2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season is here!
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- cycloneye
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2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season is here!
The annual countdown thread is back!! Let's see how the 2016 unfolds as El Nino fades but other factors may come to play.If anyone has more conferences or other important dates to add post them.
http://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/ge ... nt=cursive
Important dates before June 1:
March 13=Daylight Saving Time begins.
March 20=Spring begins.
March 21-24=National Hurricane Conference in Orlando, FL.
April 1=Storm2k 2016 numbers poll begins.
April 5=TSR forecast is released.
April 11-16=Caribbean Hurricane Hunter Tour.
April 13-16=National Tropical Weather Conference in South Padre Island.
April 14=Release of forecast by CSU.
April 18-23=32nd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology in San Juan,Puerto Rico.
May 15=Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season begins.
May 16-20=Hurricane Hunter Tour thru GOM cities.
May 21=Hurricane Workshop in Houston.
May 27=NOAA forecast is released.
May 31=Storm2k numbers poll ends at midnight EDT.
http://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/ge ... nt=cursive
Important dates before June 1:
March 13=Daylight Saving Time begins.
March 20=Spring begins.
March 21-24=National Hurricane Conference in Orlando, FL.
April 1=Storm2k 2016 numbers poll begins.
April 5=TSR forecast is released.
April 11-16=Caribbean Hurricane Hunter Tour.
April 13-16=National Tropical Weather Conference in South Padre Island.
April 14=Release of forecast by CSU.
April 18-23=32nd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology in San Juan,Puerto Rico.
May 15=Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season begins.
May 16-20=Hurricane Hunter Tour thru GOM cities.
May 21=Hurricane Workshop in Houston.
May 27=NOAA forecast is released.
May 31=Storm2k numbers poll ends at midnight EDT.
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Re: Countdown to 2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season (97 days)
The 2016 hurricane season is on the way with Spring 2016 around the corner. This is the time of your to put a plan together in case its needed this year.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- AnnularCane
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Re: Countdown to 2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season (90 days)
National Hurricane Conference in Orlando, FL, March 21-24.
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- cycloneye
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Re: Countdown to 2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season (90 days)
AnnularCane wrote:National Hurricane Conference in Orlando, FL, March 21-24.
Added.
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- Annie Oakley
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- cycloneye
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Re: Countdown to 2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season (66 days)
Time goes so fast that is only a few days away before our annual Storm2k poll starts (April 1) to get the numbers the members think the 2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season will be so get ready to participate.
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- cycloneye
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Re: Countdown to 2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season (66 days)
The Hurricane Hunters annual tour will be from April 11 thru April 16 and from May 16 thru May 20 in some coastal GOM cities.
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- vbhoutex
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Re: Countdown to 2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season (66 days)
Hoping to head to Galveston on May 17th!! Haven't ever been up close and personal with the HH planes and personnel. Would be a perfect prelude to the Houston/Galveston Hurricane Workshop the next weekend!!
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- tropicwatch
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Re: Countdown to 2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season (66 days)
cycloneye wrote:The Hurricane Hunters annual tour will be from April 11 thru April 16 and from May 16 thru May 20 in some coastal GOM cities.
Where can I find the times and exact locations of the tours?
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Tropicwatch
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
- cycloneye
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Re: Countdown to 2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season (65 days)
I think they will have the times of each stop soon in a press release so expect that.
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- TheAustinMan
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Re: Countdown to 2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season (64 days)
The RA IV Hurricane Committee convenes in San Juan, Puerto Rico for their 38th session from April 21-26.
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Re: Countdown to 2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season (27 days)
Its only 27 days until June 1st which is the first day of the 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season. The first day of the EPAC 2016 Hurricane Season begins May 15th. What can we expect one may ask? My answer, it only takes one so always be prepared every hurricane season. With that said it looks to be about an average season but there are some concerns for the GOM and Caribbean this season. A transition from El Nino to neutral ENSO conditions are currently underway with La Nina conditions likely by August. La Nina leads to less wind shear over the Atlantic Basin as the Pacific cools. In addition sea surface temperatures (SSTs) remain warm across the GOM and Caribbean. This combination could lead to "close to home" development with short lead times compared to the long tracked Cape Verde tropical cyclones we follow for days and sometimes weeks.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- cycloneye
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Re: Countdown to 2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season (9 days)
Only single digits now are left for the Atlantic season to begin officially.
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Re: Countdown to 2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season (3 days)
i got feeling we will be very busy hurr season hope all ready on coast line gulf to Atlantic ocean i think we start getting early not until aug we td2 late may maybe Bonnie soon
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- cycloneye
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Re: Countdown to 2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season (less than 12 hours left)
Follow the countdowm at first post to count the final hours,minutes and seconds to ring the 2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season.
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- Blown Away
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Re: Countdown to 2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season (less than 9 hours left)
I guess there are lingering effects, but glad no Super El Nino or almost El Nino's in the picture like there has been over the past few years.
