Low Pressure Expected to Form in EPAC (Is Invest 94E)

[hurricanes1234]

OTHER SYSTEMS WITH FORMATION POTENTIAL BEYOND 48 HOURS...

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO IN A FEW DAYS...AND
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS LOW BY THE END OF THE WEEK. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...
NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD
AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

Any model support?

[Hurricane_Luis]

OTHER SYSTEMS WITH FORMATION POTENTIAL BEYOND 48 HOURS...


Any model support?

Yes. The ECMWF has a weak depression. Nothing on the GFS.

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2013100812/gfs_mslp_wind_epac.html

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Wind%20850%20and%20mslp!216!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2013100800!!/

[supercane4867]

Should be an invest soon


A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO BECOME INCREASINGLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...
20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.

[CrazyC83]

With all that dry air, its only hope is a quick move north towards land.

[cycloneye]

This area is Invest 94E. Go to the Invest 94E thread.