2016-2017 Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclone season

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

Invest 91P viewtopic.php?f=77&p=2576177#p2576177

[mrbagyo]

Euro (3/28/2017 00z and 12z) is giving a hint again at long range run(240 hrs) this time for Western Australia.



GFS : nothing

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

SST is cooling fast in the region EC models the storm. Dry season is also knocking at
the door in the NW.


To the east you can see the cold upwelling from TC Debbie.

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

Anyone give any weight to the current cmc 12z. The model has
been showing a QLD hit again on the past few runs.

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

EC is modelling a weak low off the NW then this one drops in from the Arafura Sea.

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... 40200&fh=0

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

The ec runs are deepening this model storm.

SST on this plot are warm enough to still support a severe TC.

[euro6208]

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

Maybe a late season interesting system,GEFS ensemble modes are showing a strong signal for development late next week

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

models hinting a storm in the pacific. Big difference btw the EC/GFS in the time frame,
as to where the storm will be located.

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

EC 00z with a heavy menacing system.

[1900hurricane]

Looks like the Southern Hemisphere finally decided to get activeish right at the very end.

[1900hurricane]

 https://twitter.com/1900hurricane/status/861713688381845504