According to the information from the CPC, the ITCZ is significantly displaced to the north from the historical mean. This may account for the early season developments we've seen so far. As the season progresses the waves exit Africa at a higher and higher latitude, peaking in the August 11-20 time period. Does this mean that the CV season will send more storms into higher latitudes than normal translating into more fish storms? I suppose the position and strength of the the Azores/Bermuda High could compensate for the high latitude launch point and force the waves westerly negating the the high latitude start. However, Danny formed pretty far north.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/f ... /itcz.html
Question About ITCZ
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cycloneye
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The key to more fish systems or more low latitud systems will be the azores high and bermuda high.Let's wait and see how the azores and the bermuda highs will be at the peak of the season by late august and september to see if the ITCZ more north position will be a factor or not.
Last edited by cycloneye on Fri Jul 18, 2003 9:03 am, edited 2 times in total.
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vbhoutex
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The higher location of the ITCZ is already a little of a factor IMHO. With the ITCZ a little higher than normal, at least for this time of year, it is imparting more spin to the systems coming off Africa, therefore the "earlier than normal" CV season. Is this flawed thinking?
As cyc said the big key as to where the storms go is going to be the placements of the Azores and Bermuda highs.
As cyc said the big key as to where the storms go is going to be the placements of the Azores and Bermuda highs.
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cycloneye
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Lindaloo the ITCZ or (INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE) is the area where the winds from the southeast atlantic and from the northeast atlantic clash and then the air rises making the area for continus convection and then that area shifts more north during the summer and goes south during the winter.
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