycle.

[gigabite]

At first I did my research in the library had worked with hard sheets. Now I go to the USNO web site and use spread sheets.

September New Moon
Data for my activity 60
http://home.att.net/~study06/data60.gif


There is a notion that earthquakes kick up at the nodes.


In September and through out the entire hurricane season the new moon is in apogee. So I will be looking at an even number year for an analog year for this year.

[Theo]

At first I did my research in the library had worked with hard sheets. Now I go to the USNO web site and use spread sheets.

September New Moon
Data for my activity 60
http://home.att.net/~study06/data60.gif


There is a notion that earthquakes kick up at the nodes.


In September and through out the entire hurricane season the new moon is in apogee. So I will be looking at an even number year for an analog year for this year.

Yes, seismic activity is well known during certain astrological alignments - especially those of the Earth-Moon-Sun alignments, and planetary ones - including those connected to the Lunar Nodes, and some planetary nodes as well. I'm expecting a very active earthquake cycle during the Pisces/Virgo transit of the Lunar nodes from late June this year to Dec. 2007. We can also expect more floods as well, and the intensification of storm systems due to the coming planetary transits. Right now, for instance, the Moon's southern declination has cyclone action near the Phillipines, and China, and we also see this strong, stubborn low pressure system over the Great Lakes, and soon, the Northeast, New England, and the Mid-Atlantic. Par for the course in astrometeorology.

[Jim Hughes]

1. The Moon isn’t trapped in the sun gravitational field. It is ruled by it. For instance the New Moon is always in the same hemisphere as the Sun.

2. http://home.att.net/~gigabite/force-dynes.gif

Celestial Navigation Data for 2006 Jun 25 at 16:07:00 UT
For Assumed Position: Latitude N 40 00.0 Longitude W 180 00.0
Almanac Data | Altitude Corrections
Object GHA ****Dec**** Hc Zn | Refr SD PA Sum o ' o ' o ' o | ' ' ' '
SUN 61 05.3 N23 22.9 - 4 52.1 53.7 | --- --- --- ---


MOON 60 54.1 *****N28 22.0**** - 1 17.0 50.3 | --- --- --- ---


VENUS 95 12.0 N18 57.7 +15 56.0 78.4

And, at New Moon, the Moon blocks much of the solar winds from the Sun to the Earth for about two days at that cycle.

Sorry Theo but I had to respond to this one. This is wrong. The moon is a speck in relation to the IMF. We still get the solar winds and no diminishing effect occurs. Just look around the time of the new moon last year from May through September.


Jim

[Theo]

1. The Moon isn’t trapped in the sun gravitational field. It is ruled by it. For instance the New Moon is always in the same hemisphere as the Sun.

2. http://home.att.net/~gigabite/force-dynes.gif

Celestial Navigation Data for 2006 Jun 25 at 16:07:00 UT
For Assumed Position: Latitude N 40 00.0 Longitude W 180 00.0
Almanac Data | Altitude Corrections
Object GHA ****Dec**** Hc Zn | Refr SD PA Sum o ' o ' o ' o | ' ' ' '
SUN 61 05.3 N23 22.9 - 4 52.1 53.7 | --- --- --- ---


MOON 60 54.1 *****N28 22.0**** - 1 17.0 50.3 | --- --- --- ---


VENUS 95 12.0 N18 57.7 +15 56.0 78.4

And, at New Moon, the Moon blocks much of the solar winds from the Sun to the Earth for about two days at that cycle.

Sorry Theo but I had to respond to this one. This is wrong. The moon is a speck in relation to the IMF. We still get the solar winds and no diminishing effect occurs. Just look around the time of the new moon last year from May through September.
Jim

Who said anything about the Moon compared to the IMF? It is well known that the New Moon shields the Earth during that cycle, brief that it is. I said nothing about it in relation to the IMF as a whole.

[Jim Hughes]

1. The Moon isn’t trapped in the sun gravitational field. It is ruled by it. For instance the New Moon is always in the same hemisphere as the Sun.

2. http://home.att.net/~gigabite/force-dynes.gif

Celestial Navigation Data for 2006 Jun 25 at 16:07:00 UT
For Assumed Position: Latitude N 40 00.0 Longitude W 180 00.0
Almanac Data | Altitude Corrections
Object GHA ****Dec**** Hc Zn | Refr SD PA Sum o ' o ' o ' o | ' ' ' '
SUN 61 05.3 N23 22.9 - 4 52.1 53.7 | --- --- --- ---


MOON 60 54.1 *****N28 22.0**** - 1 17.0 50.3 | --- --- --- ---


VENUS 95 12.0 N18 57.7 +15 56.0 78.4

And, at New Moon, the Moon blocks much of the solar winds from the Sun to the Earth for about two days at that cycle.

Sorry Theo but I had to respond to this one. This is wrong. The moon is a speck in relation to the IMF. We still get the solar winds and no diminishing effect occurs. Just look around the time of the new moon last year from May through September.
Jim

Who said anything about the Moon compared to the IMF? It is well known that the New Moon shields the Earth during that cycle, brief that it is. I said nothing about it in relation to the IMF as a whole.

I responded to what you specifically said Theo. "A new moon blocks much of the solar winds for about two days."

The solar wind speed, or it's components, do not change or diminish around the time of the new moon. Neither before or after.

The moon has no magnetosphere and it blocks basically nothing in much the same manner that a small pebble does in a stream. The IMF and solar winds are related. The solar wind brings it along but the morphology stages of the IMF regulate the solar wind speed/direction and the particles in the solar wind follow the magnetic field lines 90 % of the time.


Jim