How many named storms will form in August?

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How many named storms will form un August?

Poll ended at Wed Aug 05, 2020 7:00 am

One
1
1%
Two
3
4%
Three
5
7%
Four
21
31%
Five
22
32%
Six or more
16
24%
 
Total votes: 68

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cycloneye
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How many named storms will form in August?

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 01, 2020 7:00 am

This poll will be open for voting until August 5 at 8 AM EDT.

I voted four.
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Re: How many named storms will form in August?

#2 Postby Extratropical94 » Sat Aug 01, 2020 7:05 am

I’m going with five, Josephine on the 4th from the 10/60 wave, Kyle on the 13th, Laura on the 20th, Marco on the 24th and Nana on the 28th.
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Re: How many named storms will form in August? (Voting ends on August 5 at 8 AM EDT)

#3 Postby St0rmTh0r » Sat Aug 01, 2020 7:20 am

I'm sticking to 10 storms 7 hurricanes 3 majors
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Re: How many named storms will form in August? (Voting ends on August 5 at 8 AM EDT)

#4 Postby ouragans » Sat Aug 01, 2020 7:24 am

5 TS 2 H 1 MH
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Re: How many named storms will form in August?

#5 Postby aspen » Sat Aug 01, 2020 9:01 am

Extratropical94 wrote:I’m going with five, Josephine on the 4th from the 10/60 wave, Kyle on the 13th, Laura on the 20th, Marco on the 24th and Nana on the 28th.

I’m going with five as well, also due to the 10/60 AEW. Josephine will be the only thing in the first half of August, but the lid will come off in the second half of the month.
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Re: How many named storms will form in August? (Voting ends on August 5 at 8 AM EDT)

#6 Postby Beef Stew » Sat Aug 01, 2020 12:58 pm

Went with five. My thinking is along the line of others: we get Josephine in the next few days from the 20/60 AEW, then we have a lull in activity for the first half of August, except for a brief TS in the subtropics. The 'real season' (which is weird to say, given what we've already seen at this point) starts in the backside of the month, where we go 3/2/1, with a late forming hurricane that goes on to become the second major of the season in the first few days of September.
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Re: How many named storms will form in August? (Voting ends on August 5 at 8 AM EDT)

#7 Postby TheStormExpert » Sat Aug 01, 2020 2:00 pm

I’m going with four with 1-2 hurricanes and maybe a major in the last week. Can’t rule out 5 or more though after the record active July in terms of named storms.
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Re: How many named storms will form in August? (Voting ends on August 5 at 8 AM EDT)

#8 Postby Hammy » Sat Aug 01, 2020 2:02 pm

Voted four, though the range could be 4-6. I'm expecting most of them to occur in the latter part of the month and the bulk of the season's activity (which will probably be quite a lot) will occur in September and October.
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Re: How many named storms will form in August? (Voting ends on August 5 at 8 AM EDT)

#9 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:55 pm

Going with 5 (including 3 hurricanes and 2 majors).

Hurricane Josephine (Cat 1) - from soon to be 94L
Tropical Storm Kyle - August 13 in subtropical Atlantic
Major Hurricane Laura (Cat 5) - August 15 in MDR, peak north of Antilles and landfall on US east coast
Major Hurricane Marco (Cat 3) - August 26 in MDR and out to sea
Tropical Storm Nana - August 30 in Gulf
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Re: How many named storms will form in August? (Voting ends on August 5 at 8 AM EDT)

#10 Postby FireRat » Sat Aug 01, 2020 6:20 pm

4 is my best guess, and the last one, Marco perhaps, could be the first major of 2020 and last into September.

Of course, given the year, it could be crazier but I'll go with 4 (excluding any borderline TDs that steal names, lol). FOUR quality systems...1 TS, 2 H, 1 MH. That's the Rat's take.
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Re: How many named storms will form in August? (Voting ends on August 5 at 8 AM EDT)

#11 Postby Chris90 » Sun Aug 02, 2020 3:35 am

I’m going to go 6/3/2 for August. After what happened in July, I’m bullish for this month, although I do think a majority of that action is going to be in the back half of the month.
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Re: How many named storms will form in August? (Voting ends on August 5 at 8 AM EDT)

#12 Postby Abdullah » Sun Aug 02, 2020 2:18 pm

I voted five storms based off a gut feeling.

Chris90 wrote:I’m going to go 6/3/2 for August. After what happened in July, I’m bullish for this month, although I do think a majority of that action is going to be in the back half of the month.


It better be in the back half. I need a break!
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Re: How many named storms will form in August? (Voting ends on August 5 at 8 AM EDT)

#13 Postby EquusStorm » Sun Aug 02, 2020 2:37 pm

Honestly given the incredible July activity, if we get a lull at all it'll probably be in August; might easily be 5+ but voting 4 for now expecting a rapid increase in activity in the last part of the month
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Re: How many named storms will form in August? (Voting ends on August 5 at 8 AM EDT)

#14 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 04, 2020 12:30 pm

Those who have not voted yet have until 8 AM on Wednesday so there is time to cast the vote. So far is close among three of the options.
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Re: How many named storms will form in August? (Voting ends on August 5 at 8 AM EDT)

#15 Postby northjaxpro » Tue Aug 04, 2020 12:48 pm

I am riding with 4 named storms. I am being a little bit conservative here considering how hyperactive 2020 has been to this juncture. I figured that Mother Nature will have to hit a lull at some point, and I think the first half of August will be slow with activity..
However, by mid-August and beyond, I do think the lid will come off out there. We probably will get our first major of the season toward the the end of August, which may be a threat to the CONUS.
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Re: How many named storms will form in August? (Voting ends on August 5 at 8 AM EDT)

#16 Postby Ubuntwo » Tue Aug 04, 2020 3:50 pm

I went with four. Guessing a lull until mid-August followed by a burst of activity. 4/2/1?
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Re: How many named storms will form in August? (Voting ends on August 5 at 8 AM EDT)

#17 Postby CFLHurricane » Tue Aug 04, 2020 4:53 pm

I’m voting 6 or more because all indications show there’s nothing stopping this season. A “lull” this year just means one active storm at the time.

I also buy into the hypothesis that we will see our first major during the last week of the month, and I think it will landfall somewhere in CONUS after raking the islands.

Here’s to an August to remember! :flag:
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Re: How many named storms will form in August?

#18 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 05, 2020 7:26 am

The poll has closed for voting with 3 options close and now let's see in reallity how many will form on this month. Those who want to comment about this topic go ahead.
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