Low pressure expected to form north of Puerto Rico (Is 97L)

[floridasun78]

ropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. An area of low pressure is expected to form by the middle of the
week near the northern coast of Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos,
and the southeastern Bahamas. This system could acquire subtropical
characteristics before it moves northeastward and weakens or merges
with a frontal system toward the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Stewart

[TheStormExpert]

Is this the system that the Euro last week was advertising for a run or two?

[floridasun78]

i think system that someone post in Model topic page last week

[floridasun78]

it on page 406 Model topic page

[floridasun78]

ropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST MON NOV 3 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. An area of low pressure is expected to form to the north of
Hispaniola in a couple of days. This system could briefly acquire
subtropical characteristics before it moves northward and then
northeastward, and merges with a frontal system toward the end of
the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Roberts

[TheStormExpert]

I know it is always possible to get a late season storm especially with how active October was compared to the rest of the season, but at this point with all the fronts traversing off the U.S. East Coast and well into the W. Atlantic and Caribbean I'm feeling more certain that this season is over.

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST TUE NOV 4 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of disturbed weather located a few hundred miles north of
Puerto Rico is associated with the southern end of a frontal
boundary. A low pressure area could form in this area during the
next day or so, and it could briefly acquire subtropical
characteristics tomorrow or Thursday. After that time, development
is not expected while the system moves north-northeastward and
merges with another frontal system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST TUE NOV 4 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A large area of disturbed weather is located over the northeastern
Caribbean Sea and extends northward across Puerto Rico and the
Virgin Islands, and continues over the Atlantic Ocean for several
hundred miles. Surface pressures are gradually falling across this
region and a low pressure system could form during the next day or
so. This system could briefly acquire subtropical characteristics
tomorrow or on Thursday while the low moves west-northwestward to
northwestward. After that time, development is not expected while
the disturbance moves north-northeastward and eventually merges with
another frontal system. Regardless of development, locally heavy
rainfall and possible flooding can be expected across the Virgin
Islands, Puerto Rico, and portions of the Dominican Republic
tonight and Wednesday. For additional information on the heavy
rainfall threat, please consult products issued by your national
meteorological service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

[Sanibel]

I don't think the conditions are there to support this tropically.

[wxman57]

It's a frontal low, if anything.

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST WED NOV 5 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure appears to be forming a couple of
hundred miles north of Puerto Rico. This system is interacting with
an upper-level low and is currently producing a large area of
disorganized cloudiness and showers. There is some potential for
this low to briefly acquire subtropical characteristics during
the next day or so while it moves northwestward. After that time,
development is not expected as the disturbance moves
north-northeastward and merges with a frontal zone. Regardless of
formation, locally heavy rainfall and possible flooding should
continue across Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic through
tonight. For additional information on the heavy rainfall threat,
please consult products issued by your national meteorological
service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi/Beven

[cycloneye]

Invest 97L is up