TROPICAL WAVE SOUTH-WEST OF CAP VERDE ISLAND (Is Invest 96L)

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OURAGAN
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TROPICAL WAVE SOUTH-WEST OF CAP VERDE ISLAND (Is Invest 96L)

#1 Postby OURAGAN » Sun Sep 30, 2012 2:54 pm

There is no body on the board notice That:

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Re: TROPICAL WAVE SOUTH-WEST OF CAP VERDE ISLAND = 10%

#2 Postby OURAGAN » Sun Sep 30, 2012 2:56 pm

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#3 Postby Extratropical94 » Sun Sep 30, 2012 2:58 pm

1. A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE HAS
FORMED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
ALTHOUGH THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY LIMITED...
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS A
LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
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Re: TROPICAL WAVE SOUTH-WEST OF CAP VERDE ISLAND = 10%

#4 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 30, 2012 4:21 pm

A new low is added on the 18z surface analysis.

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#5 Postby Gustywind » Sun Sep 30, 2012 4:34 pm

Cycloneye, my question is if this twave/low have model support? Any idea about that?
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Re:

#6 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 30, 2012 4:40 pm

Gustywind wrote:Cycloneye, my question is if this twave/low have model support? Any idea about that?


GFS and ECMWF had been showing only modest development in the past runs. Let's see what they have in next runs.
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Re: Re:

#7 Postby Gustywind » Sun Sep 30, 2012 4:46 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Gustywind wrote:Cycloneye, my question is if this twave/low have model support? Any idea about that?


GFS and ECMWF had been showing only modest development in the past runs. Let's see what they have in next runs.

Thanks to you :) because of i didn't check the latest on that...
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#8 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Sep 30, 2012 6:05 pm

If this can stay low, maybe in the Caribbean it has a chance. But a CV in October isn't a normal situation.
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Re: TROPICAL WAVE SOUTH-WEST OF CAP VERDE ISLAND = 10%

#9 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 30, 2012 6:25 pm

Is invest 96L. Go to active Storms/invests forum to continue the discussions about this area.

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=113797&hilit=&p=2278199#p2278199
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