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- gatorcane
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Re: Countdown to 2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season (less than 7 hours left)
can't believe tomorrow starts a new Atlantic hurricane season. Seems time goes by quicker and quicker each year. Will be interesting to see what happens this year as far as Atlantic activity given all the conflicting indicators. Let us hope nothing strong hits any land areas and causes a lot of damage as generally the Atlantic especially the U.S. have been fortunate lately. Will the luck finally run out?
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- TheAustinMan
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Re: Countdown to 2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season (less than 5 hours left)
As we do annually, we are holding our annual hurricane season's eve party in the Storm2K chatroom tonight! You can get there by heading over to http://webchat.esper.net/?channels=storm2k, or if you already have an IRC program of some sort, simply connect to #Storm2K at irc.esper.net.
We hope to see you there!
We hope to see you there!
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season is here!1
Is official,is here!!
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season is here!
Here is the first TWO of North Atlantic season.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED JUN 1 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The NOAA Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Bonnie, located about 60 miles south of
Wilmington, North Carolina.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which
will run until November 30. Long-term averages for the number of
named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 12, 6, and 3,
respectively.
The list of names for 2016 is as follows:
Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation
-------------------------------------------------------------
Alex AL-leks Lisa LEE-suh
Bonnie BAH-nee Matthew MATH-yoo
Colin KAH-lihn Nicole nih-KOHL
Danielle dan-YELL Otto AHT-toh
Earl URR-ull Paula PAHL-luh
Fiona fee-OH-nuh Richard RIH-churd
Gaston ga-STAWN Shary SHAHR-ee
Hermine her-MEEN Tobias toh-BEE-uss
Ian EE-an Virgine vir-JIN-ee
Julia JOO-lee-uh Walter WALL-tur
Karl KAR-ull
Two tropical cyclones have already formed this year, Hurricane Alex
in January and Tropical Storm Bonnie in May. The next named storm
that forms this season will be named Colin.
This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes
significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for
tropical cyclone formation during the next five days. The issuance
times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 AM, and 8 PM EDT. After
the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are
1 AM, 7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST.
A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide
updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances
of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks
will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular
Tropical Weather Outlooks.
A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone
public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and
a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours for all
ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition, a special advisory package
may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected
changes or to modify watches or warnings.
The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of
significant changes in a tropical cyclone or to post or cancel
watches or warnings. It is used in lieu of or to precede the
issuance of a special advisory package. Tropical Cyclone Updates,
which can be issued at any time, can be found under WMO header
WTNT61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUAT1-5.
All National Hurricane Center text and graphical products are
available on the web at www.hurricanes.gov. You can also
interact with NHC on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC.
Notifications are available via Twitter when select National
Hurricane Center products are issued. Information about our
Atlantic Twitter feed is available at
www.hurricanes.gov/twitter.shtml.
$$
Forecaster Brown
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED JUN 1 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The NOAA Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Bonnie, located about 60 miles south of
Wilmington, North Carolina.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which
will run until November 30. Long-term averages for the number of
named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 12, 6, and 3,
respectively.
The list of names for 2016 is as follows:
Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation
-------------------------------------------------------------
Alex AL-leks Lisa LEE-suh
Bonnie BAH-nee Matthew MATH-yoo
Colin KAH-lihn Nicole nih-KOHL
Danielle dan-YELL Otto AHT-toh
Earl URR-ull Paula PAHL-luh
Fiona fee-OH-nuh Richard RIH-churd
Gaston ga-STAWN Shary SHAHR-ee
Hermine her-MEEN Tobias toh-BEE-uss
Ian EE-an Virgine vir-JIN-ee
Julia JOO-lee-uh Walter WALL-tur
Karl KAR-ull
Two tropical cyclones have already formed this year, Hurricane Alex
in January and Tropical Storm Bonnie in May. The next named storm
that forms this season will be named Colin.
This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes
significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for
tropical cyclone formation during the next five days. The issuance
times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 AM, and 8 PM EDT. After
the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are
1 AM, 7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST.
A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide
updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances
of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks
will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular
Tropical Weather Outlooks.
A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone
public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and
a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours for all
ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition, a special advisory package
may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected
changes or to modify watches or warnings.
The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of
significant changes in a tropical cyclone or to post or cancel
watches or warnings. It is used in lieu of or to precede the
issuance of a special advisory package. Tropical Cyclone Updates,
which can be issued at any time, can be found under WMO header
WTNT61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUAT1-5.
All National Hurricane Center text and graphical products are
available on the web at www.hurricanes.gov. You can also
interact with NHC on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC.
Notifications are available via Twitter when select National
Hurricane Center products are issued. Information about our
Atlantic Twitter feed is available at
www.hurricanes.gov/twitter.shtml.
$$
Forecaster Brown
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